证券研究报告 | 2025年08月04日 金盘科技（688676.SH） 优于大市 国常会审议通过《关于深入实施"人工智能+"行动的意见》， 制造业企业数字化转型带来新发展机遇 |  公司研究·公司快评 | |  | 电力设备·电网设备  | 投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 王蔚祺 | 010-88005313 | wangweiqi2@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980520080003 | | 证券分析师： | 王晓声 | 010-88005231 | wangxiaosheng@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980523050002 | 事项： 事件：7 月 31 日，国务院总理李强主持召开国务院常务会议，审议通过《关于深入实施"人工智能+"行 动的意见》。会议指出，要深入实施"人工智能+"行动，大力推进人工智能规模化商业化应用，推动人 工智能在经济社会发展各领域加快普及、深度融合，形成以创新带应用、以应用促创新的良性循环；要着 力优化人工智能创新生态，强化算力、算法和数据供给， ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the CXO industry is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - The CXO index has increased by over 50% in the past year due to the easing of geopolitical risks, recovery in investment, and the digestion of high pandemic baselines [2] - Chinese CXO companies are analyzed from short-term, medium-term, and long-term perspectives to understand their global competitiveness [2] - Major players in the large molecule CDMO sector include WuXi Biologics and WuXi AppTec, with over 70% of their revenue coming from overseas [2] - The small molecule CDMO sector shows strong recovery in domestic companies, with significant order growth and a favorable competitive landscape [2] - Clinical and preclinical CROs are currently in an adjustment phase, with domestic order prices stabilizing but showing no significant recovery [2] Summary by Sections Large Molecule CDMO - Short-term performance shows high growth with competition from Japan, South Korea, and Europe [2] - Medium-term order growth is led by South Korean companies like Samsung Biologics, indicating intense competition for Chinese firms [2] - Long-term capital expenditures remain high, reflecting confidence in future demand [2] Small Molecule CDMO - Domestic companies are recovering from pandemic-related performance dips, with overall growth expected in 2025 [2] - Order growth is robust, with WuXi AppTec's orders increasing by 47% year-on-year by the end of 2024 [2] - Long-term capital expenditures show divergence, with some leaders like WuXi AppTec expected to continue increasing investments [2] Clinical/Preclinical CRO - Both domestic and international CROs are in an adjustment period, with 2022-2023 investment cooling reflected in 2024 performance [2] - Medium-term order volumes and values are beginning to show growth, while international orders remain stable [2] - Long-term capital expenditures vary among companies, indicating potential supply-demand mismatches in the short term [2] Emerging Business Opportunities - Rapid development in new molecular businesses such as peptides and oligonucleotides is expected to open up growth opportunities in the CXO sector [3] - Generic drug CROs are actively pursuing innovative transformations to seek new growth points [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the food and beverage industry is "Outperform the Market" [4][5][80]. Core Views - The industry is entering the mid-year performance reporting period, with a focus on structural opportunities within the sector [11]. - The liquor segment is experiencing slight price declines for high-end products during the off-season, with attention on mid-year performance [12][13]. - The beer and beverage sectors are entering a peak season, with stable performance from leading companies in basic condiments [14][15]. - The report emphasizes the importance of consumer engagement and market health for liquor companies, with a shift towards internationalization and youth-oriented strategies [13][19]. Summary by Sections Liquor - The high-end liquor prices have slightly decreased, with a focus on mid-year performance [11]. - Major companies like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye are expanding their cultural and consumer engagement strategies [11][12]. - The report suggests three investment themes: resilient market leaders, companies showing digital transformation benefits, and those with market share growth potential [13]. Consumer Goods - The beer sector is seeing a slight decrease in fund holdings, with a focus on Yanjing Beer for internal reforms [14]. - The snack sector has seen an increase in fund holdings, particularly in Yanjing and Wancheng Group [15]. - The condiment sector is expected to perform steadily, with a focus on mid-year performance windows [16]. Frozen Foods - Companies are actively developing new products during the off-season, benefiting from industrialization trends [17]. Dairy Products - The dairy sector is experiencing a stable recovery in demand, with supply adjustments leading to improved conditions for 2025 [18]. Beverages - The beverage sector is entering a peak season, with significant performance differentiation among leading companies [19].

