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京仪装备(688652):2024年报、2025年一季报点评:25Q1扣非归母净利润高速增长,发出商品、合同负债指引订单饱满
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-30 12:54
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for Q1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 27.94% for net profit attributable to the parent company and 59.40% for net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses [5][6] - The revenue for 2024 reached 1.026 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 38.28%, while Q1 2025 revenue was 338 million yuan, up 54.23% year-on-year, indicating strong domestic equipment demand and competitive advantages in products [3][4] - The company is expected to benefit from the expansion of advanced processes, with a projected market share of 28% for Chiller and 8.6% for L/S in 2024, indicating significant growth potential [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a net profit of 153 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.35%, and a net profit after deducting non-recurring gains of 116 million yuan, up 33.52% [4] - The sales net profit margin for 2024 was 14.90%, slightly down by 1.15 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin after deducting non-recurring gains was 11.28%, down by 0.30 percentage points [4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 36 million yuan and a net profit after deducting non-recurring gains of 32 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 27.94% and 59.40% [5][6] Revenue Forecast - The revenue forecast for 2025 is adjusted to 1.5 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 46%, and for 2026, it is projected to be 1.974 billion yuan, up 32% [8] - The net profit forecast for 2025 is 266 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 73.8%, and for 2026, it is expected to reach 380 million yuan, up 42.9% [8] Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is positioned to benefit from the expansion of advanced processes, with significant demand for Chiller and L/S products, which are expected to replace imports [7] - The company has a strong order backlog, with inventory and contract liabilities reaching 2.057 billion yuan and 815 million yuan respectively, indicating robust future revenue growth [3]
浙江荣泰(603119):主业业绩快速增长,切入机器人打造新增长极
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-30 12:49
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company [6]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading player in the new energy mica products sector, experiencing rapid growth in performance, with a revenue of 1.135 billion yuan in 2024, up 41.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 230 million yuan, up 34.0% year-on-year [1][14]. - The company has a strong order backlog and is actively expanding overseas production capacity, with expected sales from new energy projects amounting to approximately 9.238 to 9.963 billion yuan, primarily from overseas orders [2][25]. - The company is entering the robot screw field by acquiring a 51% stake in Shanghai Diz Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. (KGG), which is expected to enhance its growth potential in the robotics sector [3][36]. Summary by Sections New Energy Mica Products - The company has a leading market share of 27% in the global new energy mica products sector, with a strong focus on high-temperature insulation materials for electric vehicles [13]. - The revenue from new energy products reached 898 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 56%, accounting for 79% of total revenue [19]. Order Backlog and Overseas Expansion - The company has established deep partnerships with high-quality clients such as Tesla, Volkswagen, and CATL, resulting in a robust order backlog [2][25]. - The company is expanding its overseas production capabilities, with projects in Mexico and Thailand aimed at meeting increasing demand [30]. Robotics Sector Entry - The acquisition of KGG is aimed at leveraging existing customer resources to penetrate the robotics components market, particularly in humanoid robots [3][36]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.568 billion yuan, 2.228 billion yuan, and 3.057 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 38.2%, 42.1%, and 37.2% [4][40]. - The expected net profits for the same years are 322 million yuan, 452 million yuan, and 632 million yuan, with growth rates of 39.9%, 40.2%, and 40.1% [4][40].
中国人保(601319):2025年一季报点评:COR显著优化,NBV与利润均高增
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-30 12:47
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant improvement in its combined ratio (COR) and achieved high growth in both new business value (NBV) and profit for Q1 2025 [2][3] - The company’s property and casualty insurance segment saw a steady increase in premium income, with a notable rise in underwriting profit [3] - The life insurance segment's NBV increased by 31.5% year-on-year, attributed to a significant enhancement in NBV margin [4] - Investment income saw a substantial increase, with total investment income and fair value changes rising by 157.2% year-on-year [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1,565.89 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 128.49 billion, up 43.4% year-on-year [2] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 4.7%, an increase of 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [2] Property and Casualty Insurance - The property and casualty insurance segment generated insurance service revenue of 1,207.41 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, and underwriting profit of 66.53 billion, up 183.0% year-on-year [3] - The combined ratio (COR) improved to 94.5%, a year-on-year optimization of 3.4 percentage points, primarily due to a decrease in natural disaster