格隆汇1月4日｜核心入选逻辑：唯一性与不可替代性——台积电是晶圆代工领域的绝对霸主，垄断了全 球90%以上的AI芯片产能；AI芯片咽喉——无论是英伟达的GPU还是谷歌的TPU，所有主流AI芯片均由 台积电制造。 ...

公众号记得加星标⭐️，第一时间看推送不会错过。 讨论在美国生产芯片时，人们最关心的问题之一是这一过程的可持续性，因为对于像台积电这样的公 司来说，在美国生产会导致毛利率大幅下降。 台积电在美国晶圆厂运营成本大幅上升，但此次生产转移有着更为深远的意义。 特朗普政府特别重视"美国制造"理念，尤其关注半导体领域。因此，台积电和三星等公司加大了在美 国的投资，以构建更具韧性的供应链。这家台湾芯片巨头计划将其对美国供应链的投资增加至多3000 亿美元，其中包括在亚利桑那州建设晶圆厂、先进封装和研发设施。然而，根据分析师Jukan on X分 享并由SemiAnalysis汇总的数据，台积电在美国生产芯片将使其利润率遭受重大损失。 参考链接 | | | Taiwan | us | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Item | Unit | Fab 18 Phase 1-3 | Fab 21, Phase 1 | | Fab capex | US$ | 27,000,000,000 | 14,380,000,000 | | Wafer fab equipment | US$ | 22,950,000 ...

公众号记得加星标⭐️，第一时间看推送不会错过。 英伟达斥资超过7万亿韩元（约合48.6亿美元）收购英特尔股份，再次撼动了全球晶圆代工格局。此 举被解读为英伟达正在实现供应链多元化的信号，此前该公司几乎完全依赖台积电生产人工智能芯 片。随着台积电正式宣布2纳米制程工艺量产，三星电子和英特尔也加入竞争，围绕大型科技公司的 晶圆代工竞争正迎来一个重要的转折点。 根据近期行业报告，英伟达以每股23.28美元的价格购入了214,776,632股英特尔股票，总投资额达50 亿美元，约合7.2万亿韩元。此次收购使英伟达成为英特尔的主要股东，持有约4%的股份。业内人士 认为，这笔投资并非简单的财务决策，而是一项战略举措。分析表明，此举旨在将英特尔的CPU设计 技术与英伟达的AI能力相结合，同时为未来在芯片生产领域的合作留下空间。 目前两家公司之间尚未签署任何代工合同。然而，鉴于双方通过股权投资建立的紧密联系，评估认为 英伟达未来将部分人工智能芯片生产委托给英特尔的可能性有所增加。尤其值得注意的是，这项投资 与美国政府正在进行的"英特尔代工重建"战略相契合。英特尔已从美国政府获得57亿美元的补贴，并 正基于这笔资金准备大规模生 ...

台积电宣布2nm制程按计划量产，以及AI芯片需求激增，美股和台股双创历史新高；三星电子因HBM4产品获客户认可，韩股大涨 7.2%创新高。分析师普遍认为AI热潮将延续至2026年。Bernstein将台积电列为首选股，大摩将2026年DRAM和NAND价格预期分 别上调62%和75%，且大幅美光上调盈利预期。 2026年首个交易日，AI芯片供应链股票强势上涨，在美股大盘走势分化的背景下成为市场焦点。 台积电美股和台股双双创下历史新 高，三星电子韩股大涨7.2%刷新收盘纪录 ，带动整个AI板块逆市走强。 日前，台积电在官网低调宣布， 其2nm制程（N2）技术已按计划于2025年第四季度投入量产，标志着全球半导体行业正式迈入 2nm时代。 这一技术采用第一代纳米片晶体管架构，相比N3E工艺，在同等功耗下性能提升10%-15%，在同等速度下功耗降低 25%-30%。 N2工艺采用了环栅（Gate-All-Around）纳米片晶体管技术，突破了此前FinFET架构在3nm节点面临的物理极限。该技术将电流通 道由竖立的"鳍"变为水平堆叠的"纳米片"，栅极可从四面完全包裹通道，大幅降低漏电并提升晶体管密度。相对于纯逻辑电 ...

