Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the automotive industry Core Insights - The 2025 Shanghai Auto Show highlighted robots as the main attraction, with a focus on smart technology and globalization as strategic priorities, while electrification has reached maturity [2] - The competition in the large six-seat SUV segment is intensifying, with many new models launched, but some popular models were absent from the show [3] - The report emphasizes the increasing homogeneity of new electric vehicles, indicating a highly competitive market landscape [5] Summary by Sections Vehicle Launch Summary - Numerous flagship SUV models were showcased, including Zeekr 9X, BYD Dynasty-D, and GAC Trumpchi S9, focusing on comfort, multi-screen intelligence, and advanced driver assistance [3][10] - Key new models include the P7+ from Xiaopeng, which features a 5C supercharging battery and AI chassis, priced between 186,800 to 208,800 yuan [23][25] - The report notes that several significant models, such as Xiaomi YU7 and Li Auto i8, did not appear at the show, limiting new vehicle information [3][10] Intelligent Component Launch Summary - Third-party autonomous driving suppliers are actively launching new solutions, with Huawei announcing the commercialization of L3 scenarios and new technology routes [5][6] - The report highlights the emergence of various players in the domain controller and chassis sectors, with collaborations among major Tier 1 suppliers [6] - The report mentions the introduction of new intelligent driving solutions tailored to different automaker needs, indicating a growing ecosystem of partnerships [6] Company-Specific Highlights - **Huawei**: Launched the ADS 4.0 system with significant upgrades, including a new architecture and enhanced safety features [20][21] - **Xiaopeng**: Achieved strong global market performance with a Q1 delivery of 94,000 units, leading among new force brands [23] - **Li Auto**: Introduced the L6 with significant upgrades in appearance and intelligent driving capabilities [31] - **NIO**: Emphasized the importance of smart driving chips and operating systems in enhancing user experience and safety [32] - **BYD**: Showcased new concept cars and advanced technologies, including the cloud-riding system [38][42] - **Great Wall**: Focused on global expansion and technological advancements in smart driving systems [43][45] - **Changan**: Committed to advancing electric and intelligent technologies while expanding globally [46][47] - **Geely**: Integrated battery businesses and launched the Zeekr 9X with advanced intelligent driving features [50][51] - **SAIC**: Implemented a "Glocal" strategy to enhance its global presence while maintaining local relevance [54][56] - **GAC**: Introduced the first mass-produced L4 autonomous vehicle, showcasing advanced sensor technology [61][67]

2025 年 05 月 05 日 权益震荡市预期下转债估值有望强 支撑 证 券 研 证券分析师 黄伟平 A0230524110002 huangwp@swsresearch.com 张杰 A0230524050002 zhangjie@swsresearch.com 徐亚 A0230524060002 xuya@swsresearch.com 联系人 张杰 (8621)23297818× zhangjie@swsresearch.com 债 券 研 究 ——转债周度跟踪 20250430 ⚫ 1. 转债估值 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 | 1. 转债估值 | | 4 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2. 条款统计 | | 5 | | 2.1 | 赎回 | 5 | | 2.2 | 下修 | 6 | | 2.3 回售 | | 8 | | 3. 一级发行 | | 8 | | 4. 周观点及展望 | | 9 | | 5. 附录 | | 9 | 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 债 券 周 评 究 报 告 相关研究 - ⚫ 本周转债弱于正股，转债整体百元平价溢价率小幅下降， ...

