『产品运作』 积极调整持仓，增配港股 Q：泉果思源整体运作情况如何？ 2025年一季度，产品整体维持高仓位运作，股票仓位占基金资产净值的比例为84.83%，其中港股占比19.09%。在行业分布上，秉持均衡分散的思路，选择 质地较好、产业逻辑通顺、未来两到三年内确定性较高的公司进行投资，主要布局在消费电子、互联网、新能源、地产、家电、周期等。 一季度，产品根据市场表现做出了部分调整，减仓了部分涨幅达到预期的AI应用、金融等，加仓了出口业务预喜的摩托车公司，以及供给侧出清、需求提 升、有成本优势的电解铝公司。 产品最新前十大持仓如下： | 股票名称 | 占基金净值比(%) | | --- | --- | | 立讯精密 | 9.19 | | 腾讯控股 | 9.08 | | 宁德时代 | 9.07 | | 快手－W | 5.27 | | 保利发展 | 3.89 | | 招商蛇口 | 3.74 | | 美的集团 | 3.64 | | 太阳纸业 | 3.26 | | 九号公司 | 3.18 | | 天山铝业 | 3.05 | 注：持仓及比例信息来自2025年一季报。前十大重仓股采用申万二级行业分类，不代表当前和未来持仓以 ...

Group 1 - The core index of free cash flow has increased by 0.36%, with leading stocks including Laibao High-Tech, Tailong Co., Guangming Meat, Huayi Group, and Hisense Home Appliances [1] - The free cash flow ETF (159201) has risen by 0.41%, with the latest price at 0.97 yuan, and a cumulative increase of 1.04% over the past two weeks [1] - The trading volume of the free cash flow ETF reached 2.70 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 8.15% [1] Group 2 - Leveraged funds continue to invest, with a net financing amount of 3.21 million yuan and a latest financing balance of 52.96 million yuan for the free cash flow ETF [3] - The management fee for the free cash flow ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, making it the lowest among comparable funds [3] - The free cash flow ETF has a tracking error of 0.165% year-to-date, indicating the highest tracking accuracy among comparable funds [3] Group 3 - The latest price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the free cash flow ETF is 11.74, which is below 81.35% of the time over the past year, indicating a historical low valuation [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Index of Free Cash Flow account for 56.66% of the index, including Midea Group, China National Offshore Oil, and China Aluminum [3]

民生证券近日发布有色金属周报：本周（04/28-04/30）上证综指下跌0.49%，沪深300指 数下跌0.43%，SW有色指数下跌0.81%，贵金属COMEX黄金下跌-1.00%，COMEX白银下 跌-1.01%。工业金属LME铝、铜、锌、铅、镍、锡价格分别变动+1.11%、+0.83%、 +0.57%、+1.28%、+0.35%、+1.79%，工业金属库存LME铝、铜、锌、铅、镍、锡分别变 动-2.36%、-2.48%、-5.27%、-4.14%、-1.44%、-2.65%。 以下为研究报告摘要： 贵金属：市场对中美达成贸易协议的乐观态度，削弱了避险资产，金价短期回落，美元 走弱大趋势下继续看好贵金属价格后续表现。目前市场对中美达成贸易协议的乐观态度，削 弱了避险资产，对金价反弹造成限制。中长期来看，去美元中心化+美元信用弱化为主线， 全球贸易担忧情绪仍存，叠加俄乌冲突不断升级，看好金价中枢上移。白银价格受金价回落 影响也有所回落，但工业属性利好使得其回落幅度小于黄金，后续若看到金价反弹，银价弹 性相对更高，价格有望创历史新高。重点推荐：万国黄金集团、赤峰黄金、山金国际、招金 矿业、山东黄金、中金黄金、湖 ...

