Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for China Resources Pharmaceutical [3][19] Core Insights - In FY24, the company achieved revenue of CNY 257.7 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.3%, with contributions from pharmaceutical manufacturing, distribution, and retail segments at 16.1%, 80.0%, and 3.9% respectively [4][15] - The gross profit margin (GPM) was 15.8%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, primarily driven by improvements in the pharmaceutical manufacturing segment [4][15] - The attributable net profit for FY24 was CNY 3.35 billion, a decrease of 13.1% year-on-year, mainly due to increased minority interests following the equity restructuring of China Resources Zizhu [4][15] Revenue Breakdown - Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Revenue reached CNY 46.3 billion, up 6.6% year-on-year, with traditional Chinese medicine, chemicals, biological drugs, and nutritional supplements showing growth rates of +12.2%, +2.8%, +3.3%, and -11.8% respectively [5][16] - Distribution: Revenue was CNY 213.2 billion, reflecting a 5.5% year-on-year increase, with a stable GPM of 5.9%. The company has strengthened channel partnerships and expanded digital healthcare services [5][17] - Retail: Revenue amounted to CNY 10.1 billion, also up 5.5% year-on-year, driven by a 17% increase in high-value drug direct-to-patient (DTP) business [6][18] Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for FY25 and FY26 have been slightly adjusted to CNY 278.6 billion and CNY 299.2 billion, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 7.3% and 5.8% [8][19] - Attributable net profit forecasts for FY25 and FY26 are now CNY 4.3 billion and CNY 4.8 billion, corresponding to growth rates of 27.4% and 11.8% [8][19] - The target price is set at HKD 6.97, based on a 2025 P/E ratio of 11.0x [8][19]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Yum China Holdings [5][11]. Core Insights - Yum China Holdings reported a revenue of 11.30 billion USD for 2024, reflecting a 3% year-over-year growth, with an adjusted net profit of 911 million USD, up 8% year-over-year [2][11]. - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.60 billion USD, a 4% increase year-over-year, and an adjusted net profit of 115 million USD, marking an 11% growth year-over-year [2][11]. - The overall system sales for KFC and Pizza Hut grew by 5% and 3% respectively, while same-store sales declined by 1% and 2% [2][11]. - The company plans to add approximately 1,600 to 1,800 new stores in 2025, with capital expenditures estimated between 700 to 800 million USD [3][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, total revenue reached 11.30 billion USD, with a 3% year-over-year increase, and net profit was 911 million USD, up 8% year-over-year [6][11]. - Q4 2024 revenue was 2.60 billion USD, a 4% increase year-over-year, with an adjusted net profit of 115 million USD, reflecting an 11% growth year-over-year [2][11]. - The diluted EPS for Q4 2024 was 0.30 USD, a 30% increase year-over-year [2][11]. Restaurant Expansion and Performance - By the end of 2024, the total number of restaurants reached 16,395, with a net increase of 1,751 restaurants, representing a 12% annual growth [3][11]. - KFC had 11,648 stores, with a net increase of 1,352 stores (+13%), while Pizza Hut had 3,724 stores, with a net increase of 412 stores (+12%) [3][11]. - In Q4 2024, restaurant income was 2.43 billion USD, with a profit margin of 12.3%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points year-over-year [3][11]. Digital and Delivery Growth - By the end of Q4 2024, KFC and Pizza Hut had over 525 million members, with member sales accounting for 65% of total sales [4][11]. - Digital orders for 2024 reached 9.60 billion USD, representing 90% of restaurant income, while delivery sales grew by 14% year-over-year, making up 39% of restaurant income [4][11]. Shareholder Returns - The company returned 1.50 billion USD to shareholders in 2024, which is about 8.5% of its market capitalization [4][11]. - The cash dividend per share is set to increase by 