Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the non-ferrous metal industry is experiencing a positive trend, with significant revenue and profit growth in Q1 2025, and the potential for price recovery due to favorable economic conditions and tariff negotiations [1][2]. - The non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) has a low valuation with a price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) of 16.9, indicating it is at a historical low compared to the past year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the revenue of large-scale non-ferrous metal enterprises reached 22,293.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.6%, while total profits amounted to 917.7 billion yuan, up 40.7% year-on-year [1]. Group 2 - The non-ferrous ETF fund closely tracks the non-ferrous metal industry index, which includes 50 prominent securities in the sector, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the non-ferrous metal industry [2]. - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal industry index accounted for 52.1% of the index, with notable companies including Zijin Mining, Northern Rare Earth, and China Aluminum [2].

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 有色金属 姓名：何彬 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F03090813 投资咨询证号：Z0019840 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：hebin@bcqhgs.com 沪镍 有色金属 | 日报 2025 年 5 月 22 日 有色日报 专业研究·创造价值 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会授 予的期货从业资格证书，期货投 资咨询资格证书，本人承诺以勤 勉的职业态度，独立、客观地出 具本报告。本报告清晰准确地反 映了本人的研究观点。本人不会 因本报告中的具体推荐意见或观 点而直接或间接接收到任何形式 的报酬。 铝价强势运行 核心观点 沪铜 今日铜主力期价在 7.8 万下方窄幅震荡。近期铜价围绕 7.8 万一 线震荡整理，期价仍呈现近强远弱格局，但基差月差持续回落。我 们认为旺季过后短期电解铜社库开始累库导致铜价承压运行，也有 可能是市场对需求预期的下降。但国内社库仍位于往年同期低位， 且国内宏观刺激下我们认为消费预期较好。此外，上游炼厂低加工 费持续，供应下降的预期较强。总得来看，期价仍有较强的基本面 支撑。预计期价震荡运行。 沪铝 今日铝价增仓上 ...

本报讯(记者肖艳青)深交所官网显示，5月21日洛阳盛龙矿业集团股份有限公司(以下简称"盛龙股份")向 深交所主板递交的IPO招股说明书获受理，保荐机构为国投证券。 招股书显示，盛龙股份是国内领先的大型钼业公司，致力于有色金属矿产资源的综合开发利用，报告期 内主要从事重要战略资源钼相关产品的生产、加工、销售业务，主要产品为钼精矿和钼铁。 近几年，盛龙股份经营业绩稳定增长，财务数据显示，2022至2024年，盛龙股份营业收入分别为19.11 亿元、19.57亿元和28.64亿元；同期，实现归母净利润分别为3.44亿元、6.19亿元和7.57亿元。 盛龙股份主营业务的生产能力突出，2024年钼金属产量1.06万吨，占我国钼金属产量的9.64%，是我国 重要的钼供应商之一。 盛龙股份此次IPO拟募集资金15.3亿元，拟投资于"河南省嵩县安沟钼多金属矿采选工程项目""矿业技术 研发中心项目"和"补充流动资金及偿还银行贷款项目"。本次募集资金使用围绕公司主营业务，可显著 增强公司的持续盈利能力和风险抵御能力。 盛龙股份资源禀赋优、资源储备足、发展潜力大，现拥有4宗采矿权和1宗探矿权，其中在产矿山南泥湖 钼矿的采矿证生产规 ...