Core Viewpoint - Bertli is experiencing a harvest period in its electric control braking and lightweight business, with significant growth in revenue and profit driven by new product development and market expansion [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Bertli achieved revenue of 2.638 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 270 million yuan, up 28.79% [2][6]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 17.97%, down 2.78 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 10.16%, down 1.13 percentage points [3][10]. Product Development and Market Position - Bertli is a leading domestic brake system manufacturer, with a total of 498 projects under research in Q1 2025, an increase of 6.41% year-on-year, and 120 new designated projects, up 13.21% [4][15]. - The company is positioned as a global chassis supplier, accelerating the development of new products, including electronic parking brake systems and lightweight components, with significant production capacity expansions planned [5][29]. Product Sales and Demand - The sales volume of disc brakes reached 930,000 sets, a year-on-year increase of 36.14%, while lightweight brake sales were 3.44 million units, up 23.45% [2][6]. - The sales volume of intelligent electric control products reached 1.4619 million sets, growing by 58.43% year-on-year, indicating strong demand in the market [2][6]. R&D Investment - The company continues to invest in R&D, with R&D expenses increasing by 16% year-on-year in Q1 2025, benefiting from scale growth, while the R&D expense ratio decreased by 1.08 percentage points [3][10]. Industry Trends - The automotive industry is moving towards lightweight and intelligent solutions, which aligns with Bertli's strategic focus on electric control systems and lightweight components, positioning the company to benefit from these trends [4][30].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue growth in Q1 2025, but profitability faced pressure due to various factors, including increased production and new project launches [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.638 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 21.5% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 270 million yuan, up 28.8% year-on-year but down 37.3% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 17.97%, a decrease of 2.8 percentage points year-on-year and 2.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Product Sales and Growth - Major clients saw significant sales growth, with Chery up 17.9% year-on-year but down 27.1% quarter-on-quarter, Geely up 48% year-on-year and 2.5% quarter-on-quarter, and Changan up 1.9% year-on-year but down 9.5% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Sales of intelligent electronic control products reached 1.462 million units, a year-on-year increase of 58.4% [1] - Sales of disc brakes were 933,000 units, up 36.1% year-on-year, while lightweight brake components sold 3.438 million units, up 23.5% year-on-year [1] Group 3: Technological Advancements and Capacity Expansion - The company completed the manufacturing of B samples for its electronic mechanical brake system (EMB) and launched several new platforms, including WCBS1.5 and GEEA3.0 [2] - The company is expanding its lightweight component production capacity, with a planned annual capacity of 4 million units at its new facility in Mexico, which began operations in 2023 [2] - The Mexican production base is expected to enhance service levels for North American clients and foster deeper customer relationships [2] Group 4: New Market Opportunities - The company reported a 23.8% year-on-year increase in sales of mechanical steering products, with a net profit margin of 6.7%, reflecting significant integration effects [3] - Development of integrated control systems for automotive chassis, including line control braking and steering, is progressing well [3] - The company is actively promoting its L2 and L2+ level ADAS products and engaging in R&D for high-precision mapping and intelligent algorithms [3] Group 5: Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts EPS of 2.49, 3.27, and 4.18 yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 24, 18, and 14 times, with a projected CAGR of 28% for net profit attributable to shareholders [3]

Group 1 - The equity market experienced a "V-shaped" trend in April, with financial and consumer sectors showing resilience while technology and advanced manufacturing sectors faced significant declines of 6.38% and 5.76% respectively [11][15] - The convertible bond market demonstrated relative strength, with small-cap convertible bonds only declining by 0.39%, while financial convertible bonds increased by 0.44% [15][28] - The premium rate for convertible bonds remained stable at approximately 22%, with the median price around 119 yuan, indicating a strong demand for convertible bonds despite slight declines in bond valuations [30][35] Group 2 - Economic indicators suggest a recovery in domestic consumption and investment, with GDP growth in Q1 reaching 5.4%, exceeding market expectations [42][44] - The manufacturing PMI fell to 49% in April, indicating a contraction, driven by weakened external demand due to tariff impacts [44][45] - The report highlights potential investment opportunities in sectors such as technology, defense, and precious metals, while also emphasizing the importance of domestic demand in supporting export chains [45][48] Group 3 - The outlook for the convertible bond market suggests a stable valuation for equity-sensitive convertible bonds, with potential for upward adjustment in AAA-rated large-cap convertible bonds [51][58] - A balanced strategy is recommended, focusing on low-priced debt-oriented convertible bonds and growth-oriented equity-sensitive varieties, particularly in sectors like agriculture, wind energy, and transportation [58][59] - The proposed convertible bond portfolio includes various bonds from sectors such as new energy, cyclical industries, and semiconductor equipment, indicating a diversified investment approach [59][60]

Core Insights - The automotive industry is undergoing a transformation with a focus on smart electric vehicles, as evidenced by the significant increase in exhibition space dedicated to automotive technology and supply chains at the Shanghai Auto Show, which expanded from 30,000 square meters to approximately 100,000 square meters this year [1] - The competition among car manufacturers is shifting towards the supply chain, with technology suppliers emerging as key players in the development of innovative products for the Chinese electric vehicle market [1][3] - Local suppliers in China, such as Huawei and Baosteel, are showcasing their latest automotive technologies, indicating a deepening integration of technology and automotive sectors [1] Industry Trends - The 2025 Shanghai Auto Show highlighted the importance of electrification and intelligence, with suppliers showcasing advanced technologies in areas such as smart driving, digital cockpits, and AI chips [3] - Companies like Fureitek are introducing innovative products in the field of assisted driving, emphasizing low coupling and high reliability in their camera modules and radar products [3][6] - Bosch reported that 65% of its new business in China over the next five years will be related to smart and electrified solutions, reflecting a rapid market shift towards these technologies [6] Safety and Regulation - The rise of smart driving technologies has prompted a reevaluation of safety standards in the industry, with recent accidents leading to increased scrutiny and the development of regulatory frameworks [11] - The penetration rate of Level 2 autonomous driving technologies is already high, and consumer demand remains strong, despite regulatory tightening [11] - Companies are focusing on product safety and stability, with many suppliers emphasizing these aspects at the Shanghai Auto Show [11] Cost Management and Innovation - The automotive industry is facing significant cost pressures, leading to a focus on cost control without compromising product quality, with technology innovation being a key strategy for achieving this balance [15][16] - Companies are integrating various control systems to reduce costs and enhance product competitiveness, while also promoting the use of domestic chips to stabilize supply chains [16][20] - The trend of "reverse technology output" from China is gaining momentum, with local manufacturers increasingly defining next-generation technologies and supporting global clients [17][20] Digital Transformation - The shift towards digitalization in manufacturing processes is crucial for shortening development cycles for automotive manufacturers, with companies like Unity providing digital twin solutions to enhance operational efficiency [21] - The competitive landscape for automotive supply chains is evolving, with a focus on innovation speed, localization depth, and cost control capabilities becoming paramount [22] - The transition from China as a "world factory" to an "innovation laboratory" is redefining the global automotive industry's value chain [22]