50% to 0.24 USD [4][11]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is 950 million USD, 1.01 billion USD, and 1.07 billion USD, with growth rates of 4.3%, 5.9%, and 6.6% respectively [5][11]. - The target price is set at 431.8 HKD per share based on a 22x PE ratio for 2025 [5][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for WuXi XDC Cayman, with a target price of HK$49.10 based on a current price of HK$41.90 [1][19]. Core Insights - WuXi XDC reported robust growth in 2024, with revenue reaching RMB4.052 billion, a year-on-year increase of 90.8%. The gross margin improved to 30.6%, up 4.3 percentage points, and net profit attributable to shareholders surged 277.2% to RMB1.070 billion [4][12]. - The company secured 53 new integrated projects and 23 iCMC projects in 2024, supporting clients in submitting 30 IND applications and delivering over 300 GMP production batches [5][13]. - North America emerged as the fastest-growing region, with revenue from North American clients reaching RMB2.03 billion, a 138.3% increase year-on-year, accounting for 50.1% of total revenue [15]. - The total backlog of orders reached RMB991 million, reflecting a 71% year-on-year growth, with new contract signings maintaining pace with this growth [16]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for WuXi XDC from 2025 to 2027 are RMB5.587 billion, RMB7.387 billion, and RMB9.461 billion, representing year-on-year growth rates of 37.9%, 32.2%, and 28.1% respectively [7][18]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be RMB1.342 billion, RMB1.818 billion, and RMB2.403 billion for the same period, with growth rates of 25%, 35%, and 32% respectively [10][18]. - The adjusted net profit is projected to be RMB1.550 billion, RMB2.010 billion, and RMB2.580 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 32%, 30%, and 28% [10][18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for Pop Mart International [2][9][15] Core Views - The company achieved record revenue and profit, with revenue expected to approach RMB 100 billion [1][3] - The company is projected to continue strong growth, with revenue expected to exceed RMB 200 billion in 2025, driven by both domestic and international markets [3][9] Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year 2024, revenue reached RMB 13.04 billion, a 107% year-on-year increase, with a gross profit margin of 66.8%, up 5.5 percentage points [3][14] - Adjusted net profit for 2024 was RMB 3.4 billion, reflecting a 186% year-on-year growth, with an adjusted net profit margin of 26.1% [3][14] - The company expects revenue for 2025 to be RMB 22.1 billion, a 69% increase year-on-year, and adjusted net profit to reach RMB 6.3 billion, an 86% increase [9][15] Domestic Business Summary - Domestic revenue was RMB 7.97 billion, up 52% year-on-year, with significant growth in both offline and online channels [4][14] - The number of retail stores increased to 401, with a net addition of 38 stores [4][14] - Online sales grew by 77%, driven by increased customer engagement across various platforms [4][14] International Business Summary - International revenue surged to RMB 5.07 billion, a 375% increase year-on-year, with overseas revenue accounting for 39% of total revenue [5][14] - The company expanded its international presence, adding 50 retail stores and entering new markets including Vietnam, Indonesia, and Italy [5][14] - The gross profit margin for international operations was 71.3%, exceeding domestic levels [5][14] IP Development and Membership Growth - The company reported strong performance from its IPs, with revenue from major IPs exceeding RMB 1 billion each [7][14] - Membership numbers reached 46.08 million, a 34% increase year-on-year, contributing significantly to sales [7][14] Theme Park Business Summary - The theme park segment exceeded expectations in revenue and profitability, attracting a diverse visitor demographic [8][14] - The company plans to upgrade two-thirds of the park's area and initiate a second phase of construction by 2026 [8][14] Profitability and Valuation - The report projects adjusted net profit margins to improve to 28.6% in 2025 and 30.9% by 2027 [9][15] - The target price for the stock is set at HKD 158.2, based on a 30x PE valuation for FY25 [9][15]

