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收购资产焕新,实现价值跃升
Haitong Securities International· 2025-12-02 08:43
Investment Rating - The report rates the investment in 华夏中海商业 REIT as positive, highlighting its strong operational resilience and stable growth potential [1]. Core Insights - 华夏中海商业 REIT is the first consumer REIT to adopt an acquisition and revitalization model, with underlying assets demonstrating robust operational performance [1]. - The project, 佛山映月湖环宇城, is strategically located in Guangdong Province, benefiting from significant population density and a lack of competing large commercial projects in the vicinity [1][2]. - The rental rate of the project has improved significantly, reaching approximately 97.92% as of March 31, 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of about 11% in sales from 2021 to 2024 [1][2]. Summary by Sections Fund Overview - 华夏中海商业 REIT was officially registered on September 22, 2025, with a total fund size of 300 million shares and an expected total fundraising of 1.5843 billion yuan [6][24]. - The fund is managed by 华夏基金管理有限公司, one of the largest fund management companies in China, with over 3 trillion yuan in assets under management [7][8]. Industry Situation - The consumer infrastructure sector, particularly shopping centers, is expected to benefit from government policies aimed at boosting consumption and investment during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [26][27]. - The retail sector in China has shown resilience, with a total retail sales volume of 47.15 trillion yuan in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.22% [29]. Project Details - 佛山映月湖环宇城 has a total construction area of 153,478.85 square meters and is positioned as a key self-owned property under the management of 中海环宇商业发展 [36]. - The project has undergone significant operational upgrades since its acquisition in March 2020, leading to a substantial increase in occupancy rates and sales performance [36][38]. Financial Projections and Future Potential - The project plans to allocate 85% of net recovery funds towards investments in other infrastructure projects, indicating strong future growth potential [1][2]. - The management team has demonstrated a strong track record, with a compound annual growth rate of 22.3% in managed scale and 27.1% in operational revenue since 2020 [1][2].
能科科技(603859):中标具身智能项目,“AllinAI”迈出关键一步
Haitong Securities International· 2025-12-02 08:42
中标具身智能项目, "All in AI"迈出关键一步 能科科技(603859) 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.11.30 2025-12-02 投资要点: | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 1,405 | 1,510 | 1,749 | 2,069 | 2,485 | | (+/-)% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 20.1% | | 净利润(归母) | 226 | 192 | 238 | 307 | 402 | | (+/-)% | 14.0% | -15.2% | 24.3% | 28.9% | 30.8% | | 每股净收益(元) | 0.92 | 0.78 | 0.97 | 1.26 | 1.64 | | 净资产收益率(%) | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | | 市盈率(现价&最新股本摊薄) | 43.72 ...
光库科技(300620):2025 年三季报点评:业务高速增长,布局OCS等新方向
Haitong Securities International· 2025-12-02 08:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of 177 RMB, representing a potential upside of 146% [5][12]. Core Insights - The company has significantly increased its revenue, driven by data communication, with a reported revenue of 0.10 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, up 35.11% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 0.12 billion RMB, up 106.61% year-on-year [5][13]. - The trend towards Optical Communication Systems (OCS) is clear, with projections indicating that the global OCS market could reach 2 billion USD by 2030. The company's acquisition of Wuhan Jiepu positions it well for future market opportunities [5][14]. Financial Summary - The company's total revenue is projected to grow from 710 million RMB in 2023 to 3,605 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 45.5% from 2024 to 2025 [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 60 million RMB in 2023 to 598 million RMB in 2027, with a significant jump of 221.6% from 2025 to 2026 [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.24 RMB in 2023 to 2.40 RMB in 2027, indicating strong growth potential [4][5].
风偏修复下科技板块领涨
Haitong Securities International· 2025-12-02 06:04
风偏修复下科技板块领涨 ——全球股市立体投资策略周报 11 月第 4 期 本报告导读: 上周全球指数明显反弹,股指波动率回落,全球科技板块领涨。资金面上,戴利等 联储官员支持 12 月降息,12 月联储降息预期回升。基本面上,AI 泡沫担忧暂缓, 港股美股科技盈利预期均上修,欧美经济高频景气预期有所回落。 投资要点: 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 策 略 研 究 海 外 策 略 研 究 策略研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.12.02 2025-12-02 [Table_Summary] 市场表现:上周全球市场反弹。股市方面,MSCI 全球+3.3%,其中 MSCI 发达市场+3.4%、MSCI 新兴市场+2.2%。债市方面,中债利率上 行,美债利率下降。大宗方面,银价涨跌幅居前,天然气跌幅居前。 汇率方面,美元贬,英镑升,日元升,人民币升。上周全球科技板 块明显反弹,材料、工业、金融板块涨幅也居前。 交投情绪:上周欧股成交放量,美股/亚股缩量,股指波动率回落。 从成交看,上周英股、德股、法股成交上升,美股、日股、韩股、 港股与 A 股成交下降。从投资者情绪看,港股投资者 ...
