Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company, indicating a forecasted stock price increase of 5% to 15% relative to the industry index over the next six months [4]. Core Insights - The company has achieved a significant turnaround in net profit for 2024, with a reported net profit of 123 million yuan, compared to a loss of 811 million yuan in 2023. This improvement is attributed to strategic adjustments and the divestment of its CNC machine tool business [2][10]. - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 1.184 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 76.5%. The first quarter of 2025 shows continued strong performance with a revenue increase of 41.12% year-on-year [1][2]. - The GPU chip business is highlighted as a new growth area, with the company successfully entering the domestic GPU market through its subsidiary, Ruixin Tuxin, which has begun mass production of its BF2000 series GPU chips [9][10]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue**: The company expects revenues to grow from 671 million yuan in 2023 to 1.184 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 76.5% [1]. - **Net Profit**: The net profit is forecasted to improve from a loss of 811 million yuan in 2023 to a profit of 123 million yuan in 2024, with further increases expected in subsequent years [1][10]. - **Gross Margin**: The gross margin for 2024 is projected at 12.41%, up 5.42 percentage points year-on-year, while the first quarter of 2025 shows a gross margin of 27.64% [2]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is expected to rise from -0.80 yuan in 2023 to 0.12 yuan in 2024, with further growth anticipated in the following years [1][10]. Business Strategy and Developments - The company has successfully divested its CNC machine tool business, receiving 357 million yuan from the sale and recovering associated loans and dividends [3]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its product portfolio in the port machinery and photovoltaic sectors, with a strong order backlog of approximately 2 billion yuan as of the end of 2024 [3][10]. - The GPU chip segment is positioned to capitalize on the growing domestic market, with the company’s products already integrated into various applications across multiple industries [9][10].

Group 1: Overall Market Trends - The overall A-share market shows a recovery in revenue growth, with a year-on-year revenue growth rate of -0.18% for Q1 2025, and a positive growth of 0.65% for non-financial and non-oil sectors, indicating a significant improvement from the previous quarter [11][16] - The ChiNext board leads with a revenue growth rate of 7.89% in Q1 2025, maintaining positive growth since December 2022, while the STAR Market experiences a decline of 7.24% due to the downturn in the photovoltaic industry [11][16] - The net profit growth for the entire A-share market turns positive at 1.49% in Q1 2025, a recovery from -0.89% in Q4 2024, with the ChiNext board seeing a remarkable increase of 18.02% [11][16] Group 2: Sector Performance - The financial and real estate sectors show a divergence, with securities firms benefiting from capital market reforms, achieving a revenue growth of 22.08% and a net profit growth of 83%, while the banking sector faces pressure from narrowing net interest margins, resulting in a net profit growth slowdown to -1.20% [2][36] - The upstream materials sector demonstrates resilience, particularly in non-ferrous metals, with the gold sub-sector's net profit increasing by 37.9% driven by geopolitical risks and a weakening dollar [2][36] - The steel industry faces challenges with overcapacity, leading to a significant decline in profits for the rebar sector, while the plate sector benefits from equipment upgrade policies, showing a notable improvement in net profit growth [2][36] Group 3: Midstream Manufacturing and Consumer Trends - The midstream manufacturing sector experiences a "new and old momentum switch," with engineering machinery revenue increasing by 9.88% driven by domestic demand recovery, while exports face a decline of 4.24% [3][39] - The consumer sector reveals structural opportunities, with the home appliance sector benefiting from "trade-in" policies, achieving a net profit growth of 10.14% in Q1 2025 [3][39] - The TMT and AI sectors exhibit high investment characteristics, with the optical module sector seeing a net profit surge of 114.5% due to the global computing power competition [3][39] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - The report suggests a "defensive-flexible-aggressive" investment strategy, focusing on high-dividend banks, innovative pharmaceuticals, and AI computing hardware as key areas for investment [4][39]