Company Developments - Lei Jun, during a live stream, unveiled Xiaomi's second vehicle model YU7, addressing concerns about the materials used in car manufacturing. He revealed that Xiaomi's car delivery volume is expected to exceed 410,000 units in 2025, with a target of 550,000 units for 2026. Lei also criticized "small character marketing" as an industry flaw and emphasized the importance of addressing user complaints seriously [5][6]. - Luxshare Precision issued a statement regarding false rumors affecting the company, clarifying that its core business is progressing smoothly and that there are no unusual circumstances impacting its normal operations and development [5]. - iMoutai announced an adjustment to the maximum purchase limit for its Feitian 53% vol 500ml Guizhou Moutai liquor, allowing customers to buy up to 6 bottles per day, down from the previous limit of 12 bottles [6]. - BMW China responded to the price reduction of 31 models, stating that this is not a price war but a proactive adjustment of product strategy to meet consumer expectations. The price cut includes a maximum reduction of 301,000 yuan, with the starting price of the iX1 electric model dropping from 299,900 yuan to 228,000 yuan, a decrease of 24% [6]. Industry Insights - On the first trading day of 2026, AI chip supply chain stocks surged. TSMC announced the planned mass production of its 2nm process, and the demand for AI chips has skyrocketed, leading to record highs in both US and Taiwanese stock markets. Samsung Electronics saw a 7.2% increase in its stock price due to the recognition of its HBM4 products by clients. Analysts generally believe that the AI boom will continue into 2026 [3]. - According to Wind data, as of January 3, 151 stocks have been included in the brokerage "golden stock" combinations for January 2026, with over 30% of the stocks being Hong Kong-listed. The most notable A-share and Hong Kong stock are Zhongji Xuchuang and Tencent Holdings, respectively, with a dense distribution of "golden stocks" in the electronics, machinery, and automotive sectors [3]. - CITIC Securities predicts that the A-share bull market is likely to continue in 2026, expecting the index to remain volatile but with slower growth. Investors are advised to focus on fundamental improvements and industry verification. There is a caution regarding structural and phase-based corrections in the technology sector, with resource products potentially becoming a new main direction for A-shares after technology. Key industries to watch include new energy, non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, oil and petrochemicals, non-bank financials, military industry, machinery, and computers [3]. Macro Economic Indicators - According to Haikou Customs, during the first two days before the New Year holiday, the sales of duty-free goods in Hainan reached 307,000 items, marking a year-on-year increase of 48.3% [2]. - The National Medical Products Administration announced that 76 innovative drugs are expected to be approved for market in China by 2025, significantly surpassing the 48 approved in 2024, setting a new historical record [2]. - The China National Space Administration reported that in 2025, China will achieve multiple breakthroughs in manned spaceflight, deep space exploration, and commercial space sectors, with a total of 92 launches planned, setting a new historical high [2]. - As of January 3, 2026, the box office for the New Year holiday period has surpassed 700 million yuan, with films like "Zootopia 2," "Avatar 3," and "Killing the Hidden" leading the box office rankings [2]. Fund Flows - As of December 31, 2025, the scale of public funds entering the market after the New Year is over 43 billion yuan. This includes 16 ETFs set to be listed with a total scale of nearly 5 billion yuan and over 60 actively managed equity funds established after November 2025, with a total scale of approximately 38 billion yuan [4].

Group 1 - The document does not contain any relevant information regarding companies or industries [2][3][5][6]

Core Insights - The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution has rapidly expanded since 2023, influencing various applications from chatbots to autonomous systems and significantly driving market value into the trillions [1] Industry Impact - The growth of AI technologies has led to a substantial increase in market capitalization across multiple sectors, indicating a transformative effect on the economy [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF (CHAT) significantly outperformed major indices in 2025, with a 45% increase compared to the S&P 500's 17% and Nasdaq-100's 21% gains, with its future performance closely tied to hyperscaler spending on AI infrastructure [2][3]. Group 1: Hyperscaler Capital Spending - Capital expenditure (capex) by major cloud providers is the primary macro factor influencing CHAT's performance, with 2026 estimates rising to $527 billion from $465 billion at the beginning of Q3 earnings season [3][5]. - Analysts have consistently underestimated the willingness of Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta to invest in AI infrastructure [3]. Group 2: Fund Holdings and Performance - CHAT has significant positions in major hyperscalers, with Alphabet as the largest holding at 7.6%, followed by Microsoft at 5.1%, Meta at 4.2%, and Amazon at 3.4% [4]. - The fund has returned 51% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500's 17% [5]. Group 3: Market Trends and Selectivity - The market has become more selective, moving away from AI infrastructure companies with pressured operating earnings growth, seeking a clear connection between capex and revenue growth [7]. Group 4: Concentration in Semiconductor Sector - CHAT has a heavy concentration in semiconductor companies, with Nvidia at 6.3%, Advanced Micro Devices at 3.3%, Broadcom at 3.0%, and SK Hynix at 3.2%, indicating significant exposure to the semiconductor cycle [8].

