It's been a tough few months for Tesla (TSLA -3.42%) shareholders, as the stock has been on a downward trajectory since mid-December. Even with its recent bounce, Tesla stock is still trading down about 45% from its highs, as of this writing. Wood expects about 90% of Tesla's enterprise value in 2029 to be attributed to its currently non-existent robotaxi business. She believes that Tesla will launch this business within the next two years and that there is little chance it won't be operating within the nex ...

“Tesla Takedown” organizers have promised their biggest day of global action today, encouraging thousands to protest outside Tesla showrooms, dealerships, and even charging stations to peacefully object to Elon Musk’s role in slashing government spending. As Tesla protests have spread, so has the backlash. Activists holding up signs are being conflated with masked vandals throwing Molotov cocktails. On social media, and in Washington, the distinction is fading fast.  President Donald Trump has called attac ...

Core Viewpoint - BofA Securities analyst Vivek Arya identifies three top diversified semiconductor picks, indicating a near bottom for the industry with industrial semiconductors leading the recovery, followed by auto semiconductors in late 2025 [1] Group 1: Top Picks and Performance - Arya's top picks in order of recovery potential are Analog Devices, Inc (ADI) with a $280 price target, NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) at $235, and ON Semiconductor Corp (ON) at $60 [2] - Analog Devices has outperformed the PHLX Semiconductor Sector 23 out of the last 29 times the index declined over 10% since 2010, making it a strong defensive choice [3] - NXP Semiconductors has a relatively shallow sales peak-to-trough correction of -18%, indicating prudent execution and growth potential from product cycles [5] Group 2: Financial Metrics and Projections - Analog Devices' industrial sales are still 15-20% below trend based on fiscal 2018 and 2019 baselines, suggesting significant upside potential [4] - The company is expected to achieve 37% margins in fiscal 2025, significantly higher than peers' average of 17%, with potential for buybacks to double due to a new $10 billion authorization [4] - ON Semiconductor's estimates show a -15% sales decline for calendar 2025, which is below peers' range of -13% to +13%, but the stock is seen as compelling due to high leverage to improvements in Auto/EV sentiment [6] Group 3: Market Conditions and Strategic Moves - Arya acknowledges risks related to tariffs and economic contraction but notes that diversified stocks tend to outperform during significant declines in the SOX index [2] - Allegro MicroSystems, Inc's potential deal could provide 4%-7% accretion by calendar 2027, enhancing the sensor portfolio [7] - Despite current downturns, ON Semiconductor's free cash flow percentage could improve to mid-20% from 17% in calendar 2024, indicating resilience [7]

Group 1: Stock Transactions by Congress Members - Democratic Rep. Julie Johnson sold her Tesla stock, valued between $16,000 and $65,000, based on a decision made by an independent financial advisor without her input [1] - Rep. Vicente Gonzalez purchased at least $65,000 worth of Tesla stock, while Rep. Gil Cisneros bought between $1,000 and $15,000 [3] - Rep. Josh Gottheimer engaged in multiple transactions involving Tesla stock in January and February, with trades managed by a third party [5] Group 2: Criticism and Reactions to Elon Musk - Some Democrats have publicly criticized Elon Musk, with Rep. Cisneros emphasizing that he has not abused his position for personal gain [4] - Sen. Mark Kelly sold his Tesla for a Chevy Tahoe, expressing negative sentiments about Musk, while Sen. Adam Schiff indicated he would be willing to sell his Tesla [6] - The market for used Teslas has seen a 33% increase this year, suggesting a trend of individuals looking to sell their vehicles, likely influenced by Musk's behavior [6]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock is experiencing downward pressure due to inflation concerns and a lowered price target from an analyst, indicating potential challenges ahead for the company [1][2][3]. Group 1: Inflation Impact - The Personal Consumption Expenditures index rose by 0.4% month-over-month and 2.8% year-over-year, slightly above estimates, contributing to inflationary concerns that affected the broader market [2]. - The overall market struggled as a result of this inflation data, leading to declines in most stocks, including Tesla [2]. Group 2: Analyst Report - Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu maintained a buy rating on Tesla but reduced the price target from $420 to $355 [3]. - Yu revised first-quarter delivery estimates for Tesla from 378,000 to a range of 340,000 to 350,000, indicating an 11% year-over-year decline and the lowest deliveries since 2022 [3][4]. - Full-year delivery estimates were also lowered to 1.7 million, reflecting a 5% decline year-over-year, primarily due to weakness in Europe and changes related to the Model Y Juniper [4]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Despite the weak delivery outlook, some analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's future, citing potential launches of robotaxis and household robots [5]. - The upcoming first-quarter earnings report in late April will be crucial for assessing delivery trends, which could significantly impact the stock price [5]. - Tesla's current trading at approximately 100 times forward earnings suggests an unfavorable risk-reward ratio, leading to a cautious stance among some analysts [5].

Core Viewpoint - Tesla shares have rebounded after a poor start to the year, with a Wall Street analyst suggesting a potential upside of nearly 50% despite a 30% decline in shares so far this year [1] Group 1: Analyst Insights - Canaccord analyst George Gianarikas believes that Tesla shares could see significant returns, especially after a recent bounce of over 20% in the last week [1] - Gianarikas conducted a survey of over 1,000 consumers, revealing that most respondents are more likely to purchase a Tesla compared to a year ago, although over 20% are less likely due to Musk's political involvement [3] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Political Influence - Elon Musk's political activities have created mixed sentiments among investors, with initial optimism reversing as reports of slumping sales emerged [2] - Despite the controversies surrounding Musk, Gianarikas maintains a positive outlook, suggesting that fewer consumers are influenced by politics than anticipated [4] Group 3: Upcoming Financial Data - Tesla is set to release its first-quarter sales results on April 2, which will be crucial for investors to monitor, as it will provide insights into quarterly production and deliveries [5] - The potential for share price volatility exists, with Gianarikas setting a price target of $404, indicating that shares may experience fluctuations before reaching this target [5]

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, publications, and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand how these instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1].

