智通财经APP获悉，特斯拉(TSLA.US)将于北京时间周四晨间(美东时间周三美股盘后)公布最新季度业绩。该公司 持续引发激烈争论，仍然是市场上最具争议、最受关注的股票之一。投资者对特斯拉的看法几乎没有中间立场。 他们要么极度追捧，要么极度厌恶，一些人预期股价会大幅下跌，而另一些人则期待获得丰厚回报。 围绕特斯拉存在着诸多疑问。它究竟是一家汽车公司?还是一家科技公司?它在全自动驾驶(FSD)领域究竟拥有多大 的潜力?它会成为市场领导者，还是仅仅是众多竞争者之一?它的估值又如何呢?有人认为，这家公司的估值过高， 尤其如果将其视为一家汽车公司的话。 自2025年4月触底以来，特斯拉股价一直处于强劲上涨趋势。在近期回调之前，其股价已经上涨超过100%。 业绩回顾：第三季度营收创历史新高，但成本上升掩盖了其光芒 疲软的交付量可能对特斯拉的汽车业务收入和利润率造成压力。但该公司的能源发电和储能业务有望在一定程度 上抵消这种不利影响。得益于Megapack和Powerwall产品的强劲市场表现，特斯拉的能源业务表现良好。 特斯拉第四季度交付量为418,227辆，同比下降15.6%，低于分析师预期。2025财年全年交付量预 ...

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is experiencing volatility due to President Trump's tariff threats, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and earnings reports from major tech companies [1][2][11] - The S&P 500 index had a 2% increase before a drop of over 2% following tariff announcements [1] Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.5% to 3.75% during its meeting on January 28 [3] - The likelihood of a 25-basis-point cut is only 4% according to CME Group's FedWatch tool [3] - Recent economic data suggests a resilient jobs market, with the unemployment rate improving to 4.4% in December from 4.5% in November [4][5] Earnings Reports from "Magnificent Seven" - Four companies from the "Magnificent Seven" will report earnings this week: Tesla, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Apple [6][11] Tesla - Expected revenue for Tesla in Q4 is $24.9 billion, a 3% decrease, with non-GAAP earnings projected to drop 45% to $0.40 per diluted share [6] - Focus will be on CEO Elon Musk's comments regarding physical AI initiatives [7] Microsoft - Anticipated revenue increase of 15% to $80.3 billion, with non-GAAP earnings expected to rise 20% to $3.86 per diluted share [8] - Investors will pay attention to Azure's revenue growth and generative AI adoption [8] Meta Platforms - Expected revenue growth of 21% to $58 billion, with non-GAAP earnings projected to increase 3% to $8.23 per diluted share [9] - Investors are looking for continued trends in engagement and advertising conversion rates due to AI investments [9] Apple - Expected revenue increase of 11% to $138 billion, with GAAP earnings also projected to rise 11% to $2.67 per diluted share [10] - Market focus will be on iPhone sales and updates regarding AI innovation [10]

Core Insights - xAI is developing a distributed supercomputer using millions of Tesla vehicles to train and deploy a human emulator, which aims to automate white-collar digital tasks on a large scale [1][2][4] - The project, named Macro Hard, is designed to replicate human digital interaction capabilities and is seen as a counterpart to Tesla's Optimus robot in the digital realm [1][2] Group 1: Project Overview - The human emulator will automate tasks that require human input through keyboards and mice, leveraging xAI's advanced computing capabilities for frequent model iterations [2][3] - The deployment model will utilize idle computing resources from Tesla vehicles, which are cost-effective compared to traditional cloud services [3][4] Group 2: Market Implications - The plan to deploy 1 million human emulators could significantly reshape the knowledge work market, representing a breakthrough in AI agent architecture [4] - The innovative use of Tesla's fleet for distributed computing may lower large-scale inference costs and accelerate the arrival of "millions of digital humans," impacting production methods and social structures [4]