关于首次回购股份暨回购股份进展情况的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 天山铝业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 9 日召开第 六届董事会第十二次会议，审议通过了《关于以集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份 方案的议案》，同意公司使用股票回购专项贷款和自有资金以集中竞价交易方式 回购公司发行在外的部分 A 股普通股股票。本次用于回购股份的资金总额不低 于人民币 20,000 万元（含），不超过人民币 30,000 万元（含）。在本次回购股份 价格不超过 10 元/股（含）的条件下，按照本次回购资金总额上限测算，预计可 回购股份总数约为 3000 万股，约占公司当前总股本的 0.64%；按照本次回购资 金总额下限测算，预计可回购股份总数约为 2000 万股，约占公司当前总股本的 0.43%。具体以公司公告回购方案实施完毕之日的实际回购股份数量为准。本次 回购股份的实施期限为自公司董事会审议通过本次回购股份方案之日起 6 个月 内。本次回购的股份后续将全部用于实施员工持股计划或股权激励计划，若公司 未能在本次回购实施完成之日起 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [5] Core Views - The report highlights a strong demand for gold driven by significant inflows into gold ETFs, with global investment demand reaching 552 tons in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 170% [1][36] - The easing of U.S. tariff policies has positively impacted copper prices, with a rebound observed due to improved market sentiment and a decrease in global copper inventories [2] - The lithium market is facing cost pressures, leading to a reduction in production rates, while demand remains stable, suggesting a potential stabilization in lithium prices [3] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - In Q1 2025, global gold investment demand surged to 552 tons, with ETF inflows accounting for 226 tons, indicating strong market interest despite a 21% year-on-year decrease in central bank purchases [1][36] Industrial Metals - Copper inventories fell to 582,000 tons, with a reduction of 58,000 tons week-on-week, supporting a price rebound following the easing of tariffs [2] - Aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate due to a combination of U.S. Federal Reserve policies and domestic production adjustments, with theoretical operating capacity for electrolytic aluminum at 43.835 million tons [2] Energy Metals - Lithium carbonate prices have decreased by 3.1% to 66,000 yuan per ton, while production rates have dropped by 14% to 14,500 tons, indicating a tightening supply situation [3] - The demand for silicon metal remains stable, but high inventory levels are expected to keep prices under pressure [3] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Chalco, with various buy ratings based on projected earnings growth and favorable market conditions [8]

Group 1 - The aluminum processing industry involves the use of plastic processing methods to convert aluminum ingots into products such as aluminum profiles, plates, and foils [1] - Major upstream processes include the production of electrolytic aluminum and recycled aluminum, which require bauxite and alumina processing [1] - The aluminum processing products are widely used in various sectors including transportation, packaging, construction, aerospace, and electrical machinery [1] Group 2 - Key listed companies in the aluminum processing industry include Tianshan Aluminum (002532), Mingtai Aluminum (601677), China Aluminum (601600), and Nanshan Aluminum (600219) [2][3] - Mingtai Aluminum, Asia Pacific Technology, Nanshan Aluminum, Ding Sheng New Materials, and Hong Chuang Holdings have over 90% of their business focused on aluminum processing [8] - Domestic market sales dominate, with overseas sales being relatively small for most aluminum processing companies [8] Group 3 - In 2023, Mingtai Aluminum, Nanshan Aluminum, and Yun Aluminum reported revenues exceeding 20 billion yuan, with significant variations in gross margins due to the diversity of aluminum processing products [11] - The production output of aluminum processing products is led by Nanshan Aluminum, Mingtai Aluminum, and Yun Aluminum [11] - Companies are focusing on optimizing their business models and enhancing their technological capabilities to meet the growing demand for aluminum in high-end applications [13] Group 4 - Companies are planning to reduce upstream costs, accelerate technological research and development, and increase production capacity as part of their strategic initiatives [13] - Specific plans include Mingtai Aluminum's focus on recycling aluminum and enhancing product quality, while Nanshan Aluminum aims to develop high-end aluminum materials for the automotive and aerospace sectors [15][16] - The industry is expected to continue growing steadily, driven by the increasing application of aluminum in various sectors and the push for carbon neutrality [13]

