Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Insights - The recent bidding results for duty-free projects at Shanghai airports indicate a new competitive landscape, with international retailers regaining operational rights in China after 1999. The expected annual passenger throughput for the two terminals at Pudong Airport is 80 million, with the bidding results showing a decrease in commission rates [2][19] - The National Retail Innovation Development Conference emphasized the retail sector as a foundational industry for the national economy, encouraging companies to accelerate transformation and focus on high-quality development [3] Summary by Sections Industry & Company Dynamics - The bidding results for duty-free operations at Shanghai airports have led to a significant shift in the competitive landscape, with China Duty Free Group (CDFG) and Dufry winning key contracts. The commission rates for the new contracts are lower than previous agreements, which may enhance profitability for operators [1][2][19] - Walmart has transitioned from the New York Stock Exchange to Nasdaq, marking a strategic shift towards being perceived as a technology-driven company rather than a traditional retail stock. This move is seen as a response to the evolving retail landscape and the increasing importance of technology and AI [21] Macro & Industry Data - In October, the total retail sales reached 4.63 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.9%. Excluding automobiles, retail sales grew by 4.0%, indicating a slight acceleration in consumer spending [39][40] - The online retail growth rate has slowed, while new retail formats continue to grow rapidly. For the first ten months, the online retail sales of physical goods increased by 6.3% year-on-year, with new retail formats like warehouse membership stores and unmanned stores showing double-digit growth [40] Investment Recommendations - Five investment themes are suggested: 1. Continuous upgrades in AI technology, benefiting companies like Keri International and Focus Technology [7] 2. Increased consumer willingness to pay for emotional value, with high-growth potential in new retail sectors [7] 3. Recovery of cyclical sectors under the backdrop of domestic demand stimulation, with companies like Haidilao and Yum China expected to benefit [7] 4. Expanding opportunities for domestic brands going overseas, with a focus on service providers and strong product offerings [7] 5. Revitalization of traditional formats as offline traffic returns, benefiting companies like Yonghui Supermarket and Kidswant [7]

Economic Performance - November industrial added value increased by 4.8% year-on-year, slightly below the expected 5% and the previous month's 4.9%[1] - The industrial export delivery value showed a year-on-year decline of 0.1%, a significant improvement from the previous month's -2.1%[1] - The service sector production index grew by 4.2% year-on-year, a slowdown of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month[2] Retail and Consumption - Retail sales in November increased by 1.3% year-on-year, down from 2.9% in the previous month[3] - The contribution of national subsidies to retail sales declined by approximately 0.7 percentage points compared to the previous month[3] - Restaurant revenue growth slowed to 3.2% year-on-year, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, but still above the third quarter average of 1.4%[3] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment decreased by 2.6% year-on-year from January to November, a decline of 0.9 percentage points compared to the previous month[4] - Manufacturing investment maintained positive growth, while real estate investment fell to -15.9% year-on-year[4] - In November, fixed asset investment showed a year-on-year decline of 12.0%, stabilizing close to the previous month's -12.2%[4] Real Estate Market - November real estate sales area and sales value decreased by 25.1% and 17.3% year-on-year, respectively, with sales area showing a month-on-month increase of 9.3%[5] - New home prices in 70 major cities fell by 0.4% month-on-month, with first-tier cities leading the decline at -1.1%[5] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The weighted year-on-year growth of industrial and service production indicators was 4.4%, while the demand side showed a decline of 3.8%[6] - The gap between production and demand growth rates is the largest since March 2020, indicating increasing supply-demand imbalances[7]

Group 1: Strategic Partnership and Brand Launch - Junting Hotel Group and Choice Hotels International launched the Comfort and Quality brands in China, marking a significant collaboration in the hotel industry [1][12] - The brands were customized for the Chinese market, showcasing a model of "global resources + local operations" [2][12] - Initial investment agreements for several hotels were signed, including locations in Chongqing and Nanjing, indicating the start of brand expansion [2][12] Group 2: Comfort Hotel Insights - Comfort Hotel, established in 1981, targets the 18-30 age group with a focus on comfort and practicality, promoting a "Nothing but Comfort" philosophy [3][14] - Investment details show a single room investment of 85,000 yuan, with an average first-year room rate of 300 yuan per night and an occupancy rate of 80% [3][15] - The projected payback period for investors is approximately 3.19 years, making it an attractive option for high turnover [15] Group 3: Quality Hotel Insights - Quality Hotel, with roots dating back to 1939, emphasizes local culture and aims to create a unique cultural experience for guests [4][17] - The investment for a single room is 180,000 yuan, with a first-year average room rate of 520 yuan per night and an occupancy rate of 75% [4][17] - The projected GOP rate is 58%, indicating a strong potential for profitability [17] Group 4: Support Mechanisms for Investors - Junting has established four core support mechanisms to enhance the efficiency of the partnership: funding support, operational management, customer sourcing, and revenue management [6][18] - The funding support includes loans with a minimum interest rate of 4%, alleviating financial pressure for investors [6][18] - The operational management strategy includes a three-month group management period to quickly ramp up operations and reduce trial-and-error costs [6][18] Group 5: Market Implications - The collaboration between Junting and Choice Hotels is expected to drive high-quality development in the mid-to-high-end hotel market in China [6][18] - This partnership is seen as a new paradigm for internationalization and scalability in the hotel industry, potentially leading to the globalization of Chinese hotel services [6][18]