Group 1 - The Indian government has reached an agreement with the EU to reduce tariffs on cars imported from the bloc from 110% to 40%, with further reductions expected over time [1][2] - The immediate tariff reduction applies to cars with an import price of around 15,000 Euros (approximately $17,700), potentially benefiting up to 200,000 vehicles [3] - The agreement is expected to positively impact companies like Tesla and Stellantis, as reduced tariffs could enhance their market presence in India [4][6] Group 2 - Tesla may supply vehicles to the Indian market from its Gigafactory in Berlin to take advantage of lower tariffs, as current imports come from Shanghai [5] - Stellantis, which includes brands like Jeep and Citroen, could expand its portfolio in India due to the reduced tariffs, despite local manufacturing challenges [6] - The U.S. has not reached a similar tariff agreement with India, maintaining a 50% tariff, which contrasts with the EU-India deal [7]

Core Insights - The article provides a comprehensive market analysis focusing on investment opportunities and trends in various sectors [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The analysis highlights significant shifts in market dynamics, particularly in technology and healthcare sectors, indicating a growing interest from investors [1] - Emerging markets are showing resilience, with a notable increase in foreign investments, suggesting a potential for high returns [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Specific companies within the renewable energy sector are identified as having strong growth potential due to increasing demand for sustainable solutions [1] - The financial services industry is experiencing a transformation driven by fintech innovations, presenting new avenues for investment [1] Group 3: Economic Indicators - Key economic indicators such as GDP growth rates and unemployment figures are discussed, providing context for market performance and investor sentiment [1] - Inflation rates are analyzed, with implications for interest rates and overall market stability highlighted [1]

IT之家 1 月 26 日消息，埃隆 · 马斯克阐述了他认为特斯拉和 SpaceX 终将远超竞争对手的原因，指出自动驾驶、机器人技术以及天基能源这三大力量将从根 本上重塑经济规模。 马斯克近期在社交平台 X 上发布了两条推文，称上述两家公司所处的领域，其发展并非呈线性增长，而是指数级增长。 有 X 平台用户指出，SpaceX 的估值已超过美国六大国防公司的总和。马斯克对此回应称，天基产业的经济价值最终将超越地球经济的总价值。他表示，太 空能为人类提供的能源总量约为地球的十万倍，而这些能源仍然不到太阳能量的百万分之一。 IT之家注意到，在后续发布的推文中，马斯克还称："凭借自动驾驶技术，特斯拉的市值已超过其他所有汽车厂商的总和。"他补充称，这一估值还未将特斯 拉的人形机器人"擎天柱"（Optimus）纳入考量。这位首席执行官表示，一旦擎天柱实现规模化量产，有望将全球 GDP 提升一个数量级。 ...

