龙蟠科技（603906）(02465)涨近4%，截至发稿，涨3.82%，报15.23港元，成交额2.2亿港元。 消息面上，据上海证券报，在锂价触底企稳，汽车制造商和电池生产商积极布局，以及全球储能需求的 爆发背景下，作为电池"性价比担当"的磷酸铁锂价格正悄然回暖，自10月以来上涨约10%。长江有色金 属网数据显示，自10月初以来，多数锂电材料报价显著走高。截至11月13日，磷酸铁锂均价约3.69万元/ 吨，较10月初累计上涨0.33万元/吨，涨幅约10%。 此外，龙蟠科技近期发布关于第三季度业绩说明会召开情况的公告。公告披露，公司后续将积极推进在 新能源以及新材料领域的布局，公司会加强磷酸铁锂正极材料业务的发展，包括海外产能布局，新产品 推广等。同时针对冷却液产品也会加大在新能源车领域、储能领域、数据中心领域的布局和推广。此 外，公司目前在三季度已经大幅收窄亏损，公司会通过坚决执行降本增效策略，提高高压密产品出货等 举措，积极改善公司的经营状况。 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - The macro - economic recovery momentum needs to be strengthened, and it is expected that the monetary policy will remain loose. Treasury bond futures are under some pressure and should be treated with caution. The stock index has little risk of a sharp decline and can be bought at an appropriate time. For precious metals, it is advisable to wait and see for a long - term buying opportunity. For various commodities, different investment strategies are proposed based on their supply - demand fundamentals and market conditions [6][7][9] Summary by Related Catalogs Treasury Bonds - On the previous trading day, most treasury bond futures closed flat, with the 30 - year main contract rising 0.03% to 116.160 yuan, the 10 - year main contract flat at 108.415 yuan, the 5 - year main contract flat at 105.875 yuan, and the 2 - year main contract falling 0.01% to 102.454 yuan. The central bank carried out 2128 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations on November 14, with a net investment of 711 billion yuan. China's economic data shows a mixed picture. It is expected that treasury bond futures are under pressure and should be treated with caution [5][6] Stock Index - On the previous trading day, stock index futures showed mixed performance. The current domestic economic recovery momentum is weak, but asset valuations are low, and the market sentiment has warmed up. It is expected that the stock index has little risk of a sharp decline and can be bought at an appropriate time [7] Precious Metals - On the previous trading day, the gold main contract closed at 953.2 with a decline of 0.83%, and the silver main contract closed at 12,351 with a decline of 1.88%. The global trade and financial environment is complex, which is beneficial to the value of gold. However, the recent sharp rise in precious metals has led to high pricing and large fluctuations. It is advisable to wait and see for a long - term buying opportunity [9] Thread and Hot Roll - On the previous trading day, rebar and hot - rolled coil futures showed weak oscillations. In the medium term, the price of finished products is dominated by the industrial supply - demand logic. Rebar demand is still declining year - on - year, and the inventory pressure is obvious. The fundamental logic of hot - rolled coils is similar to that of rebar. Investors can focus on short - selling opportunities at high levels during rebounds [11][12] Iron Ore - On the previous trading day, iron ore futures oscillated. The national hot - metal daily output has been declining for five consecutive weeks, and the supply is expected to increase year - on - year. The port inventory has exceeded the level of the same period last year. The supply - demand pattern has weakened. Investors can focus on short - selling opportunities at high levels [14] Coking Coal and Coke - On the previous trading day, coking coal and coke futures declined slightly. The supply of coking coal is slightly tight, and the demand for coke may weaken. From a technical perspective, the futures have been falling after encountering resistance. Investors can focus on buying opportunities during pullbacks [16][17] Ferroalloys - On the previous trading day, the manganese - silicon main contract closed down 0.07% to 5748 yuan/ton, and the silicon - iron main contract closed down 0.18% to 5490 yuan/ton. The cost of ferroalloys is rising, the output is declining, and the demand is weak. After a decline, investors can consider long - term opportunities when the spot falls into the loss - making range again [19][20] Crude Oil - On the previous trading day, INE crude oil showed a slight oscillation with a slowdown in the decline. The Baker Hughes rig count has increased for two consecutive weeks, but the increase in US crude oil production is still a long - term task. Russia has been attacked again, which is beneficial to the oil price. There are still concerns about oversupply in the crude oil market. It is advisable to wait and see for the main crude oil contract [21][22][23] Fuel Oil - On the previous trading day, fuel oil oscillated upwards. The market expects sufficient supply, which is negative for the price. Russia's sanctions and the reduction of Sino - US trade frictions are positive. It is advisable to wait and see for the main fuel oil contract [24][25] Polyolefins - On the previous trading day, the Hangzhou PP market showed mixed price movements. The downstream demand for polypropylene has increased in some areas, but the traditional PP product orders are weak. Investors can focus on long - term opportunities [26][27] Synthetic Rubber - On the previous trading day, the synthetic rubber main contract rose 0.19%. It is expected that the price of cis - butadiene rubber will fluctuate widely with limited downward space. Attention should be paid to the raw material market and supply changes [28] Natural Rubber - On the previous trading day, the natural rubber main contract rose 0.46%. It is expected that the natural rubber market still has room to rise in the short term. Attention can be paid to long - term opportunities [30][31] PVC - On the previous trading day, the PVC main contract rose 0.72%. The current oversupply situation continues, and attention should be paid to supply - side changes [32] Urea - On the previous trading day, the urea main contract closed flat. It is expected that the urea market will decline slightly in the next period. The supply is increasing, and the demand is weak. The downside space is limited [33][34][35] PX - On the previous trading day, the PX main contract rose 0.77%. In the short term, the PX supply - demand structure has improved, and it may oscillate and adjust with support below. Interval trading can be considered [36] PTA - On the previous trading day, the PTA2601 main contract rose 1.21%. In the short term, the PTA processing fee is still low, and it may oscillate. Caution should be exercised, and attention should be paid to oil price changes [37][38] Ethylene Glycol - On the previous trading day, the ethylene glycol main contract rose 1.08%. In the short term, ethylene glycol may be under pressure, and attention should be paid to port inventory and supply changes [39] Short Fibers - On the previous trading day, the short - fiber 2602 main contract fell 0.71%. In the short term, short fibers may oscillate following the cost. Attention should be paid to cost changes and macro - policy adjustments [40] Bottle Chips - On the previous trading day, the bottle - chip 2601 main contract rose 1.34%. It is expected that bottle chips will oscillate following the cost in the future. Attention should be paid to risk control [41] Lithium Carbonate - On the previous trading day, the main lithium carbonate contract fell 1.13%. The supply is still high, and the demand is improving. Attention should be paid to the sustainability of consumption [42] Copper - On the previous trading day, the Shanghai copper main contract closed at 86680 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.64%. The copper price may oscillate at a high level [43][44][45] Aluminum - On the previous trading day, the Shanghai aluminum main contract closed at 21795 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.82%. Aluminum may have a phased correction [46][47] Zinc - On the previous trading day, the Shanghai zinc main contract closed at 22485 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.24%. The zinc price will continue to oscillate within a range [48][49] Lead - On the previous trading day, the Shanghai lead main contract closed at 17465 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.77%. The lead price will run within a range [50][51] Tin - On the previous trading day, the tin main contract fell 1.12%. The tin price is expected to oscillate strongly [52] Nickel - On the previous trading day, the nickel main contract fell 0.71%. The nickel price is expected to oscillate [53][54] Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal - On the previous trading day, the soybean meal main contract rose 0.98%, and the soybean oil main contract fell 0.34%. For soybean meal, attention can be paid to long - position exit opportunities when it continues to rise. For soybean oil, attention can be paid to long - term opportunities in the low - cost support range [55][56] Palm Oil - The Malaysian palm oil ended a four - week losing streak. Palm oil can be considered for long - term buying during pullbacks [57][58][59] Rapeseed Meal and Rapeseed Oil - The Canadian rapeseed futures fell. For rapeseed meal, a strategy of buying near - term contracts and selling far - term contracts can be considered [60][62] Cotton - On the previous trading day, domestic cotton futures fell slightly. The USDA report raised the cotton production forecast, and the cotton price is expected to be weak [63][64] Sugar - On the previous trading day, Zhengzhou sugar futures fell. The sugar price is under pressure and is expected to oscillate weakly [65][67][68] Apples - On the previous trading day, domestic apple futures rose slightly. The apple price is expected to run strongly [69][70] Pigs - The national average price of pigs fell. In the second half of the month, the supply pressure may be gradually realized. Attention can be paid to short - selling opportunities during rebounds [71][73] Eggs - On the previous trading day, the main egg contract fell 0.26%. It is advisable to hold short positions [74][76] Corn and Starch - On the previous trading day, the corn main contract rose 0.23%, and the corn starch main contract rose 0.36%. Corn prices may face pressure, and it is advisable to wait and see. Corn starch may follow the corn market [77][78][79]

