Investment Rating - The investment rating for Longi Green Energy is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of -8.618 billion yuan in 2024, falling within the forecast range, with a revenue of 82.582 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 36% [4][5] - The company adopted a "volume control for profit" strategy in 2024 due to intense price competition in the photovoltaic industry, resulting in a significant drop in prices across the supply chain [5] - Looking ahead, the company is expected to see a recovery in 2025 with the release of its BC products, projecting revenues of 67.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.1% [6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 825.82 billion yuan and a net profit of -86.18 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 7.4% [8] - For 2025, the expected revenue is 676 billion yuan, with a projected net profit of -24 billion yuan, followed by a recovery in 2026 and 2027 with net profits of 19 billion yuan and 46 billion yuan respectively [6][8] - The company's asset-liability ratio is expected to remain below 60%, indicating a stable financial position [5] Market Outlook - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a significant increase in production, with polysilicon, wafers, cells, and modules all seeing over 10% year-on-year growth in 2024, despite a decline in prices [5] - The company is focusing on high-value HPBC products, which are expected to lead the market, with ongoing upgrades to its production lines [5][6]

大中尺寸渗透加速，国产替代方兴未艾 华安证券研究所 分析师 王强峰 S0010522110002 电话：13621792701 邮箱：wangqf@hazq.com 分析师 刘天其 S0010524080003 电话：17321190296 邮箱：liutq@hazq.com 华安证券研究所 2025年5月15日 华安研究•拓展投资价值 证券研究报告 1 • 整体而言，中游面板制造厂商积极扩建高世代产线，叠层OLED等新技术商业化进程加快，下游应用多元化将加速上游材 料与设备国产化，提供需求增量。以发光材料为例，其市场规模持续扩大，据QYResearch预计，2023年全球OLED发光 层主体材料市场销售额达到了15.3亿美元，预计2030年将达到33.03亿美元，年复合增长率（CAGR）为11.6%（2024- 2030）。OLED终端材料是当前国产替代的重点难点，核心专利技术一度被海外公司垄断，据群智咨询测算，2023年 OLED有机材料（包括OLED终端材料和前端材料）整体国产材料市占率约为38%；前端材料占比较大为58%，终端材料 国产化率低，其中终端材料中通用层材料为17%左右，发光层材料不足6%， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return that exceeds the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [8]. Core Views - The company has reported better-than-expected performance in Q1 2025, with significant growth in its submarine cable business, which is anticipated to enter a release phase [2][8]. - The company’s revenue from submarine cable systems and marine engineering reached 3.666 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.49%, while the revenue from land cable systems was 5.416 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 41.52% [6]. - As of March 21, 2025, the company has a backlog of orders totaling 17.975 billion, with 8.827 billion from submarine cable systems, 6.353 billion from land cable systems, and 2.795 billion from marine engineering [6]. Financial Performance Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 12.01 billion, 13.71 billion, and 14.31 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 32.0%, 14.2%, and 4.4% [8]. - The expected net profit attributable to the parent company for the same years is 1.55 billion, 2.00 billion, and 2.20 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 54.0%, 28.7%, and 10.3% [8]. - Key financial metrics for 2024A include revenue of 9.09 billion, net profit of 1.01 billion, and a gross margin of 18.8% [10]. Order Backlog and Product Classification - The company will adjust its product classification in regular reports starting in 2025, changing from "submarine cable systems, land cable systems, and marine engineering" to "power engineering and equipment cables (green transmission facilities), submarine cables and high-voltage cables (power new energy), and marine equipment and engineering operation and maintenance (deep-sea technology)" [7]. - As of April 21, 2025, the company’s order backlog is approximately 18.9 billion, with 11.5 billion from submarine cables and high-voltage cables, 4.4 billion from power engineering and equipment cables, and 3.0 billion from marine equipment and engineering operation and maintenance [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.531 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 5.91%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 110 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 123.46% [4] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.163 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.26%, and a net profit of 30 million yuan, up by 2.90% [4] - The company is actively expanding its industrial refrigeration sector, focusing on high-end clients and leading in commercial cold chain business [5] - The acquisition business is steadily developing, with significant progress in new ventures related to energy conservation and carbon reduction [6] - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 49.97 billion yuan, 55.19 billion yuan, and 61.79 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 1.60 billion yuan, 2.07 billion yuan, and 2.70 billion yuan [7] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 16.9%, which is expected to increase to 18.4% by 2027 [9] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to rise from 3.5% in 2024 to 7.6% in 2027 [9] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to grow from 0.13 yuan in 2024 to 0.32 yuan in 2027 [9] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 46.23 in 2024 to 17.23 in 2027 [9]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the active research in life sciences and the global wave of biotechnology revolution, which is providing new solutions to major challenges such as health, climate change, resource security, and food security. The National Development and Reform Commission has issued the "14th Five-Year Plan for Biological Economy Development," indicating a trillion-yuan market potential in the biological economy [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Market Dynamics - The synthetic biology sector has seen a decline of 8.90% in the recent week, ranking 32nd among various sectors [15]. - The synthetic biology index, which includes 58 companies, has underperformed compared to the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index by 10.82% and 12.17%, respectively [4]. 