Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][47][48] Core Views - The company has shown robust growth in the first half of 2025, with revenue and net profit increasing by 8.09% and 14.18% respectively, driven by strong performance in integrated circuit testing and emerging field services [1][3] - The company is expected to benefit from the domestic high-end testing equipment localization trend and the rigid demand in sectors such as new energy vehicles, integrated circuits, and aerospace [3][47] - The estimated reasonable valuation range for the company is between 18.98 and 21.09 yuan, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 2.89, 3.58, and 4.34 billion yuan respectively [3][46][47] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue and net profit were 991 million and 117 million yuan, with gross and net profit margins at 41.88% and 13.51% respectively [1] - For Q2 2025, revenue and net profit reached 561 million and 76 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 18.39% and 26.14% [1] - The company’s revenue from testing equipment, environmental and reliability testing services, and integrated circuit verification and analysis services for the first half of 2025 were 310 million, 487 million, and 155 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 6.32%, 5.75%, and 21.01% [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 22.95 billion, 25.96 billion, and 29.24 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 13.34%, 13.11%, and 12.65% [21][30] - The forecasted net profits for the same period are 2.89 billion, 3.58 billion, and 4.34 billion yuan, with growth rates of 25.81%, 23.88%, and 21.42% [30][46] Valuation Metrics - The company’s estimated PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 29, 23, and 19 respectively [3][46] - The estimated PB ratio for 2025 is 2.9, which is below the average of comparable companies [40][48] - The company’s historical PE valuation has fluctuated, with a current level above 29, indicating potential for further valuation recovery [43][45]

Economic Indicators - July 2025 domestic CPI is expected to be approximately 0.5% month-on-month, with a year-on-year rate remaining at 0.1%[3] - July PPI is projected to be around 0.1% month-on-month, with a year-on-year increase to -3.3%[3] - Industrial added value is expected to slightly decline to 6.3% year-on-year in July[3] - Retail sales of consumer goods are anticipated to rise to 5.0% year-on-year in July[3] - Fixed asset investment is forecasted to decrease slightly to 2.5% year-on-year cumulative[3] - Exports in dollar terms are expected to continue a slight increase to around 6.0% year-on-year[3] Financial Metrics - Trade surplus for July is projected at $1,002 million, down from $1,148 million[4] - Monthly credit increment is expected to be 2,900 million yuan, significantly lower than the previous 22,400 million yuan[4] - Total social financing monthly increment is forecasted at 16,000 million yuan, down from 41,993 million yuan[4] - M2 year-on-year growth rate is expected to remain stable at 8.3%[4]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the US dollar bond market is "Underperform" [1] - The investment rating for the US stock market is "Underperform - Maintained" [5] Core Viewpoints - The US non - farm data is weak, and the expectation of an interest rate cut within the year has increased. The Fed's internal disagreement on interest rate cuts has intensified, and the US economic outlook is not optimistic due to factors such as insufficient domestic demand, low corporate investment willingness, and trade policy uncertainties [1][2] - In the context of increasing divergence in Fed policies, differentiated economic data, and falling interest rates, the short - term risk - aversion sentiment in the US bond market has increased. It is recommended that investors maintain medium - and short - duration US dollar bonds as the core allocation [4] Summary by Directory US Treasury Benchmark Interest Rates - The report presents figures related to 2 - year and 10 - year US Treasury yields, the yield curve, bid - to - cover ratios for various maturities, issuance winning bid rates for 2 - 30 year US Treasuries, monthly issuance amounts, and the implied number of interest rate cuts in the federal funds rate futures market [14][22][24] US Macroeconomic and Liquidity - The US GDP grew by 3% year - on - year in Q2, but there are hidden dangers. Private consumption growth was only 0.98%, corporate investment showed negative growth, net exports were mainly due to reduced imports, government contribution was almost zero, and inflation pressure persisted [2] - The July non - farm employment data was far lower than expected, with new employment dropping to 73,000, the lowest in 9 months, and the previous values were significantly revised down by 258,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, the labor participation rate dropped to 62.2%, and the year - on - year hourly wage increase rose