积极的财政政策

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财政部部长蓝佛安:打好政策“组合拳”,更加积极的财政政策将持续发力
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-03-24 08:06
财政部部长蓝佛安:打好政策"组合拳",更加积极 的财政政策将持续发力 赤字率提高到4%左右,赤字规模达到5.66万亿元,全国一般公共预算支出29.7万亿元,新增政府债务总 规模11.86万亿元……在23日至24日举办的中国发展高层论坛2025年年会上,财政部部长蓝佛安通过一 系列数据,向海内外嘉宾详解今年更加积极的财政政策如何发力。 "2025年党中央明确要实施更加积极的财政政策,持续用力、更加给力,这是在去年9月26日一揽子增量 政策基础上,对财政政策的进一步深化提升。"蓝佛安说。 针对当前我国经济运行面临的一些困难和挑战,蓝佛安表示,与过去相比,现在我国经济和财政实力明 显增强,宏观调控和财政治理的实践经验更加丰富。我国经济发展的信心和底气来自于我国经济基础 稳、优势多、韧性强、潜力大的长期发展支撑,也来自于始终对风险保持清醒认识并留有后手,为应对 可能出现的冲击和挑战预留了充足的财政空间。 此次年会吸引了众多跨国公司的全球高管参会。蓝佛安表示,财政政策将支持推动更高水平对外开放, 积极稳外贸稳外资,在政策支持政府采购等方面一视同仁,平等对待各类经营主体,持续优化营商环 境,吸引更多外资企业与中国经济共同 ...
蓝佛安详解如何实施更加积极的财政政策|宏观经济
清华金融评论· 2025-03-13 10:43
文/ 财政部党组书记、部长 蓝佛安 中央经济工作会议明确提出,2 02 5年要实施更加积极的财政政策,持续 用力、更加给力,打好政策"组合拳"。持续用力,就是要做好政策衔接, 既让已出台的政策发挥最大效能,又及时出台新的有力度的政策,根据外 部影响程度动态调整,前后贯通、接续发力。更加给力,就是要用好用足 政策空间,加强超常规逆周期调节,提高宏观调控的前瞻性、针对性、有 效性,使政策力度更大、效果更好,各方面更有获得感。具体体现在五个 方面:一是提高财政赤字率,加大支出强度、加快支出进度。二是安排更 大规模政府债券,为稳增长、调结构提供更多支撑。三是大力优化支出结 构、强化精准投放,更加注重惠民生、促消费、增后劲。四是持续用力防 范化解重点领域风险,促进财政平稳运行、可持续发展。五是进一步增加 对地方转移支付,增强地方财力、兜牢"三保"底线。 一、迎难而上、积极作为,2024年财政工作取得新进展新成效,有力促进完成全年经济社会发展目标任 务 2024年是实现"十四五"规划目标任务的关键一年,外部压力加大、内部困难增多。以习近平同志为核心 的党中央沉着应变、综合施策,特别是三季度打破常规、果断出手,及时推出一揽 ...
山东将提升财政调控效能加力支持消费品以旧换新
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-03-11 23:39
Core Viewpoint - In 2025, China will implement a more proactive fiscal policy, with a focus on enhancing resource allocation and precise funding to support economic recovery and growth [1][5]. Group 1: Fiscal Policy Implementation - The Shandong Provincial Finance Department aims to deepen the implementation of a more proactive fiscal policy, emphasizing resource coordination and precise funding to provide solid fiscal support for economic recovery [2][3]. - The fiscal policy will prioritize improving people's livelihoods, promoting consumption, and enhancing economic resilience, linking these aspects to boost living standards and create new economic growth points [2][6]. Group 2: Investment in People's Livelihoods - Shandong will increase basic livelihood investment, ensuring that the proportion of livelihood expenditure remains stable at around 80% [2][7]. - The province will enhance fiscal regulation effectiveness and provide strong support for consumption, including expanding the scope of policies for trade-in programs for consumer goods [2][7]. Group 3: Economic Resilience and Investment - Shandong will focus on developing new productive forces by supporting education, technology innovation, and green low-carbon initiatives to stimulate internal economic dynamics [3][8]. - The province will also aim to expand effective investment by leveraging government investment to attract social investment and enhance the efficiency of special bonds [3][8]. Group 4: Fiscal Reform Initiatives - The Shandong Provincial Finance Department plans to deepen fiscal and tax reforms, launching a series of signature reform outcomes unique to Shandong [4][9]. - Key reforms will include improving the modern budgeting system, enhancing budget management, and increasing financial support for major strategic tasks and basic livelihoods [4][9].