Group 1: AI Data Centers - The AI data center sector is experiencing a "valuation bubble + geopolitical risk" pricing logic, with rising supply chain costs due to Trump's tariff policies[1] - Major tech companies plan to invest over $345 billion in AI infrastructure in 2025, with Microsoft alone investing $80 billion[16] - NVIDIA's Blackwell chip production is accelerating, with four major public cloud vendors purchasing 3.6 million units, capturing 92% of the global AI GPU market[18] Group 2: Industrial and Energy Equipment - The price index for aircraft engines and components in the U.S. was 273.188 in February 2025, stable month-on-month and up 6.2% year-on-year[2] - The price index for gas turbines increased by 5.35% year-on-year and 0.22% month-on-month in February 2025[63] - The price index for electric and special transformers was 433.246 in February 2025, stable month-on-month and up 1.07% year-on-year[48] Group 3: Infrastructure Investments - The U.S. is expected to invest an average of $44 billion annually in the power grid from 2023 to 2030, with total investment in distribution networks reaching $581.5 billion[21] - In 2025, China's State Grid and Southern Grid are projected to invest over 825 billion yuan, a significant increase from 2024[31] Group 4: Defense and Aerospace - The U.S. government defense price index was 117.187 in Q4 2024, stable quarter-on-quarter and up 3.2% year-on-year[44] - Raytheon Technologies (RTX) continues to benefit from increased defense spending, particularly in missile systems and aerospace electronics[5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 6.99 per share, reflecting a 5% upside potential [4][7]. Core Insights - The main brand shows steady growth, with a 6.5% increase in revenue to RMB 13.58 billion in 2024, driven by a 3.2% increase in Volkswagen and a 57.2% increase in professional sports revenue [4][7]. - Gross profit margin improved by 1.4 percentage points to 43.2%, with net profit rising 20.2% to RMB 1.24 billion, indicating enhanced profitability primarily from the professional sports segment and reduced losses from KP [4][7]. - The company plans to focus on direct-to-consumer (DTC) strategies and optimize retail channels, aiming to reclaim 400-500 stores by 2026, which will account for 5.0-6.3% of total stores [4][7]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections show a decline in 2024 to RMB 13.58 billion, followed by growth to RMB 14.47 billion in 2025, and further increases to RMB 15.62 billion in 2026 and RMB 17.00 billion in 2027 [3][6]. - Net profit is expected to rise from RMB 1.24 billion in 2024 to RMB 1.37 billion in 2025, reaching RMB 1.49 billion in 2026 and RMB 1.61 billion in 2027 [3][6]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve gradually, reaching 44.69% by 2027 [3][6]. Strategic Developments - The divestment of the fashion sports segment in November 2024 allows the company to concentrate on running and operational optimization, with professional sports expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 104.3% over the next four years [4][7]. - Saucony's revenue exceeded RMB 1 billion, and the brand is set to continue expanding its store presence and product offerings, particularly in high-end cities [4][7]. - The company plans significant capital expenditure of RMB 500 million in 2025, reflecting a 91% increase, to support its growth initiatives [4][7].