安踏体育:品牌表现分化,运营质量稳健
申万宏源· 2024-10-12 00:37
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports [4][5] Core Views - The retail performance of Anta Sports shows brand differentiation, with the Anta brand achieving single-digit growth in Q3 2024, while FILA experienced a slight decline. Other brands saw a growth of 45-50%, driven by strong brand power and outdoor trends [4][5] - Online sales growth outpaced offline, with Anta's e-commerce continuing to grow over 20%. The company is preparing for the upcoming Double Eleven shopping festival, aiming to outperform peers while balancing scale growth and profit margins [4][5] - Inventory levels remain healthy, with discount rates improving steadily. Anta's offline discount rates remained stable year-on-year, while online discounts improved. This indicates that retail growth is not solely reliant on discounting, reflecting high-quality sales growth [4][5] Summary by Sections Retail Performance - Anta brand showed single-digit growth in Q3 2024, with both adult and children's segments performing well. FILA brand saw a low single-digit decline, while other brands grew by 45-50% [4][5] - The performance of Kolon Sport and DESCENTE brands remained strong, with growth rates of 65-70% and over 30%, respectively [4] Channel Analysis - Online sales growth was superior to offline, with Anta's e-commerce achieving over 20% growth. The company is innovating in offline store formats to capture price-sensitive consumers [4][5] Financial Outlook - The company expects a recovery in sales during the National Day holiday, with a focus on cost control to enhance profit visibility for the year. The sales target for the year relies on achieving higher growth in Q4 [5] - The projected net profit for 2024 is adjusted to 134.1 billion RMB, reflecting a slight decrease from previous estimates, with a PE ratio of 19 times [5][6]
腾讯控股:24Q3前瞻:游戏和视频号持续拉动增长
申万宏源· 2024-10-12 00:37
传媒 证 券 研 究 报 告 上 市 公 司 公 司 点 评 / 公 司 点 评 2024 年 10 月 11 日 腾讯控股 (00700) ——24Q3 前瞻:游戏和视频号持续拉动增长 报告原因:有新的信息需要补充 | --- | --- | |--------------------------|-------------------------------| | 市场数据: | 2024 年 10 月 10 日 | | 收盘价(港币) | 438.80 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 7620.74 | | 52 周最高/最低(港币) | 482.40/260.20 | | H 股市值(亿港币) | 40,718.96 | | 流通 H 股(百万股) | 9,279.62 | | 汇率(人民币/港币) | 1.0987 | 投资要点: 买入(维持)事件: ⚫ 我们预计腾讯 24Q3 实现营业收入 1658 亿元,同比增长 7%;调整后归母净利润 535 亿元, 同比增长 19%。 ⚫ 近期政策积极信号释放,带来资本市场提振,腾讯投资公司估值亦提升;未来对消费展 望有望转向乐观但需要时间。腾讯基本面确定性仍 ...
安踏体育:港股公司信息更新报告:Q3 FILA流水波动,期待Q4电商旺季下流水表现
开源证券· 2024-10-11 15:36
隐证券 纺织服饰/服装家纺 公 司 研 究 安踏体育(02020.HK) 2024 年 10 月 11 日 Q3 FILA 流水波动,期待 Q4 电商旺季下流水表现 ——港股公司信息更新报告 投资评级:买入(维持) | --- | --- | |-------------------------|---------------| | 日期 | 2024/10/10 | | 当前股价 ( 港元 ) | 100.10 | | 一年最高最低 ( 港元 ) | 107.50/60.200 | | 总市值 ( 亿港元 ) | 2,832.06 | | 流通市值 ( 亿港元 ) | 2,832.06 | | 总股本 ( 亿股 ) | 28.29 | | 流通港股 ( 亿股 ) | 28.29 | | 近 3 个月换手率 (%) | 25.82 | 股价走势图 -32% -16% 0% 16% 32% 2023-10 2024-02 2024-06 安踏体育 恒生指数 数据来源:聚源 相关研究报告 《2024H1 核心利润超预期,百亿回购 提振信心 —港股公司信息更新报告》 -2024.8.30 《Q2 零售波动下流水符合 ...