Domestic News - The total number of motor vehicles in China reached 469 million, with 43.97 million being new energy vehicles [2] - Beijing's new energy vehicle ownership exceeded 1.3 million, with over 80% of vehicles meeting the "National V" emission standard [3] - FAW-Volkswagen plans to launch 13 new models in 2026, including 6 fuel vehicles and 7 new energy vehicles [4] - Ledao Auto aims to complete the investment of over 8,000 new battery packs within January, achieving a progress rate of 91.36% as of January 24 [5] - BAIC Blue Valley is investing 1.991 billion yuan to upgrade its Xiangjie Super Factory, with construction expected to start in March 2026 [6] - Chery has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Yihaichuxing, delivering 5,000 new vehicles [7] - GAC Aion and Didi have partnered to deliver the Robotaxi R2, marking a significant step in autonomous vehicle commercialization [8] - CATL and Minyun Group have deepened their strategic cooperation to promote the electrification of public transportation [9] Foreign News - India and the EU have reached an agreement to significantly reduce automotive import tariffs, with tariffs on cars priced over €15,000 dropping from 110% to 40% immediately, and eventually to 10% [10] - The Philippines is projected to reach 491,395 vehicle sales in 2025, a 3.7% increase from 2024 [11] - The UAE is accelerating the commercialization of autonomous driving, with Abu Dhabi launching public autonomous operations and Dubai issuing its first autonomous driving test license [12] - Tesla has initiated a fully autonomous taxi service in Austin, Texas, without a safety driver present [13] Commercial Vehicles - Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle has launched the world's largest medium and heavy-duty commercial vehicle smart factory in Shiyan, Hubei [14] - CATL has released the first mass-produced sodium-ion battery for light commercial vehicles [15] - Yuchai has introduced the world's first flywheel range extender technology brand, marking a significant innovation in commercial power systems [16] - Henan Province has implemented 21 measures to support truck drivers, enhancing service quality and operational efficiency [17]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is set to report its Q4 2025 earnings on January 28, with expectations of growth in its Energy Generation and Storage business despite a decline in vehicle deliveries [2]. Group 1: Tesla's Performance - Tesla's Q3 production totaled 447,450 units, a 5% year-over-year decline, while Q4 deliveries reached a record 497,099 cars, up 7.4% from the previous year [3]. - Total automotive revenues for Tesla were $21.2 billion, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase, surpassing estimates of $18.86 billion [4]. - Energy Generation and Storage revenues were $3.4 billion in Q3 2025, a 44% increase year-over-year, exceeding estimates of $2.9 billion [5]. Group 2: Energy Generation and Storage Business - The Energy Generation and Storage segment is experiencing robust growth, driven by strong demand for products like Megapack and Powerwall [6]. - In Q4, Tesla deployed 14.2 GWh of energy storage products, setting a new record, with expected revenues of $3.4 billion, indicating an 11% year-over-year increase [7]. - The segment boasts a gross margin estimate of 31.1%, an improvement of 5.9 percentage points from the previous year, highlighting its profitability [8]. Group 3: Earnings Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tesla's upcoming quarter is $25.11 billion in sales and earnings of 44 cents per share, with a slight decrease in the earnings estimate over the past month [9]. - Tesla's current Earnings ESP is +3.15%, but the model does not predict a definitive earnings beat due to a lack of favorable conditions [10]. Group 4: Competitor Insights - Cummins Inc. is expected to report Q4 results on February 5, with an Earnings ESP of +4.82% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [11]. - BorgWarner is scheduled to report on February 11, with an Earnings ESP of +4.47% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [12]. - Rivian Automotive, set to report on February 12, has an Earnings ESP of +12.02% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Positive" for the Robotaxi industry [2][10]. Core Insights - The Robotaxi industry is expected to experience rapid growth in the U.S. by 2026, driven by advancements from companies like Tesla and Waymo [6][5]. - Tesla has initiated public operations of its fully autonomous Robotaxi fleet in Austin, with plans for widespread application by the end of 2026 [6]. - Waymo is expanding its operational areas significantly, with plans to increase the number of cities it serves, including Miami and others [6]. Summary by Sections Recent Developments - Tesla's fully autonomous Robotaxi fleet began public service in Austin on January 22, 2026, with gradual increases in vehicle numbers planned [6]. - Waymo has expanded its operational area in Austin from 90 to 140 square miles and is set to launch services in additional cities [6]. Future Projections - By the end of 2026, Robotaxi services are anticipated to be widely adopted across the U.S., influencing related industries domestically [6]. - Tesla's Cybercab is expected to enter production in April 2026, with a projected cost of less than $0.20 per mile for large-scale operations [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies such as Ponyo, Horizon Robotics, and XPeng Motors, while also suggesting to monitor other players like Didi Global, Uber, and Cao Cao Mobility [6].

The dollar fell against most of its major peers as potential US involvement in foreign-exchange intervention in Japan hurt sentiment toward the world’s reserve currency. Gold rose above $5,000 for the first time on haven demand.The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index slid as much as 0.5% to the lowest level since September after a rate check Friday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York spurred speculation the US may assist Japan in efforts to weaken the greenback versus the yen. Japan’s currency jumped as much a ...