Core Viewpoint - Shenglong Co., Ltd., a leading molybdenum company in China, has initiated its IPO process with plans to raise 1.53 billion yuan [1][5] Group 1: Company Overview - Shenglong Co., Ltd. focuses on the comprehensive development and utilization of non-ferrous metal mineral resources, primarily producing, processing, and selling molybdenum-related products such as molybdenum concentrate and ferromolybdenum [3] - The company is expected to hold over 9% of China's molybdenum metal reserves and production by the end of 2024, with a projected production of 10,600 tons of molybdenum, making it a significant supplier in the domestic market [3][4] - Shenglong's mining assets include the Nanni Lake Molybdenum Mine, the largest operating molybdenum mine in China, with a production capacity of 16.5 million tons per year [3][4] Group 2: Resource and Market Position - As of the end of 2024, Shenglong holds 710,500 tons of molybdenum metal, accounting for approximately 9.1% of the national molybdenum resource reserves, indicating substantial resource potential [4] - The company has established strong customer relationships with major players in the steel industry, including China Baowu Steel, Shandong Steel, and Hualing Steel [4] - Shenglong is strategically located in Luoyang, Henan Province, known as "China's Molybdenum Capital," which enhances its competitive advantage in the molybdenum market [4] Group 3: Financial Performance - Shenglong's revenue has shown growth from 1.911 billion yuan in 2022 to an expected 2.864 billion yuan in 2024, with net profits increasing from 344 million yuan to 757 million yuan during the same period [4] Group 4: IPO and Fund Utilization - The IPO aims to raise 1.53 billion yuan to fund the mining project at the Songxian Angou Molybdenum Polymetallic Mine, establish a mining technology research center, and supplement working capital and repay bank loans [5]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The overseas risk appetite has decreased, and attention should be paid to the impact of economic data releases on market sentiment. There is still a need to be aware of the long - term economic decline risk under US tariff policies. The copper raw material supply remains in a tight pattern, with strong price support, but the price center is expected to move down due to reduced consumption intensity [1]. - The domestic commodity sentiment is marginally stable, while the overseas risk appetite has weakened. High tariff levels lead to concerns about long - term demand. The high processing fees of aluminum rods are conducive to further inventory reduction of aluminum ingots, with strong price support, but the seasonal weak consumption will limit the upward space of aluminum prices, and the short - term price is expected to be volatile [3]. - The inventory of recycled raw materials is limited, and the profit of recycled lead enterprises is under pressure, with the operating rate continuously declining. After the battery enterprises' holidays, the operating rate has returned to a relatively high level. In the medium term, the Shanghai lead index is expected to fluctuate within a range of 16300 - 17800, and the short - term lead price shows a strong upward trend [5]. - In April, China's exports of unforged zinc alloys increased significantly. From a fundamental perspective, the port inventory of zinc concentrates continues to rise, and the processing fees of zinc concentrates increase again. The zinc ore surplus expectation remains unchanged. With the accumulation of zinc ingot inventory, the zinc price still has a certain downward risk in the medium term [7]. - The supply of tin is currently tight in the short term but is expected to loosen. The terminal orders in industries such as home appliances and electronics have not significantly increased, and the tin price center may move down under the drag of demand [8][9]. - The cost of nickel is expected to loosen, and the spot demand is weak. The inventory may return to the accumulation trend, and the nickel price maintains a bearish outlook [10]. - The supply and demand side of lithium carbonate lacks strong driving forces, and the futures price is in the cost - intensive area. If the demand does not weaken further, there is significant resistance to downward movement, and it is likely to fluctuate at the bottom [12]. - There are continuous disturbances in the ore and supply sides of alumina. The short - term impact of the mine shutdown in Guinea is large, and local policy uncertainty is high. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [15]. - The nickel - iron market is in a game situation, and the high - carbon ferrochrome market is waiting for the June tender of steel mills. The stainless - steel market is expected to maintain a weak and volatile pattern in the short term [17]. Summary by Metals Copper - The LME copper closed down 0.71% to $9487/ton, and the Shanghai copper main contract closed at 77770 yuan/ton. The LME inventory decreased by 1925 tons to 168825 tons, and the cancellation warrant ratio rose to 39.1%. The domestic Shanghai Futures Exchange copper warehouse receipts decreased by 0.5 tons to 4.1 tons. The spot premium in Shanghai decreased, and the downstream procurement sentiment improved. The import loss of domestic copper spot increased to over 400 yuan/ton, and the refined - scrap price difference narrowed slightly. The expected operating range of the Shanghai copper main contract today is 77000 - 78400 yuan/ton, and that of LME copper 3M is 9400 - 9600 dollars/ton [1]. Aluminum - The LME aluminum closed down 0.22% to $2475/ton, and the Shanghai aluminum main contract closed at 20135 yuan/ton. The position of the Shanghai aluminum weighted contract increased by 0.04 million hands to 51.6 million hands, and the futures warehouse receipts decreased by 0.2 tons to 6.0 tons. The domestic three - place aluminum ingot inventory decreased by 1.05 tons to 44.7 tons, and the aluminum rod inventory decreased by 0.2 tons to 8.3 tons. The spot premium in the East China region remained unchanged. The expected operating range of the domestic main contract today is 20000 - 20260 yuan/ton, and that of LME aluminum 3M is 2450 - 2500 dollars/ton [3]. Lead - The 3S price of lead rose by 13.5 to $1985/ton. The average price of SMM1 lead ingots was 16725 yuan/ton, and the refined - scrap price difference was 50 yuan/ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange lead ingot futures inventory was 4.11 tons, and the LME lead ingot inventory was 24.58 tons. The domestic social inventory increased to 5.82 tons. The medium - term expected operating range of the Shanghai lead index is 16300 - 17800 yuan/ton [5]. Zinc - The Shanghai zinc index rose 0.76% to 22417 yuan/ton, and the LME zinc 3S rose 62 to $2730.5/ton. The average price of SMM0 zinc ingots was 22760 yuan/ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange zinc ingot futures inventory was 0.14 tons, and the LME zinc ingot inventory was 15.67 tons. The domestic social inventory decreased slightly to 8.38 tons. In April, China's exports of unforged zinc alloys increased significantly. The zinc price still has a downward risk in the medium term [7]. Tin - On May 21, 2025, the Shanghai tin main contract closed at 267730 yuan/ton, up 1.13%. The domestic Shanghai Futures Exchange registered warehouse receipts increased by 45 tons to 8070 tons, and the LME inventory increased by 15 tons to 2670 tons. The upstream tin concentrate price rose. The tin ore supply is expected to loosen, and the tin price center may move down. The expected operating range of the domestic main contract is 250000 - 270000 yuan/ton, and that of overseas LME tin is 30000 - 33000 dollars/ton [8][9]. Nickel - The Shanghai nickel main contract closed at 123760 yuan/ton, up 0.18%, and the LME main contract closed at $15630/ton, up 0.64%. The price of nickel ore is stable or slightly decreased, the nickel - iron price is stable, and the price of intermediate products is high. The LME nickel inventory increased by 90 tons to 202098 tons. The nickel price maintains a bearish outlook. The expected operating range of the Shanghai nickel main contract today is 120000 - 130000 yuan/ton, and that of LME nickel 3M is 15000 - 16300 dollars/ton [10]. Lithium Carbonate - The Five - Mineral Steel Union lithium carbonate spot index (MMLC) was 62,657 yuan, unchanged from the previous day. The LC2507 contract closed at 61,100 yuan, up 0.39%. The lithium carbonate price is expected to fluctuate at the bottom. The expected operating range of the Guangzhou Futures Exchange lithium carbonate 2507 contract today is 60,400 - 61,800 yuan/ton [12]. Alumina - On May 21, 2025, the alumina index rose 3.55% to 3241 yuan/ton. The spot prices in various regions increased. The overseas Australian FOB price remained stable, and the import loss was 152 yuan/ton. The futures warehouse receipts decreased by 1.68 tons to 17.35 tons. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term. The expected operating range of the domestic main contract AO2509 is 2900 - 3500 yuan/ton [14][15]. Stainless Steel - The stainless - steel main contract closed at 12870 yuan/ton, up 0.23%. The spot prices in Foshan and Wuxi remained unchanged. The raw material prices were mostly stable, and the nickel - iron price decreased slightly. The futures inventory decreased, and the social inventory decreased by 0.42%. The stainless - steel market is expected to maintain a weak and volatile pattern in the short term [17].

