截至收盘，创业板中盘200指数下跌2.4%，创业板成长指数下跌4.4%，创业板指数下跌4.6%。相关ETF中，创业板ETF（159915）全天净申购超3亿份，截至 昨日，该产品近5个交易日"吸金"超20亿元，最新规模超1120亿元。 申万宏源证券指出，2026年春季前，科技产业催化或显著多于顺周期板块；科技成长板块中短期或存估值压力，但距长期性价比的底部仍有空间，科技成长 有望延续趋势行情。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

◎记者 赵明超 值得一提的是，主动权益类基金频现比例配售。其中，招商均衡优选混合基金设置了50亿元的募集规模 上限，最终认购申请确认比例仅为56.67%。华商港股通价值回报混合基金一日售罄，募集规模上限为 10亿元，认购申请确认比例为32.95%。类似的还有博道惠泓价值成长混合基金，一日结束募集，认购 申请确认比例为70.78%。 公募发力长假后的新基金发行市场。数据显示，68只基金定档长假后发行，其中权益类基金达52只。从 近期基金的发行情况看，随着市场持续回暖，基金发行热度提升，9月新基金发行规模超过1600亿元， 创下年内新基金发行规模月度新高，多只权益类基金一日售罄。在业内人士看来，居民资金借道基金入 市的热情提升，更多爆款基金值得期待。 权益类基金唱主角 从新发基金类型来看，权益类基金成为新发"主力军"。具体而言，68只新基金中，52只为权益类基金。 其中，34只基金为权益类指数基金，涵盖机器人、创业板人工智能、中证A500红利低波动、中证500、 科创板50等指数。 数十只新基金整装待发。据Choice统计，截至10月8日，根据已发布的基金份额发售公告，自10月9日开 始，将有68只基金陆续启动发 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is witnessing a significant inflow of funds into equity ETFs, indicating a bullish sentiment among investors as they prepare for the upcoming holiday season and potential economic recovery [3][5][7]. Fund Flows and ETF Performance - On September 26, a record net subscription of 222 billion yuan was observed in equity ETFs, marking the highest single-day inflow in over five months [3][4]. - The inflow was particularly strong in sectors such as semiconductors, Hong Kong stocks, the ChiNext board, and artificial intelligence [3]. - The net subscription amounts for various ETFs included over 55 billion yuan for the China A500 ETFs, with individual funds like Huatai-PB and Fuguo exceeding 12 billion yuan each [4][5]. New Fund Issuance Trends - The new fund issuance market is experiencing a revival, with September's issuance reaching 1548.81 billion yuan, a significant increase of over 500 billion yuan compared to August, setting a new monthly record for the year [7]. - Active equity funds are seeing high subscription rates, with some funds like the Zhaoshang Balanced Fund and Huashang Hong Kong Stock Fund being oversubscribed [8]. Market Sentiment and Investment Opportunities - Public funds are maintaining high positions in anticipation of the fourth quarter, with average equity fund positions around 92.51% and mixed equity funds at approximately 91.14% [8]. - Analysts suggest that sectors benefiting from economic recovery, such as cyclical industries and AI technology, present promising investment opportunities as consumer spending is expected to remain robust during the holiday season [8][9].

国庆中秋长假即将来临，"持币还是持股"备受市场关注。从最近ETF申赎情况来看，资金似乎给出了答案。 在9月26日的震荡行情中，220多亿元资金借道权益类ETF入市，创下过去五个多月来的单日净申购额新高。从资金流向看，半导体、港股、创业板、人工 智能等方向强势吸金。 单日222亿元涌入ETF | | | 区间净申购额估算值(区间净 ... | 区间净申购额估算值(区间净 ... | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券名称 | > | [起始交易日期]2025-09-26 截止交易日期12025-09-26 | [起始交易日期]2025-09-01 [截止交易日期 2025-09-25 | | | | | [单位]亿元 | [单位]亿元 | | | 创业板ETF | > | 14.1435 | | -47.0571 | | A500ETF华泰柏瑞 | > | 12.5873 | | 20.8877 | | 中证A500ETF富国 | > | 12.3586 | | 29.4299 | | 机器人ETF | > | 8.6865 | | 33.3676 | | 创业板50E ...

