Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 192.14 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.1%. The operating profit remained stable at 4.9 billion yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -4.35 billion yuan, primarily due to a one-time impairment loss of 5.1 billion yuan related to the Cainiao project. Excluding this impact, the net profit for the year would have been 0.75 billion yuan, down from 1.38 billion yuan in 2023. The decline in net profit is attributed to the sluggish domestic consumption market [5][6]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and introduced a new forecast for 2027, expecting net profits of 1.23 billion yuan, 1.63 billion yuan, and 1.9 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively. This represents a turnaround in 2025 and growth of 32.4% and 17% in the following years. The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 27.0, 20.4, and 17.5 for 2025-2027 [5][6]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company achieved revenue across its four main business segments: Health (46.55 billion yuan), Happiness (76.71 billion yuan), Wealth (55.11 billion yuan), and Intelligent Manufacturing (15.59 billion yuan), with year-on-year growth rates of +0.5%, +6.4%, -13.8%, and +22.2%, respectively. The net profits for these segments were 0.9 billion yuan, -1.88 billion yuan, -2.66 billion yuan, and -0.63 billion yuan [6]. - The company’s revenue from domestic and overseas markets was 97.3 billion yuan and 94.8 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -11% and +6%. The overseas revenue has shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 49% over the past 11 years [6]. Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on optimizing its asset portfolio through various methods such as buybacks and privatizations, achieving a cash inflow of approximately 15 billion yuan in 2024. The total debt-to-capital ratio stands at 52% [7]. - The company emphasizes ecological synergy to amplify the flywheel effect and light asset operations. In 2024, the "Health + Insurance" ecological policy model was successfully implemented, and the health segment achieved profitability for the first time [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][6][13] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from a market position upgrade and a continuous increase in net profit, driven by high-quality earnings in 2024 and significant valuation elasticity [4][6] - The company is the third-largest ERP industry leader in China, primarily serving large and medium-sized state-owned enterprises, with better growth potential and certainty compared to competitors [6][8] - The company's cloud business is expected to continue its rapid growth, contributing to double-digit revenue growth in core business [8] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue and net profit projections for 2025-2027 have been revised upwards, with expected net profits of 520 million, 679 million, and 849 million respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 35%, 30%, and 25% [6][9] - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 8,201 million, with a year-on-year growth of 0% [9] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 26.9% in 2024 to 31.1% in 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to increase from 4.7% to 7.7% over the same period [9]

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月03日 雅迪控股（01585.HK） 优于大市 2024 年利润承压，2025 年有望迎来恢复 2024 年收入及利润下滑受国检、去库存等拖累。雅迪控股 2024 年实现营 业收入 282.4 亿元，同比下降 18.9%，净利润 12.7 亿元，同比下降 51.8%； 2024H1 营业收入 144.3 亿元，同比下降 15.5%，净利润 10.3 亿元，同 比下降 13%，2024H2 营业收入 138.1 亿元，同比下降 22.1%，净利润 2.4 亿元，同比下降 83.6%，收入及利润下滑主要是国检影响经销商出货节 奏，公司促销去库存等综合导致。 2024 年利润率下滑，费用率提升。2024 年公司进行去库存，部分产品打 折促销，影响整体利润率，2024 年毛利率 15.2%，同比下降 1.7pct，净 利率 4.5%，同比下降 3.1pct。公司对销售、管理费用也进行相应控制， 销售、管理费用率保持稳健，同时公司仍然保持了较高的研发投入，研 发费用率提升至 4.1%，较 2023 年提升 0.6pct。整体看公司 2024 年综 合费用率为 11.7%，同比提升 0. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 278.8 billion yuan for 2024, representing an 11.0% year-on-year growth, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 18.5% to 25.6 billion yuan [1][2] - The company's gross margin decreased by 3.6 percentage points to 21.6%, primarily due to a decline in the gross margin of the development business [2] - The core net profit attributable to shareholders was 25.4 billion yuan, down 8.5% year-on-year, with recurring business contributing 10.3 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.2% increase [2] Revenue and Profitability - The real estate development business generated revenue of 237.2 billion yuan, up 11.8% year-on-year, while recurring business revenue totaled 41.7 billion yuan, a 6.6% increase, accounting for 14.9% of total revenue [2] - The company expects the development gross margin to remain at a bottoming stage in 2025 [2] Sales Performance - The total sales amount for 2024 was 261.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.0%, with first-tier cities (including Hong Kong) contributing 38% of sales, an increase of 9 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company focused on core cities and projects, with new equity investments totaling 52.6 billion yuan, and 94% of investments concentrated in first and second-tier cities [3] Shopping Center Operations - The company opened 16 new shopping centers in 2024, with retail sales increasing by 19.2% to 195.3 billion yuan, and same-store sales growth of 4.6% [3] - Rental income grew by 8.4% to 19.3 billion yuan, maintaining a rental-to-sales ratio of 12.2% and an operating profit margin of 61%, the highest in five years [3] Financial Health - As of the end of 2024, the company had a debt-to-asset ratio of 55.6% and a net debt ratio of 31.9%, indicating a stable financial position [4] - The comprehensive