证券研究报告|行业研究报告 [Table_Title] 巴里克 2025Q4 黄金产/销量环比分别增加 5%/15% 至 27.09/29.86 吨，铜产销量环比分别增加 13%/29%至 6.2/6.7 万吨，调整后的净利润环比增 长 79%至 17.54 亿美元 [Table_Date] 2026 年 2 月 10 日 [Table_Title2] 有色金属-海外季报 [Table_Summary] 季报重点内容: ► 生产经营情况 1）黄金 产量：2025Q4，生产 87.1 万盎司（27.09 吨）黄金，环比增加 5%，同比减少 19%。2025 年，生产 325.5 万盎司（101.24 吨）黄金，同比减少 17%。 销量：2025Q4，售出 96.0 万盎司（29.86 吨）黄金，环比增加 15%，同比减少 1%。主要源于 NGM 业务表现强劲：Carlin 项 目因焙烧炉和高压釜处理量及品位提升；Turquoise Ridge 项目 因地下矿品位提高；加之回购黄金销售及重获 Loulo-Gounkoto 矿控制权后恢复生产。这些影响部分被 Tongon 和 Hemlo 矿区 产量下降所抵消，该下 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or company [7]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant decline in nickel pig iron production and sales for ANTAM in Q4 2025, with production down 35% quarter-on-quarter and 43% year-on-year, while sales decreased by 3% quarter-on-quarter and 70% year-on-year [1]. - Conversely, nickel ore production and sales showed growth, with production increasing by 3% quarter-on-quarter and 35% year-on-year, and sales rising by 9% quarter-on-quarter and 27% year-on-year [2]. - In the gold segment, ANTAM's production reached 153 kg, a 1% increase quarter-on-quarter but a 44% decrease year-on-year, while sales fell by 31% quarter-on-quarter and 78% year-on-year [3]. - Silver production decreased by 11% quarter-on-quarter and 47% year-on-year, while sales increased by 41% quarter-on-quarter and 37% year-on-year [4]. - Bauxite production saw a significant decline of 45% quarter-on-quarter and 26% year-on-year, but sales surged by 914% quarter-on-quarter and 23% year-on-year [4]. - Alumina production increased by 6% quarter-on-quarter and 13% year-on-year, with sales also rising [5][6]. Summary by Sections Nickel Pig Iron - Q4 2025 production was 2,755 tons, down 35% quarter-on-quarter and 43% year-on-year [1]. - Q4 2025 sales were 2,346 tons, down 3% quarter-on-quarter and 70% year-on-year [1]. Nickel Ore - Q4 2025 production was 3,560,856 tons, up 3% quarter-on-quarter and 35% year-on-year [2]. - Q4 2025 sales were 3,349,487 tons, up 9% quarter-on-quarter and 27% year-on-year [2]. Gold - Q4 2025 production was 153 kg, up 1% quarter-on-quarter but down 44% year-on-year [3]. - Q4 2025 sales were 3,331 kg, down 31% quarter-on-quarter and 78% year-on-year [3]. Silver - Q4 2025 production was 888 kg, down 11% quarter-on-quarter and 47% year-on-year [4]. - Q4 2025 sales were 2,521 kg, up 41% quarter-on-quarter and 37% year-on-year [4]. Bauxite - Q4 2025 production was 514,374 wet tons, down 45% quarter-on-quarter and 26% year-on-year [4]. - Q4 2025 sales were 785,972 wet tons, up 914% quarter-on-quarter and 23% year-on-year [4]. Alumina - Q4 2025 production was 47,465 tons, up 6% quarter-on-quarter and 13% year-on-year [5]. - Q4 2025 sales were 45,453 tons, with an increase noted [6].