2. Company Business Progress - Tianjin University has established the first synthetic biology and biomanufacturing college in China, aiming to cultivate innovative talents in response to the biotechnology revolution [7]. - Kasei Biotech and South Korea's 3P.COM have jointly established Hefei Hydrogen He New Materials Co., focusing on bio-based materials technology [8]. - The report mentions several projects and collaborations, including a biomass-based project by Luzhou Tianhua and Shanxi Coal Chemical Institute, and a partnership between Bio Island Laboratory and Wanhua Chemical [22][23]. 3. Industry Financing Tracking - The report notes an acceleration in financing for synthetic biology companies, with nearly a hundred companies completing new financing rounds since the beginning of 2025. For instance, Suzhou Yulu Qianxing Biotechnology completed several million yuan in Series A financing [27]. - Atlas Data Storage has raised $150 million in seed funding, setting a new record in the field, focusing on DNA storage technology [29].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing active research in life sciences and the global wave of biotechnology revolution, which is accelerating integration into economic and social development, providing new solutions for major challenges such as health, climate change, resource security, and food security. The National Development and Reform Commission has issued the "14th Five-Year Plan for Bioeconomic Development," indicating a trillion-yuan market potential in the bioeconomy [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Market Dynamics - The synthetic biology sector has seen a decline of 8.90% in the index during the week of May 5-9, 2025, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index by 10.82% and 12.17%, respectively [4][15]. - The report notes that the synthetic biology index is composed of 58 listed companies across various sectors, including chemicals, pharmaceuticals, and food [4]. 2. Company Business Progress - Tianjin University has established the first synthetic biology and bio-manufacturing college among top-tier universities in China, aiming to address challenges in biotechnology and industry transformation [7]. - Kasei Biotech and South Korea's 3P.COM have jointly established Hefei Hydrogen He New Materials Co., focusing on bio-based materials technology [8]. - The report mentions several projects and collaborations, including a bio-based long-chain α-olefin synthesis project between Luzhou Chemical and Shanxi Coal Chemical Institute, and a partnership between Bio Island Laboratory and Wanhua Chemical [22][23]. 3. Industry Financing Tracking - The report indicates that financing in the synthetic biology sector is accelerating, with nearly a hundred companies completing new rounds of financing since the beginning of 2025. Notable examples include Suzhou Yulu Qianxing Biotechnology completing several million yuan in Series A financing [27][29]. - Atlas Data Storage has completed a $150 million seed round, setting a record in the field, focusing on DNA storage technology [29].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue and profit are experiencing a temporary decline due to pressure on both business segments, particularly in traditional cleaning and motor businesses, which are affected by intensified competition and fluctuations in downstream customer demand [5][6] - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 203 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.04% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.44%, with a net profit of 42 million yuan, up 35.48% year-on-year and 16.71% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] Summary by Sections Business Performance - Revenue decline is primarily due to the overall operating environment and fluctuations in downstream customer demand, with traditional cleaning facing intensified competition and a short-term decline in the motor segment [5] - The company's gross margin for Q1 was 32.22%, a year-on-year increase of 4.57 percentage points, indicating stability despite the pressure from traditional cleaning system products [5] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see revenue growth from new products such as electric motors and proactive sensing cleaning systems, which are anticipated to drive profitability upward [5][6] - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.101 billion, 1.337 billion, and 1.702 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 239 million, 290 million, and 385 million yuan [7][10] Product Development - The traditional cleaning business faces challenges, but proactive sensing cleaning products are expected to open new market opportunities [8] - The motor business is expanding into various electric motor types, including high-torque harmonic brushless motors and other automotive applications, with significant projects already secured in the EPB field [8] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively adjusting its customer structure to address the pressures in the cleaning business and is focusing on the commercialization of its micro-motor technology and intelligent cleaning solutions [7][8]