claims [3] Life Insurance - The life insurance segment's NBV increased by 31.5% year-on-year, with first-year premium income for long-term insurance at 212.06 billion, down 12.7% year-on-year [4] - The health insurance segment showed an improvement in premium structure, with long-term first-year premium income of 99.88 billion, up 4.3% year-on-year [4] Investment Performance - The company optimized its asset allocation, leading to a significant increase in investment performance, with total investment income rising by 389.9% year-on-year to 122.18 billion [5] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its previous profit forecasts, expecting revenues of 6,595 billion, 7,126 billion, and 7,368 billion for 2025-2027, with net profits of 455 billion, 491 billion, and 529 billion respectively [6] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 1.03, 1.11, and 1.20 yuan [6]
飞科电器(603868):24年业绩明显承压,25Q1净利率同比改善
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-30 12:37
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 was significantly under pressure, with a revenue of 4.147 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 18.03%, and a net profit of 458 million yuan, down 55.10% year-on-year [2][3] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.157 billion yuan, a slight decline of 1.47% year-on-year, but a net profit of 181 million yuan, showing a year-on-year improvement of 0.49% [2][4] - The company is focusing on a dual-brand strategy, with the "FLYCO" brand emphasizing high-end products through innovation and design, while the "POREE" brand targets high-quality, cost-effective products [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 54.58%, a decrease of 1.90 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margins for personal care, household appliances, and other products were 55.35%, 38.46%, and 32.76%, respectively [4] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 11.04%, while in Q1 2025, it improved to 15.64% [4] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 4.5 billion, 4.9 billion, and 5.1 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 750 million, 860 million, and 980 million yuan [5][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period is projected to be 1.72, 1.97, and 2.26 yuan, respectively [5] Market Position and Strategy - The company is experiencing a shift in sales structure, with mid-to-high-end products accounting for 60.78% of sales, an increase of 9.83 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The sub-brand "POREE" achieved a sales revenue of 882 million yuan in 2024, up 1.55% year-on-year, with its sales proportion increasing to 21.36% [3]
美凯龙(601828):利润端环比向好,政策催化有望带动出租率提振
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-30 12:36
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 report shows a revenue of 1.615 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 23.49% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 5.86%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -513 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 38.20% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 53.18% [2] - The company is experiencing a recovery in profit margins on a quarter-on-quarter basis, with the operating profit excluding fair value changes nearing breakeven at -46 million yuan [2] - The company is actively promoting national subsidies in its malls to improve occupancy rates, with a focus on digital empowerment and user operations [3] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 59.06%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.45 percentage points, while the net profit margin was -36.90%, a year-on-year decrease of 19.97 percentage points [4] - The company is implementing a "3+Star Ecosystem" strategy to enhance its high-end home appliance and home decoration business, aiming to activate the existing market [5] Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - The revenue continues to be under pressure due to economic fluctuations, increased discounts to retain tenants, and a decrease in the number of managed malls. The revenue from self-owned malls, leased malls, and joint ventures was 1.104 billion yuan, 106 million yuan, and 37 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year declines of 14.0%, 34.9%, and 17.7% [3] Profitability Analysis - The company’s Q1 2025 gross margin was 59.06%, with a net profit margin of -36.90%. The decline in net profit is attributed to revenue drop and relatively fixed costs, alongside a decrease in the fair value of investment properties [4] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on high-end home appliances and home decoration, promoting successful mall cases in cities like Kunming and Shenyang, and developing a new recruitment model [5] - The company is also enhancing multi-business collaboration, successfully launching new automotive space initiatives and participating in industry events to increase visibility [5] Financial Forecast - The company expects revenues of 8.195 billion yuan, 8.503 billion yuan, and 8.783 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with EPS projected at 0.02 yuan, 0.09 yuan, and 0.16 yuan [7]
裕同科技(002831):主业稳健增长,海外布局成效显著
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-30 12:03
证券研究报告|公司点评报告 [Table_Title2] 裕同科技(002831) | [Table_DataInfo] 评级: | 买入 | 股票代码: | 002831 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上次评级: | 买入 | 52 周最高价/最低价: | 28.29/19.74 | | 目标价格: | | 总市值(亿) | 194.29 | | 最新收盘价: | 20.88 | 自由流通市值(亿) | 108.78 | | | | 自由流通股数(百万) | 520.99 | [Table_Summary] 事件概述 公司发布 2024 年报及 2025 一季报,2024 年公司实现营收 171.57 亿元,同比增长 12.71%,归母净利润 14.09 亿 元,同比减少 2.05%,扣非后归母净利 15.14 亿元,同比增加 1.34%,归母净利润下滑主要系公司策略性处置武 汉艾特、广东鸿铭股权以及确认员工持股计划股份支付费用所致;单季度看,24Q4 公司实现营收 48.98 亿元,同 比增加 10.92%,归母净利润 2.95 亿元,同比减少 34.93%,扣非后归母净利 ...