financing cost decreased by 45 basis points to 3.11%, reflecting a strong credit advantage [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 26.25 billion yuan and 28.15 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 28.93 billion yuan [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.5 for 2025, 6.0 for 2026, and 5.9 for 2027, indicating a solid valuation given the company's financial stability and core land reserves [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [4][5]. Core Insights - The company achieved significant growth in 2024, with sales reaching 9.795 billion RMB (up 166.4% year-on-year), revenue of 8.506 billion RMB (up 167.5% year-on-year), and net profit of 1.473 billion RMB (up 253.9% year-on-year) [1][2]. - The brand's influence is expanding, leading to a same-store sales growth of 120.9% in 2024, driven by product optimization and store expansion [4]. - The company has a stable gross margin of 41.16% and a net margin of 17.32%, reflecting effective cost management despite significant revenue growth [3]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit Growth**: - 2024 revenue: 8.506 billion RMB, growth rate of 167.5% - 2024 net profit: 1.473 billion RMB, growth rate of 253.9% [5] - **Future Projections**: - Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.499 billion RMB, 3.703 billion RMB, and 5.389 billion RMB, respectively, with growth rates of 69.6%, 48.2%, and 45.5% [4][5]. - **Valuation Metrics**: - Projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 50, 34, and 23, respectively, indicating a decreasing valuation multiple as earnings grow [5]. Sales Channel Performance - **Store Sales**: - In 2024, store sales reached 8.535 billion RMB, up 162.86% year-on-year, with revenue of 7.450 billion RMB, up 164.3% [2]. - **Online Sales**: - Online platform sales were 1.260 billion RMB, up 192.82% year-on-year, with revenue of 1.055 billion RMB, up 192.2% [2]. Brand and Product Development - The company has developed nearly 2,000 original designs and holds numerous patents, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [4]. - The expansion strategy includes adding 7 new stores and optimizing 4 existing ones in 2024, contributing to revenue growth [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][6][14] Core Views - The company has shown revenue growth but experienced a significant decline in profit due to pressure on gross margins. The investment strategy is diversified and focuses on high-energy cities, with progress in TOD (Transit-Oriented Development) and urban renewal projects. The company has sufficient unrecognized revenue, and a recovery in performance is expected [6][7][8]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 86.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.04 billion yuan, a decrease of 67.3% year-on-year. The gross margin was 10.48%, down by 4.80 percentage points, and the net margin was 1.70%, down by 3.99 percentage points [7][10]. - The company had cash on hand of 50.05 billion yuan at the end of 2024, an increase of 8.6% from the beginning of the year, and declared a final dividend of 0.189 HKD per share, maintaining a payout ratio of 44% of core net profit [7][10]. Sales and Land Acquisition - The company reported a contract sales amount of 114.54 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 19.4% year-on-year, but its sales ranking improved to 8th place. The Greater Bay Area and Guangzhou accounted for 42.7% and 37.9% of sales, respectively. By the end of 2024, the company had unrecognized sales amounting to 170.05 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.7% from the beginning of the year [8][10]. - In 2024, the company acquired 24 plots of land across 8 cities, with a total construction area of 2.71 million square meters, over 70% of which were in first-tier cities. The total land reserve by the end of 2024 was 19.71 million square meters, with significant portions in the Greater Bay Area and East China [8][10]. Strategic Developments - The company has deepened its strategy of integrating commercial and residential developments, achieving a rental income of 668 million yuan from directly held commercial properties, a year-on-year increase of 37.1%. The company maintained a green status under the "three red lines" policy, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 68.1% and a weighted average borrowing cost reduced by 33 basis points to 3.49% [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for China LESSO Group Holdings [1][9] Core Views - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 decreased by 28.9% year-on-year, amounting to RMB 1.684 billion, with revenue also declining by 12.4% to RMB 27.026 billion [5][9] - The decline in profits is primarily attributed to a decrease in gross profit of RMB 828 million and a reduction in the performance of joint ventures by RMB 220 million [5][9] - The company is focused on extending the value of its main business in plastic pipeline systems, with a steady recovery in gross profit margin [6][7] Financial Performance - Revenue from plastic pipeline systems was RMB 22.819 billion, down 7.2% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 28.7%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points [6][7] - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be RMB 2.201 billion (+57.49%), RMB 2.476 billion (+54.58%), and RMB 2.675 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 0.71, RMB 0.80, and RMB 0.86 [9] Market Expansion - The company is actively exploring overseas markets, focusing on Southeast Asia, Africa, and North America, and has established production bases in several countries [8][9] - It aims to enhance its overall market share and influence in the international market through collaborative efforts among diversified