Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (initial coverage) [2] Core Views - The company is a local automotive parts manufacturer in Chongqing, primarily engaged in power transmission and touch display businesses. The power transmission segment has become the main contributor to the company's performance, accounting for 54% of revenue in the first half of 2025. After experiencing losses in 2023 due to goodwill impairment, the company is expected to return to profitability in 2024 and 2025, with net profits of 124 million and 109 million yuan respectively [8][12]. - The company's new energy business is rapidly expanding, with significant increases in sales and revenue share. The new energy products include integrated assemblies, new energy gear shafts, motor shafts, and differential gears. The sales proportion of new energy products in the power transmission segment is projected to rise from 5% in 2022 to 18% in 2024, with revenue share increasing from 5% to 15% [8][46]. - The Chongqing government is actively supporting the robotics industry, and the company has invested in Qianzhibo to enter this sector. The company has successfully launched an integrated joint module in the first half of 2025, which is expected to become a new growth point for the company [8][49][52]. - The company is projected to achieve total revenues of 4.23 billion, 5.01 billion, and 5.69 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 240 million, 300 million, and 390 million yuan. The expected PE ratios for these years are 42.9, 34.2, and 26.4 respectively [8][58]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, originally established as Landa Industrial in 1996, has evolved through various business expansions and rebranding to become Landa Technology. It has shifted focus from motorcycle parts to power transmission and touch display businesses, with a significant investment in the automotive sector [8][12]. Business Segments - The main business segments include power transmission and touch display. The power transmission segment has seen a continuous increase in revenue share, while the touch display segment has experienced a decline in its revenue contribution [20][26]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections indicate a recovery and growth trajectory, with total revenues expected to increase significantly from 2025 to 2027. The company anticipates a steady rise in gross margins due to the growing share of new energy products and improvements in operational efficiency [54][56]. Market Position and Competitiveness - The company is positioned in a competitive market with a focus on both domestic and international clients. It has established partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and is expanding its footprint in the new energy sector [45][46]. Valuation - The relative valuation compared to peer companies indicates that while the company has lower revenue and profit margins, its growth potential in new energy and robotics could provide significant upside [58][59].

Global Asset Prices - Gold prices continue to rise, with WTI crude oil and Brent crude oil increasing by 2.7% and 2.5% respectively this week[6] - The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq indices fell by 0.9%, 0.8%, and 0.7% respectively[6] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield increased by 6 basis points (bp) this week[6] Major Central Bank Policies - Federal Reserve officials express differing views on monetary policy, with concerns about inflation from some members and calls for quicker rate cuts from others[8] - Powell indicated that recent data shows economic growth is slowing and employment risks are increasing, but maintains a neutral stance on future policy[8] U.S. Economic Dynamics - New home sales surged by 20.5% month-over-month in August, the largest increase since August 2022, attributed to lower mortgage rates and increased sales incentives[12] - The U.S. GDP growth for Q2 was revised up to 3.8%, primarily due to a significant increase in personal consumption expenditures[12] - The PCE price index rose by 0.1 percentage points to 2.7% year-over-year in August, indicating stable inflation pressures[13] Other Regional Economic Dynamics - Eurozone manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5%, while the services PMI rose to 51.4%, indicating a mixed economic outlook[27] - Japan's manufacturing PMI dropped to 48.4%, the lowest since March, while the services PMI remained robust at 53%[27] Upcoming Focus - Key upcoming data includes the U.S. ADP employment report and non-farm payrolls for September[34]