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The Japanese consumer confidence index unexpectedly dropped to 35.0 in February, marking a two-year low, amid concerns over inflation and stagnant wage growth [6] - The core CPI in Japan rose by 3.0% year-on-year in February, driven primarily by food price increases, while service prices showed moderate growth reflecting a recovery in consumer demand [8] - Department store sales in Japan decreased by 1.5% year-on-year in February, the lowest monthly growth since 2022, although duty-free sales continued to grow strongly [12] Macroeconomic Summary - The consumer confidence index fell to 35.0, with indicators for living standards, income growth, and willingness to purchase durable goods declining [6] - Despite nominal wages increasing for 37 consecutive months, real wages fell by 1.8% year-on-year in January due to rising prices and fewer bonuses [6] - The PPI increased by 4.0% year-on-year in February, with agricultural and forestry products seeing a significant price rise of 39.4% [10] Industry Summary - Soft drink demand continues to face pressure, with major brands like Suntory and Asahi reporting year-on-year sales declines of 10% and 6%, respectively [18] - Department store sales growth has slowed, with a notable decrease in sales attributed to adverse weather conditions and fewer operating days in February [12][35] - The food and beverage retail sales in January reached approximately 34,980 billion yen, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.4% [15] Essential Company Performance - PPIH reported a year-on-year same-store sales increase of 5.2%, while Aeon saw a slight decline of 0.3% [15] - Convenience store sales at 711 Japan increased by 0.4%, with a stable customer flow [15] - Major restaurant chains like Saizeriya and Skylark reported significant same-store sales growth of 16.5% and 10.6%, respectively, despite the adverse weather [27] Stock Market Overview - The consumer sector saw most stocks decline in February, with the service and retail sectors experiencing the largest drops of 8.6% and 8.2%, respectively [44]

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 26 Mar 2025 全球 AI 工业+能源 Global AI Industrials & Energy 美国燃气轮机产业链深度报告：赛道稳健向上，量价共振驱动长期成长 U.S. Gas Turbine Industry Chain: Steady Track with Volume-Price Synergy Driving Long-Term Growth 杨斌 Bin Yang Yuqi Yang bin.yang@htisec.com yq.yang@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 核心观点 燃气轮机广泛应用于发电、航空、航海等多领域。与传统的蒸汽轮机和内燃机相比，燃气轮机展现出诸 多优势，包括启动快速、效率高、污染排放较低及维护便捷，这些特性使燃气轮机在发电、油气、舰船动 力等领域得到广泛应用，其中发电领域占比 65%，是主要应用场景。 燃气轮机高度 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Sino Biopharmaceutical [2][11][17] Core Insights - The company achieved revenue of CNY 28.9 billion in FY24, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.2% with a gross profit margin of 81.5% [3][14] - Innovative products are expected to drive double-digit revenue growth in FY25, particularly in oncology and surgery/analgesia segments [4][15] - The company plans to launch seven innovative products in FY25, including key candidates such as TQB3616 and Meloxicam [5][16] Financial Performance - FY24 revenue was CNY 28.9 billion, with a net profit of CNY 3.5 billion, marking a 50.1% increase year-on-year [3][14] - R&D expenses increased by 15.6% to CNY 5.1 billion, representing 17.6% of total revenue [3][14] - The company expects revenue to reach CNY 32.4 billion in FY25, a growth of 12.3% year-on-year [6][16] Segment Performance - Revenue from innovative drugs reached CNY 12.1 billion, up 22% year-on-year, while generics contributed CNY 16.8 billion, growing 3% [4][15] - The oncology segment generated CNY 10.7 billion, driven by strong sales of key products [18] - The surgery/analgesia segment saw a revenue increase of 19% to CNY 4.5 billion, primarily due to the sales of Flurbiprofen Cataplasms [18] Valuation - The target price is adjusted to HKD 5.52, based on a 2025E PE of 25.2x [6][17] - The report reflects a slight adjustment in revenue forecasts for 2025-26 due to uncertainties in biosimilar revenue growth [6][16]

[Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus | [Table_Info] | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 市盈率 P/E | | 股票名称 | 评级 | 目标价 | PE(2025E) | PE(2026E) | | 百威亚太 | Neutral | 10.10 | 17 | 16 | | 海底捞 | Outperform 17.00 | | 15 | 14 | | 华润啤酒 | Outperform 48.00 | | 14 | 13 | | 康师傅 | Outperform 16.38 | | 17 | 14 | | 中国飞鹤 | Outperform 6.40 | | 15 | 14 | | 颐海国际 | Outperform 18.42 | | 14 | 13 | | 达势股份 | Outperform 79.40 | | 97 | 48 | | 现代牧业 | Outperform 1.00 | | 11 | 8 | | 优然牧业 | Outperform 2.22 | | 10 | 7 | | 九毛 ...