Group 1 - The non-ferrous sector is experiencing a rebound, with companies like Hunan Gold and Northern Rare Earth seeing significant gains, while the non-ferrous mining ETF is also up over 2% [1] - Precious metals faced a historic downturn due to trading congestion and external pressures, with silver and gold experiencing maximum daily declines of over 30% and 10% respectively [1][14] - Short-term volatility is expected in precious metal prices due to profit-taking, but long-term trends indicate that the de-dollarization process will continue, suggesting that the current adjustment is not the end of the precious metal rally [1][18] Group 2 - The non-ferrous mining index has shown a strong performance over the past year, with a return of 146.48% and a maximum drawdown of -13.76% [3] - The index focuses on the upstream mining segment of the non-ferrous metal industry, with copper, gold, and aluminum making up over 58% of its composition [5] - Historical performance indicates that the non-ferrous mining index has a cumulative increase of 353.53% over the past decade, with an annualized return of 16.83% [10][12] Group 3 - The market outlook for 2026 suggests that central bank gold purchases and rising gold ETF holdings will continue to support gold prices, while copper prices are expected to find support amid supply disruptions [19] - The aluminum market is facing downward pressure due to seasonal factors and a decline in processing activity, with a reported drop of 1.5 percentage points in aluminum processing [19]

截至2026年2月3日 09:30，中证工业有色金属主题指数(H11059)上涨0.39%，成分股中钨高新上涨 4.98%，电投能源上涨3.71%，紫金矿业上涨3.36%，洛阳钼业上涨3.12%，中国铝业上涨2.99%。工业有 色ETF鹏华(159162)上涨2.84%，最新价报0.94元。 工业有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪中证工业有色金属主题指数，中证工业有色金属主题指数选取市值较大的30 只业务涉及铜、铝、铅锌、稀土金属等行业的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映工业有色金属主题上 市公司证券的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，中证工业有色金属主题指数(H11059)前十大权重股分别为洛阳钼业、 北方稀土、中国铝业、兴业银锡、云铝股份、铜陵有色、江西铜业、厦门钨业、中金黄金、西部矿业， 前十大权重股合计占比55.71%。 消息面上，工业金属昨日大跌后筑底反弹，国内商品期货早盘开盘，氧化铝涨超1%。 东方证券指出，金融属性波动加剧，供需支撑价格底线。宽松叙事短期受挫，工业品跟随贵金属均有大 幅波动，但降息仍然是美联储的政策方向（而非加息），考虑近期特朗普试图通过提振地产市场来应对 支持率下降，海外地产修 ...