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of Pop Mart, with over 1 billion LABUBU sales and 4 billion total product sales in 2025, indicating robust growth potential in the emotional consumption sector [1] - The Spring Festival travel volume is expected to reach 10.68 billion trips in 2026, a significant increase of 11.7% compared to 9.56 billion trips in 2025, reflecting strong consumer demand for travel [2] - The report suggests focusing on high-growth sectors supported by policy and technology, including service consumption, new consumption trends, retail innovation, and AI applications [2][56] Summary by Sections Industry & Company Dynamics - Pop Mart's annual meeting showcased its achievements, including a global employee count exceeding 10,000 and a registered membership surpassing 100 million [1] - Anta Group's acquisition of Puma is a strategic move to enhance its global presence and compete with major brands like Nike and Adidas [15][16] - The opening of JD Seven Fresh stores in Beijing and Shanghai aims to capture the New Year market with a focus on fresh produce and high-quality consumer experiences [17] Macro & Industry Data - In November, retail sales grew by 1.3% year-on-year, with a notable increase in online retail sales, which accounted for 25.9% of total retail sales [31][41] - The gold consumption in Q3 2025 saw a decline of 18.56%, with jewelry sales dropping significantly, while demand for gold bars remained strong [48][49] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sectors with high growth potential, including service consumption, new consumption trends, and retail innovation, with specific beneficiary companies listed [2][56]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights the strong growth potential in the emotional consumption era, particularly for leading companies with strong innovation and operational capabilities [1] - The Spring Festival travel volume is expected to reach 10.68 billion trips in 2026, a significant increase of 11.7% compared to 9.56 billion trips in 2025, indicating robust travel demand [2] - The report suggests focusing on high-growth sectors supported by policy and technology, including service consumption, new consumption trends, retail innovation, and AI applications [2][64] Summary by Sections Industry & Company Dynamics - Pop Mart's annual meeting showcased its achievements, including over 10,000 global employees, 100 million registered members, and sales of over 400 million products across more than 100 countries [1] - Anta Group is acquiring Puma, enhancing its multi-brand strategy and global competitiveness, despite Puma's recent performance challenges [16][17] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sectors with high growth potential, including service consumption, new consumption trends, and retail innovation, with specific beneficiary companies listed [2][64] Macro & Industry Data - In November, retail sales grew by 1.3% year-on-year, with online retail sales accounting for 25.9% of total retail sales [36][41] - The gold consumption in Q3 2025 was 177.53 tons, a decrease of 18.56% year-on-year, with jewelry demand significantly impacted [54][56]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - Huayang Group is a leader in automotive electronics and precision die-casting, focusing on automotive intelligence and lightweight products. The main business segments include automotive electronics and precision die-casting, with additional operations in precision electronic components and LED lighting [5][12] - The company's core business benefits from the increasing penetration of automotive electronic products, with revenues for automotive electronics and precision die-casting reaching 3.788 billion and 1.292 billion yuan respectively in the first half of 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 23.3% and 41.3% [5][31] - The intelligent driving domain controller is a key growth area, with a significant trend towards centralized electronic architecture in vehicles, which is expected to create a new market opportunity for Huayang [5][66] - The robotics sector is also a promising area, with similarities between automotive domain controllers and humanoid robot controllers, indicating potential for growth in this segment [5][6] Summary by Sections 1. Huayang Group: Leader in Automotive Electronics and Precision Die-Casting - Founded in 1993, Huayang Group aims to be a leading supplier of automotive electronic products and components both domestically and internationally [12] - The company focuses on product layout around automotive intelligence and lightweighting [12] 2. Core Business: Benefiting from Increased Penetration of Automotive Electronic Products - In 2024, the company achieved revenues of 10.158 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.3%, with continued strong growth in both automotive electronics and precision die-casting [18][31] - The automotive electronics segment is expected to see further growth as penetration