Core Viewpoint - The current economic downturn in China is primarily driven by the adjustment in the real estate sector, which has significant implications for overall economic performance. Stabilizing the real estate market and activating consumer demand are essential for economic recovery [1][9]. Group 1: Economic Impact of Real Estate - Real estate contributes up to 60% of China's GDP, and its decline directly affects overall economic performance [3][8]. - A rough estimate indicates that for every 100 yuan decrease in property value, household consumption decreases by 14 yuan, leading to a significant reduction in GDP [3][4]. - The real estate sector's investment in 2023 has dropped by 10% year-on-year, dragging down GDP by 1.5 percentage points, with related industries contributing to a total impact of 25% on GDP [8]. Group 2: Policy Recommendations - A proposed "dual pillar policy" includes issuing 3,000 yuan unconditional consumption vouchers totaling 4 trillion yuan, equivalent to 3% of GDP, to stimulate consumer spending [8]. - Establishing a national real estate restructuring trust company funded by the central government is recommended to manage industry risks and prevent crisis escalation [8]. - Historical evidence from 2020 shows that consumption vouchers effectively revitalized the economy post-lockdown, suggesting a similar approach could yield positive results on a national scale [8]. Group 3: Economic Resilience - Despite current challenges, China's supply side remains robust, with growth in sectors like telecommunications, integrated circuits, and online sales [6]. - The economy's underlying strengths include a large market of 1.4 billion people, a complete industrial system, and ongoing technological investments, providing a solid foundation for recovery [11]. - The economic slowdown is viewed as a temporary issue rather than a chronic problem, with the potential for rapid recovery if key variables are stabilized and demand is activated [11].