Key Insights - The report highlights the ongoing "stagflation" risk in the US economy, with the first quarter of 2025 showing a contraction in GDP of -0.5%, indicating a technical recession, while core PCE inflation remains sticky at 3.5% [9] - The approval of the first stablecoin license for a Chinese brokerage firm signals a shift in regulatory stance towards stablecoins, emphasizing their strategic value for cross-border payments [9][8] - Xiaomi's YU7 model has seen overwhelming demand, with over 289,000 orders within an hour of launch, raising concerns about production capacity and potential legal risks in secondary markets [9][8] Industry Analysis Fluorochemicals - The quota system driven by policy has led to a rigid freeze on the production capacity of third-generation refrigerants, accelerating the exit of smaller players and allowing leading companies to gain pricing power, pushing refrigerant prices upward [17] - The supply of fluorite resources is constrained due to low extraction ratios and stricter environmental policies, further solidifying cost support [17] Innovative Pharmaceuticals - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is experiencing a phase of adjustment, primarily influenced by emotional factors and trading dynamics, with valuations returning to near five-year lows, presenting an entry opportunity for investors [18] - The export transaction volume of domestic innovative drugs reached $45.5 billion from January to May 2025, contributing positively to profits [18] Semiconductors - The semiconductor market is witnessing a recovery in risk appetite, with the AI industry chain potentially becoming a focal point again [18] - External technological restrictions and geopolitical risks are driving the localization of supply chains, with increasing domestic production rates for semiconductor equipment and materials [18]

Group 1: Mergers and Acquisitions Overview - During the period from June 23 to June 28, 2025, four listed companies announced new mergers and acquisitions, including Guotou Zhonglu, Shaoyang Hydraulic, Longyang Electronics, and Jianlong Micro-Nano, covering industries such as agriculture, machinery, electronics, and basic chemicals [1][6][9]. Group 2: Guotou Zhonglu - Guotou Zhonglu specializes in the production and sales of concentrated fruit and vegetable juices, with its main product being concentrated apple juice. The company operates on a B2B sales model and maintains long-term stable relationships with well-known beverage and food companies [1][6]. - The target company for this transaction is China Electronic Engineering Design Institute Co., Ltd., which has a registered capital of 9,242.74508 million yuan and was established on August 27, 1992 [1][6]. Group 3: Shaoyang Hydraulic - Shaoyang Hydraulic focuses on industrial transmission and high-end manufacturing, achieving domestic substitution of hydraulic products through independent research and technological innovation. In 2024, the R&D investment was 16,007,060.18 yuan, accounting for 4.56% of revenue [2][7]. - The company is planning to issue shares and pay cash to acquire a stake in Chongqing Xincheng Hangrui Technology Co., Ltd., which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring [2][7]. Group 4: Longyang Electronics - Longyang Electronics primarily deals with electromagnetic shielding materials, with stable and significantly growing revenue. The company has a concentrated customer base among high-end brands, ensuring strong order support [2][7]. - The company plans to acquire 100% of Suzhou Deyou New Material Technology Co., Ltd. through cash payment, with funding sourced from part of the raised funds and its own capital [2][7]. Group 5: Jianlong Micro-Nano - Jianlong Micro-Nano is engaged in the research, production, sales, and technical services of molecular sieve adsorbents and catalysts in various fields, including industrial gas separation and renewable resources [3][8]. - The company is planning to acquire at least 51% of Shanghai Hanxing Energy Technology Co., Ltd. through cash payment, aiming to create a closed-loop integration from material research and process design to end services [3][8].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 2025 年 06 月 30 日 非银行金融 十年期国债收益率在 1.65%附近波动，受公募新规等影响，保险板块有所 波动调整。2025 年一季度保险公司资金运用规模稳健增长，债券和股票占 比提升至近年来最高水平；权益投资入市步伐加快，股票重点加仓交运板块， 行业举牌热潮延续且集中在银行和公用事业板块。保险负债端总体表现平稳， 需要密切关注权益市场走势。 风险提示：中美摩擦加剧风险；中美利差持续倒挂风险；地缘政治加剧风 险；宏观经济下行风险；地产风险处理不及预期风险；股市系统性下跌 风险；监管趋严风险。 