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue and profit are under pressure due to challenges in both business segments, with traditional cleaning facing intensified competition and the motor segment experiencing a short-term decline. The company has also paused supply to some overdue customers due to accounts receivable risk and payment term management considerations [5][7] - The Q1 2025 financial results show a revenue of 203 million yuan, down 16.04% year-on-year and 21.44% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 42 million yuan, down 35.48% year-on-year and 16.71% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - The company is focusing on expanding its product offerings in the cleaning and motor sectors, with new products expected to drive profitability in the long term. The proactive sensing cleaning products are anticipated to enhance market share and revenue growth [6][8] Summary by Sections Business Performance - The revenue decline is primarily attributed to the overall operating environment and fluctuations in downstream customer demand, particularly in the traditional cleaning business. The motor segment has also seen a short-term decline [5] - The gross margin for Q1 was 32.22%, a decrease of 4.57 percentage points year-on-year and 0.28 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, influenced by the pressure on traditional cleaning system products [5][10] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.101 billion yuan, 1.337 billion yuan, and 1.702 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 239 million yuan, 290 million yuan, and 385 million yuan [7][10] - The company is expected to maintain a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 27.76x, 22.84x, and 17.25x for the years 2025 to 2027 [7][10] Product Development - The traditional cleaning business faces challenges, while proactive sensing cleaning is expected to open new opportunities. The company plans to expand its partnerships with automotive manufacturers and enhance its global production layout [8] - The motor business is leveraging its core technologies to expand into various electric motor categories, including high-torque harmonic brushless motors and other automotive applications [8]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In April 2025, 16 bond - issuing urban investment companies had acceptor overdue, with a monthly overdue amount of 336 million yuan. According to the list released by the Shanghai Bill Exchange on May 9th, a total of 919 entities had acceptor overdue in April, including 16 bond - issuing urban investment companies, a decrease of 5 compared to the previous month. The cumulative overdue amount of bills in that month was 336 million yuan, a decrease of 69 million yuan compared to the previous month. Among them, the cumulative overdue amount of new entities was 289 million yuan, and the new overdue amount of existing entities was 47 million yuan [1]. - Four urban investment companies had overdue for the first time, and one was the first overdue entity in its region. In terms of entity types, among all 16 overdue entities, 4 were newly disclosed, including a municipal - level platform in Xinyang and district - county - level platforms in Changsha, Huai'an, and Tai'an. In terms of regions, the urban investment companies with acceptor overdue in this month were mainly distributed in 6 provinces, with Shandong having relatively more, with a total of 8 entities having acceptor overdue. In the new regions, a district and county under Tai'an had a bond - issuing urban investment company with acceptor overdue for the first time [2]. - As of April 2025, a total of 283 bond - issuing urban investment companies had experienced acceptor overdue. From August 2021 to April 2025, there were 1113 records of overdue bills of bond - issuing urban investment companies, involving 283 bond - issuing urban investment companies. In terms of disclosure times, 149 were disclosed more than once, and 82 reached 5 times or more. In terms of the latest overdue amount, 87 bond - issuing urban investment companies reached 100 million yuan or more, and 12 were not less than 500 million yuan [2]. - District - county - level and AA - rated urban investment companies accounted for a relatively high proportion. In terms of administrative levels, 161 were district - county - level entities, 58 were municipal - level entities, 62 were park - level entities, and 2 were provincial - level entities. In terms of entity ratings, there were relatively more AA entities, with a total of 196, 66 AA+ entities, 14 AA - and below entities, 4 AAA entities, and 3 unrated entities. In terms of regional distribution, all overdue bond - issuing urban investment companies were distributed in 24 provinces, with 87 in Shandong, 38 in Jiangsu, 29 in Henan, 26 in Guizhou, 15 in Hunan, 14 in Yunnan, 13 in Sichuan, 10 in Shaanxi, and less than 10 in other provinces [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs City Investment