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 2.8% in July, while the Nasdaq Internet Index increased by 3.7% during the same period [1][13] - Notable stock performances included Kuaishou, Weimob, and Kingdee International in Hong Kong, and Nvidia, Google, and Microsoft in the US [1][16] - The PE-TTM for the Hang Seng Tech Index was 21.46x, slightly up from the previous month, placing it at the 20.31% percentile since inception [1][20] - The Nasdaq Index's PE-TTM remained stable at 41.18x, positioned at the 67.95% percentile over the last decade [1][21] AI Developments - Google launched Gemini 2.5 stable version and upgraded its video generation tool Veo3, enhancing AI capabilities in video production [2][24] - OpenAI introduced Record Mode for ChatGPT, allowing for automated meeting transcriptions [2][30] - Meta acquired PlayAI to strengthen its voice AI capabilities and launched the AU-Nets architecture for improved text modeling [2][32][33] - Microsoft released the Deep Research AI agent, automating research processes across various fields [2][34] Industry Dynamics - The gaming sector saw a significant increase in game approvals, with 127 domestic games approved in July, marking a recovery trend [2][51] - Payment institutions' reserve funds rose by 6.14% year-on-year in June, indicating growth in the fintech sector [2][53] - E-commerce platforms like Douyin have implemented policies that saved merchants over 14 billion yuan in costs in the first half of the year [2][56] - Local life services saw Meituan and Taobao's flash sales surpassing 150 million daily orders, reflecting strong consumer demand [2][59] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies benefiting from AI advancements, such as Tencent, Alibaba, Meitu, Kuaishou, NetEase Cloud Music, and Tencent Music [3][4] - The competitive landscape in the e-commerce sector remains intense, with platforms increasing investments in instant retail to capture new growth [3]

Group 1: Macro and Strategy - The macroeconomic indicators are showing stable performance, with the real estate sector performing relatively well [11][13] - The chemical industry is undergoing a restructuring process to optimize capacity and reshape pricing ecology due to intense competition [16][17] - The fixed income market is experiencing fluctuations, with a slight rebound observed in the long-term bond market [8][10] Group 2: Industry Insights - The electric power equipment and new energy sector is benefiting from increased AI investments by North American cloud service providers, with strong demand for data center infrastructure [15] - The petrochemical industry is facing challenges from excessive competition, leading to a decline in profit margins, prompting regulatory measures to address these issues [16][17] - The oil and gas sector is witnessing a slight increase in oil prices, with Brent crude averaging $69.4 per barrel in July, while the industry is also assessing outdated production capacities [24][25] Group 3: Company Analysis - Companies like Ningde Times are seeing rapid growth in energy storage battery shipments, while Jinbei Electric is performing well in its electromagnetic wire business [3] - The chemical sector is focusing on companies that maintain cash flow despite losses, such as those in the cement and chemical industries [14][21] - Investment recommendations include companies like Hubei Yihua in the fertilizer sector and China Petroleum in the refining sector, which are expected to benefit from supply-side reforms [20][27]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [3][5]. Core Insights - The overseas investment banks are increasingly participating in digital finance, with emerging models continuously surfacing. The focus is on the issuance and trading of digital assets, particularly Real World Assets (RWA), which signify a transformation of traditional investment banking into the digital finance realm. The RWA market has grown from approximately $5 billion in 2022 to about $25.2 billion by July 2025, indicating a shift from experimental stages to large-scale promotion [1][12]. - The RWA market is projected to reach $16 trillion by 2030, accounting for about 10% of global GDP, driven by factors such as rising global interest rates, institutional involvement in crypto assets, and improving regulatory policies [1][17]. Summary by Sections RWA: Bridging On-chain Funds and Real Assets - RWA represents tangible or traditional financial assets on blockchain