to 3.9% [3] Exchange Rates - The report shows figures on the one - year trend of non - US currencies, the two - week changes in non - US currencies, the Sino - US sovereign bond spread, the relationship between the US dollar index and the 10 - year US Treasury yield, the relationship between the US dollar index and the RMB index, and the one - year locked - in exchange cost change of the US dollar against the RMB [60][62][64] Overseas US Dollar Bonds - Figures on the price trends of US dollar bonds, US - EU comprehensive US dollar bonds, global investment - grade US dollar bonds, and the price trends of global high - yield US dollar bonds and Chinese domestic bonds are presented, as well as the two - week return comparison of the global bond market [67][71][73] Chinese - Issued US Dollar Bonds - The report shows the return trends of Chinese - issued US dollar bonds since 2023 (by grade and industry), the yield and spread trends of investment - grade and high - yield Chinese - issued US dollar bonds, the two - week returns (by grade and industry), the net financing amount trend, and the maturity scale of each sector [90][84][91] Rating Actions - In the past two weeks, the three major international rating agencies took 8 rating actions on Chinese - issued US dollar bond issuers, including 2 downgrades, 3 rating revocations, and 3 initial ratings [93]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [5][4]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector has shown stronger performance compared to the overall market, with a 2.95% increase in the biopharmaceutical sector while the total A-share market declined by 1.01% [28]. - The report highlights significant advancements in Alzheimer's disease treatments presented at the 2025 AAIC conference, including promising data from various clinical trials [11][25]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the pharmaceutical sector is 39.10x, which is at the 80.69th percentile of its historical valuation over the past five years [33]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The overall A-share market decreased by 1.01%, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.75% and the ChiNext Index down 0.74%. In contrast, the biopharmaceutical sector increased by 2.95% [28]. - Within the biopharmaceutical sector, chemical pharmaceuticals rose by 5.01%, while medical devices saw a slight decline of 0.07% [28]. Clinical Research Updates - Roche's Trontinemab, a new generation Aβ antibody, demonstrated a 91% clearance rate of Aβ plaques in high-dose groups during Phase 1b/2a trials, with a low incidence of ARIA-E side effects [2][17]. - The report emphasizes the strategic focus of international pharmaceutical companies on Alzheimer's treatments, with FDA approvals for Biogen/Easai's Lecanemab and Lilly's Donanemab [25]. Company Earnings Forecasts - Major companies in the sector, such as Mindray Medical and WuXi AppTec, are projected to maintain strong earnings growth, with P/E ratios expected to decrease over the next few years [4]. - Mindray Medical is highlighted for its robust international expansion and product upgrades, while WuXi AppTec is noted for its comprehensive drug development services [37][38]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends several companies, including Mindray Medical, WuXi AppTec, and Aier Eye Hospital, citing their strong market positions and growth potential in the pharmaceutical and medical services sectors [37][38].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media industry [5][39]. Core Views - The media sector has shown a positive performance with a 1.11% increase, outperforming both the CSI 300 (-1.75%) and the ChiNext Index (-0.74%) during the week [12][39]. - The report highlights the significant box office performance during the summer season, with total box office exceeding 60 billion yuan, led by the film "Nanjing Photo Studio" [2][19]. - The report emphasizes the upward trend in the performance cycle, particularly in AI applications and IP-driven products, suggesting a favorable outlook for the industry [4][39]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector's performance for the week (July 28 - August 1) was an increase of 1.11%, ranking third among all sectors [12][14]. - Notable gainers included Guomai Culture, Yidian Tianxia, Shanghai Film, and Beijing Culture, while losers included Lansheng Co., Xinhua Media, and ST Fanli [12][39]. Key Highlights - ChinaJoy opened with high attendance, featuring 743 participating companies, of which 31.8% were foreign [2][18]. - The gaming sector is highlighted with the release of new AI functionalities and models, such as Grok's "Imagine" feature and Kimi K2 Turbo, which significantly improved output speed [2][16][17]. - The report tracks significant box office data, with "Nanjing Photo Studio" leading with a box office of 10.23 billion yuan, accounting for 62.9% of the total for the week [3][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as gaming, advertising media, and film, with specific stock recommendations including Kaiying Network, Giant Network, and Yaoji Technology [4][39]. - It also highlights the potential in high-dividend, low-valuation state-owned publishing sectors and the growing demand for IP-driven products and AI applications [4][39]. Company Earnings Forecasts - Key companies such as Kaiying Network, Fenzhong Media, and Mango Super Media are rated as "Outperform" with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth for 2025 and 2026 [5][42].