本报记者于宏 三季度即将结束，四季度市场将如何演绎成为投资者关注的焦点。近日，多位券商分析师发布了四季度 A股投资策略，他们普遍预计，在流动性更为充裕、经济修复与政策支撑等因素保持稳定的情况下，四 季度A股市场有望在宽幅震荡中实现逐渐抬升，可关注科技成长主线。 国海证券策略首席分析师胡国鹏表示："四季度A股市场走势有望进一步向好，核心驱动力来自政策和 流动性。" 浙商证券策略首席分析师廖静池表示："综合考虑政策、经济周期、资金流向、市场情绪等因素，对市 场保持积极乐观态度。展望后市，虽然短期波动难免，但上涨空间充裕。" "预计四季度A股处于盈利结构性回升、信用继续修复的环境中，可能延续震荡偏强的市场走势。"华金 证券策略首席分析师邓利军表示，配置方面，科技成长股仍是主线，核心资产、周期行业也有配置机 会。 华安证券首席经济学家郑小霞表示："10月中旬之后，对2026年经济与政策的预期将成为影响市场走势 的重要因素，相关想象空间有望进一步打开，市场上或将涌现较多主题性机会。" 行业配置方面，胡国鹏表示，可围绕科技成长、"反内卷"两条脉络展开配置。预计四季度科技主题潜在 催化因素较多，算力板块景气度有望进一步上升 ...

Group 1 - The report maintains a positive outlook on the technology sector and suggests that leading companies in the new energy sector with core technological reserves should be considered for investment during market dips [2][4][8] - The market has shown a strong performance, with the ChiNext Index reaching new highs, supported by the rise of technology stocks and leading new energy companies [4][8] - The report emphasizes the importance of asset quality, advising investors to hold shares of companies with solid fundamentals and clear industry prospects while suggesting to sell stocks that have risen excessively without fundamental support [3][9] Group 2 - The gaming sector has seen significant gains, driven by advancements in AI technology, which benefits the media and entertainment industry, particularly in gaming and interactive content [6] - New energy stocks have also experienced substantial increases, supported by government initiatives aimed at optimizing industry layout and promoting advanced technologies [7] - The report highlights that the new energy sector is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with a focus on lithium batteries, photovoltaics, and wind energy, as global demand for these technologies remains strong [7][8]

Market Performance - The A-share market has experienced a significant bull market since September 24, 2024, with major indices showing substantial increases, including a 39% rise in the Shanghai Composite Index and a 102% increase in the ChiNext Index as of September 19, 2025 [1][2] - The total market capitalization of A-shares reached approximately 104 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth of about 36 trillion yuan over the past year [4] Policy Impact - The bull market is characterized as a "policy bull" and a "confidence bull," driven by a series of financial policies announced by regulatory bodies aimed at promoting economic growth [1][2] - The Central Political Bureau meeting emphasized the need to boost the capital market and facilitate long-term capital inflows, supporting mergers and acquisitions of listed companies [2] Sector Performance - All 30 sectors in the CITIC classification have seen increases, with the top five sectors being Communication, Electronics, Computer, Media, and Machinery, which rose approximately 120%, 108%, 99%, 88%, and 76% respectively [6] - Conversely, the bottom five sectors, including Coal, Oil and Petrochemicals, and Utilities, showed modest gains ranging from 6% to 24% [6] Stock Performance - Over 3,000 stocks have risen by more than 50%, with 1,400 stocks increasing by over 100% since the bull market began [1][6] - Notably, over 400 stocks have surged by more than 200%, with the top three stocks experiencing increases exceeding 1000% [8] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the current bull market has further potential, despite recent adjustments due to external factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate changes [9][10] - The market is expected to undergo structural shifts in the fourth quarter, with potential opportunities in cyclical sectors and low-position technology branches [10]