PMI回到去年8月
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-30 11:20
[Table_Title] PMI 回到去年 8 月 证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 04 月 30 日 4 月 30 日,统计局发布 4 月 PMI。制造业 PMI 49.0%,预期 49.8%,前值 50.5%。非制造业 PMI 50.4%, 前值 50.8%。数据发布后, 10 年、30 年国债收益率短时下行 0.5bp 又被抹平,日内窄幅震荡。同时 A 股窄幅 波动,红利和周期品种行情承压,科技品种走强。 关注以下几个方面: 第一,受外部冲击影响,4 月 PMI 回落到去年 8 月附近。统计局称受前期制造业较快增长形成较高基数叠 加外部环境急剧变化等因素影响,4 月制造业 PMI 回落至 49.0%,接近去年 8 月的 49.1%。拆分来看,新订单 和生产分项是主要拖累,分别较前月下滑 2.6 和 2.8 个百分点,拖累制造业 PMI 下滑 0.8、0.7 个百分点。新出 口订单回落 4.3 个百分点至 44.7%,是 2023 年初以来最低值。从业人员、供应商配送时间和原材料库存较前月 变化较小,对制造业变动影响均不到 0.1 个百分点。参考去年 8 月 PMI公 ...
新华保险(601336):新单及NBV增长强劲,利润表现亮眼
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-30 11:18
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported strong growth in new business and NBV, with a year-on-year increase of 67.9% in NBV for Q1 2025, driven by rapid growth in first-year premiums and improved business quality [2][3] - The total investment return rate improved year-on-year to 5.7%, while the comprehensive investment return rate faced pressure, decreasing to 2.8% [4] - The company is expected to maintain its profit forecasts, with projected revenues and net profits for 2025-2027 showing steady growth [5] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 334.02 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 58.82 billion, up 19.0% year-on-year [2] - The weighted average ROE for Q1 2025 was 6.68%, an increase of 1.71 percentage points year-on-year [2] New Business Value (NBV) - The company’s NBV for Q1 2025 was 67.9% higher than the previous year, primarily due to a significant increase in first-year premiums [3] - First-year premiums for long-term insurance reached 272.36 billion, a year-on-year increase of 149.6% [3] Investment Returns - The company’s investment assets grew to 16,876.97 billion, a 3.58% increase from the end of the previous year [4] - The fair value change profit for Q1 2025 was 30.13 billion, significantly lower than the 80.18 billion reported in Q1 2024, attributed to rising interest rates affecting bond values [4] Profit Forecasts - The company maintains its profit forecasts, expecting revenues of 1,326 billion, 1,349 billion, and 1,373 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] - Projected net profits for the same period are 262 billion, 267 billion, and 272 billion [5]
美的集团(000333):盈利能力稳步提升,Q1业绩表现亮眼
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-30 11:17
证券研究报告|公司点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 04 月 30 日 [Table_Title] 盈利能力稳步提升,Q1 业绩表现亮眼 [Table_Title2] 美的集团(000333) [Table_Summary] 事件概述 根据公告: 24 全年:营收收入实现 4091 亿元(YOY+9.5%),归母净利润 实现 385 亿元(YOY+14%),扣非归母净利润实现 357 亿元 (YOY+8.4%) 25Q1:营业总收入 1284 亿元(YOY+21%),归母 124 亿元 (YOY+38%),扣非后 127 亿元(YOY+38%)。 分析判断: ► 收入分业务: 24 全年: 25 年 Q1 分业务: ( 1 )智能家居及其他(经 营业收入 倒算) 995 亿 元 (YOY+19%),其中智能家居同比 17%;COLMO 和东芝双高端品 牌的整体零售额同比增长超 55%; (2)新能源及工业技术 111 亿元(YOY+45%); (3)智能建筑科技 99 亿元(YOY+20%),25Q1 完成对欧洲 Arbonia 的气候部门业务、东芝电梯中国控股权的收购; (4)机器人与自动化 ...
中国人寿(601628):利润增速亮眼,产品转型成效明显
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-30 11:17
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for Q1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 39.5%, attributed to improved underwriting management and rising market interest rates [2][3] - The company's new business value (NBV) showed a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, indicating effective product transformation [3] - The company’s total investment assets grew by 3.1% compared to the end of the previous year, although the net investment yield decreased by 0.22 percentage points year-on-year [4] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1,101.77 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.9% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 288.02 billion yuan [2] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) increased by 1.22 percentage points to 5.53% [2] New Business Value and Product Transformation - The NBV increased by 4.8% year-on-year, with new single premiums decreasing by 4.5% to 1,074.34 billion yuan [3] - The proportion of first-year premiums from floating income products rose significantly to 51.72% [3] Investment Performance - The company’s investment assets reached 68,191.73 billion yuan, with a net investment yield of 2.60% [4] - The fair value changes resulted in a loss of 2.434 billion yuan, a significant decline from the previous year [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains a positive outlook on the quality of liabilities, with revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 at 5,245/5,371/5,452 billion yuan and net profit forecasts at 1,059/1,085/1,101 billion yuan [5] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 3.75/3.84/3.90 yuan [5]