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hikvision (002415.SZ) is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company's main products and services have seen a year-on-year increase in gross margin, indicating a shift towards high-quality development. In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 41.818 billion yuan (YoY +1.48%) and a net profit of 5.657 billion yuan (YoY +11.71%) with a gross margin of 45.19% (YoY +0.35pct) [1] - Despite a decline in domestic revenue, the company has implemented a tiered management approach to product lines, resulting in a significant improvement in gross margin for its main products and services, which reached 48.52% (YoY +2.19pct) [2] - The overseas and innovative businesses continue to grow, accounting for approximately 57% of total revenue in 1H25, with overseas revenue increasing by 6.9% YoY and innovative business revenue rising by 13.92% YoY [3] - The company is expected to benefit from long-term growth driven by operational improvements and industry intelligence, with adjusted profit forecasts for 2025-2027 reflecting a slight increase in gross margin and a decrease in expense ratio [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company reported a revenue of 41.818 billion yuan and a net profit of 5.657 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 45.19% [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 23.286 billion yuan (YoY -0.45%) and a net profit of 3.619 billion yuan (YoY +14.94%, QoQ +77.5%) [1] - The company’s domestic main business revenue was 17.821 billion yuan in 1H25, down 8.33% YoY, but the gross margin improved significantly [2] Business Segments - The company’s overseas revenue in 1H25 was 12.231 billion yuan, up 6.9% YoY, while innovative business revenue reached 11.766 billion yuan, up 13.92% YoY [3] - The innovative business includes segments such as Hikvision Robotics and Hikvision Automotive Electronics, which have shown substantial growth [3] Profit Forecasts - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 13.523 billion yuan, 14.868 billion yuan, and 16.872 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 19.9, 18.1, and 15.9 [4][5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the food and beverage industry is "Outperform the Market" [4][5][76]. Core Views - The industry is entering the mid-year performance reporting period, with a focus on structural opportunities within the sector [10]. - In the liquor segment, there is a slight decline in high-end liquor prices during the off-season, and attention is drawn to mid-year performance [10][11]. - The beer and beverage sectors are entering a peak season, with stable performance from leading companies in basic condiments [13][18]. - The report emphasizes the importance of consumer engagement and market health for liquor companies, with a shift towards internationalization and youth-oriented strategies [12][10]. Summary by Sections Liquor - The liquor sector saw a 2.4% decline this week, with high-end liquor prices slightly dropping [12][11]. - Key companies are focusing on cultural engagement and market health, with initiatives like the opening of cultural experience centers by Kweichow Moutai [10]. - Recommended stocks include Kweichow Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye, which have demonstrated strong risk resilience [12][10]. Consumer Goods - The beer sector is experiencing a slight decrease in fund holdings, with Yanjing Beer seeing an increase in its fund holding ratio [13]. - The snack sector has seen a significant increase in fund holdings, particularly in companies like Yanjing and Wancheng Group [14]. - The condiment sector is expected to perform steadily, with a focus on mid-year performance windows [15]. Frozen Foods - Companies are actively developing new products during the off-season, with a long-term benefit from industrialization [16]. - Recommended companies include Anjijia and Qianwei Central Kitchen, which are focusing on stable operations and product innovation [16]. Dairy Products - The dairy sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in demand, with supply adjustments leading to improved conditions in 2025 [17]. - The report suggests positioning in leading dairy companies that have a safety margin in valuations [17]. Beverages - The beverage sector is entering a peak season, with significant performance differentiation among leading companies [18]. - Recommended stocks include