Core Insights - The report highlights a rebound in excess returns for index-enhanced strategies, indicating a positive shift in market performance [1] - The analysis is based on a deep learning framework that constructs alpha and risk models to create low-frequency index-enhanced strategies [4] Market Index Performance - As of September 26, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.21%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.06%, and the CSI 300 Index gained 1.07%, with the STAR 50 showing strong performance [6][9] - The performance of index-enhanced funds for the week ending September 26, 2025, showed the CSI 300 index-enhanced fund had an excess return ranging from -1.59% to 0.86%, while the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 index-enhanced funds had similar ranges [6][14] Index Enhanced Fund Performance - Year-to-date, the CSI 300 index has increased by 15.6%, while the CSI 300 index-enhanced portfolio has risen by 22.8%, resulting in an excess return of 7.2% [6][22] - The CSI 500 index has seen a year-to-date increase of 26.5%, with its enhanced portfolio rising by 29.8%, yielding an excess return of 3.3% [6][27] - The CSI 1000 index has increased by 24.2% year-to-date, while its enhanced portfolio has risen by 35.1%, resulting in an excess return of 10.9% [6][33] Tracking Portfolio Performance - The report emphasizes the construction of index-enhanced portfolios for the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 using a deep learning framework, which optimizes alpha signals and risk signals [18] - The CSI 300 index-enhanced portfolio has shown a year-to-date return of 22.8%, outperforming the index itself [22][23] - The CSI 500 index-enhanced portfolio has achieved a year-to-date return of 29.8%, while the CSI 1000 index-enhanced portfolio has returned 35.1% [27][33]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the given reports. 2. Core Views of the Report - This week, the spot price of rebar decreased slightly, terminal demand remained weak, and the willingness to replenish inventory before the holiday was low. The black - series led the decline in the commodity market on Friday, and the coking industry association issued a clarification statement in the afternoon. The double - coke continued to fall at night, indicating significant uncertainties in the fundamentals. The real estate sales declined marginally this week, with first - tier cities providing support. The momentum of travel was strong approaching the holiday [1]. - In terms of real estate sales, the transaction area of new homes in 20 cities tracked by Wind increased by 7.58% week - on - week and decreased by 10.63% year - on - year. The transaction area in first - tier cities was significantly stronger than the same period last year, while that in second - tier cities turned negative year - on - year. The sales area of second - hand homes in Beijing and Shanghai was much higher than last year [1]. - In investment and production, most commodity prices rose. The rebar price decreased slightly, with weak terminal demand and low pre - holiday inventory replenishment willingness. The glass futures price increased due to stable supply and improved demand in the peak season, along with positive policy sentiment. The cement price index rose as the traditional peak season deepened, and the asphalt price increased slightly supported by the rebound in oil prices [1]. - In industrial production, the operating rates showed differentiation. The PTA operating rate declined, while the operating rates of automobile tires, coking enterprises, and polyester filament remained basically flat. The blast furnace operating rate of steel mills increased slightly, and the operating rate of petroleum asphalt increased significantly [1]. - In consumption, the travel momentum was strong. Subway travel exceeded the seasonal level, and automobile consumption, domestic flights, and movie box - office were in line with the season [1]. - In terms of inflation, the pork price declined, vegetable prices rose, and oil prices increased. The increase in vegetable prices was due to some vegetables entering the end of the harvest season and reduced production after the temperature drop in the north. The rise in crude oil prices was mainly driven by the geopolitical disturbances in Russia and Ukraine [1]. - In exports, the SCFI declined, and the BDI increased. The demand in the transportation market remained unchanged, and the spot - market booking prices continued to fall [1]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Real