Core Viewpoint - Shenglong Mining Group Co., Ltd. has received approval for its IPO application on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, aiming to raise 1.53 billion yuan, positioning itself as a leading player in the molybdenum industry in China [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Shenglong Mining is a major molybdenum company in China, focusing on the production, processing, and sales of molybdenum-related products, primarily molybdenum concentrate and molybdenum iron [1] - The company holds significant mining rights, with a total molybdenum metal reserve of 710,500 tons, accounting for approximately 9.10% of the national molybdenum resource reserves [2] Group 2: Production Capacity and Mining Assets - Shenglong Mining's production capacity is highlighted by its two major mines: the Nanni Lake Molybdenum Mine, which is the largest single molybdenum mine in China with an annual production capacity of 16.5 million tons, and the under-construction Angou Molybdenum Polymetallic Mine [1] - The company is expanding its production capabilities, with future plans to achieve a molybdenum mining capacity of 55,000 tons per day [1] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company has shown strong financial growth, with revenues increasing from approximately 1.91 billion yuan in 2022 to 2.86 billion yuan in 2024, and net profits rising from about 452 million yuan to 754 million yuan during the same period [3] - As of December 31, 2024, the total assets of the company are reported at approximately 6.89 billion yuan, with a significant increase in equity attributable to shareholders [3]