rates for cockpit domain controllers and HUDs continue to rise [5][30] 3. Elastic Business One: Intelligent Driving Domain Controller - The trend of moving from distributed to centralized electronic architecture in vehicles is accelerating, with the penetration rate for intelligent driving domain controllers expected to approach 50% by 2025 [70] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on this shift, benefiting from its supply chain and technological advantages [79][82] 4. Elastic Business Two: Robotics - The company is actively developing its automotive domain controller business, with expected doubling of cockpit domain controller shipments by 2025 [6][61] - The similarities in architecture and technology between automotive domain controllers and humanoid robots suggest a strong potential for growth in the robotics sector [5][6] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts revenues of 13.205 billion, 16.371 billion, and 19.672 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with net profits of 0.803 billion, 1.041 billion, and 1.290 billion yuan respectively, maintaining the earnings per share (EPS) estimates at 1.53, 1.98, and 2.46 yuan [6]

2025Q4 铜销量为 23.56 万吨，同比增加 2.8%，环比增加 0.6%。 2025 年铜销量为 93.76 万吨，同比减少 0.1%。 2025Q4 铜运营现金成本（扣除副产品收入抵扣后）为 0.52 美 元/磅，较 2024 年同期的 0.96 美元下降 45.8%。现金成本下降 主要源于副产品销售量与价格提升带来的更高抵扣额，但部分 被单位生产成本上升所抵消。 证券研究报告|行业研究报告 [Table_Summary] 季报重点内容: ► 生产经营情况 1.铜 2025Q4 矿产铜产量为 24.43 万吨，同比增加 2.0%，环比增加 2.9%。该增长主要得益于 La Caridad（+11.3%）、Toquepala （+5.7%）、Cuajone（+1.1%）及 IMMSA（+2.7%）矿区产量 提升，这主要源于矿石品位与回收率的改善。然而， Buenavista 矿区产量下降（-3.5%）部分抵消了上述积极影响。 2025 年矿产铜产量为 96.50 万吨，同比减少 1.3%。 [Table_Date] 2026 年 2 月 9 日 [Table_Title] 南方铜业 2025Q4 矿产 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [6] Core Insights - The report highlights a 2.0% year-on-year increase in mined copper production for Q4 2025, reaching 244,326 tons, driven by improved output from La Caridad, Toquepala, Cuajone, and IMMSA mines [2][12] - The operating cash cost for copper decreased by 45.8% year-on-year to $0.52 per pound in Q4 2025, attributed to higher by-product sales and prices [3] - The net sales for Q4 2025 were $3.8698 billion, a 39.0% increase year-on-year, primarily due to higher sales volumes and prices across copper, molybdenum, zinc, and silver [9][13] - The net profit for Q4 2025 was $1.3079 billion, reflecting a 64.7% year-on-year growth, supported by increased net sales and effective cost management [9][13] Summary by Sections Copper Production and Sales - Q4 2025 copper production was 244,326 tons, a 2.0% increase year-on-year, while annual production decreased by 1.3% to 964,955 tons [2][12] - Q4 2025 copper sales reached 235,591 tons, up 2.8% year-on-year, with annual sales slightly down by 0.1% to 937,555 tons [12] Molybdenum Production and Sales - Q4 2025 molybdenum production was 7,676 tons, a 9.8% increase year-on-year, with annual production rising by 7.4% to 31,153 tons [4][12] - Q4 2025 molybdenum sales were 7,678 tons, up 9.6% year-on-year, matching the annual sales increase of 7.4% to 31,162 tons [4][12] Zinc Production and Sales - Q4 2025 zinc production was 46,223 tons, a 7.1% increase year-on-year, with annual production significantly rising by 36.1% to 176,979 tons [5][12] - Q4 2025 zinc sales reached 50,837 tons, a 20.7% increase year-on-year, with annual sales up 19.3% to 171,931 tons [5][7][12] Silver Production and Sales - Q4 2025 silver production was 6.55 million ounces (203.73 tons), a 15.3% increase year-on-year, with annual production also increasing by 15.3% to 24.188 million ounces (752.33 tons) [8][12] - Q4 2025 silver sales were 6.002 million ounces (186.68 tons), an 11.3% increase year-on-year, with annual sales up 15.3% to 24.024 million ounces (747.23 tons) [8][12] Financial Performance - Q4 2025 net sales were $3.8698 billion, a 39.0% increase year-on-year, while annual net sales reached $13.42 billion, up 17.4% [9][13] - Q4 2025 net profit was $1.3079 billion, a 64.7% increase year-on-year, with annual net profit at $4.3349 billion, up 28.4% [9][13] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $2.3105 billion, a 53.3% increase year-on-year, with annual adjusted EBITDA at $7.8224 billion, up 22.1% [9][13]

► 生产经营情况 2025Q4 权益黄金产量为 24.24 万盎司（7.54 吨），环比增加 27.6%，同比增加 37.2%。 2025 年权益黄金产量为 76.59 万盎司（23.82 吨），同比增加 14.9%。实现公司 2025 年产量指导值的中位数目标。此前所有 运营项目均创下季度产量纪录，其中 Côté金矿更达到其指导 目标的上限值。 现金成本预计将达到 2025 年指导区间（1,375-1,475 美元/盎 司）的上限，全维持成本（AISC）预计接近 2025 年指导区间 （1,830 至 1,930 美元/盎司）的中点。 