有数据显示，2020–2022年锂电产业链涨价周期中，上游碳酸锂价格从4万元/吨底部启动，两年内最高 冲至60万元/吨，涨幅达14倍；当前时点产业扩产意愿显著低于2021年，2026年新增供给有限，而储能 等新兴需求持续超预期，稀有金属中具备类似资源刚性与下游高成长性的品种，价格弹性与盈利修复空 间值得重视。 此外，钴作为新能源与高温合金核心稀有金属，其供给格局正经历政策驱动型重塑。华西证券援引嘉能 可季报指出，刚果（金）已于2025年四季度解除钴出口禁令，转而实施配额管理制度，并允许未使用配 额延至2026年3月31日；嘉能可明确将优先保障铜出口，钴则按分配额度有序释放，超出配额部分以在 制品或成品形式在国内库存累积，该策略既响应监管要求，又为后续价格弹性预留空间。 稀有金属ETF基金（561800）跟踪的CS稀金属指数，该指数主要配置碳酸锂+小金属+稀土板块，碳酸 锂含量在30%~40%，是市面上含"锂"量最高的指数，为场内投资者提供一键布局稀有金属行业的优秀 投资工具。 场内ETF方面，截至2026年2月11日午间收盘，中证稀有金属主题指数(930632)强势上涨4.13%，成分股 东方钽业、章源钨业1 ...

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market, with companies like Zhongtung High-tech, Xiamen Tungsten, and Northern Rare Earth seeing significant stock price increases of 7.98%, 6.72%, and 6.34% respectively, contributing to a nearly 3% rise in the Tianhong Non-ferrous Metal ETF (159157) [1] - The Tianhong Non-ferrous Metal ETF has attracted substantial capital inflow, with a total of 890 million shares purchased in a single day and a cumulative net inflow of 614 million yuan over three days, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The ETF covers a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, and rare earths, allowing it to capture various market cycles effectively [1] Group 2 - On February 10, prices for mainstream rare earth products such as praseodymium and neodymium oxides have risen due to tight supply conditions and strong demand from downstream buyers [2] - The non-ferrous sector is expected to perform well in 2025, with companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum projected to see net profit increases of over 60% and 50% respectively, while Shenghe Resources and Huayu Mining are expected to see even higher profit growth [2] - Following price adjustments by tungsten companies, Zhangyuan Tungsten has also raised its long-term procurement prices for black and white tungsten concentrates by 28.1% [2] - The U.S. has initiated a $12 billion strategic metal reserve plan, and the Non-ferrous Metals Industry Association has suggested commercial interest subsidies for copper and copper concentrates to enhance resource value [2]

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint indicates that recent liquidity shocks in overseas markets, driven by concerns over the AI software bubble and subsequent momentum selling, have led to significant volatility in equities, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. It suggests that some assets may have been "wrongly killed" due to these liquidity shocks, as the macroeconomic fundamentals and broad liquidity environment have not changed significantly [1][13] - The report anticipates that the upcoming U.S. non-farm employment and CPI data for January may present upward risks, potentially reversing the slight increase in expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts observed this week [1][13] Financial Products - The report highlights that overseas market liquidity shows signs of stabilization, which may improve market sentiment. It predicts a positive outlook for the A-share market in February, with a historical probability of 78.57% for an increase following a macro timing model score of 0 [1][16] - Fund allocation recommendations suggest a balanced ETF configuration due to expected short-term market fluctuations, with a focus on sectors like chemicals and electric grid equipment, which continue to see increasing fund sizes [1][16] Commodity Market - The report discusses the impact of liquidity shocks on commodity prices, noting that certain commodities, which rely on supply-demand improvements, have been "wrongly hurt" but may return to fundamental pricing logic as market conditions stabilize [2][17] - It emphasizes that the recent volatility in silver and other precious metals indicates a potential end to the liquidity shock, with silver becoming a key indicator of market sentiment [2][17] Environmental Industry - The report stresses the importance of advancing the national carbon market and outlines investment recommendations in clean energy, energy conservation, and recycling sectors. It highlights specific companies such as Longjing Environmental and others involved in renewable energy and waste management [6][10] Non-Banking Financial Sector - The report notes a recovery in the IPO and refinancing market, with significant year-on-year growth in both areas. It indicates that the capital market reforms and increased market activity are expected to benefit brokerage firms' investment banking revenues [9] AI Industry and Bond Financing - The report focuses on the AI industry, highlighting the need for a diversified financing system to support technology companies, particularly private firms with high growth potential. It reviews case studies of leading tech companies' bond financing paths to assess the feasibility of similar strategies in China [4]