诺诚健华公司跟踪点评:488临床数据优异,慢病管线加速推进
国泰君安· 2024-10-11 14:38
股 票 研 究 海 外 公 司 ( 中 国 香 港 ) 证 券 研 究 报 告 国泰君安版权所有发送给上海东方财富金融数据服务有限公司.东财接收研报邮箱.ybjieshou@eastmoney.com p1 488 临床数据优异,慢病管线加速推进 [Table_Invest] 评级: 增持 ——诺诚健华公司跟踪点评 | --- | --- | |------------------|--------------------------| | | | | | | | 股票研究 /[ | Table_Date] 2024.10.11 | | | | | 诺诚健华 | (9969) | | [Table_Industry] | 医药 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------|-----------------------------------|----------------------------|-------|--------|--------------------------|--------- ...
元征科技:汽车后市场龙头,轻舟已过万重山
天风证券· 2024-10-11 13:42
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the stock with a 6-month target price of HKD 10.75, representing a significant upside from the current price of HKD 5.58 [3] Core Business and Strategy - The company focuses on high-margin diagnostic and diagnostic upgrade products, leveraging its X-431 product line which represents advanced domestic diagnostic technology [3] - It has established connections with over 300 million vehicles globally through diagnostic devices, holding a 70% market share in China and generating 800,000 daily diagnostic reports [3] - The company is transitioning to a light-asset model, cutting low-margin product lines and focusing on R&D, brand building, and flexible production adjustments [3] - It is expanding into the new energy vehicle (NEV) market with products like SDS, EVS, and AAS, covering the entire lifecycle of NEVs with over 90% customer satisfaction [3] Financial Performance and Growth Drivers - H1 2024 gross margin increased by 7 percentage points to 47%, driven by higher overseas and software revenue contributions [4] - Overseas revenue surged 90% YoY to CNY 629 million in H1 2024, accounting for 63% of total revenue, up from 42% in 2022 and 45% in 2023 [4] - Software revenue grew 49% YoY in 2023 to CNY 127 million, with paid software customers increasing by 106% and software upgrades by 72% [5] - The company expects net profit to reach CNY 300 million in 2024 and CNY 390 million in 2025, with a current PE ratio of 6x and 5x respectively [6] Market Position and Competitive Advantages - The company is a pioneer in the automotive aftermarket, with over 30 years of experience and a comprehensive product portfolio covering diagnostics, maintenance, and lifting equipment [12] - It has a strong R&D team with hundreds of patents and a global presence, including R&D centers in the US, Germany, Japan, and South Korea [12] - The company has transitioned into the vehicle networking space with its golo series, establishing a leading position in the industry [13] - It is exploring the commercial value of automotive big data and has built a blockchain-based automotive data ecosystem [14][16] Industry Trends and Opportunities - The automotive aftermarket is benefiting from the increasing NEV penetration and the corresponding demand for diagnostic and maintenance services [3] - The US aftermarket is dominated by independent repair shops, which account for 70% of the market, providing a significant opportunity for the company's diagnostic products [41] - In China, the aftermarket is shifting from 4S shops to third-party repair shops, with NEV adoption driving industry reshuffling and creating new opportunities [44][45] - The industry is trending towards intelligence, new energy, and connectivity, with the company well-positioned to benefit from these trends [47][48] Product Evolution and Innovation - The company has streamlined its product portfolio, reducing hardware products by 74.36% and focusing on high-margin software and services [28] - It has launched the X-431 EV MAX, a comprehensive diagnostic device for NEVs, and is building a "sales + service + car management" ecosystem for NEVs [29] - The company's super remote diagnosis system leverages 5G technology to enable remote vehicle diagnostics, reducing costs and improving efficiency for repair shops [35] - Its diagnostic products cover over 95% of NEV models, with advanced features like battery pack analysis and fault code reading [34]