11月新能源车销量跟踪:“翘尾”行情遇冷,全年格局基本落定
Haitong Securities International· 2025-12-02 01:40
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the automotive industry or specific companies within it [26]. Core Insights - The year-end sales data for major automakers indicates a significant divergence in performance, with the typical "year-end tailwind" being weaker than in previous years. The phase-out of the "two-new" subsidy policies is contributing to a trend of slowing or declining sales growth [8][9]. - BYD's November sales were 480,000 units, down 5% year-on-year but up 9% month-on-month, primarily due to weaker domestic demand. Domestic sales were 348,000 units, down 27% year-on-year. Cumulative sales from January to November reached 4.18 million units, an 11% increase year-on-year [9][10]. - Geely's November sales reached 310,000 units, a 24% year-on-year increase, with cumulative sales of 2.79 million units, up 42% year-on-year, putting its annual target of 3 million units within reach. NEV sales for Geely in November were 188,000 units, a 53% year-on-year increase [9][10]. - Leapmotor exceeded 70,000 units in November, marking a 75% year-on-year increase, with cumulative deliveries reaching 536,000 units, surpassing its annual target ahead of schedule [10][11]. - Xiaomi Auto delivered over 40,000 units in November, maintaining this level for three consecutive months, and raised its full-year delivery outlook to over 400,000 units [12]. - Li Auto's November deliveries were 33,000 units, down 32% year-on-year, with cumulative deliveries of 362,000 units, an 18% decrease year-on-year [13]. - NIO's November sales were 36,000 units, a 76% year-on-year increase, but cumulative deliveries totaled 278,000 units, indicating challenges in achieving profitability in Q4 [14][15]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - BYD's November sales were 480,000 units, with domestic sales at 348,000 units, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline [9][10]. - Geely's sales performance showed strong growth, particularly in NEVs, with a notable increase in overseas exports [9][10]. - Leapmotor and Xiaomi Auto demonstrated robust sales growth, exceeding their targets [10][12]. Market Dynamics - The automotive market is experiencing a reshuffling of sales rankings, with leading new energy vehicle (NEV) players facing slowing growth [10][11]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with companies needing to balance volume and profitability as subsidies phase out [15].
六福集团(00590):FY2026 中报业绩点评:首次覆盖:定价首饰高增,加快海外拓展
Haitong Securities International· 2025-12-01 14:16
首次覆盖:定价首饰高增,加快海外拓展 六福集团(0590) 六福集团 FY2026 中报业绩点评 家庭及个人用品 [Table_Industry] 本报告导读: 定价首饰驱动同店销售持续改善,首次进驻越南市场。 投资要点: 金价上行及定价首饰占比提升驱动毛利率提升,费用率优化。 FY26H1 毛利率 34.7%/同比+2.0pct,受益金价上升及定价首饰占比提 升:FY26H1 克重黄金铂金销售额 40.96 亿港元/同比+11.0%,毛利率 30.3%/同比+2.8pct;定价首饰销售额 22.76 亿港元/同比+67.9%,毛 利率 36.8%/同比-0.5pct,冰钻等新品带动批发收入占比大幅增加。 其他亏损净额占收入 5.6%/同比+3.1pct,金价上涨导致黄金借贷未 变现亏损净额增加;销售费用率 16.3%/同比-1.5pct,行政费用率 2.7%/同比-0.8pct,受益经营杠杆。 风险提示:金价波动影响销量、开店不及预期、同店大幅下滑等。 | 财务摘要(百万港元) | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026E | FY2027E | FY2028E | | --- | --- | - ...
周大福(01929):1HFY26同店与ASP改善,管理层维持FY26收入指引
Haitong Securities International· 2025-12-01 14:03
[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 1 Dec 2025 寇媛媛 Yuanyuan Kou 陈芳园 Ashley Chen yy.kou@htisec.com ashley.fy.chen@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 事件:2025 年 11 月 26 日,周大福珠宝集团发布 2026 财年中期业绩报告并召开业绩会。 周大福 Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK) 1HFY26 同店与 ASP 改善,管理层维持 FY26 收入指引 Same-Store Sales and ASP Improve in 1HFY26, Management Maintains FY26 Revenue Guidance 1HFY26收入小幅承压,公司通过费用优化实现营运利润率与股东回报双稳健。周大福自FY2025起变更了会计准则, 在现行会计结构下,周大福的黄金借贷公允价值变动已从"销售成本"重分类至"其 ...