[Table_Title] 关注华夏中核清洁能源打新 [Table_Title2] 公募 REITs 周速览（2025 年 12 月 8-12 日） [Table_Summary] 本周（2025 年 12 月 8-12 日）中证 REITs 全收益指数收于 1028.5 点，周度下跌 0.29%，已回到 2025 年 2 月底左右位 置。周内先跌后略有修复，但市场仍然处于弱区间震荡。截至 12 月 12 日，已上市的 77 只 REITs 总市值收于 2176 亿元。 华夏安博仓储 REIT 基金合同已于 11 月 18 日生效，截至 本周尚未确定上市日期。华夏中核清洁能源 REIT 将于 12月17 日（星期三）启动询价。 ►证监会债券司：推动不动产投资信托基金高质量发展 12 月 9 日，中国证监会债券司发表署名文章，结合境内 REITs 试点成果经验及调研情况，对我国 REITs 市场现状和功 能定位、影响高质量发展的问题及对策分析作了研究和探讨。 文章指出，我国 REITs 市场旨在服务于不动产行业的转型 发展，可以考虑将能源、铁塔、仓储物流等强运营型不动产项 目培育成"大而优"的全国性龙头 REI ...

证券研究报告|宏观研究报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 14 日 [Table_Title] 配置在左，交易在右 [Table_Summary] 12 月 8-12 日，债市看似启动修复行情，实则做多的根基尚不稳 定，长端利率周内演绎大幅的 V型反转行情。 ► 重要会议相继落地，政策重心逐渐明朗 政策定调上，政治局会议强调"加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度"， 在逆周期调节稳增长的同时，也更加关注中长期，注重稳增长与防风 险等中长期问题的平衡。此外，中央经济工作会议通稿，也对政治局 会议提出的各项表述予以更详细的说明，市场前期的各类预期也一一 得到证实或证伪。 ►长端利率大开大合，或源于两点疑惑 政策端靴子落地后，债市的平静被打破，利率波动又一次放大。 长端利率大开大合的背后，是对两个问题的纠结，一是 2026 年货币是 否会加力？二是财政的力度究竟如何？ 货币端，债市的担忧主要来源于政策前缀表述。中央经济工作会 议指出，2026 年要"灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具"，从市 场理解来看，这一表述相比 2025 年常见的"择机降准降息"、"适时降 准降息"，或是更中性的表述，意味着降准降息 ...

证券研究报告|港股公司点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 14 日 [Table_Title] 与华图战略合作，行业竞争格局有望改善 [Table_Title2] 粉笔(2469.HK) | [Table_DataInfo] 评级： | 买入 | 股票代码： | 2469 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上次评级： | 买入 | 52 周最高价/最低价(港元)： | 3.93/2.03 | | 目标价格： | | 总市值(亿港元) | 58.38 | | 最新收盘价： | 2.61 | 自由流通市值(亿港元) | 58.38 | | | | 自由流通股数(百万) | 2,236.89 | [Table_Summary] 事件概述 公司公告与华图山鼎订立战略合作协议，双方建立战略合作关系，发挥各自资源互补优势，提升双方整体 竞争力，共同探索招录类考试培训业务合作。包括：1）投资合作：双方将探索并寻求在股权投资的合作，包 括但不限于战略投资及成立合资企业。2）公司治理：双方可相互推荐董事进入对方实体机构，建立常态化沟 通机制，借鉴彼此先进管理经验，发挥各自优势。 ...