Estate Sales: First - Tier Cities Provide Support - New home sales: From September 19th to 25th, the transaction area of new homes in 20 cities tracked by Wind increased by 7.58% week - on - week and decreased by 10.63% year - on - year. First - tier cities' transaction area was significantly stronger than last year, second - tier cities' year - on - year sales turned negative, and third - and fourth - tier cities' sales were weaker than last year and the previous period [1][6]. - Second - hand home sales: The sales area of second - hand homes in Beijing and Shanghai was much higher than last year. Overall, the transaction area of second - hand homes in key cities was basically flat week - on - week, with the year - on - year increase showing a decline. Except for Shenzhen, the transaction areas of other key cities were stronger than the previous period [1][20]. 3.2 Investment: Most Commodity Prices Rose - Rebar: The price decreased slightly. Due to weak terminal demand and low pre - holiday inventory replenishment willingness, merchants focused on reducing inventory. The inventory decreased by 2.75% week - on - week, and the apparent consumption increased by 4.96% [1][5]. - Glass: The futures price increased. The supply output was stable, the demand improved marginally in the peak season, and the policy sentiment of the "Building Materials Industry Stable Growth" was positive. The price increased by 3.71% week - on - week [1][5]. - Cement: The price index rose. As the traditional peak season deepened, enterprises generally raised prices, with a 2.51% increase week - on - week [1][5]. - Asphalt: The price increased slightly. The rebound in oil prices provided price support, with a 0.78% increase week - on - week [1][5]. 3.3 Production: Operating Rates Showed Differentiation - PTA: The operating rate declined, dropping from 77.29% to 76.48% [1][5]. - Automobile tires, coking enterprises, and polyester filament: The operating rates remained basically flat [1]. - Steel mills' blast furnaces: The operating rate increased slightly, rising from 84% to 84.47% [1][5]. - Petroleum asphalt: The operating rate increased significantly, rising from 34.4% to 40.1% [1][5]. 3.4 Consumption: Strong Travel Momentum - Subway travel: It was higher than the seasonal level, although it decreased by 2.54% week - on - week [1][5]. - Automobile consumption, domestic flights, and movie box - office: They were in line with the season. Automobile consumption increased by 7.07% week - on - week, domestic flights decreased by 1.37% week - on - week, and movie box - office increased by 17.00% week - on - week [1][5]. 3.5 Exports: SCFI Declined, BDI Increased - SCFI: It decreased by 6.98% week - on - week, indicating that the demand in the transportation market remained unchanged and the spot - market booking prices continued to fall [1][5]. - BDI: It increased by 2.86% week - on - week [1][5]. - CRB spot index: It decreased slightly by 0.75% week - on - week [1][5]. 3.6 Prices: Pork Price Declined, Vegetable and Oil Prices Rose - Pork: The price decreased slightly, dropping from 19.48 yuan/kg to 19.42 yuan/kg [1][5]. - Vegetables: The price increased, rising by 2.01% week - on - week, due to some vegetables entering the end of the harvest season and reduced production after the temperature drop in the north [1][5]. - Oil: The price increased. The Brent crude oil spot price in the UK rose from $67.15/barrel to $72.09/barrel, mainly driven by geopolitical disturbances in Russia and Ukraine [1][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [2] Core Insights - Global database leaders have reported strong performance, confirming the importance of the database industry in the AI era. Companies like Snowflake, MongoDB, and Oracle have exceeded expectations, dispelling pessimism about AI's impact on software value [6][10] - The integration of AI and databases is creating a "mutual empowerment" dynamic, where databases support AI applications and AI enhances database capabilities. This dual relationship is crucial for the development of AI-driven data processing ecosystems [6][40] - AI is reshaping the value system of the database industry, driving demand for integrated architectures, inherent security, intelligent operations, and multi-cloud capabilities. These trends are essential for companies to gain a competitive edge in the AI era [6][49] Summary by Sections 1. Global Database Leaders' Performance - Major database companies like Snowflake, MongoDB, and Oracle have reported better-than-expected earnings, reaffirming their core infrastructure