Nongfu Spring and Dongpeng Beverage, which are accelerating national expansion and platform development [18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media industry [5][39]. Core Views - The media sector has shown a positive performance with a 1.11% increase, outperforming both the CSI 300 (-1.75%) and the ChiNext Index (-0.74%) during the week of July 28 to August 1 [12][39]. - The report highlights the significant box office performance during the summer season, with total box office revenue surpassing 60 billion yuan, led by the film "Nanjing Photo Studio" [2][19]. - The report emphasizes the upward trend in the performance cycle, particularly in AI applications and IP (Intellectual Property) trends, suggesting a favorable outlook for these areas in the medium to long term [4][39]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector's performance ranked third among all sectors for the week, with notable gains from companies like Guomai Culture, Yidian Tianxia, Shanghai Film, and Beijing Culture [12][14]. - The report notes that the top three films for the week were "Nanjing Photo Studio" (1.023 billion yuan, 62.9% market share), "Xitai" (144 million yuan, 8.8% market share), and "Lychee of Chang'an" (124 million yuan, 7.6% market share) [3][19]. Key Developments - The report mentions the opening of ChinaJoy, with 743 companies registered, including a 31.8% foreign participation rate, indicating strong interest in the gaming and digital entertainment sectors [2][18]. - New AI features and products were highlighted, including Grok's new video generation capability and the release of Kimi K2 Turbo, which significantly increased output speed [2][16][17]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as gaming, advertising media, and film, with specific stock recommendations including Kaiying Network, Giant Network, and Yaoji Technology for gaming; Focus Media and Bilibili for media; and Wanda Film and Huace Film for film content [4][39]. - The report also emphasizes the potential of high-dividend, low-valuation state-owned publishing companies and the growing demand for IP-driven products, recommending companies like Pop Mart and Zhejiang Wenlian [4][39].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][7][8] Core Views - The company is a global leader in the relay industry, continuously increasing its global market share and achieving steady growth in performance. The report maintains the original profit forecast, expecting the company to achieve net profits of 1.939 billion, 2.121 billion, and 2.339 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 19%, 9%, and 10% respectively [3][7]. Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 8.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 964 million yuan, up 14.2% year-on-year. The gross margin was 34.2%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin remained flat at 15.3% [3][4]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.5%. The net profit for Q2 was 550 million yuan, up 13% year-on-year and 35% quarter-on-quarter. The gross margin for Q2 was 34.6%, up 0.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, and the net margin was 16.8%, up 3.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3][4]. Business Segment Performance - The high-voltage direct current relay segment is expected to contribute a revenue growth rate of 35%-40% year-on-year in 2025, driven by the high demand in the new energy vehicle industry. The company currently holds a global market share of over 40% in this segment [4][5]. - The traditional relay segment is also expected to grow steadily, with household appliance relays projected to see a year-on-year shipment increase of 5%-10% in 2025. The new energy storage relay segment is anticipated to maintain a year-on-year growth rate of 35%-40% due to strong domestic and overseas demand [5]. - The automotive relay segment is expected to grow by 15%-20% year-on-year in 2025, benefiting from the rapid growth of the new energy vehicle industry and an increase in market share [5]. New Product Development - The company is promoting the development of new product categories, including low-voltage electrical appliances, film capacitors, connectors, current sensors, and fuses. Some of these products have already begun to be applied in various downstream applications and have passed certification, indicating potential for sustained growth in the future [6].

证券研究报告 | 2025年08月04日 金盘科技（688676.SH） 优于大市 国常会审议通过《关于深入实施"人工智能+"行动的意见》， 制造业企业数字化转型带来新发展机遇 |  公司研究·公司快评 | |  | 电力设备·电网设备  | 投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 王蔚祺 | 010-88005313 | wangweiqi2@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980520080003 | | 证券分析师： | 王晓声 | 010-88005231 | wangxiaosheng@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980523050002 | 事项： 事件：7 月 31 日，国务院总理李强主持召开国务院常务会议，审议通过《关于深入实施"人工智能+"行 动的意见》。会议指出，要深入实施"人工智能+"行动，大力推进人工智能规模化商业化应用，推动人 工智能在经济社会发展各领域加快普及、深度融合，形成以创新带应用、以应用促创新的良性循环；要着 力优化人工智能创新生态，强化算力、算法和数据供给， ...