上天天基金APP搜索【777】领 98 元券包 ，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 作为资本市场的重要"稳定器"和"压舱石"，社保基金凭借审慎稳健的投资运营管理，已经成为A股市场 长期投资、理性投资的典范。 根据A股上市公司2025年一季报披露，截至4月28日记者发稿，一季度末已有324家公司前十大流通股股 东名单中出现社保基金的身影，社保基金最新投资路线图逐次揭晓。东方财富Choice数据显示，上述 324家公司累计获社保基金重仓持股54.97亿股，对应持股市值为853.85亿元。 社保基金新进持有100家上市公司 今年一季度，社保基金对云铝股份、华鲁恒升、常熟银行、万华化学、赤峰黄金、广汇能源、西部超 导、新奥股份、宇通客车、宝钢股份、长城汽车等15家公司的重仓持股市值超过10亿元。其中，社保基 金持有云铝股份1.45亿股，对应持仓市值为25.13亿元；持有华鲁恒升1.06亿股，对应持仓市值23.42亿 元；持有常熟银行2.54亿股，对应持仓市值为17.7亿元；持有万华化学2121万股，对应持仓市值为14.26 亿元；持有赤峰黄金6145.75万股，对应持仓市值为14.07亿元；持有广汇能源2.1 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tianshan Aluminum's comprehensive competitiveness has been released, significantly enhancing its profitability, as evidenced by its financial performance in the first quarter of 2025 and the year 2024 [1][3]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Tianshan Aluminum achieved an operating income of approximately 79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 16% [1][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 10.58 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 47% [1][3]. - For the full year 2024, the company reported an operating income of 280.89 billion yuan, a decrease of about 3% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 45 billion yuan, doubling compared to the previous year [2][4]. Production and Pricing - Tianshan Aluminum's main products include electrolytic aluminum and alumina, with a notable increase in production and sales volumes due to favorable market conditions in 2024 [2][4]. - The average selling price of self-produced electrolytic aluminum was approximately 19,800 yuan per ton, up about 6% year-on-year, while the average selling price of self-produced alumina was around 4,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a 40% increase [5]. - The company completed an electrolytic aluminum production of 1.1759 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of about 1%, and alumina production of 2.2789 million tons, up 7.55% [4]. Cost Management and Cash Flow - Tianshan Aluminum's operating cash flow net inflow increased to 52.20 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 33.29% [2][9]. - The company's total operating costs for 2024 were 233.54 billion yuan, a reduction of approximately 33.70 billion yuan compared to 2023 [6]. - The company's asset-liability ratio has been decreasing for four consecutive years, reaching 52.74% at the end of 2024, down 5.04 percentage points from the previous year [2][9]. Vertical Integration and Competitive Advantage - Tianshan Aluminum has established a vertically integrated industrial chain, enhancing its cost competitiveness and resilience against market price fluctuations [7][8]. - The company has invested in advanced production technologies, particularly in high-purity aluminum, which has improved efficiency and reduced production costs [8]. - The integration of upstream and downstream operations allows Tianshan Aluminum to maintain a strong competitive position within the industry [7][8].

【导读】一季度社保基金新进持有100只个股 作为资本市场的重要"稳定器"和"压舱石"，社保基金凭借审慎稳健的投资运营管理，已经成为A股市场 长期投资、理性投资的典范。 根据A股上市公司2025年一季报披露，截至4月28日记者发稿，一季度末已有324家公司前十大流通股股 东名单中出现社保基金的身影，社保基金最新投资路线图逐次揭晓。数据显示，上述324家公司累计获 社保基金重仓持股54.97亿股，对应持股市值为853.85亿元。 增持方面，今年一季度社保基金加仓了中国巨石（600176）、鱼跃医疗（002223）、亿联网络 （300628）、广联达（002410）、山金国际（000975）、国药股份（600511）、天山铝业（002532）等 72只个股。 全国社会保障基金理事会日前表示，始终坚持长期投资、价值投资、责任投资理念，坚定看好中国资本 市场发展前景，主动融入国家发展战略，在积极开展股票投资的同时实现基金安全和保值增值。 社保基金新进持有100家上市公司 今年一季度，社保基金对云铝股份（000807）、华鲁恒升（600426）、常熟银行（601128）、万华化学 （600309）、赤峰黄金（600988 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report Copper - Macro: Positive policy signals from domestic important meetings and reduced US tariff negatives have cooled market risk aversion. Attention should be paid to negotiation progress [4]. - Fundamentals: Domestic copper concentrate processing fees remain negative. After the copper price fell from its high, terminal consumption recovered, and social inventories continued to decline. As of April 24, the copper inventory in major regions across the country dropped to 181,700 tons, with eight consecutive weeks of inventory reduction [4]. - Overall Logic: Trump's tariff remarks are volatile, market sentiment has eased, and the copper price has rebounded to fill the gap. Attention should be paid to whether there will be new macro - level positive support, and be vigilant against risks in the overseas market during the May Day holiday [4]. Electrolytic Aluminum - Macro: Similar to copper, positive policy signals from domestic important meetings and reduced US tariff negatives have cooled market risk aversion. Attention should be paid to negotiation progress [6]. - Fundamentals: Domestic electrolytic aluminum operating capacity is at a high level, the start - up of downstream aluminum processing enterprises is stable, social inventories are in a seasonal destocking cycle, and aluminum product exports have declined significantly. Attention should be paid to domestic demand support [6]. - Overall Logic: The negative impact of US tariff increases has gradually been released. There are no major contradictions in the aluminum fundamentals. This week, it may continue to fluctuate and consolidate. Attention should be paid to the pressure at the gap position above, and be vigilant against risks in the overseas market during the May Day holiday [6]. Alumina - Macro: Similar to copper and electrolytic aluminum, positive policy signals