消息面上，现货黄金回调后筑底反弹，日内涨幅扩大至4%，报4844.07美元/盎司。 截至2026年2月3日 09:36，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)上涨0.40%，成分股中钨高新上涨5.04%，湖 南黄金上涨4.50%，盛屯矿业上涨3.99%，电投能源上涨3.37%，华钰矿业上涨3.32%。有色ETF鹏华 (159880)上涨3.32%，最新价报2.21元。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业、洛阳 钼业、北方稀土、中国铝业、华友钴业、中金黄金、山东黄金、兴业银锡、赣锋锂业、云铝股份，前十 大权重股合计占比49.87%。 华金证券指出，有色金属等前期涨幅较大的周期板块短期调整压力释放， 但难持续。 一是近期 A 股有 色金属等板块涨幅较大， 当前更多是修复前期过快上涨后的短期回调。 二是美元信用回落叠加战略资 源储备需求和 AI 驱动的需求上升导致有色金属难持续调整。 有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的规模和流动性突出的50只证券作为样本，反映了沪深北交易所有色 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records focus on the copper industry and strategic metals, highlighting recent trends in pricing and demand dynamics [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Copper Price Decline and Recovery in Orders**: - A significant drop in copper prices has led to a surge in downstream purchasing activity. According to a survey by Mysteel, 31 domestic copper rod manufacturers and 6 traders reported an order volume of 43,000 tons, an increase of 28,600 tons from the previous day, representing a 197.73% week-on-week growth [1]. - Specifically, the order volume for refined copper rods reached 41,700 tons, marking a historical high since the survey began, with a week-on-week increase of 29,000 tons, or 228.75% [1]. - This indicates that as copper prices fall, downstream demand is beginning to materialize, with companies moving to fulfill delayed orders from December [1]. - **Strategic Metals and Resource Stocks**: - The value of strategic resources will determine the positioning of resource stocks in the market. The external manifestation of this value is reflected in the pricing of strategic metals [2]. - There is confidence in the long-term prospects for strategic metals, particularly tin and nickel, with a strong outlook for these commodities through 2026 [3][4]. Additional Important Content - **Investment Opportunities in Resource Companies**: - Recommendations for bottom-fishing in quality companies include: - **Copper**: Zijin Mining (900 billion as a bottom), Western Mining (70 billion bottom), and Luoyang Molybdenum (around 450 billion bottom). Minmetals Resources and China Nonferrous Mining are noted for their low valuations [4]. - **Aluminum**: China Aluminum (200 billion bottom, 22 billion profit) based on a price assumption of 23,000 [4]. - **Tin**: Huaxi Nonferrous (300 billion, with profits expected around 2 billion) and Tin Industry Co. (already low valuation) based on a price assumption of 350,000 [4]. - **Nickel**: Huayou Cobalt with profits of 8 billion at a nickel price of 15,000, considered very cheap [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Huatai-PineBridge ETF (159652) in the non-ferrous metals sector, which opened with a gain of 3.96% at 1.891 yuan [1] - The ETF's major holdings include Zijin Mining, which rose by 3.36%, Luoyang Molybdenum by 3.12%, Northern Rare Earth by 2.41%, and others, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1] - The ETF has a performance benchmark based on the CSI Sub-Industry Non-Ferrous Metals Theme Index, managed by Huatai-PineBridge Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 89.27% since its inception on January 16, 2023, and a monthly return of 13.04% [1] Group 2 - Notable stock movements include Ganfeng Lithium increasing by 2.91%, while Shandong Gold experienced a decline of 7.33%, and Zhongjin Gold fell by 8.16%, reflecting volatility within the sector [1] - The article provides a snapshot of the ETF's performance and its key holdings, which are crucial for investors looking at opportunities in the non-ferrous metals market [1]

新湖期货认为，黄金价格中长期支撑仍存，指出沃什获提名及由此引发的汇率波动属于短期扰动，中期市场焦点仍将集中于地缘政治风险升温与特朗普政 府政策的高度不确定性；而长期来看，全球债务可持续性恶化与去美元化趋势的深化，是支撑黄金结构性走强的核心变量。目前，上述中长期逻辑并未发 生根本性逆转。 仍有机构在市场恐慌中，坚持长期看多有色金属板块，中信证券指出，在经历2025年的大涨行情后，有色金属价格与股票行情的上涨动能依然充足，供应 扰动、需求局部高景气和囤货行为为金属价格带来强支撑，流动性宽松带来的交易活跃度上升以及地缘冲突带来的避险情绪升温有望放大金属的价格弹 性。看好贵金属、工业金属、电池金属和战略金属板块的配置价值。 今日（2月3日）现货黄金开盘反弹，截至发稿，重回4800美元/盎司，日内涨超3%。分析指出，量化基金去杠杆化、杠杆ETF和趋势跟踪策略头寸调整所 引发的强制抛售潮，其主体部分可能已基本释放。 消息面上，特朗普称正在与伊朗对话。当地时间2月2日，针对伊朗问题，美国总统特朗普表示，美方已向相关地区调动大型军舰，同时与伊朗保持沟 通，"将观察事态如何发展"。 尽管近期黄金价格大幅波动，但美银仍将其看作对 ...