2025 年 04 月 30 日 公司点评 买入/维持 伯特利(603596) 目标价: 昨收盘:59.40 智驾平权时代：做强 X 向，做大 Y+Z 向 ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (10%) 10% 30% 50% 70% 24/4/30 24/7/11 24/9/21 24/12/2 25/2/12 25/4/25 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 6.07/6.06 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 360.27/360.14 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 67.4/31.75 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<打造一体式底盘域控系统：做强 X 向，做大 Y+Z 向>>--2024-09-03 <<伯特利 2023 年报点评：智能电控 龙头，产能扩张驱动高速成长>>-- 2024-03-31 证券分析师：刘虹辰 电话：010-88321818 E-MAIL：liuhc@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190524010002 事件：公司发布 2024 年报&2025 年一季报，2024 年营业收入 99.37 亿元， 同比+32.95%；归母 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" investment rating for the company [5][8]. Core Views - The company reported strong revenue growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 2.638 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.83%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 270 million yuan, up 28.79% year-on-year [1][2]. - The sales volume of the intelligent electronic control segment increased significantly, with 1.46 million units sold in Q1 2025, representing a 58% year-on-year growth. The disc brake sales reached 930,000 units, up 36% year-on-year, while lightweight brake components sold 3.44 million units, a 23% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company is positioned as a core player in the next-generation braking technology, with significant progress in EMB regulations and successful development of initial functional samples [3]. - The company is expanding its global customer base and increasing production capacity at its Mexican facility [4]. Financial Summary - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.5 billion, 2 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 23.5, 17.7, and 13.2 times [5][14]. - The company’s gross margin for Q1 2025 was reported at 17.97%, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.09 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.24 percentage points [2]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 36.03 billion yuan, with a current share price of 59.40 yuan and a target price of 75.3 yuan for the next six months [8].

2022年公司收购万达45%的股权完善了公司在汽车底盘领域的布局（制动+转向），收购后积极整合已实现净利率大幅提升；2024年11月公司设立伯特利汽车悬架科技公司并 拟新增悬架产能20万/年，目标成为线控底盘供应商，掘金千亿市场，剑指全球汽车零部件百强。 03 投资建议 01 事件概述 公司披露2025年一季报：2025Q1实现营收26.4亿元，同比+41.8%/环比-21.4%；归母净利2.7亿元，同比+28.8%/环比-37.2%；扣非归母净利2.7亿元，同比+38.6%/环 比-34.2%。 02 分析判断 ► 202 5Q1年业绩持 续高 增 电控业务净利率高增 公司2025Q1营收同比+41.8%持续高增长，我们分析原因主要系：1）重点客户销量高增，奇瑞汽车/吉利汽车2025Q1销量分别同比+20.8%/+47.9%，且2024年公司新增 客户8家，预计2025年起陆续贡献增量；2）2025Q1公司重点产品智能电控/盘式制动器/轻量化零部件销量同比+58.4%/+36.1%/+23.5%，各类项目总数稳步增长，其中 在研项目总数498项，新增量产/定点项目57项/120项。公司此前公告2025年预算 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is progressing smoothly in new business initiatives, aiming to become a supplier of intelligent chassis systems [1] - In 2024, the company expects revenue of 9.937 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33%, and a net profit of 1.209 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36% [3] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42%, and a net profit of 270 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29% [1] Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 12.619 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 28%, and a net profit of 1.556 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 28.7% [4] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 is reported at 18.0%, down 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company has a strong order backlog and is expanding its product lines, including electric control steering systems and air suspension systems [3] Market Demand and Expansion - The domestic demand for new energy vehicles in Q1 2025 reached 3.075 million units, a year-on-year increase of 47% [1] - The company is expanding its overseas presence with R&D and production bases in the US and Mexico, which is expected to support future growth [1][2] - The company has successfully developed and validated several new products, including the WCBS 2.0B platform and electric control steering products [3] Profitability Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 1.556 billion yuan in 2025, 2.0 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.58 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23, 18, and 14 times [3][4]