点击 最 下方 关注《材料汇》 ， 点击"在看"和" "并分享 添加 小编微信 ，遇见 志同道合 的你 （请添加小编微信，后续会组建 相关微信群 ） 图：多数经济体通胀水平仍高于疫情前（2019/12） 图:当前主要经济体实际长期利率依然较高 & 调:同比 3 - 2. Real Long-Term Interest Rates ):所有类目不包括能源、食品、酒精与烟草(核心HICP):同比 (Percent, year over year) 0% 2 - - United States - Euro area - United Kingdom 不包括食品和能源(核心CPI):当月同比 Japan 1-3 5 -2 - 2015: 21: 17: 19: 23: 25: 01 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q2 4 赛每来源:Wind. INF、奥源证券研究 | (实际GDP增速) | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | (实际GDP增速) | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 全球产出 | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report No clear core viewpoints are presented in the given content. The report mainly provides various data related to lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide futures and spot markets. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Data - **Price Range and Volatility**: The support level of the lithium carbonate futures main contract is 120,000 yuan/ton, with a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 110.1% and a 3 - year historical percentile of 96.0% [3]. - **Contract Performance**: The main contract's closing price is 137,340 yuan/ton, up 340 yuan (0.25%) daily but down 10,760 yuan (-7.27%) weekly. The trading volume is 295,231 lots, down 10,090 lots (-3.30%) daily and 324,311 lots (-52.35%) weekly. The open interest is 345,989 lots, up 1,918 lots (0.56%) daily but down 9,781 lots (-2.75%) weekly [5]. - **Spread Data**: The spreads between different contracts (e.g., LC2605 - LC2607, LC2605 - LC2609) show various daily and weekly changes [5]. - **CME and LME Futures**: CME's February 26th lithium hydroxide futures settlement price is 16.65, with different price and volume data for other months. LME lithium hydroxide futures data is also presented, but specific details are not fully described in the text [15]. 3.2 Spot Data - **Lithium Ore and Salt Prices**: The latest average prices of various lithium ores and salts are provided, such as lithium mica (2 - 2.5%) at 4,375 yuan/ton, battery - grade lithium carbonate at 136,000 yuan/ton (up 500 yuan, 0.37% daily), and industrial - grade lithium hydroxide at 123,200 yuan/ton (up 700 yuan, 0.57% daily) [22]. - **Price Seasonality and Trends**: Seasonal and historical price trends of lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, and other related products are presented through charts, including six - fluoro lithium phosphate, phosphoric (manganese) iron lithium, and ternary materials [23][24]. - **Price Spreads**: The spreads between battery - grade lithium carbonate and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade lithium carbonate and battery - grade lithium hydroxide, and battery - grade lithium hydroxide CIF in Japan, South Korea, and domestic prices are calculated and analyzed, showing daily and weekly changes [25]. 3.3 Basis and Warehouse Receipt Data - **Basis Analysis**: The basis of the lithium carbonate main - continuous contract, the seasonal basis of the Ganglian - lithium carbonate main contract, and the basis of the near - month contract are analyzed through charts and data. The brand - specific basis quotes of different lithium carbonate producers are also provided [30][33][34]. - **Warehouse Receipt Data**: The total number of Guangzhou Futures Exchange's lithium carbonate warehouse receipts is 35,537 lots, up 940 lots (2.72%) daily and 2,453 lots (7.41%) weekly. The warehouse receipt data of different warehouses are detailed [5][37]. 3.4 Cost and Profit - **Production Profit**: The production profits of lithium carbonate from purchased lithium ore (lithium spodumene concentrate and lithium mica concentrate) and the production profits of lithium hydroxide by causticization and smelting methods are presented through charts [40]. - **Delivery and Trade Profits**: The theoretical delivery profit of lithium carbonate, as well as the export profit of lithium hydroxide and the import profit of lithium carbonate, are shown in the charts [42][43].