证券研究报告|行业研究报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 2 月 9 日 [Table_Title] IAMGOLD 2025Q4 权益黄金产量环比增加 27.6% 至 7.54 吨，2026 年产量指引为 72 万至 82 万盎司 [Table_Title2] 有色金属-海外季报 [Table_Summary] 季报重点内容: 预计将创下历史最高收入，初步年度黄金销量为 817,800 盎司 （Côté项目 70% | Essakane 和 Westwood 项目 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [8] Core Insights - The report highlights the production and sales performance of various aluminum and metal operations, indicating a mixed performance across different regions and products [2][4][6][7][9][10][11][15][17][18][20]. Production and Sales Summary - Worsley alumina production in Q4 2025 was 959,000 tons, a 10% decrease year-on-year but a 3% increase quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 985,000 tons, up 2% year-on-year and 12% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - Brazil alumina production in Q4 2025 was 355,000 tons, a 2% increase year-on-year and flat quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 387,000 tons, up 6% year-on-year and 17% quarter-on-quarter [4]. - Brazil electrolytic aluminum production in Q4 2025 was 37,000 tons, a 9% increase year-on-year and flat quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 45,000 tons, up 25% year-on-year and 55% quarter-on-quarter [6]. - Hillside electrolytic aluminum production in Q4 2025 was 181,000 tons, a 1% decrease year-on-year and flat quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 187,000 tons, down 3% year-on-year but up 11% quarter-on-quarter [7]. - Mozal electrolytic aluminum production in Q4 2025 was 90,000 tons, flat year-on-year and down 3% quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 62,000 tons, down 30% year-on-year and 38% quarter-on-quarter [9]. - Sierra Gorda copper mine produced 18,000 tons in Q4 2025, a 6% decrease year-on-year and a 2% decrease quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 19,300 tons, down 4% year-on-year but up 12% quarter-on-quarter [10]. - Cannington zinc mine produced 54,500 tons in Q4 2025, a 29% decrease year-on-year but a 13% increase quarter-on-quarter, with silver production of 242,000 ounces, down 35% year-on-year but up 17% quarter-on-quarter [11]. - Cerro Matoso nickel mine produced 5,600 tons in Q4 2025, a 43% decrease year-on-year and a 40% decrease quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 5,000 tons, down 44% year-on-year and 51% quarter-on-quarter [14]. - Australia manganese production in Q4 2025 was 806,000 wet tons, a 26% increase year-on-year but a 6% decrease quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 865,000 wet tons, down 8% quarter-on-quarter [15]. - South Africa manganese production in Q4 2025 was 506,000 wet tons, a 4% increase year-on-year and flat quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 546,000 wet tons, up 10% year-on-year [17]. Development Projects Update - The Hermosa project saw an investment of $338 million in growth capital expenditures in the first half of FY2026, focusing on the construction of the Taylor zinc-lead-silver project and exploration of the Clark battery-grade manganese deposit [18]. - The Ambler Metals project has a budget of approximately $35 million for FY2026, focusing on exploration and development activities for high-grade Arctic polymetallic deposits [20]. - Exploration projects in promising areas are being advanced with an investment of $15 million in the first half of FY2026, including $14 million for the Hermosa project [21].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [6] Core Insights - In Q4 2025, the copper production of Vale increased by 6.2% year-on-year to 108,100 tons, marking the highest quarterly output since 2018, driven by record production at the Salobo mine and stable operations at Sossego and Canadian polymetallic assets [2] - Nickel production in Q4 2025 reached 46,200 tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, supported by the successful commissioning of the second furnace at Onça Puma and capacity enhancements at the Voisey's Bay underground mine [2] - Iron ore production in Q4 2025 was 90,403,000 tons, up 6.0% year-on-year, primarily due to strong performance at the Brucutu mine and ongoing production increases at the Capanema and VGR1 projects [2] Production Summary - Q4 2025 copper production was 108.1 thousand metric tons, a 6.2% increase from Q4 2024 and a 19.1% increase from Q3 2025 [9] - Q4 2025 nickel production was 46.2 thousand metric tons, a 1.5% increase year-on-year but a 1.3% decrease quarter-on-quarter [9] - Q4 2025 iron ore production was 90,403 thousand metric tons, a 6.0% increase year-on-year but a 4.2% decrease quarter-on-quarter [9] Sales Summary - Q4 2025 copper sales were 106.9 thousand metric tons, an 8.0% increase year-on-year and an 18.8% increase quarter-on-quarter [10] - Q4 2025 nickel sales reached 49.6 thousand metric tons, a 5.3% increase year-on-year and a 15.6% increase quarter-on-quarter [10] - Q4 2025 iron ore sales were 84,874 thousand metric tons, a 4.5% increase year-on-year but a 1.3% decrease quarter-on-quarter [10] Average Realization Prices - The average realization price for copper in Q4 2025 was $11,003 per ton, a year-on-year increase of 19.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.1% [11] - The average realization price for nickel in Q4 2025 was $15,015 per ton, a year-on-year decrease of 7.1% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.8% [11] - The average realization price for iron ore fines in Q4 2025 was $95.4 per ton, a year-on-year increase of 2.6% [11]