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月17日 公用事业与环保行业 2026 年投资策略 优于大市 能源变革持续推进，清洁能源&环保兼具成长与公用事业属性 电力：统一电力市场加快构建，推动新能源高质量发展。统一电力市场基本 规则以《电力市场运行基本规则》为基础，电力中长期、现货、辅助服务规 则为主干，市场注册、计量结算、信息披露规则为支撑的"1+6"基础规则 体系基本建立，多品种、多功能电力市场体系初步形成，现货市场基本实现 全覆盖。市场决定的电力机制不断完善，推动新能源上网电价全面由市场交 易决定。2025 年 1 月 27 日，国家发改委、国家能源局发布《关于深化新能 源上网电价市场化改革 促进新能源高质量发展的通知》，明确推动新能源 上网电价全面由市场形成，建立健全支持新能源高质量发展的制度机制。 火电：加速转型调节电源，煤价上行有望支撑长协电价。随着能源结构转型， 新能源发电比例持续提高，电力负荷创新高，电网对调节性电源需求增加， 以及市场化交易水平提高，火电转型加速，调节性、保障性功能加强，容量 电价和辅助服务收入增加，盈利模式周期性减弱。2026 年煤电容量电价有望 进一步提升，促进煤电盈利趋稳。202 ...

截至午间收盘，科创100指数上涨0.02%，科创综指下跌0.5%，科创板50指数下跌0.8%，科创成长指数下跌1.4%。相关产品受资金关注，Wind数据显示，科 创板50ETF（588080）上一交易日获超2亿元资金净流入。 科创综指ETF易方达 跟踪上证科创板综合指数 该指数由科创板全市场证券组成, 全面覆盖大、中、小盘风格,聚焦 人工智能、半导体、新能源、创新 药等核心前沿产业,覆盖科创板上 市的全部17个一级行业,兼具高成 长性与风险分散特征 小科创企业,电于、医约王彻、电 力设备、计算机行业合计占比超 80%,其中电子、医药生物行业占 比较高 截至午间 该指数消 0. 5 科创成长50ETF 跟踪上证科创板成长指数 该指数由科创板中营业收入与净利 润等业绩指标增长率较高的50只股 票组成,成长风格突出,业绩高增 长行业占比高,电子、医药生物行 截至午间! 该指数污 每日经济新闻 ...

截至午间收盘，中证新能源指数下跌0.1%，国证新能源电池指数下跌0.6%，中证上海环交所碳中和指数下跌1.0%，中证光伏产业指数下跌2.0%，储能电池 ETF（159566）半日净申购超2000万份。 截至午间收盘 该指数涨跌 -2.0% 该指数聚焦储能领域,由 50只业务涉及电池制造、 储能电池逆变器、储能电池 系统集成、电池温控消防等 领域的公司股票组成,有望 受益于未来能源发展机遇。 截至午间收盘 该指数涨跌 -0.6% 光伏ETF易方达 跟踪中证光伏产业指数 该指数聚焦的光伏是代表 性较强的未来能源之一, 由50只产业链上、中、下 游具有代表性的公司股票 组成。 碳中和ETF易方达 跟踪中证上海环交所碳中和指数 每日经济新闻 ...