role in the AI era. Snowflake's revenue reached $1.145 billion, with a 32% year-on-year growth, while MongoDB's revenue was $591 million, growing 24% year-on-year [12][10][24] - The integration of AI into database operations is evident, with Snowflake and MongoDB adapting their architectures to meet AI demands, thus enhancing their market positions [12][24] 2. "AI for DB" and "DB for AI" - The report highlights the critical role of databases as a foundational software layer, facilitating efficient data management and retrieval. The emergence of vector databases like Milvus supports AI's high-dimensional data retrieval needs, while traditional relational databases are evolving to incorporate AI capabilities [6][25] - The global database market is experiencing rapid growth, with projections indicating that the Chinese database market will reach approximately 83.7 billion yuan by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.99% [38][39] 3. AI Restructuring Database Industry Value - The report identifies four key directions in which AI is reshaping database demand: integrated architecture, inherent security, intelligent operations, and multi-cloud readiness. These areas are critical for companies to build competitive advantages in the AI landscape [6][49] 4. Domestic Database Technology Breakthroughs - Domestic companies like Dameng Data, StarRing Technology, and Electric Science JinCang are breaking the long-standing monopoly of foreign firms in the database sector. Dameng Data reported a revenue of 1.044 billion yuan in 2024, with a 31.5% year-on-year growth [62][75] - StarRing Technology is focusing on enterprise-level big data and AI foundational software, while Electric Science JinCang has achieved significant growth, with a revenue increase of 66.1% in the first half of 2025 [67][75] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Dameng Data, StarRing Technology, and Electric Science JinCang for potential investment opportunities in the database sector [79]

地平线机器人研究十问 地平线机器人-W(09660) 证券研究报告 汽车 / 公司深度研究报告 / 2025.09.25 | 投资评级:增持(维持) | | | --- | --- | | 基本数据 | 2025-09-24 | | 收盘价(元) | 10.26 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 117.57 | | 每股净资产(元) | 0.82 | | 总股本(亿股) | 138.81 | 最近 12 月市场表现 -19% 18% 54% 91% 127% 164% 地平线机器人-W 恒生指数 分析师 郝艳辉 SAC 证书编号：S0160525080001 haoyh@ctsec.com 分析师 吴晓飞 SAC 证书编号：S0160525090003 wuxf01@ctsec.com 分析师 李渤 SAC 证书编号：S0160521050001 libo@ctsec.com 联系人 汪志洋 wangzy08@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《营收同比高增长，定点数创新高》 2025-09-02 2. 《收入同比高增长，市场份额持续提升》 2025-04-02 3. 《国内智驾芯片龙头，渗透率有望快速提 升 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views - Coal prices bottomed out and rebounded, and steel industry profits are slowly recovering. Whether it is driven by "anti - involution" remains to be explored [2][89]. - For coal, supply - side factors such as reduced production in major coal - producing areas and shrinking imported coal volumes, along with increased demand from power plants and high - profit steel mills, are expected to lead to a slight year - on - year decrease in coal production this year and a volatile coal price [4][89]. - The steel industry's profit is slowly recovering. Although real estate is a major drag, infrastructure, manufacturing, and exports support demand. However, long - term supply - demand pressure remains significant [4][89]. - In the secondary market, coal bonds have active trading, with the weekly number of traded bonds hitting a new high this year, and medium - to - long - term trading has become more active since the second quarter. Steel bonds have a significantly increased trading proportion in ultra - short - term bonds [4][90]. - In terms of low - valuation trading, there are many low - valuation steel bonds within 1Y, and after the "anti - involution" policy in July, the number of low - valuation medium - to - long - term coal bonds has increased significantly [4][90]. - For investment strategies, for coal enterprises, those with high return requirements can focus on Jizhong Energy, Pingmei Group, and Kailuan Group within 2Y, and high - grade coal bonds can appropriately extend the duration. For steel enterprises, Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. and Shougang Group can appropriately extend the duration, and within 1.5Y, Hebei Iron & Steel Group and Shandong Iron & Steel Group can be considered [4][91][92]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Anti - Involution Impact 1.1 Coal: Coal Price Bottomed Out and Rebounded - Since 2024, coal prices have been in a downward trend. In 2025, coal prices bottomed out and rebounded in July. The main reasons include reduced coal supply due to extreme rainfall in major coal - producing areas, shrinking imported coal volumes, increased coal demand from power plants due to high temperatures, and high - profit steel mills driving up coking coal demand [4][8][19]. - It is expected that the annual coal production this year may be slightly lower than that in 2024, and coal prices will remain volatile [28][31][89]. 