证券研究报告|行业动态报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 14 日 本周伴随美联储降息与 H200 解禁，短期宏观及政策对 AI 影响 减弱，伴随博通、甲骨文业绩披露，美股对 AI 算力估值存在 分歧。当前时点，面临全球地缘政治冲突、中美科技博弈、海 外对 AI 投资的疑问，预计市场仍将保持震荡，板块建议相对 谨慎，中性配置。中长期仍坚定看好 AI 国产算力及光模块等 相关设备商、6G 产业趋势、国产替代、自主可控以及军工等 产业趋势及行业成长，从而催化包括国产算力、光网升级、算 力租赁、卫星通信、通信军工以及 6G 等市场机会。 [Table_Title] 星网批量化组网加速，看好 AI+卫星长线成长 [Table_Title2] 通信行业 [Table_Summary] 1、星网批量化组网加速 北京时间 12 月 9 日和 12 月 12 日，卫星互联网低轨 15 组和 16 组卫星分别成功发射，自 2024 年 12 月 01 组卫星发射以来，截 止到目前在轨卫星数达到 127 颗。卫星发射频次显著加快。 我们认为，星网星座连续发射标志批量化组网进入高效阶段，伴 随国内星座加速发射， ...

证券研究报告|固收研究报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 14 日 [Table_Title] 2026 城投债，化债政策尾声的守与变 [Table_Title2] 2026 年投资展望系列之五 [Table_Summary] ►2025，低波与长短分化的存量时代 2025 年新增化债政策明显减少，主要是将此前的化债政策进一步落实落 细，围绕退重点省份及退平台、"化存遏增"继续发力。城投发债政策 进一步收紧，城投债净融资创历史新低，2025 年 1-11 月仅为 4 亿元。从 内部结构看，低层级和中低等级主体净偿还体量较大。分区域看，江 苏、湖南、重庆净偿还规模在 300 亿元以上。在此背景下，城投债发行 利率震荡下行，7 月创历史新低。除贵州外，其余省份城投债平均发行利 率 2%-2.8%，大部分省份较年初下降。 从二级市场看，2025年城投债收益率震荡，走势基本跟随债市。与2024 年城投债收益率趋势下行行情明显不同，2025 年城投债收益率走势呈现 "M"型，信用利差震荡收窄。因而 2025 年也成为城投债静态收益率最低 和波动最窄的一年，横向比较来看，中短端波动收窄明显，城投债期限 ...

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 14 日 [Table_Title] AI 驱动基础设施需求，看好北美电力产业链 [Table_Title2] 电力设备与新能源行业周观察 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要 1. 人形机器人 优必选斩获 AI 大模型公司超 0.5 亿元订单 随着海内外企业布局加速&AI 技术突破，人形机器有望迎来量产落 地时点。在降本需求的驱动下，人形机器人核心零部件的国产替代 需求强烈，市场空间广阔，率先取得突破的国内企业有望深度受 益。灵巧手、大脑和轻量化是人形机器人商业化落地的关键环节， 重点看好技术迭代和产业演进领先的国内生产厂商。 2. 新能源汽车 多家车企公布 11 月新能源汽车交付/销量 我们认为，在行业旺季趋势下，11月国内多数车企实现新能源汽车 交付/销量环比增长，全年新能源汽车表现亮眼。明年展望来看， 国内新能源汽车预计保持稳定增长，商用车电动化率提升叠加单车 带电量的增加预计带动动力电池需求较快增长。叠加国内外储能高 景气度，预计全年锂电池出货同比增长明显。在前期供给过剩导致 价格大幅下跌的背景下，动力及储能电池产业链 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights & Investment Recommendations - The release of GPT-5.2 by OpenAI indicates intense competition in the AI large model industry, with a new "three-version segmentation" strategy aimed at enhancing workplace efficiency and targeting specific business scenarios [2][19] - Nvidia's H200 AI chip has been approved for sale in China, which could significantly enhance computing power in the market, despite the trend towards local alternatives [3][20] - Investment opportunities are identified in the following areas: Hong Kong internet leaders, gaming industry, and film and cultural tourism sectors, with specific companies highlighted for potential benefits [20] Industry Data Film Industry - The top three films by box office this week are "Zootopia 2" with a box office of 272.384 million yuan (63.90% market share), "Get Out" with 98.387 million yuan (23.10%), and "Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle" with 13.981 million yuan (3.30%) [21][22] Gaming Industry - The top three iOS games are "Teamfight Tactics," "Honor of Kings," and "Endless Winter," while the top three Android games are "Heart Town," "My Leisure Time," and "Staff Sword Legend" [23][24] TV Series Industry - The top three TV series by broadcasting index are "Big Businessman" (81.2), "Sniper Butterfly" (80.9), and "The Rise of the Hawk" (80.9) [25][26] Variety and Animation - The top variety show is "Now Departing Season 3" with an index of 80.6, while the top animation is "Refining the God of War Season 3" with an index of 255.6 [27][30]