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the AH premium rates of various companies, indicating significant discrepancies between their H-shares and A-shares, with some companies showing extremely high premiums while others exhibit negative premiums [1]. Group 1: Top AH Premium Rates - Northeast Electric (00042) has the highest AH premium rate at 831.03%, with H-share priced at 0.290 HKD and A-share at 2.25 CNY [1]. - Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033) follows with a premium rate of 296.70%, H-share at 0.910 HKD and A-share at 3.01 CNY [1]. - Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric (00187) ranks third with a premium of 285.05%, H-share at 4.280 HKD and A-share at 13.76 CNY [1]. Group 2: Lowest AH Premium Rates - Contemporary Amperex Technology (03750) has the lowest AH premium rate at -13.27%, with H-share priced at 511.000 HKD and A-share at 370 CNY [1]. - China Merchants Bank (03968) shows a premium of -4.06%, H-share at 49.300 HKD and A-share at 39.49 CNY [1]. - WuXi AppTec (02359) has a premium of -2.14%, with H-share at 120.800 HKD and A-share at 98.7 CNY [1]. Group 3: Top Deviation Values - Jinju Group (02009) has the highest deviation value at 24.42%, with a premium of 212.05% [1]. - Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric (00187) has a deviation value of 21.92%, with a premium of 285.05% [1]. - Longpan Technology (02465) ranks third with a deviation value of 19.68%, and a premium of 101.01% [1]. Group 4: Lowest Deviation Values - JunDa Co., Ltd. (02865) has the lowest deviation value at -70.56%, with a premium of 176.15% [2]. - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) follows with a deviation of -45.38%, and a premium of 105.94% [2]. - Chenming Paper (01812) has a deviation of -26.81%, with a premium of 190.80% [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [1] Core Views - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a decline of 8.51% in the week from February 2 to February 6, ranking last among all primary industries. Precious metals saw a significant drop of 17.38%, while industrial metals fell by 9.49% [1][14] - The market is currently in a low-risk environment characterized by "Wash Trading," leading to continued high volatility in precious metals. The report remains optimistic about gold's upward momentum in the context of expansive monetary policies, while silver's performance will depend on changes in physical asset holdings [1][4] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.27%, with the non-ferrous metals sector declining by 8.51%, underperforming the index by 7.24 percentage points [14] - All sub-sectors within non-ferrous metals experienced declines, with precious metals down 17.38%, industrial metals down 9.49%, and energy metals down 3.59% [14] Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Prices for copper decreased, with LME copper at $13,060 per ton (down 0.08%) and SHFE copper at ¥100,100 per ton (down 3.45%). Increased inventories in Shanghai, New York, and London are pressuring prices [2][31][32] - **Aluminum**: LME aluminum prices fell to $3,110 per ton (down 0.81%), and SHFE aluminum prices dropped to ¥23,315 per ton (down 5.07%). The upcoming Chinese New Year is expected to further increase inventory levels [3][36][39] - **Zinc**: LME zinc prices rose slightly to $3,383 per ton (up 0.39%), while SHFE zinc prices fell to ¥24,450 per ton (down 5.36%). Inventory levels showed mixed trends [40] - **Tin**: LME tin prices fell to $47,155 per ton (down 6.81%), and SHFE tin prices dropped to ¥357,000 per ton (down 12.71%). Increased supply from traders has led to a more relaxed market [46] Precious Metals - **Gold**: COMEX gold closed at $4,988.60 per ounce (up 1.65%), while SHFE gold closed at ¥1,090.12 per gram (down 6.14%). Despite weak labor market data in the U.S., the market remains in a low-risk environment, supporting gold's potential for further gains [4][50][51] - **Silver**: The report emphasizes the need to monitor changes in silver holdings to assess the impact of physical asset shortages on the futures market [4][51]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [1] Core Views - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a decline of 8.51% in the week from February 2 to February 6, ranking last among all primary industries. Precious metals saw a significant drop of 17.38%, while industrial metals fell by 9.49% [1][14] - The market is currently in a low-risk environment characterized by "Wash Trading," with cross-asset sell-offs affecting precious metals, which continue to exhibit high volatility. The report remains optimistic about gold's upward momentum in the context of expansive monetary policies [1][4] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.27%, with the non-ferrous metals sector underperforming by 7.24 percentage points [14] - All sub-sectors within non-ferrous metals declined, with precious metals leading the drop [14] Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Prices for copper decreased, with LME copper at $13,060 per ton (down 0.08%) and SHFE copper at ¥100,100 per ton (down 3.45%). Increased inventories across major markets are pressuring prices [2][31][32] - **Aluminum**: LME aluminum prices fell to $3,110 per ton (down 0.81%) and SHFE aluminum to ¥23,315 per ton (down 5.07%). The upcoming Chinese New Year is expected to further suppress demand [3][36][39] - **Zinc**: LME zinc prices increased slightly