1.2 Steel: Profit Slowly Recovering - Steel prices first declined and then rebounded in 2025. The industry's profit has been repaired to a certain extent, with the total profit from January to July reaching 643.6 billion yuan, a new high in the past three years [32][33]. - On the demand side, real estate is a major drag, but infrastructure, manufacturing, and exports support steel demand. On the supply side, policies are guiding the control of production capacity, and the growth rate of crude steel production has been decreasing [38][39][42]. - Although "anti - involution" may help with profit repair, long - term supply - demand pressure remains [47]. 2. Secondary Market Observation of Coal and Steel Bonds 2.1 Overview of Outstanding Bonds - As of September 23, the outstanding scale of coal bonds is 727.8 billion yuan, and that of steel bonds is 440.6 billion yuan. Both are mainly concentrated in the 1.75 - 2.25% valuation range and are dominated by medium - and short - term bonds [48]. 2.2 Analysis of Coal Bonds - The valuation of coal bonds first increased and then decreased this year. Short - term bond yields are at a historically low level, while long - term yields have increased recently. The credit spreads of 1 - 3Y medium - and high - grade coal bonds have narrowed to a historically low level [56][58]. - For coal enterprises, those with high return requirements can focus on Jizhong Energy, Pingmei Group, and Kailuan Group within 2Y, and high - grade coal bonds can appropriately extend the duration around large and high - quality coal enterprises [61]. 2.3 Analysis of Steel Bonds - The yields of steel bonds with different implicit ratings and maturities have declined to a low level since 2024. After the "anti - involution" policy in July, short - term low - grade steel bonds performed better [64]. - The credit spreads of 1 - 3Y medium - and high - grade steel bonds have continued to decline and are close to a historically low level. The current value of further credit - rating downgrading is not high, and high - grade bonds can appropriately extend the duration to about 3Y [68][70]. - For steel enterprises, Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. and Shougang Group can appropriately extend the duration, within 1.5Y, Hebei Iron & Steel Group and Shandong Iron & Steel Group can be considered, and Liuzhou Iron & Steel Group can also be of interest to investors with high return requirements [73]. 2.4 Recent Characteristics of Secondary Market Transactions - Coal bonds have active trading, with the weekly number of traded bonds hitting a new high this year. Medium - to - long - term trading has become more active since the second quarter. Steel bonds have a significantly increased trading proportion in ultra - short - term bonds [77][79]. - Since the first quarter of this year, the weekly number of low - valuation steel bond transactions has increased significantly. After the "anti - involution" policy in July, the number of low - valuation coal bond transactions has also increased, especially for medium - to - long - term coal bonds [83][86]. 3. Summary - Coal production decreased year - on - year in July, and it is expected that the annual coal production will slightly decrease year - on - year, with coal prices remaining volatile. The steel industry's profit is slowly recovering, but long - term supply - demand pressure remains [4][89]. - In the secondary market, coal bonds have active trading, and medium - to - long - term trading has become more active. Steel bonds have a significantly increased trading proportion in ultra - short - term bonds. The number of low - valuation medium - to - long - term coal bond transactions has increased recently [4][90]. - For investment strategies, coal enterprises with high return requirements can focus on certain enterprises within 2Y, and high - grade coal bonds can appropriately extend the duration. Steel enterprises should avoid those with deteriorating profitability and high short - term liquidity pressure, and different steel enterprises can be considered according to different duration and return requirements [4][91][92].