Group 1 - The overall market performance shows mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 1.3%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index increased by 1.14% and 2.34% respectively [1] - Citic Securities emphasizes the importance of the globalization of leading Chinese manufacturing companies, suggesting that this will enhance pricing power and profit margins, leading to market capitalization growth beyond domestic economic fundamentals [1] - The financing trends around the National Day holiday indicate a pattern of "pre-holiday contraction and post-holiday explosion," with historical data suggesting a high probability of A/H shares rising after preventive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][2] Group 2 - Huajin Securities notes that historically, after high-level fluctuations in a bull market, A-shares tend to continue rising, with current policies and external events remaining positive [2] - Dongwu Securities identifies potential market directions for the fourth quarter, suggesting a structural shift may occur, with cyclical sectors and low-position technology branches being key areas to watch [3] - China Galaxy Securities recommends focusing on sectors benefiting from policy and industry support, such as AI, lithium batteries, and consumer services, especially with the upcoming holidays boosting travel-related stocks [4] Group 3 - Western Securities reports a contraction in A-share valuations, with the coal industry leading gains due to rising coal prices driven by winter supply concerns [5] - The market is expected to experience a period of consolidation, with support levels identified at previous lows, and recommendations to maintain current positions until adjustments are complete [7] - Kaisheng Securities highlights the ongoing dominance of technology sectors, driven by relative profitability and global semiconductor cycles, with AI emerging as a significant demand driver [8] Group 4 - Debon Securities indicates that the current market is at the beginning of a new dollar interest rate cut cycle, with a slow bull market expected to continue, particularly in sectors like AI and solid-state batteries [9] - Xiangcai Securities suggests that the A-share market is likely to operate in a "slow bull" manner, influenced by ongoing policies and the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on technology, green initiatives, and consumer services [10]

近年来，科技股成为市场行情的主导力量； 但自去年9.24以来，也有一批不靠科技股的基金经理仍然跑出了亮眼的业绩。 比如国泰基金旗下的张容赫，上任基金经理时间虽不算长，但所管理的基金都能战胜市场主流指数和基 准，并体现出了"进可攻，退能守"的特点。 Choice数据显示，截至9月14日，张容赫2024年2月接管的国泰蓝筹精选A，近一年实现回报52.81%；在 2023年熊市中接手的国泰央企改革，近一年收益37.12%。 国泰央企改革这只基金在实际操作中有着诸多约束条件，包括行业集中度、国企属性等，一切超额收益的 追求都必须在这些框架内进行，事实上对基金经理的投资能力要求更高。 图：张容赫所管理的三只基金情况 来源：Choice，截至2025.9.14，历史业绩不预示未来表现 资料显示，张容赫拥有13年从业经历，4年投资管理经验，宏观策略研究出身。 曾任职长江证券，2014年加入国泰基金，擅长宏观分析和行业比较，行业能力圈宽广。 张容赫管理的这3只基金各自的"侧重点"有所不同： 根据基金合同，国泰央企改革是一只聚焦于央企改革受益主题投资的产品，基金业绩基准是中证中央企业 综合指数收益率*80%+中证综合债指数收益 ...

Group 1 - A-share market experienced wide fluctuations at high levels, with a notable adjustment in the computing power sector leading to a general decline in industry indices, except for the banking index which rose [1] - Historical analysis indicates that A-share markets often see a 6% to 10% pullback after rallies exceeding 30%, suggesting that the recent adjustments are part of a normal risk release process [1] - The recent market pulse adjustment is significant for future trends, as it helps to digest existing issues such as reduced market value and increased trading congestion in technology growth sectors [1][2] Group 2 - Institutions agree that the driving forces behind the current market rally remain unchanged, with no signs of overheating in market sentiment as the margin financing scale is at historical averages [2] - The overall valuation levels in the market are low, with many blue-chip stocks priced at lower levels, indicating potential for upward movement [2] - The market is entering a consolidation phase, with recommendations to focus on relatively "lagging" sectors such as cyclical, consumer, and dividend stocks, while maintaining a long-term focus on technology growth sectors [2] Group 3 - Short-term market style is expected to shift from technology growth stocks to cyclical sectors, with increased interest in low-priced related stocks as high-priced sectors adjust [2][3] - Specific cyclical sectors identified with potential for upward movement include renewable energy, chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and building materials [3]