积极的财政政策如何发力?预算报告给出四点线索
互联网金融· 2025-03-10 10:01
今年的政府工作报告提出,实施更加积极的财政政策。统筹安排收入、债券等各类财政资 金,确保财政政策持续用力、更加给力。今年赤字率拟按4%左右安排、比上年提高1个百分 点,赤字规模5.66万亿元、比上年增加1.6万亿元。 具体如何发力,财政预算报告给出了更详细的答案。根据界面新闻的梳理,积极的财政政策 主要体现在四个方面:广义财政显著扩张、非税收入大幅下降、支出结构优化以及中央支出 显著提升。 财政部在预算报告中称,综合判断,国内外环境变化带来的影响将持续向财政传导,2025年 财政收支矛盾仍然突出,必须把困难挑战考虑得更充分一些,把政策举措准备得更周全一 些,为促进经济持续健康发展提供坚实保障。 广义财政显著扩张 根据预算报告,2025年拟安排财政预算赤字率4%左右,比上年提高1个百分点,赤字规模 5.66万亿元、比上年增加1.6万亿元。这里的赤字率是指狭义赤字率,即政府预算内的收支差 额和名义国内生产总值(GDP)之比。 此外,今年新增地方政府专项债规模为4.4万亿元,较上年增加5000亿元;发行1.3万亿元超 长期特别国债,较上年增加3000亿元;发行5000亿元特别国债,补充国有大行核心一级资 本。新增地 ...
中国宏观经济研究院院长黄汉权:以新质生产力为驱动的发展态势在形成,稳住楼市股市有助于提振消费
21世纪经济报道· 2025-03-08 04:26
Core Viewpoint - The government aims for a GDP growth target of around 5% for 2025, emphasizing the need for stable employment, risk prevention, and improving people's livelihoods, supported by economic growth potential and favorable conditions [1][6]. Group 1: Economic Growth and Conditions - The economic growth target of 5% for 2025 is supported by several favorable conditions, including more proactive macroeconomic policies, particularly in fiscal and monetary areas [6][10]. - The government plans to increase the scale of new government debt to 11.86 trillion yuan, a rise of 2.9 trillion yuan from the previous year, which will positively impact investment and consumption [6][10]. - The balance of contributions from exports, investment, and consumption to economic growth is noted, with significant advancements in strategic emerging industries driven by technological innovation [5][6]. Group 2: Fiscal and Monetary Policies - The fiscal policy will see a deficit rate increase to around 4%, with a total deficit scale of 5.66 trillion yuan, marking a nearly 40% increase from last year [10]. - The monetary policy will be more accommodative, maintaining ample liquidity and supporting sectors like technology innovation and consumption [10][11]. Group 3: Consumption and Investment - To boost consumption, the government will implement special actions, including increasing income for low- and middle-income groups and stabilizing asset values in real estate and stock markets [11][12]. - Investment efficiency will be improved by selecting key projects for government investment and encouraging private sector participation in infrastructure projects [12][14]. Group 4: Key Industries and Reforms - Focus areas for new quality productivity include digital economy, green economy, life sciences, and low-altitude economy, with significant technological breakthroughs expected [15][16]. - Key reforms to be pushed include enhancing the vitality of business entities, accelerating the construction of a unified national market, and deepening fiscal and tax reforms to increase local financial autonomy [17][18].