networks, enhancing liquidity and enabling fractional ownership, thus democratizing access to previously high-barrier investments [12][16]. - The RWA market has seen rapid growth, with a total market size reaching $25.4 billion by mid-2025, driven by technological advancements and traditional financial institutions' involvement [12][13]. RWA Token Types and Development Momentum - The RWA token landscape includes various types, with U.S. Treasury tokens being a significant category due to their low-risk profile and established legal framework. The market for tokenized U.S. Treasuries grew from $100 million in January 2023 to $6.74 billion by July 2025 [22][23]. - Private credit tokens have emerged as the largest segment within RWA, with a market size of $15 billion as of July 2025, driven by their high yield and low correlation with other asset classes [27][28]. - Commodity tokens, particularly gold tokens, dominate the commodity tokenization market, which reached $1.75 billion by July 2025 [31][32]. Stock Tokens: Comparison of Tokenization Models - Stock tokenization is rapidly evolving, with platforms like Robinhood and xStocks offering different models. Robinhood's model is based on derivative contracts, while xStocks provides direct ownership representation through compliant third-party custodians [39][50]. - The largest stock token, EXOD, represents a company specializing in crypto wallets, with a market cap of approximately $277.1 million [41]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that Robinhood's approach to virtual asset-related business could serve as a reference for Chinese brokerage firms entering this space. The rapid development of RWA may catalyze further market activity in the brokerage sector, indicating potential for significant returns [3][4].

Group 1 - The core conclusion is that high-quality cyclical stocks are expected to show a fundamental turning point, which is key to their potential for excess returns. Currently, banks with a high proportion of retail exposure are still under pressure, but signs indicate that the pressure on quality stocks is easing. This is due to the gradual clearance of retail non-performing loans and the expectation that net interest margins will stabilize first [3][5][29] - The report predicts that the retail non-performing loan generation for listed banks will remain high until the second half of 2026, but quality banks are expected to clear their non-performing loans ahead of the industry. For quality regional banks with strong risk management capabilities, the turning point for retail non-performing loans may be approaching [3][8][18] - The net interest margin for some quality regional banks is expected to stabilize first due to a noticeable narrowing in the decline of new loan interest rates and the high proportion of long-term savings deposits, which provides greater room for optimization [3][22][29] Group 2 - The macro narrative of anti-involution is strengthening, and long-term economic optimism is increasing, which enhances the winning probability of cyclical stocks. Although the current economic fundamentals remain weak, the long-term optimistic expectations have been reinforced. The report suggests that further demand-side policies are needed to translate expectations into reality, which is a significant factor in recent market adjustments [4][27][29] - The report recommends selecting undervalued high-quality cyclical stocks for excess returns in the second half of the year, while high-dividend stocks still hold significant value but are unlikely to yield excess returns. The performance of individual stocks is expected to diverge, making stock selection crucial [29][31] - The report highlights specific banks such as Ningbo Bank, Changshu Bank, Changsha Bank, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, and China Merchants Bank as key recommendations for investors looking for quality cyclical stocks with potential for early recovery in fundamentals [29][31]

证券研究报告 | 2025年08月03日 转债市场周报 转债进入强股性区间，风险与机遇并存 核心观点 固定收益周报 上周市场焦点（7 月 28 日-8 月 1 日） 上周转债个券多数收跌，中证转债指数全周-1.37%，价格中位数-1.22%， 我们计算的算术平均平价全周-1.00%，全市场转股溢价率与上周相比 +0.09%。个券层面，奇正（创新药）、东杰（实控人或变更）、天路（雅 下水电概念）、景 23（PCB）、海波（桥梁钢结构工程）转债涨幅靠前； 大禹（雅下水电概念&已公告强赎）、亿田（算力概念）、应急（军工& 已公告强赎）、奥飞（数据中心）、宏丰（合金材料&已公告强赎）转 债跌幅靠前。 观点及策略（8 月 4 日-8 月 8 日） 转债进入强股性区间风险与机遇并存，警惕三方面风险（小盘股/债市 压力/条款乐观定价），挖掘三类机会（反内卷/正股成长高波/红利）： 7 月沪指站上 3600 点，转债平均平价站上 110 元，市场价格中位数大于 130 元，均处于 2010 年来 90%、2023 年以来 100%分位数，转债资产已 进入强股性区间；随着债底保护下降，估值进一步提升，我们认为后续 续警惕三类风 ...