Bill Overdue Subject Quantity and Monthly Occurrence Amount - The chart shows the quantity of city investment bill overdue subjects and the monthly occurrence amount (in ten thousand yuan, number of companies) [6][9]. City Investment Bill Overdue Monthly Balance - The chart shows the monthly balance of city investment bill overdue (in ten thousand yuan) [6][12]. City Investment Bill Overdue Subject Regional Distribution - The chart shows the regional distribution of city investment bill overdue subjects, with 32 new subjects added in the past six months (in number of companies) [6][16]. City Investment Bill Overdue Subject Administrative Level and Subject Rating Distribution - The chart shows the administrative level and subject rating distribution of city investment bill overdue subjects (in number of companies). There are 58 municipal - level, 161 district - county - level, and 62 park - level entities. In terms of ratings, there are 4 AAA, 66 AA+, 196 AA, 14 AA - and below, and 3 unrated entities [6][17]. List of City Investment Companies with Acceptor Overdue (Partial) - The table lists some city investment companies with acceptor overdue, including disclosure time, subject code, cumulative disclosure times, administrative level, province, city, district, park, subject rating, cumulative overdue occurrence amount (in ten thousand yuan), and overdue balance at the end of the month (in ten thousand yuan) [6][21]. Cumulative Overdue Occurrence Amount of City Investment Bills (Partial) - The table shows the cumulative overdue occurrence amount of city investment bills (in ten thousand yuan) of some entities from April 2024 to April 2025 [6][23]. Cumulative Overdue Balance of City Investment Bills (Partial) - The table shows the cumulative overdue balance of city investment bills (in ten thousand yuan) of some entities from April 2024 to April 2025 [6][25].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" investment rating for the photovoltaic and wind power sectors, indicating cautious optimism amidst current market conditions [14][15][18]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing weak terminal demand, leading to price pressures across the supply chain. The report suggests focusing on the BC technology industry trend, which has a relatively high certainty for the year [4][19]. - The offshore wind sector is entering a favorable phase, with projects like the Zhejiang Putuo 2 408MW offshore wind project commencing construction, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4][21]. - Hydrogen energy policies are being reinforced, particularly in transportation applications, with recommendations to focus on hydrogen production and storage [4][34]. - The energy storage market is showing strong demand, particularly in provinces like Xinjiang and Yunnan, with significant bidding activity for storage projects [25][23]. - The electric grid equipment sector is witnessing substantial investment growth, with a nearly 30% increase in investment in the first quarter, suggesting robust future demand for high-voltage projects [40][41]. Summary by Sections Photovoltaic - Terminal demand remains weak, with prices under pressure across the supply chain. The report highlights the completion of component procurement ahead of the 531 installation rush, leading to a slight decline in prices [4][12]. - The report maintains a "Neutral" investment view for the silicon material, silicon wafer, battery cell, and module segments, indicating a cautious approach due to ongoing price declines and demand uncertainties [14][15][16][18]. Wind Power - The report notes that the offshore wind sector is entering a favorable phase, with significant projects being approved and initiated. The focus is on the tower and foundation segments [4][21][22]. - Investment opportunities are highlighted in undervalued stocks and those benefiting from offshore wind projects, with a recommendation to monitor upcoming project bids and international orders [22]. Hydrogen Energy - Continuous policy support for hydrogen energy is noted, particularly in transportation, with a focus on production and storage segments [4][34][35]. - Several significant hydrogen projects have been registered, indicating a growing interest and investment in the sector [34][39]. Energy Storage - The report indicates strong demand in the energy storage market, particularly in regions like Xinjiang and Yunnan, with a notable increase in project bidding activity [25][23]. - The average price for energy storage systems is showing a downward trend, reflecting competitive market conditions [25]. Electric Grid Equipment - The report highlights a nearly 30% increase in investment in electric grid construction in the first quarter, indicating a strong outlook for high-voltage projects [40][41]. - Recommendations are made to focus on undervalued companies in the electric grid sector, particularly those involved in high-voltage projects [41][42]. Electric Vehicles - The report discusses Geely's plan to privatize Zeekr, suggesting a focus on stable profit-generating segments within the electric vehicle supply chain [44][45]. - The report emphasizes the importance of maintaining a focus on profitable segments such as lithium batteries and structural components [50]. Humanoid Robots - The report notes advancements in humanoid robotics, with companies like Midea making significant investments in this area, indicating potential growth in the supply chain for key components [51][52].