全国政协委员韩保江:经济增速定在5%左右有这些考虑
21世纪经济报道· 2025-03-06 10:18
Core Viewpoint - The government work report sets a GDP growth target of around 5% for 2025, emphasizing the need for job creation, stabilizing expectations, and achieving modernization goals [3][4]. Group 1: Economic Growth Target - The 5% growth target is aimed at creating sufficient new jobs, with approximately 12 million new graduates entering the job market [3]. - Maintaining a stable growth rate of around 5% is crucial for stabilizing market expectations and signaling to investors and consumers that the economy remains resilient [3]. - Achieving the goal of modernization by 2035 requires sustained economic growth of around 5% to reach a per capita GDP close to $30,000 [3]. Group 2: Macroeconomic Policies - The report advocates for a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy to address uncertainties and support economic growth [6][7]. - Increasing the deficit ratio to around 4% and expanding the issuance of special bonds are part of the proactive fiscal measures [7]. - A moderately loose monetary policy aims to maintain liquidity and encourage banks to provide low-cost funding to enterprises [7]. Group 3: Consumer and Investment Strategies - To boost consumption, the focus should be on increasing residents' income, especially for low- and middle-income groups, and optimizing income distribution [9]. - Investment efficiency can be improved by identifying promising industries and projects, supported by favorable government policies [10]. - Expanding domestic demand is essential, especially in light of external pressures, by enhancing both consumption and investment [9]. Group 4: Development of New Productive Forces - Developing new productive forces is necessary for sustained economic growth, moving beyond traditional industries to create new demand through innovation [11]. - Local governments should tailor their development strategies based on regional advantages, avoiding uniform approaches [12]. Group 5: Economic System Reforms - Key reforms include establishing a unified national market to enhance resource allocation efficiency and support the development of the private economy [14][15]. - The government should focus on maintaining order and providing services, stepping back from direct market involvement [16]. Group 6: Risk Management - The real estate market is in a stabilization phase after significant adjustments, requiring supportive policies to ensure healthy development [17]. - Effective management of local debt risks involves setting clear borrowing limits and ensuring that debt is used efficiently [18].
海通证券荀玉根:2025年财政政策聚焦三条主线
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-03-05 11:42
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is implementing a more proactive fiscal policy, focusing on three main areas to stimulate economic growth [1] Group 1: Fiscal Policy Directions - The government plans to increase the issuance of ultra-long special government bonds, targeting the "two new" and "two heavy" sectors, while also supplementing bank capital [1] - The use of certain special bonds will return to land reserves and real estate-related areas [1] - Special bonds may be directed towards emerging industry infrastructure, indicating a shift in investment focus [1] Group 2: Future Fiscal Space - The government is leaving room for policy adjustments, suggesting that if economic growth remains under pressure in the second half of the year, there may be a possibility of further increasing fiscal efforts [1]
今年赤字率提高到4%左右,新增政府债务增至11.86万亿元,释放什么信号?
21世纪经济报道· 2025-03-05 04:55
Core Viewpoint - The government work report emphasizes a proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy to support economic growth, with a target GDP growth rate of around 5% for 2025, reflecting the need for employment stability, risk prevention, and improving people's livelihoods [1][2]. Fiscal Policy Summary - The fiscal deficit rate for 2025 is set at around 4%, an increase of 1 percentage point from the previous year, with a total deficit scale of 5.66 trillion yuan, up by 1.6 trillion yuan [1][3]. - The issuance of special bonds is planned at 1.3 trillion yuan, an increase of 300 billion yuan from the previous year, aimed at supporting state-owned commercial banks and local government projects [1][4]. - The total new government debt for the year is projected to reach 11.86 trillion yuan, an increase of 2.9 trillion yuan compared to last year, indicating a significant increase in fiscal spending intensity [1][5]. Monetary Policy Summary - A moderately loose monetary policy will be implemented, with measures such as timely reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions to ensure ample liquidity [2][4]. - The focus will be on optimizing structural monetary policy tools to promote healthy development in the real estate and stock markets, as well as supporting technological innovation and green development [2][6]. Special Bonds and Local Government Debt - The increase in local special bonds is expected to enhance their role in stabilizing growth, addressing shortfalls, and promoting recovery in the real estate market [5][6]. - Special bonds will be directed towards municipal construction, new energy, and new infrastructure, with a portion allocated for replacing hidden debts, thereby reducing local debt risks [5][6]. Long-term Special Bonds - The scale of long-term special bonds will be expanded to 1.3 trillion yuan, with a significant portion aimed at boosting consumption and supporting high-end, intelligent, and green transformation of equipment [3][6]. - Issuing special bonds to supplement commercial bank capital is expected to lower risks for banks and enhance their ability to support the real economy through interest rate cuts [6].