强于大市（维持评级） 关注稳定币牌照效应，市场风偏或有望提升-非银周观点 从近期市场交易定价看，基金 6 月 30 日的中报披露效应或显现，公募考核 新规基准回补效应持续引发市场关注，市场量能有所放大，两端哑铃缩圈策 略有所收敛，银行、保险板块高位波动，券商、多元金融板块波动走强，券 商量能放大显著。我们判断，步入 7 月份，国内外大事将迎来密集交织期， 或决定市场进一步走强的关键因素。短期来看，包括国泰君安国际获得稳定 币相关牌照，引发市场广泛关注。市场成交量近期有所回升，或对证 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yonghe Co., Ltd. [4] Core Views - The refrigerant market is entering a long-term prosperity cycle, with a focus on the company's fluorinated polymer materials and fine chemicals layout [1] - The company is expected to see stable revenue growth in 2024, driven by new production facilities coming online and rising refrigerant prices [2][3] - The demand for refrigerants is anticipated to increase due to the growth in air conditioning production, leading to a favorable supply-demand balance [9] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Yonghe Co., Ltd. are as follows: 2025 revenue is expected to be 56.81 billion yuan, 2026 at 64.18 billion yuan, and 2027 at 68.50 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.3%, 13.0%, and 6.7% respectively [11] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 5.83 billion yuan in 2025, 7.74 billion yuan in 2026, and 9.23 billion yuan in 2027, with significant growth rates of 132.0%, 32.7%, and 19.2% respectively [11] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 1.24 yuan in 2025 to 1.96 yuan in 2027 [11] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the revenue from fluorocarbon chemicals, fluorinated polymer materials, and chemical raw materials is expected to be 24.47 billion yuan, 15.81 billion yuan, and 4.36 billion yuan respectively [2] - The average selling prices for these products in 2024 are projected to be 2.37 million yuan/ton for fluorocarbon chemicals, 4.09 million yuan/ton for fluorinated polymer materials, and 0.18 million yuan/ton for chemical raw materials [2] Production Capacity and Projects - The company has new projects in fluorinated polymer materials and fine chemicals that are gradually coming online, which are expected to enhance competitiveness and open new revenue growth avenues [10] - By the end of 2024, the company will have a production capacity of 82,800 tons for fluorinated polymer materials and fine chemicals, with additional capacity under construction exceeding 30,000 tons [10]

Core Views - The report highlights that increased consumer subsidy policies across various regions are expected to stimulate market vitality and promote sustained terminal demand recovery [2][67] - The 618 shopping festival saw a 15% year-on-year increase in total e-commerce sales, indicating a shift towards a "long cycle + strong wave" promotional model [2][79] - Despite a temporary easing of global trade tensions, the textile manufacturing industry may still face impacts from potential future tariff escalations [2][99] Market Review - As of June 20, 2025, the textile and apparel industry has seen a slight increase of 0.12%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.36 percentage points [9] - The textile manufacturing sub-industry has decreased by 8.41%, while the accessories sub-industry has surged by 23.16%, significantly outperforming the market [10][9] Industry Overview - The report notes that consumer confidence has stabilized, with per capita GDP reaching 95,700 yuan in 2024, and a GDP growth rate of 5.0% [31][28] - Retail sales in May 2025 showed a significant increase, with total retail sales reaching 4,132.6 billion yuan, up 6.4% year-on-year [35] Mid-term Investment Strategy - The report emphasizes the importance of consumer subsidy policies and the gradual recovery of terminal demand, particularly in the brand apparel and home textile sectors [71][67] - Leading companies in the home textile sector, such as Luolai Life and Mercury Home Textile, are expected to benefit from ongoing subsidy policies [72] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Chao Hong Ji, Huali Group, Xingye Technology, Mercury Home Textile, Luolai Life, Semir Apparel, and Baoxiniang, focusing on companies with strong brand and product capabilities [2] Company Performance - In Q1 2025, the textile manufacturing sub-industry reported a revenue increase of 0.73% and a net profit increase of 11.38% [57] - Key companies like Chao Hong Ji and Huali Group have shown significant stock price increases of 151.80% and 12.34% respectively [16][66] Global Trade Dynamics - The report indicates that while the recent tariff conflicts have eased, the textile manufacturing industry remains vulnerable to future trade tensions [99] - Companies with high export ratios, such as Huali Group and Bailong Oriental, have established overseas production capacities to mitigate tariff impacts [99][102]