from domestic important meetings and reduced US tariff negatives have cooled market risk aversion. Attention should be paid to negotiation progress [8]. - Fundamentals: As of last Thursday, the national alumina operating capacity was 83.62 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 740,000 tons. Due to recent concentrated maintenance and production cuts, the alumina operating capacity has been lower than the theoretical demand for electrolytic aluminum production for several consecutive weeks, and the spot supply of alumina has tightened [8]. - Overall Logic: The spot price of alumina has stopped falling recently, but the medium - term supply - demand fundamentals are still in surplus. A bearish outlook should be maintained in the medium term [8]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review - **Copper Market**: The average price of copper in the Yangtze River Non - Ferrous Market was 78,280 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 1,880 yuan/ton. The closing prices of various copper futures contracts also showed increases. LME copper prices and inventories also had corresponding changes [15]. - **Aluminum Market**: The average price of aluminum in the Yangtze River Non - Ferrous Market was 20,100 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 210 yuan/ton. The closing prices of various aluminum futures contracts increased, and LME aluminum inventories increased [15]. - **Alumina Market**: The alumina spot price index was 2,897 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 19 yuan/ton. The average prices of alumina in different regions also had small increases [15]. - **Weekly News**: In the first quarter, 11,906 large - scale non - ferrous metal industrial enterprises achieved a total profit of 91.77 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 40.7%. The Antamina copper mine in Peru is gradually resuming operations after an accident. The aluminum industry companies generally had good performance in 2024 and the first quarter of 2025. The Shanghai Futures Exchange is soliciting opinions on the futures contracts, option contracts, and business rules of cast aluminum alloy [17]. 3.2 Macro Analysis On April 25, 2025, the Politburo meeting proposed new measures in central government leverage, consumption, infrastructure, real estate, and employment, aiming to promote economic development [19]. 3.3 Copper Market Analysis - **Spot Market**: The processing fee TC continued to decline. The spread between refined and scrap copper, import profit, and other indicators also showed corresponding trends [25]. - **Futures Market**: The net long positions in COMEX copper increased [28]. - **Overseas Market**: The US dollar index rebounded, which had an impact on LME copper prices, spreads, and inventories [32]. - **Inventories**: As of April 24, the social copper inventory in major regions across the country dropped to 181,700 tons, achieving eight consecutive weeks of inventory reduction. The operating rate of major domestic refined copper rod enterprises is expected to rise to 81.81% this week [36]. 3.4 Electrolytic Aluminum Market Analysis - **Domestic Market**: The spot premium of electrolytic aluminum converged. The spreads between different aluminum products and the import profit also showed corresponding changes [42]. - **Foreign Market**: The US dollar index rebounded, affecting LME aluminum prices, spreads, and net positions of different institutions [44]. - **Weekly Inventories**: The social inventory of electrolytic aluminum, aluminum rod, and the inventories in the Shanghai Futures Exchange and LME all showed different trends [46]. - **Downstream Start - up**: As of April 24, the overall start - up rate of the domestic aluminum downstream processing industry increased by 0.1 percentage points to 62.5%. Different sub - industries had different performance, and the start - up rate is expected to decline slightly this week [48]. - **Cost and Profit**: The cost and profit of electrolytic aluminum were affected by the prices of alumina, pre - baked anodes, and power coal [53]. 3.5 Alumina Market Analysis - **Spot Market**: The domestic alumina spot price has stopped falling. The prices of alumina in different regions and related raw materials such as bauxite and caustic soda also showed corresponding trends [56]. - **Futures Market**: The inventory of alumina futures remained at a high level. The basis and the relationship between alumina futures prices and other related futures prices also had corresponding changes [59]. - **Supply and Demand**: On the supply side, the operating capacity of alumina increased. On the demand side, the theoretical operating capacity of the electrolytic aluminum industry increased slightly [62]. - **Cost and Profit**: The cost pressure on alumina enterprises is relatively high. As of April 24, the industry cost was 3,337.48 yuan/ton, and the industry profit was - 445.73 yuan/ton [65].