Group 1: Macro Policy Insights - The report emphasizes that recent policies are focused on stimulating domestic demand to achieve a strong start in 2026, highlighting six key areas of focus [4] - It notes that the early issuance of "two new" policies, a comprehensive fiscal and financial package, and continued support for the real estate sector indicate proactive policy measures aimed at economic growth [4] - Key short-term focuses include monitoring local GDP and CPI targets, the pace of fiscal stimulus, and the performance of real estate, exports, and infrastructure in the first quarter [4] Group 2: Industry Performance - The report identifies the top-performing industries in January, with oil and petrochemicals leading at 11.3%, followed by media at 10.8%, and non-ferrous metals at 10.4% [2] - Conversely, the worst-performing sectors include banking at -6.2%, non-bank financials at -5.0%, and agriculture at -3.7% [2] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks for February, including China Aluminum, which is noted for its strong position in the electrolytic aluminum market, and Gree, which is expected to benefit from global household storage growth [6] - Other recommended stocks include Tonghuashun, Haiguang Information, and China Duty Free, each with specific growth drivers outlined [6] Group 4: Sector-Specific Insights - In the environmental sector, the report highlights new policies that promote industrial waste recycling and carbon emission evaluations, benefiting companies like Huicheng Environmental [14] - The agricultural sector is advised to monitor the impact of rising crude oil prices on production costs and demand, particularly for vegetable oils and rubber [16] - In the telecommunications sector, companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng are projected to see significant profit growth due to increased demand for high-speed products and ongoing investments in infrastructure [19][22]

2月2日，A股遭遇重挫，午后跌幅进一步扩大，沪指、创业板指均跌逾2%。市场呈现普跌格局，4652只个股收跌，有色、煤炭、石油、化工等资源类板 块成为下跌"重灾区"，科技板块亦集体走弱，仅白酒、银行等少数板块逆势护盘。 今日盘面板块大面积下挫，仅白酒饮料、输变电设备、特高压、银行等少数板块逆市护盘。相比之下，小金属概念、稀缺资源、黄金概念、化工原料、汽 车芯片、钢铁等板块跌幅居前。 | 东财概念指数 | | | | | 东财行业指数 | | | A股市场核心指数 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 跨境支付 0.41% | | 超级品牌 0.55% | | | | | | 国证1000 -2.72% | | 沪深300 -2.13% | | | | | | | 银行 0.57% | | | 饮料 1.67% | | | | | | 小金属概念 | 白酒 | 智能电网 | | | | | | 中证A100 -2.68% | 深证成指 | FIFFSO -2.07% | | | -7. ...

有色金属行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 流动性预期回摆，错杀品修复可期 ——有色及贵金属周报 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 核心观点：流动性预期回摆，错杀品修复可期。近日特朗普提名沃什为下一任美联储主 席，短期贵金属乐观预期的回摆导致金属价格大幅波动，建议关注错杀品种的修复机 会。 投资标的： 相关标的：山东黄金(600547，未评级)、山金国际(000975，未评级)、中金黄金 (600489，未评级)、赤峰黄金(600988，买入)、紫金矿业(601899，买入)、洛阳钼业 (603993，未评级)、中国铝业(601600，未评级)、西部矿业(601168，未评级)、金诚 信(603979，未评级)。 风险提示 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色金属行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 02 日 看好维持 | 于嘉懿 | 执业证书编号：S0860525110005 | | --- | --- | | | yujiayi1@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 兰洋 | 执业证书编号：S0860525120002 | | | lanyang@orientsec.com ...

有色金属行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 流动性预期回摆，错杀品修复可期 ——有色及贵金属周报 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 核心观点：流动性预期回摆，错杀品修复可期。近日特朗普提名沃什为下一任美联储主 席，短期贵金属乐观预期的回摆导致金属价格大幅波动，建议关注错杀品种的修复机 会。 投资标的： 相关标的：山东黄金(600547，未评级)、山金国际(000975，未评级)、中金黄金 (600489，未评级)、赤峰黄金(600988，买入)、紫金矿业(601899，买入)、洛阳钼业 (603993，未评级)、中国铝业(601600，未评级)、西部矿业(601168，未评级)、金诚 信(603979，未评级)。 风险提示 下游需求弱于预期、供给端大量释放、美联储降息进程不及预期等。 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色金属行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 02 日 看好维持 | 于嘉懿 | 执业证书编号：S0860525110005 | | --- | --- | | | yujiayi1@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 兰洋 | 执业证书编号：S0860525120 ...