Group 1: Overseas Technology Mapping - OpenAI released ChatGPT Agent, a general-purpose AI agent with end-to-end interaction capabilities, scoring 41.6% in HLE tests [2][8] - xAI launched the Grok-4 model, claiming it to be the "smartest AI in the world," achieving a score of 44.4% in HLE tests, with an optimized strategy reaching a new record of 50.7% [2][13] - The U.S. "Genius Act" was signed into law, establishing a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins, emphasizing transparency and limiting issuance to banks [2][14] Group 2: Domestic Hot Topics - The Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project commenced with a total investment of 1.2 trillion yuan, equivalent to 12 Qinghai-Tibet railways, aiming to support new productive forces through "computing power + electricity" synergy [2][29] - The 11th batch of drug procurement rules was innovated, breaking the "lowest price bidding" logic with an "N-3" bidding mechanism [2][34] - JD.com launched the JoyAgent intelligent agent, the first fully open-source enterprise-level product in the industry, with over 20,000 internal deployments [2][37] Group 3: Policy Focus - The "Childcare Subsidy Implementation Plan" was released, providing 3,600 yuan per child annually starting from 2025 [2][58] - The draft amendment to the "Price Law of the People's Republic of China" was issued, targeting "involution" low-price dumping and bundling sales [2][61]

Global Market Overview - The global markets experienced a general decline in the week from July 28 to August 1, 2025, with the US stock market falling across the board, particularly the Dow Jones Industrial Average. European markets, led by Germany and France, also saw significant drops, while the UK showed relative resilience. The Asia-Pacific region weakened overall, with notable declines in Japan and South Korea, and significant losses in Hong Kong stocks [2][8]. - Valuation adjustments were observed, with the German DAX expanding its PE ratio by 1.42x, maintaining a high percentile. The French CAC40 dropped by 3.68%, with a corresponding PE reduction of 1.23x. Most Hong Kong indices, except for the Hang Seng Tech Index, remained at high valuation percentiles over the past three years [2][8]. A-share Market Analysis - The A-share market saw a broad decline in core indices, with a moderate contraction in valuations during the same week. The National Index 2000 and the CSI 1000 showed relative resilience with declines of only -0.19% and -0.54%, respectively, while the CSI 100 experienced a significant drop of -2.15%. Growth and value indices faced pressure, with large-cap growth down by 2.58% and mid-cap value down by 2.57% [2][36]. - Overall, the A-share market's valuations contracted significantly, with large-cap growth experiencing the largest PE contraction of -1.45x, followed by the National Growth Index at -1.2x. As of August 1, 2025, major A-share indices' PE, PB, and PS ratios were positioned between the 85%-100% percentiles for the past year, while PCF ratios were between 80%-90% [2][36][38]. Sector Performance - Most primary sectors in the A-share market declined, with the financial sector showing mixed results. Real estate and non-bank financials led the declines at -3.43% and -2.4%, respectively, while the banking sector saw a smaller drop of -0.84%. The essential consumer sector displayed internal differentiation, with pharmaceuticals rising by 2.95% while other sectors fell by over 2% [2][36]. - Valuations across sectors generally contracted, with pharmaceuticals experiencing the most significant expansion, exceeding 1x, while beauty care and real estate saw PE contractions of over 1x [2][36]. Valuation Comparisons - The essential consumer sector demonstrated superior valuation attractiveness. In terms of PE, PB, PS, and PCF percentiles, bank valuations are at historical highs, nearing 100% in both 1-year and 3-year dimensions. The TMT sector is also at long-term high valuations, while essential consumer sectors like food and beverage show significant valuation recovery potential, with 3-year and 5-year average percentiles at only 9.94% and 5.97%, respectively [2][36]. - Emerging industries showed mixed performance, with optical modules and optical communications standing out. Innovative pharmaceuticals and 5G sectors saw gains of 3.5% and 2.87%, respectively, while the smart vehicle sector exhibited internal differentiation [2][36].