businesses [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [7][18]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 was impacted by industry fluctuations, but its diversified business model provides solid support for profits. The debt structure continues to improve, gradually alleviating repayment pressure [6][7]. - The company achieved a total revenue of 127.47 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 29.6% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.40 billion yuan, down 19.1% year-on-year [1][2]. - The operational and service segments contributed significantly to the company's profits, with service revenue increasing by 7.4% year-on-year, accounting for 21% of total revenue [2][5]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 127.47 billion yuan, down 29.6% year-on-year. The core profit was 6.97 billion yuan, a decline of 38.6% year-on-year. The gross margin was 16.0%, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points from 2023 [1][2]. - The operational and service business segments showed resilience, with a gross margin of 75.0% for the service segment [2][5]. Sales Performance - The company recorded a contract sales amount of 101.12 billion yuan in 2024, down 41.7% year-on-year, with a sales area of 7.124 million square meters, a decrease of 34.0% year-on-year [3]. - The average sales price per square meter was 14,200 yuan, down 11.7% year-on-year [3]. Debt and Cash Flow - As of the end of 2024, the company's interest-bearing debt was 176.32 billion yuan, down 8.5% year-on-year, with cash on hand at 49.42 billion yuan, a decrease of 18.2% [4]. - The net debt ratio stood at 51.7%, with a cash-to-short-term debt ratio of 1.03 times [4]. Operational Resilience - The company's rental income from operational businesses reached 13.52 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 4.5% year-on-year, with shopping center rental income rising by 7% to 10.98 billion yuan [5]. - The company opened 11 new shopping centers in 2024, bringing the total to 89, with an occupancy rate of 97% [5]. Financial Forecasts - The report adjusts the forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 to 7.06 billion yuan and 7.25 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 7.51 billion yuan [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for New Hope Services with a target price revised down by 4% to HK$2.67, reflecting lower earnings forecasts [1][8]. Core Insights - New Hope Services' FY24 revenue grew 17% YoY to RMB 1,480 million, exceeding CMBI estimates by 5%, driven by stable managed GFA growth and strong retail & catering services [1][8]. - Net profit increased by 5% YoY to RMB 230 million, aligning with the company's guidance, despite a decline in gross margin and a reduction in SG&A ratio [1][8]. - The company reported impressive third-party expansion, with new contract value reaching RMB 600 million, a 192% increase YoY, and expects FY25 third-party expansion to rise by 16% to RMB 700 million [1][8]. Financial Performance Summary - FY24 revenue: RMB 1,481 million, a 17.5% increase YoY [2]. - FY24 net profit: RMB 227 million, a 5% increase YoY [2]. - EPS for FY24: RMB 0.28, reflecting a 5.5% growth YoY [2]. - Average PM fee for new third-party projects rose by 51% to RMB 2.63, indicating a shift towards higher-end projects [1][8]. - The company expects a dividend yield of 9.6% in 2025E based on the current price [1][8]. Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for FY25E: RMB 1,644 million, with a YoY growth of 11% [2][10]. - Net profit projections for FY25E: RMB 250 million, with a YoY growth of 10.4% [2][10]. - The gross margin is expected to decline to 29.5% in FY25E from 30.4% in FY24A [10][11]. Shareholder Structure - Golden Rose Developments holds a 66.9% stake in New Hope Services, indicating a strong controlling interest [4]. Market Data - Current market capitalization: HK$ 1,619.9 million [3]. - The stock is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 6.0x for FY25E [3][11]. Share Performance - The stock has shown a 1.5% decline over the past month and a 0.5% increase over the past three months [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company reported impressive financial results for 2024, achieving revenue of 8.505 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 167.5%, and a net profit of 1.473 billion RMB, up 253.9% [1][4] - The company's brand influence is expanding, with significant contributions to revenue growth from user acquisition and same-store sales, which increased by 120.9% year-on-year [2] - The company is set to open its first store in Singapore in 2025, marking its entry into international markets [3] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 41.2%, maintaining stability, while the adjusted net profit margin increased to 17.7% from 13.4% in 2023 [4] - The company plans to distribute a generous dividend of 6.35 RMB per share, totaling 1.07 billion RMB, which represents 73% of its 2024 profits [4] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 17.92 billion RMB, 25.89 billion RMB, and 35.16 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 111%, 44%, and 36% respectively [5][7] Store Expansion and Market Strategy - The company added 7 new stores in 2024, bringing the total to 36 self-operated stores across 15 cities, with a focus on high-end commercial centers [3] - The company plans to open 8 new stores in mainland China and 5 in Hong Kong, Macau, and Singapore over the next two years [3] Key Financial Metrics - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 8.75 RMB, with forecasts of 21.03 RMB, 31.58 RMB, and 44.23 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7][9] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the next three years are projected at 36, 24, and 17 [5][9]