中银航空租赁:3Q24:7架飞机交付
华泰证券· 2024-10-11 13:03
证券研究报告 港股通 中银航空租赁 (2588 HK) 3Q24:7 架飞机交付 华泰研究 公告点评 投资评级(维持): 目标价(港币): 租赁 2024年10月11日│中国香港 3Q24 交付 7 架飞机,融资成本降低 中银航空租赁(BOCA)在 10 月 10 日披露了 3Q24 运营数据。3Q24 末, 公司自有飞机数量小幅提升至 430 架(2Q24:429 架),飞机交付数量为 7 架,相比中报预计的下半年交付 37 架仍然有差距。公司或会在年内积极寻 求购后回租和融资租赁的机会来扩充资本开支。另外公司保持出售飞机的节 奏,3Q24 售出 6 架自有飞机。另外自有飞机利用率环比持平,机龄和剩余 租期保持健康。融资方面,公司三季度发行了年息为 4.625%的七年期 5 亿 美元债券,低于上半年超过 5%的融资成本,体现 BOCA 的融资能力。9 月 份波音工人罢工再度加剧了飞机供应链的压力,供小于求的情况会进一步推 升飞机租金和价值,但也会在下半年拖累飞机交付,基于此我们小幅下调 2024/25/26 年归母净利润的预测至 7.5/7.0/7.8 亿美元(前值:7.6/7.1/7.9 亿美元),预计 ...
美团-W:3Q24前瞻:市场回暖更显利润弹性
华泰证券· 2024-10-11 13:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Meituan-W (3690 HK) with a target price of HKD 235.6, up from the previous target of HKD 169.0 [2][7] Core Views - Policy tailwinds and consumption recovery are expected to boost Meituan's growth, with stronger profit elasticity anticipated [2] - Meituan's local life services leadership is expected to benefit from improved market confidence and operational efficiency [2] - The report forecasts 3Q24 revenue of RMB 92.1 billion (+21% YoY) and non-IFRS net profit of RMB 11.2 billion (+96% YoY) [2] - For 2024-2026, the report projects revenues of RMB 327.3/382.2/442.1 billion and non-IFRS net profits of RMB 40.2/58.8/75.2 billion [2] Business Segment Analysis Food Delivery Business - Meituan's food delivery business continues to deepen supply-side reforms, with 120 million users for its "Pinhaofan" service as of August 2024 [3] - New models like "satellite stores" and "collection stores" are helping merchants reduce costs and improve efficiency [3] - 3Q24 delivery orders are expected to reach 7.1 billion (+15% YoY), with food delivery orders at 6.1 billion (+12% YoY) [3] - Unit economics (UE) for food delivery is projected to improve to RMB 1.32 (from RMB 1.1 in 3Q23) [3] In-store Business - In-store GTV is expected to grow 30% YoY in 3Q24, driven by increased online penetration and category expansion [4] - Revenue from in-store services is projected to increase 23% YoY in 3Q24 [4] - Operating profit margin (OPM) for in-store business is forecasted at 36% for 3Q24 [4] New Initiatives - New business revenue is expected to grow 26% YoY in 3Q24 [5] - Meituan's self-operated Xiaoxiang supermarket is focusing on high-quality growth, with losses narrowing sequentially [5] - Overall operating loss for new businesses is projected to narrow to RMB 1.8 billion in 3Q24 [5] Financial Projections - Revenue growth is forecasted at 18.3%, 16.8%, and 15.7% for 2024-2026 respectively [6] - Net profit attributable to parent company is expected to grow 118.7%, 54.6%, and 31.2% for 2024-2026 [6] - ROE is projected to improve from 17.5% in 2024 to 21.8% in 2026 [6] - PE ratios are estimated at 26.4x, 18.1x, and 14.1x for 2024-2026 [2] Valuation - The target price of HKD 235.6 is based on a SOTP model, with valuations for different business segments [9][10] - Food delivery: HKD 125.0 (22x 2025E PE) - In-store: HKD 90.8 (24x 2025E PE) - New initiatives: HKD 19.8 (1.2x 2025E PS)
安踏体育:3Q24流水稳健增长,Fila受短期扰动
华泰证券· 2024-10-11 13:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports with a target price of HKD 117.98, up from the previous target of HKD 93.5 [2][7][11]. Core Views - Anta Sports demonstrated resilient operational performance in Q3 2024, with a steady revenue growth despite short-term disruptions caused by weather and macroeconomic factors. The Anta brand achieved a mid-single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales, while the Fila brand experienced a low single-digit decline [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the strong operational resilience of Anta as a market leader, maintaining its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2024-2026 at RMB 4.27, 4.88, and 5.51 respectively. The target price is based on a projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 22.0x for 2025, reflecting the company's significant advantages in market share, revenue scale, and brand strength [2][11]. Summary by Sections Q3 2024 Performance - Anta brand retail sales showed a mid-single-digit year-on-year growth, while Fila brand retail sales declined by a low single-digit percentage. Other brands, including Descente and Kolon, saw retail sales growth of 45-50% [2][4]. - The operational disruptions in Q3 were attributed to external factors such as typhoons and high temperatures, but Anta's performance remained industry-leading [2][3]. Brand Analysis - Anta's main brand is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with online sales projected to exceed 20% year-on-year growth for the full year 2024. The company is effectively expanding its market reach through new store formats targeting specific customer segments [3][4]. - Fila's performance has been impacted by external market conditions, but its operational health remains manageable, with retail discounts stable and inventory turnover ratios healthy [4][5]. Other Brands - Other brands under Anta are experiencing rapid growth, particularly in outdoor apparel, with Descente and Kolon showing significant year-on-year increases in sales [5][9]. - The report anticipates that the retail environment will remain challenging in the fourth quarter, but effective cost control and product-channel strategies will support overall performance and profitability [5][9]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Anta Sports are set at RMB 69.97 billion for 2024, with expected year-on-year growth of 12.21%. Net profit is projected to reach RMB 13.25 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 29.42% [6][9][10]. - The report outlines a consistent growth trend in EPS, with estimates of RMB 4.27 for 2024, RMB 4.88 for 2025, and RMB 5.51 for 2026, indicating strong profitability [10][15].
思摩尔国际:24Q3收入稳步上升,看好自有品牌及HNB等新业务增长潜能
天风证券· 2024-10-11 12:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Smoore International (06969) with a target price of 12.54 HKD [1] Core Views - The company reported steady revenue growth in Q3 2024, achieving a revenue of 32.86 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 14.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.5% [1] - The company's proprietary brand business is experiencing rapid growth, while the closed-system product business is gradually recovering [1] - The decline in net profit is attributed to increased R&D and management expenses, with net profit for Q3 2024 at 3.79 billion HKD, down 22.5% year-on-year but up 10.2% quarter-on-quarter [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 83.23 billion HKD, a 4.0% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 10.62 billion HKD, down 11.9% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2024, the revenue was 32.86 billion HKD, with a year-on-year increase of 14.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.5% [1] Business Segments - The revenue from proprietary brand business reached 11.16 billion HKD, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 71.9% [1] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the growth of both proprietary open and closed-system products due to increasing regulatory pressures in the European electronic vaporization market [1] R&D and Future Outlook - The company is increasing its R&D investments, focusing on non-combustible products and medical vaporization products, which are anticipated to become new revenue and profit growth points [1] - The company has completed the development and production of several devices for asthma and COPD medications, with research results gaining industry recognition [1]
波司登:战略投资Moose Knuckles,降温或促轻薄羽积极销售
天风证券· 2024-10-11 12:11
港股公司报告 | 公司点评 | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------| | 波司登( 03998 ) | | 证券研究报告 \n2024 年 10 月 11 日 | | | 投资评级 | | | 战略投资 Moo ...