华福证券指出，磷酸铁锂11月排产环比增长2.5%，叠加储能项目备案量同比激增343%，全球储能装机 预计明年将实现50-60%的高增长，对上游锂资源形成有力支撑。与此同时，六氟磷酸锂价格周环比上 涨13.8%，电解液关键材料VC价格也显著上行，显示产业链供需紧张格局正在加剧。 长江证券认为，当前钴、锂、镍价格均处于阶段性底部，随着景气度提升，三大金属品种有望迎来量价 齐升的共振行情。 光大证券指出，随着全球新能源渗透率持续提升，储能作为电力系统"稳定器"与"调节器"的核心价值愈 发凸显，市场需求迎来快速增长。据ICC鑫椤储能数据库统计，2025年1—9月全球储能电池出货 428GWh，同比增长90.7%。目前国内储能电芯的需求十分强劲，头部储能企业订单排期至2026年，如 海辰储能、亿纬锂能等企业满产运行，部分订单需外溢至中腰部企业。储能行业的高速增长带动锂电池 需求高增，鑫椤锂电日前发布的锂电产业链11月预排产数据显示，样本企业中电池排产环比增长 1.5%，需求保持旺盛。近期在下游需求旺盛带动下，锂电产业链上游六氟磷酸锂、电解液、隔膜等材 料环节出现不同程度涨价，建议关注锂电材料各环节头部企业。 11月17 ...

11月17日，中伟股份H股在港交所主板上市交易。中伟股份港股股票简称为中伟新材，股票代码为 02579。 Wind显示，截至17日上午收盘，中伟新材报32.30港元/股，"A+H"总市值为495亿元。 业内人士表示，中伟股份9个月内完成H股上市，构建"A+H"双资本平台，此举标志着公司国际化战略 取得里程碑式突破，为企业深度融入全球市场、优化国际资源配置提供了强有力的资本引擎。同时，这 也是贵州辖区上市公司深入贯彻落实《贵州省推动资本市场高质量发展实施方案》的成果，是贵州全面 深化改革开放、积极融入全球资本市场的生动实践，具有较高引领示范意义。 抢抓机遇，资本运作有成效 中伟股份11月16日晚公告称，中伟新材本次全球发售H股基础发行股数为1.04亿股（行使超额配售权之 前），其中香港公开发售1042.26万股，国际发售9380.28万股。 根据每股H股发售价34港元计算，经扣除全球发售相关承销佣金及其他估计费用后，并假设超额配售权 未获行使，中伟新材将收取的全球发售所得款项净额约为34.33亿港元。 自2020年12月在深交所创业板上市以来，中伟股份紧抓资本市场改革机遇，完成多项资本运作。 一是高效融资夯实根 ...

Core Insights - The report indicates that the expectation for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has significantly cooled, coinciding with the U.S. government resuming operations. This has led to fluctuations in the U.S. stock market, a slight weakening of the dollar, and a rebound in gold and oil prices [2][12][16] - The MSCI global stock index rose by 0.41% this week, with major developed market indices showing slight increases, particularly the French CAC40, German DAX30, and the Hang Seng Index [2][12] - The 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury yields increased by 3 basis points and 7 basis points, respectively, reaching 4.14% and 3.62% [2][16] Economic Data and Federal Reserve Outlook - Economic data releases have been delayed due to the government shutdown, with the October CPI and employment data not published. This has led to a hawkish stance from several Federal Reserve officials, resulting in a significant drop in market expectations for rate cuts [3][7] - As of November 15, the market's expectation for a December rate cut probability has decreased to 44%, down nearly 50 percentage points from mid-October [7][16] - Non-official economic data suggests ongoing pressure in the U.S. job market, with private sector job additions showing an average weekly decrease of 11,300 jobs over the four weeks ending October 25 [7][16] Market Performance and Sector Analysis - The U.S. stock market is experiencing high volatility, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones increasing by 0.1% and 0.3%, respectively, while the Nasdaq fell by 0.5% [23] - The healthcare and energy sectors led gains in the S&P 500, with increases of 3.9% and 2.5%, respectively, while consumer discretionary saw a significant decline of 2.7% [24][27] - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.3%, supported by a strong economic growth rate of 3.8% in Hong Kong for the third quarter, the highest in nearly two years [37][42] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment themes: 1. Technology growth sectors such as AI, internet, and semiconductors 2. Sectors expected to improve, including renewable energy, building materials, and traditional cyclical industries 3. New consumption areas benefiting from domestic policy support and changes in consumer spending patterns [2][12][37]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 维业股份（300621.SZ）11月17日在投资者互动平台表示，公司有承接过少量分布式光伏建筑施工项 目，但占营收比重较小。 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：请问公司有新能源业务吗？ ...