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's market capitalization is currently $888 billion, reflecting a year-to-date drop of 38%, attributed to vehicle quality issues and CEO Elon Musk's controversial actions [1] Group 1: Tesla's Current Situation - Tesla's brand and reputation have suffered, potentially impacting stock growth over the next decade [2] - The company reported revenue of $98 billion for the year, which is lower than BYD's record revenue of $107 billion [4] Group 2: Competitors with Growth Potential - BYD, a Chinese clean energy vehicle manufacturer, has a market value of $162 billion and reported a 29% year-over-year revenue increase in 2024 [5] - BYD delivered 4.25 million vehicles last year, nearly matching Ford's output [4] - If BYD's market value grows at 20% annually, it could reach approximately $1 trillion in a decade, and at 25%, it could approach $1.5 trillion [5] Group 3: Intuitive Surgical - Intuitive Surgical, a leader in robotic surgical equipment, has a market value of around $182 billion and reported a 25% year-over-year revenue increase [6] - The company installed 493 da Vinci surgical systems in the last quarter, increasing its global installed base by 15% [6] - If Intuitive Surgical's market value grows at 20% over the next decade, it could reach $1.1 trillion [8] Group 4: Berkshire Hathaway - Berkshire Hathaway has a market value of $1.1 trillion, already surpassing Tesla [9] - The company has seen a total revenue growth of 30% from 2019 to 2024 and has roughly doubled its revenue over the past decade [11] - If Berkshire Hathaway's market value grows by 80% in the next decade, it could reach near $2 trillion [11]

Core Insights - Tesla is a leading electric vehicle manufacturer, but investor focus is shifting towards its full self-driving software, Cybercab robotaxi, and Optimus robot, which are seen as potential trillion-dollar platforms in the future [1] - Cathie Wood's Ark Investment Management predicts Tesla's stock could reach $2,600 by 2029, driven by products like FSD and Cybercab [2][3] - Despite this optimistic outlook, Tesla's stock has dropped 43% from its recent high due to weaknesses in its core EV business [3] EV Sales Performance - Tesla delivered a record 1.8 million cars in 2023, marking a 38% year-over-year increase, but deliveries shrank by 1% in 2024 [4] - In early 2024, Tesla's EV sales in Europe fell by 43%, and by 66% in Australia, with flat sales expected in China [5] - Competitors like BYD and Great Wall Motors are selling base-model EVs for under $15,000, making it difficult for Tesla to compete [6] Market Dynamics - Consumer hesitance towards Tesla may be influenced by Elon Musk's political involvement, leading to increased dealership attacks and declining resale values [7] - Tesla's revenue in 2022 was $97.6 billion, with 79% from EV sales, but projections suggest EV sales will only account for 26% of revenue by 2029, with autonomous ride-hailing becoming the majority [8] Future Projections - Ark estimates that Tesla's Cybercab could generate $756 billion in annual revenue by 2029, contributing to a total revenue of $1.2 trillion [11] - The success of Tesla's autonomous ride-hailing service is contingent on the approval of FSD for unsupervised use, which has not yet been granted [10] Financial Metrics - Tesla's earnings per share (EPS) fell by 53% in 2024 to $2.04, with a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 134, significantly above the S&P 500's 22.9 [13] - The stock would need to drop by 82% to align with the S&P 500, and further declines in EPS are expected if EV deliveries continue to decrease [14] Investment Considerations - While Tesla stock may appear attractive if Ark's forecasts are accurate, the high risk of further downside suggests caution for investors [15][16]

Core Insights - American tech giants like Tesla and Nvidia are in a competitive race to develop humanoid robots, which are seen as crucial for the future economy, but they face significant competition from China [1][2][3] Industry Overview - Humanoid robots, powered by artificial intelligence, are expected to fill various roles in industrial and service sectors, with increasing investor interest driven by tech leaders like Nvidia [2] - Tesla's Optimus project aims to produce around 5,000 units in 2025, positioning it as a leader in the U.S. market, although it faces competition from Chinese firms like Unitree and Agibot, which have similar production goals [3][4] Competitive Landscape - Chinese companies are leveraging superior economies of scale and manufacturing capabilities to undercut U.S. competitors in humanoid robotics, with Unitree's G1 robot priced at $16,000 compared to Tesla's estimated $20,000 for Optimus [7][8] - Over the past five years, China has led the world in patent filings related to humanoid robots, with 5,688 patents compared to 1,483 from the U.S., indicating a strong innovation pipeline [9][10] Government Support and Market Dynamics - The Chinese government is actively promoting the development of humanoid robots, with guidelines issued for large-scale production by 2025 [11] - Analysts suggest that humanoid robots could help mitigate labor shortages in China, with initial applications expected in production lines and later in the service industry [12] Supply Chain and Component Costs - China controls approximately 70% of the supply chain for components used in humanoid robots, which is expected to lead to a rapid decline in component costs and increased adoption of these technologies [13] - The Unitree G1 is noted as being entirely decoupled from American components, positioning China to capitalize on the economic benefits of intelligent robotics systems [14] Strategic Recommendations - To remain competitive, U.S. companies like Tesla may need to consider reshoring or "friendshoring" their component sourcing and manufacturing to reduce reliance on China [15]