证券研究报告 | 行业动态点评 2025 年 06 月 26 日 通信 事件：2025 年 6 月 24 日，根据财联社消息，特斯拉 Robotaxi 在德克萨斯州 奥斯汀正式上线，特斯拉仅初步部署了约 10 辆 Robotaxi，并且出租车服务仅 向部分受到邀请的社媒名人开放，行驶范围也有限制。 强于大市（维持评级） 行业走势 FSD 助力特斯拉 Robotaxi 迅速迭代，Robotaxi 仍需面临监管壁垒。综合 来看，我们将此次特斯拉 Robotaxi 上线后的表现总结为四大特点。第一，基 于 FSD 架构，用户体验相对较好：此次特斯拉 Robotaxi 上线后，根据机器 之心，使用者反馈表示，大部分时间下，特斯拉 Robotaxi 表现平稳正常，能 够应对日常城市驾驶中的调头、减速带、行人和施工等情境，车速控制在每 小时 40 英里以下。根据汽车之心，此次试运营 Model Y 车型已搭载下一代 FSD，模型参数量是现有模型的 4.5 倍，目前算法仍在优化阶段，预计今年 晚些时候可以正式推送。第二，此次特斯拉 Robotaxi 上线展示具备多方面 限制条件：特斯拉分别在测试人群、上线测试汽车数量、测试 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [4] Core Insights - Continuous introduction of hydrogen energy policies and gradual advancement of pilot projects are observed. The report suggests focusing on companies involved in the bidding for electrolyzers, those capable of hydrogen transportation, and heavy-duty hydrogen vehicle manufacturers [2][37]. Summary by Sections 1. Hydrogen Industry Market Performance - As of June 20, 2025, the hydrogen energy index closed at 2022.52 points, with a weekly decline of -1.23% and a year-to-date increase of 13.83%. The hydrogen energy index ranks 40th among the Shenwan secondary industry rankings, improving by 2 places from the previous week [9][12]. 2. Hydrogen Industry Data Review 2.1 Electrolyzer Data Review - By June 20, 2025, there have been 26 cumulative bidding projects for electrolyzers in China, primarily alkaline and PEM types. A notable project involves a 200kW AEM electrolyzer system, which is the largest single-cell AEM system currently in practical production [16][17]. 2.2 FCV Related Data Review - In May 2025, the production of fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) added 250 units, a decrease of 26.90% month-on-month, while sales added 165 units, down 49.70%. Cumulatively, from January to May 2025, production reached 1176 units, a year-on-year decrease of 25.00% [19][22]. 3. Industry Dynamics and Company Developments 3.1 Industry Dynamics - The first national hydrogen vehicle quality inspection center has been put into operation, covering the entire hydrogen energy industry chain. Multiple regions, including Beijing, Hebei, and Sichuan, have initiated hydrogen energy pilot project applications [32][33]. 3.2 Company Developments - Meijin Energy's carbon paper project has completed its A-round financing, marking a significant technological breakthrough in the gas diffusion layer field. Tianhai Hydrogen has secured the first batch order for 8-450L IV type hydrogen storage bottles, achieving significant advancements in storage technology [35][36].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next six months [4]. Core Views - The official production of the Daya Bay project is expected to contribute significantly to the company's performance growth, with a focus on expanding its fine chemical segment [1]. - The company has established a cost advantage in obtaining ethylene oxide, which is crucial for its production, particularly in light of rising costs due to international conflicts and tariffs [2]. - Despite facing short-term profit pressures due to stable volumes and declining prices, the company is anticipated to gradually recover its profitability as production capacity utilization improves [3][8]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to decline from 761 million yuan in 2023 to 675 million yuan in 2024, before rebounding to 967 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 43.2% [1]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decrease from 86 million yuan in 2023 to 49 million yuan in 2024, then recover to 55 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 11.9% [1]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to improve from 2.9% in 2024 to 6.7% by 2027 [1]. Production and Market Position - The Daya Bay project includes the production of various chemical products, which will enhance the company's product line and optimize its structure, leading to improved profitability [1]. - The company has secured a framework agreement with CNOOC Shell to obtain ethylene oxide, which will bolster its upstream supply chain and reduce transportation costs [2]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 55 million yuan, 95 million yuan, and 120 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 12%, 73%, and 27% [8]. - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 47, 27, and 21 times, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend as profitability improves [8].