Core Insights - The report indicates a narrowing profitability in pig farming while the pet food sector continues to grow [1][5] - The investment rating is maintained as "positive" for the sector [1] Pig Farming - Supply pressure has led to a decline in pig prices, with the average price in July-August 2025 at 14.63 CNY/kg, down from 14.96 CNY/kg in Q2 2025 [5] - The average profitability for self-breeding and purchased piglets in the industry has shifted to losses, with figures of 53.0 CNY/head for self-breeding and -106.7 CNY/head for purchased piglets as of September 19 [5] - The outflow of pigs from listed companies has shown a growth rate of 26.2% in Q2 2025 and 20.0% in July-August 2025 [5] - The report suggests that the ongoing policy guidance for capacity adjustment and weight reduction will likely elevate the price center of pigs in the future [5] - Recommended companies for investment include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, Dekang Agriculture, Juxing Agriculture, Shennong Group, Tiankang Biological, and Tangrenshen [5] Animal Health - Demand for animal health products is on the rise, with significant year-on-year growth in various vaccines, such as a 30% increase for swine fever vaccines in July-August 2025 [5] - Companies like Keqian Biological and Ruipu Biological are highlighted for their strong internal growth potential due to new product launches [5] Poultry Farming - The price of white feather chickens has rebounded due to seasonal demand and tighter supply, with an average price of 6.92 CNY/kg as of September 19, 2025 [5] - The report notes a 17.66% year-on-year decrease in the number of breeding chickens updated in the first eight months of 2025, indicating potential long-term benefits for the white feather chicken industry [5] - Recommended companies include Shennong Development and Yisheng Livestock [5] Pet Food Sector - Domestic sales of pet food are driven by consumption upgrades and domestic substitution, with a reported growth rate of 11% across major e-commerce platforms from January to August 2025 [5] - The report highlights the introduction of new products and the strengthening of brand power among leading companies [5] - Recommended companies in the pet food sector include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., Petty Co., and Lusi Co. [5]

Group 1: Economic Transformation Insights - China's current transformation strategy is more aligned with the U.S. in the 1970s, focusing on "going global" and "common prosperity" akin to the U.S. deindustrialization and Great Society initiatives[1] - The Chinese economy is entering the latter stage of transformation, with cyclical issues becoming less impactful, as evidenced by the decline in old economic drivers like real estate[1] - The transition phase requires patience in policy implementation, as excessive use of counter-cyclical policies may lead to structural issues similar to the U.S. in the 1960s and 70s[1] Group 2: Market and Policy Implications - The easing of cyclical pressures, particularly in real estate, suggests a potential formation of an "L-shaped" economic recovery, supported by counter-cyclical policies[1] - The ongoing structural reforms and technological breakthroughs, although slow, create opportunities for risk appetite and asset revaluation in the capital markets[1] - The A-share bull market since the "924" policy in 2021 reflects the synergy between counter-cyclical policies and technological advancements in sectors like AI and robotics[1] Group 3: Risks and Challenges - Risks include the possibility that the pace of structural reforms may not meet expectations, and uncertainties surrounding technological breakthroughs and external economic influences[1] - The decline in housing prices, with first-tier city prices dropping by 34.3% from their peak as of August 2025, highlights the ongoing challenges in the real estate sector[3] - The GDP deflator index has shown negative growth for nine consecutive quarters since Q2 2023, indicating persistent economic weakness[3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage [2]. Core Insights - The company is accelerating its transition to renewable energy, leading to rapid growth in performance. It is expected to achieve significant revenue and profit increases in the coming years [7][8]. - The company has a strong foothold in the automotive parts sector, particularly in welding and electroplating, which are driving its performance growth [7][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has been a key supplier of automotive parts since the 1990s, initially partnering with major automakers like SAIC Volkswagen and SAIC General Motors. Recently, it has expanded its client base to include electric vehicle manufacturers such as Xiaomi, Tesla, and Li Auto [7][11]. - The company has a stable shareholding structure, with the controlling shareholders having significant industry experience [14]. 2. Business Performance - The company reported a revenue of 1.29 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.2%, and a net profit of 200 million yuan, up 27.2% year-on-year [22]. - The welding business accounted for 66% of revenue, while the electroplating business maintained a high gross margin of around 80% [20][22]. 3. Growth Drivers - The company is benefiting from high-demand clients in the electric vehicle sector, which has led to a significant increase in both revenue and profit margins [25][32]. - The company issued 520 million yuan in convertible bonds to enhance its capacity to supply parts to Xiaomi, further solidifying its market position [35]. 4. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 30.8 billion yuan, 36.6 billion yuan, and 40.9 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 496 million yuan, 586 million yuan, and 669 million yuan [6][59]. - The expected growth rates for revenue are 22%, 19%, and 12% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [59]. 5. Valuation - The report suggests that the company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 will be 17.8, 15.0, and 13.2, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [6][62].