Core Insights - Retail investors have shown significant interest in five stocks this week, driven by retail hype, AI advancements, and corporate news [1] Group 1: Target Corp. (NYSE:TGT) - Target was highlighted after activist investor Toms Capital Investment Management acquired a significant stake, which is seen as a potential catalyst for operational changes [5] - The stock is trading around $97 to $99 per share, with a 52-week range of $83.44 to $145.08, and has declined by 28.75% in 2025 and 7.30% in the last six months [6] Group 2: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) - Retail investors are bullish on TSM ahead of its earnings release later this month [4] Group 3: Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) - GOOG is trading around $303 to $305 per share, with a 52-week range of $134.25 to $313.98, and has returned 50.75% in 2025 and 30.09% in the last six months [10] - The stock has shown strong performance driven by AI advancements, cloud growth, and progress in Waymo, outperforming its peers [10] Group 4: IREN Ltd. (NASDAQ:IREN) - IREN gained attention due to discussions about using Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant for cryptocurrency mining, which could impact U.S. bitcoin production [16] - The stock is trading around $36 to $38 per share, with a 52-week range of $5.12 to $76.87, and has risen 261.09% in 2025 [17] Group 5: Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR) - MSTR announced the purchase of 1,229 Bitcoin for approximately $108.8 million, increasing its holdings to 672,497 BTC [17] - The stock is trading around $150 to $152 per share, with a 52-week range of $151.42 to $457.22, and has declined by 49.35% in 2025 [19] Group 6: Market Context - The retail focus has combined meme-driven narratives with earnings outlooks and corporate news, amidst negative market action in the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq [18]

Core Viewpoint - Retail investors are actively discussing five notable stocks driven by retail enthusiasm, AI developments, and corporate news, including Target Corp., Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Alphabet Inc., IREN Ltd., and Strategy Inc. [1] Group 1: Target Corp. (NYSE:TGT) - Target was highlighted after activist investor Toms Capital Investment Management acquired a significant stake, which investors viewed as a potential catalyst for operational changes to unlock long-term value [5] - Target reaffirmed its commitment to improving its merchandise and shopping experience, indicating a focus on returning to growth [5] - The stock had a 52-week range of $83.44 to $145.08, trading around $97 to $99 per share, with a decline of 28.75% in 2025 and 7.30% in the last six months [6] Group 2: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) - Retail investors expressed bullish sentiment ahead of TSM's earnings release later in the month [4] Group 3: Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) - Alphabet's stock had a 52-week range of $134.25 to $313.98, trading around $303 to $305 per share, with a return of 50.75% in 2025 and 30.09% in the last six months [10] - The stock showed strong performance among its peers, driven by advancements in AI, cloud growth, and progress in Waymo [10] Group 4: IREN Ltd. (NASDAQ:IREN) - IREN gained attention due to discussions about using Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant for cryptocurrency mining, which could impact U.S. bitcoin production [16] - The stock had a 52-week range of $5.12 to $76.87, trading around $36 to $38 per share, with a significant rise of 261.09% in 2025 [17] Group 5: Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR) - MSTR announced the purchase of 1,229 Bitcoin for approximately $108.8 million, increasing its holdings to 672,497 BTC [17] - Retail investors were cautious about investing in MSTR following its performance in 2025 [17] Group 6: Market Context - The retail focus combined meme-driven narratives with earnings outlooks and corporate news, as major indices like the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq experienced negative market action, missing the Santa Claus rally [18]