to $3,383 per ton (up 0.39%), while SHFE zinc prices fell to ¥24,450 per ton (down 5.36%) [40] - **Tin**: LME tin prices dropped significantly to $47,155 per ton (down 6.81%), with SHFE tin at ¥357,000 per ton (down 12.71%) due to increased market supply [46] Precious Metals - **Gold**: COMEX gold closed at $4,988.60 per ounce (up 1.65%), while SHFE gold was at ¥1,090.12 per gram (down 6.14%). Despite weak labor market data in the U.S., the market remains in a low-risk environment, supporting gold's potential for further gains [4][50][51] - **Silver**: The report emphasizes the need to monitor changes in silver positions to assess the impact of physical asset shortages on the futures market [4][51]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the fluctuations in the rare metals sector, with the China Securities Rare Metals Theme Index experiencing a slight decline of 0.11% as of February 10, 2026, while individual stocks showed mixed performance [1] - The lithium battery supply chain saw a significant price increase from 40,000 yuan/ton to a peak of 600,000 yuan/ton between 2020 and 2022, marking a 14-fold increase, but current expansion intentions are notably lower than in 2021, indicating limited new supply in 2026 [1] - The tungsten market is expected to see continuous price increases due to tight supply and steady demand, with the strategic value of tungsten being reassessed as it is a key metal for export control [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Rare Metals Theme Index account for 59.71% of the index, including companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and Ganfeng Lithium [2] - The Rare Metals ETF (562800) serves as a convenient tool for investors looking to gain exposure to the rare metals sector [2] - Investors can also consider the Rare Metals ETF linked fund (014111) to explore investment opportunities in the rare metals sector [3]

Group 1: Precision Medicine and Robotics - The report highlights Jingfeng Medical-B as a leader in surgical robotics in China, driving advancements in surgical procedures through continuous technological innovation, with rapid growth in global clinical surgeries and domestic sales [2][3] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 432 million, 811 million, and 1.236 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with a target price of 73.20 yuan for 2026 based on a 35X PS valuation [3] - Jingfeng Medical has established a comprehensive surgical solution with its innovative multi-port and single-port robotic systems, becoming the first in China and the second globally to obtain regulatory approval for multiple robotic systems [3][4] Group 2: Market Performance and Sales Growth - In 2024, Jingfeng Medical sold 20 multi-port surgical robots, ranking first among domestic manufacturers, with clinical applications covering over 220 hospitals across 30 provinces in China [4] - The company's total revenue is expected to increase from 48 million yuan in 2023 to 160 million yuan in 2024, with a significant rise from 30 million yuan in the first half of 2024 to 149 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [4] - The report indicates that Jingfeng Medical's international expansion has led to explosive growth in overseas orders, with 72 out of 118 signed global sales agreements for core products being from overseas markets [5] Group 3: Precision Manufacturing and Emerging Industries - The report covers Xingrui Technology as a leading precision manufacturing enterprise in China, focusing on automotive electronics and actively expanding into emerging industries, with a target price of 32.11 yuan [6][8] - Revenue projections for Xingrui Technology are 1.626 billion, 1.980 billion, and 2.482 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with an expected EPS of 0.48, 0.69, and 0.95 yuan respectively [6] - The company has established a robust product matrix, including electronic connectors and structural components, with applications in new energy vehicle systems and consumer electronics, enhancing its competitive advantage in the automotive electronics sector [7] Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Market Expansion - Xingrui Technology has formed strategic partnerships to expand into the liquid cooling industry, collaborating with Green Cloud to develop advanced technologies and products for data centers [8] - The company has a strong customer base, collaborating with renowned brands in consumer electronics and new energy sectors, and has established a global business layout with factories in multiple locations [7][8] - The report emphasizes the potential for Xingrui Technology to benefit from the growing demand for liquid cooling solutions driven by energy efficiency upgrades in data centers [8]