Company Overview - Guocheng Mining Co., Ltd. has been downgraded to a long-term credit rating of A+ by Lianhe Credit Rating Co., Ltd. with a stable outlook for both the company and its convertible bonds [1][3] - The company primarily engages in non-ferrous metal mining and selection, with a focus on zinc, lead, and sulfur iron resources [10][12] Financial Performance - As of the end of 2024, the company reported total assets of 9.272 billion yuan and total equity of 3.431 billion yuan, with an operating revenue of 1.918 billion yuan and a net profit of -55 million yuan [10][12] - The company experienced a decline in profitability, with total capital return rate and net asset return rate at 0.12% and -3.40% respectively in 2024 [5][9] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities decreased, resulting in a net cash outflow of 338 million yuan in the first quarter of 2025 [9] Operational Developments - The company’s subsidiary, Inner Mongolia Dongshengmiao Mining Co., Ltd., maintains good resource endowment and is gradually expanding production, with a sulfur-titanium iron resource recycling project having completed trial production [3][6] - The company plans to acquire at least 60% of the equity of Inner Mongolia Guocheng Industrial Co., Ltd., which is a large molybdenum metal mine, enhancing its resource base [6][12] Management and Governance - The company has a relatively stable corporate governance structure, but frequent changes in board members and senior management have been noted [5][12] - The company has faced administrative penalties due to safety production incidents, indicating areas for improvement in management capabilities [7][16] Industry Context - The non-ferrous metal industry is characterized by significant cyclicality and is influenced by international supply-demand dynamics and geopolitical factors [11] - The industry has seen a rise in demand for traditional industrial metals like copper and aluminum, while new energy metals face price pressures due to supply-demand imbalances [11]

【导读】宁德时代上市次日市值狂飙超1400亿港元！贵金属板块大涨 5月21日，香港三大股指全线上涨。恒生指数收盘涨0.62%，报23827.78点；恒生科技指数涨0.51%，收报于5342.41点；恒生中国企业指数涨0.84%，收于 8660.94点。全日市场成交额达2163亿港元，较前一交易日有所回升；南向资金净买入额为14.27亿港元。 | 恒生指数 | 恒生国企 | 恒生科技 | | --- | --- | --- | | 23827.78 | 8660.94 | 5342.41 | | +146.30 +0.62% +71.86 +0.84% +26.85 +0.51% | | | 黄金股涨幅居前，紫金矿业（601899）涨7.93%，中升控股涨6.99%，安踏体育涨5.77%，领涨蓝筹。 | 序号 | 名称 | 代码 | 现价 | 消费 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 紫美矿业 | 2899 | 18.560 c | 1.363 | 7.93% | 20.80亿 | 33.5 ...

每经记者｜黄小聪 每经编辑｜肖芮冬 今日，黄金主题的ETF再次迎来集体上涨，同样上涨的还包括与有色相关的主题ETF。 《每日经济新闻》记者注意到，这些有色主题的ETF，背后主要跟踪的是中证有色金属指数、中证细分有色金属产业主题指数和国证有色金属行业指数。 那么，同样是有色主题，这三个指数有什么不同？这期我们就来聊一聊。 一、四大不同点 1、成分股构成 中证有色金属指数是选取涉及有色金属采选、有色金属冶炼与加工业务的上市公司作为样本，成分股较为广泛地覆盖了有色金属行业的各个领域。个股平均 市值约为402亿元。 | 最大値 | 4.914.19 | | --- | --- | | 平均值 | 401.50 | | 中位数 | 210.42 | | 最小值 | 75.04 | | 合计 | 24,090.08 | 中证细分有色金属产业主题指数是中证细分产业主题指数系列的其中一条指数，主要从相关细分产业中选取规模较大、流动性较好的上市公司证券作为指数 样本，龙头属性更突出，行业分布几乎涵盖有色金属所有细分子行业。个股平均市值约为459亿元。 | | 成分股总市值(币种:CNY 单位:亿 | | --- | --- | ...

有色商品日报 有色商品日报（2025 年 5 月 21 日） 一、研究观点 | 品 | 点评 | | --- | --- | | 种 | 隔夜 LME 铜先抑后扬，上涨 0.4%至 9554.5 美元/吨；SHFE 铜主力上涨 0.36%至 | | | 78140 元/吨；国内现货进口亏损幅度加大。宏观方面，欧美关税问题进行谈判，日本 | | | 考虑接受美国调降关税，而非完全豁免。国内方面，中国 4 月经济数据显示，消费略 | | | 超预期，固定资产投资整体增速较低，房地产出现回踩特征。库存方面，LME 铜库存 | | | 下降 3575 吨至 170750 吨；comex 铜库存增加 1127 吨至 155694 吨；SHFE 铜仓单下降 | | 铜 | 16175 吨至 45738。需求方面，随着铜价走高，旺季转淡季预期下，下游采购相对谨 | | | 慎，终端需求订单可能逐步放缓。昨晚黄金和原油大幅回升，带动市场情绪，铜价震 | | | 荡走高。另外，市场关注国内某仓位大量持有铜多头情况，市场或担心挤仓风险，且 | | | 铜结构也不利于空头布局，从 SHFE 仓单来看依然维系大量流出情形，表明部分投 ...