可选消费W48周度趋势解析:黑五开启拉动海外消费表现优异,A/h消费景气度有一定回升-20251201
Haitong Securities International· 2025-12-01 14:03
Market Performance - The Black Friday kickoff has significantly boosted overseas consumption, leading to a positive sentiment in the A/H-share consumer sectors[1] - Weekly performance of various sectors showed strong growth, with the gaming sector leading at 6.9%, followed by overseas sportswear at 6.8% and overseas cosmetics at 4.1%[11] - Year-to-date performance highlights jewelry as the top performer with a 133.9% increase, while overseas sportswear has seen a decline of 15.4%[11] Sector Analysis - The overseas sportswear sector is expected to have a PE ratio of 30.2x in 2025, which is 57% of the average PE over the past five years[15] - The domestic sportswear sector's expected PE is 14.7x, representing 77% of its historical average[15] - The gaming sector's expected PE is 17.2x, which is only 28% of its five-year average, indicating potential undervaluation[15] Company Highlights - Notable stock performances include Sands China up 11.2% and MGM China up 9.1%, driven by positive trends in Macau's gaming revenue[14] - Lululemon's stock surged by 9.5% due to strong demand for new winter apparel, with expectations for a positive Q3 2025 earnings report[14] - E.L.F. Beauty's stock rose by 8.7% following favorable analyst ratings and improved sales trends[14] Consumer Sentiment - The retail sector saw a 3.6% increase, with Walmart and Target benefiting from the Black Friday shopping season[14] - The luxury goods sector increased by 2.5%, supported by expectations of strong performance during the holiday shopping season despite high valuation levels[14] - Domestic cosmetics stocks rose by 2.2%, with significant growth reported by companies like Shiseido and Marubi[14]
京东健康(06618):25Q3收入和利润延续强劲增长趋势,盈利能力提升
Haitong Securities International· 2025-12-01 13:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for JD Health International [1][2][17]. Core Insights - JD Health International continues to show strong revenue and profit growth, with Q3 2025 revenue reaching RMB 17.12 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28.7%, and net profit of RMB 1.84 billion, up 97.2% year-on-year [3][13][14]. - The company has raised its full-year revenue growth guidance to approximately 22.0% from the previous 20.0%, and adjusted profit target to RMB 6.20 billion from RMB 5.60 billion, reflecting strong Q3 performance [4][15]. - The report highlights the company's effective marketing investments and improved bargaining power in the pharmaceutical category as key drivers of growth [14][16]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY 2025, revenue is projected to be RMB 71.05 billion, representing a 22.1% year-on-year growth, while adjusted profit is expected to be RMB 6.21 billion, a 30% increase [5][16]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve to 24.6% in FY 2025, with a net profit margin of 7.5% [10][16]. - The company’s DCF valuation predicts an equity value of HKD 227.44 billion, corresponding to a target share price of HKD 71.07, reflecting a 4.3% increase in target price [5][17].
波司登(03998):1H25公司主品牌拉动公司增长,其余业务同比收缩
Haitong Securities International· 2025-12-01 13:32
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state the investment rating for Bosideng International Holdings Core Insights - The principal brand of Bosideng drove growth in 1H25, while other business segments contracted year-on-year [1][3] - Total operating revenue for 1H25 was RMB 8.93 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.4%, with profit attributable to owners rising by 5.3% to RMB 1.19 billion [2][8] - The gross profit margin for 1H25 was 50.0%, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase of 0.2 percentage points but a decrease of 7.3 percentage points from the previous half-year [2][8] - The company optimized inventory turnover days to 178 days, down from 189 days in the same period last year [2][8] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from the Bosideng brand grew by 8.3% to RMB 6.57 billion, accounting for 73.6% of total revenue [3][9] - The ODM business saw a revenue decline of 11.7% year-on-year, while womenswear revenue decreased by 18.6% to RMB 250 million [3][9] - The diversified clothing business, primarily school uniforms, recorded a significant revenue drop of 45.3% to RMB 64 million [3][9] - Raw material sales revenue increased by 22.8% year-on-year, indicating strong demand in that segment [3][9] Operational Efficiency - The company employs a smart distribution center and integrated inventory management to enhance sales growth and manage inventory effectively [4][10] - The operational model allows for rapid response to market changes, contributing to a significant reduction in inventory turnover days [4][10] - AI technology is being utilized to drive apparel design and improve online operations, significantly reducing operational costs [4][10] Marketing Strategy - The company focuses on high-quality store openings in landmark commercial complexes to maximize brand exposure [5][12] - A refined operation model of "unique design per store, specific strategy per store" is being implemented [5][12] - During the Double Eleven shopping festival, the company achieved growth with lighter discounts, ranking first in several e-commerce platforms [5][12]