1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - After the holiday, there are multiple upward drivers, with ships being launched successively. Overall, shipping companies have a high degree of maneuverability in reducing speed and suspending voyages; December - January is the long - term contract signing season. Meanwhile, the economy in Northwest Europe is deteriorating. It is not recommended to chase high prices, and short - term volatile operation is expected. The current valuation of the 04 contract is high, and as an off - season contract, it is more suitable for short - selling in the short term. Attention should be paid to the low liquidity, which may cause short - term susceptibility to disturbances. Contracts 12 and 02 already have high valuations [3][31] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Contract Information - **EC Futures Contracts**: The closing prices of EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, and EC2606 on the previous day were 1139.0, 1777.0, 1685.0, 1268.6, and 1483.5 respectively, with changes of - 2.90%, - 0.34%, - 0.66%, - 1.23%, and 0.08%. The trading volumes were 22035, 19314, 6466, 1657, and 97 respectively, and the open interests were 32431, 21695, 8768, 9099, and 938 respectively, with changes of - 3095, - 1300, 0, 142, and - 14 respectively [2][30] - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: The spreads of EC2510 - 2512 were - 638.0, - 610.1, and - 582.1 for the previous day, two days ago, and three days ago respectively, with a daily change of - 27.9. The spreads of EC2512 - 2602 were 92.0, 86.9, and 108.4 for the previous day, two days ago, and three days ago respectively, with a daily change of 5.1 [2][30] Spot Index Information - **SCF**: Updated every Monday, as of September 22, 2025, it was 1254.92 points, showing a decline of 12.87% compared to the previous period and 8.06% compared to the period before the previous one [2][30] - **CCFI (European Line)**: Updated every ninth day of the week, as of September 26, 2025, it was 1401.91 points, showing a decline of 4.69% compared to the previous period [2][30] - **NCFI**: Updated every ninth day of the week, as of September 26, 2025, it was 614.14 points, showing a decline of 8.85% compared to the previous period [2][30] Recent European Line Quotation Information - **Week 39**: The average quotation was 1600 US dollars (equivalent to 1150 points on the futures market). Among them, MSK quoted 1500 US dollars (later increased to 1570), PA Alliance quoted between 1550 - 1600 US dollars, and OA Alliance quoted between 1600 - 1720 US dollars [4][32] - **Weeks 40 - 41**: The average quotation was 1450 US dollars (equivalent to 1020 points on the futures market). Among them, MSK quoted 1400 US dollars, PA quoted between 1300 - 1500 US dollars, YML quoted 1300 US dollars (the lowest price of the year), and OA quoted between 1400 - 1600 US dollars [4][32] - **Week 42**: MSK opened the cabin with a quotation of 1800 US dollars (a month - on - month increase of 400). Other shipping companies successively announced price increases to 2000 US dollars after the holiday [4][32] News - On September 29, Trump claimed that the Middle East peace agreement "will surely be reached." He was optimistic about reaching a cease - fire agreement in Gaza and would meet with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu on Monday to finalize the agreement framework. - On September 28, Hamas stated that it had not received a new cease - fire proposal, and the Palestine - Israel negotiations were at an impasse. - On September 28, the Israeli Defense Minister stated that the military operations in the Gaza Strip would not stop [4][32]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - After the holiday, there are multiple upward drivers including multiple price increase announcements, high operational space for shipping companies such as speed reduction and suspension of voyages, and the long - term agreement signing season from December to January. However, the economies in Northwest Europe are deteriorating and new ships are being launched successively. Overall, the valuations of contracts 12 and 02 are already high, and it is not recommended to chase the high prices. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile. Contract 04 currently has a high valuation, and as an off - season contract, it is more suitable for short - selling in the short term, but attention should be paid to the low liquidity which may cause short - term fluctuations [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Contract Information - For EC2510, the closing price was 1139.0, with a decline of 2.90%, a basis of 115.9, trading volume of 22035, and open interest of 32431 with a decrease of 3095 [1] - For EC2512, the closing price was 1777.0, a decline of 0.34%, a basis of - 522.1, trading volume of 19314, and open interest of 21695 with a decrease of 1300 [1] - For EC2602, the closing price was 1685.0, a decline of 0.66%, a basis of - 430.1, trading volume of 6466, and open interest of 8768 [1] - For EC2604, the closing price was 1268.6, a decline of 1.28%, a basis of - 13.7, trading volume of 1657, and open interest of 9099 with an increase of 142 [1] - For EC2606, the closing price was 1483.5, an increase of 0.08%, a basis of - 228.6, trading volume of 97, and open interest of 938 with a decrease of 14 [1] - The spread of EC2510 - 2512 was - 638.0, with a day - on - day decrease of 27.9 and a week - on - week decrease of 77.8 [1] - The spread of EC2512 - 2602 was 92.0, with a day - on - day increase of 5.1 and a week - on - week increase of 11.7 [1] 3.2 Spot Index Information - The SCHIS SCFI (European line) index was 1254.92 points on September 22, 2025, a decrease of 12.87% from the previous period and 8.06% from two periods ago. The price was 971 dollars/TEU on September 26, 2025, a decrease of 7.70% from the previous period and 8.84% from two periods ago [1] - The CCFI index was 1401.91 points on September 26, 2025, a decrease of 4.69% from the previous period and 4.31% from two periods ago [1] - The NCFI index was 614.14 points on September 26, 2025, a decrease of 8.83% from the previous period and 7.65% from two periods ago [1] 3.3 European Line Quotation Situation - For week 39 (end of September), the average quotation was 1600 US dollars (equivalent to 1150 points on the futures market). MSK quoted 1500 US dollars (later increased to 1570), PA Alliance quoted 1550 - 1600 US dollars, and OA Alliance quoted 1600 - 1720 US dollars [3] - For weeks 40 - 41 (beginning of October), the average quotation was 1450 US dollars (equivalent to 1020 points on the futures market). MSK quoted 1400 US dollars, PA quoted 1300 - 1500 US dollars (YML's 1300 US dollars was the lowest price of the year), and OA quoted 1400 - 1600 US dollars [3] - For week 42, MSK's opening quotation was 1800 US dollars (a 400 - dollar increase from the previous period), and other shipping companies successively announced post - holiday price increases to 2000 US dollars [3] 3.4 Related News - On September 29, Trump claimed that the Middle East peace agreement "will surely be reached". He will meet with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu on Monday to finalize the agreement framework [4] - On September 28, Hamas stated that it had not received a new cease - fire proposal, and the Israel - Palestine negotiations were at an impasse [4] - On September 28, the Israeli Defense Minister said that it would not stop military operations in the Gaza Strip [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View - This week, Maersk significantly increased the spot freight rates for the second half of October, indicating that shipping companies are starting to support prices for the upcoming peak season. Currently, the overall cargo volume on the European route is weak, and there was some control over shipping capacity in the first half of October due to holidays. Future attention should be paid to the implementation of shipping companies' price - support measures and the market's expectations for the peak season in December [7]. - Bullish factors include the complex situation in the Middle East, which makes short - term navigation in the Red Sea unlikely, and some shipping companies starting to support freight rates for the second half of October [7]. - Bearish factors are that the deployed shipping capacity on the European route is currently relatively high, and the cargo volume remains at the off - season level. The cargo volume in the second half of October may fall short of expectations [7]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Fundamental Points - **Latest View**: Maersk's rate hike shows shipping companies' price - support for the peak season. Current European route cargo is weak, with capacity control in early October. Monitor price - support implementation and December peak - season expectations [7]. - **Likely Factors**: Complex Middle East situation affecting Red Sea navigation and some shipping companies' price - support for late October [7]. - **Negative Factors**: High deployed capacity on the European route and low off - season cargo volume, with potential under - performance in late October [7]. - **Price Data**: SCFIS European route on Monday was 1,254.92 (1,440.24) points, down 12.87% month - on - month; SCFIS US West route was 1,193.64 (1,349.84) points, down 11.57% month - on - month. On Friday, SCFI composite index was 1,114.52 (1,198.21), down 6.98% month - on - month, with SCFI European route at 971 (1052) dollars/TEU, down 7.70% month - on - month, and SCFI US West route at 1460 (1636) dollars/FEU, down 10.76% month - on - month [9]. - **Supply Data**: As of Friday, there were 7,414 (7,402) global container ships with a total capacity of 33,101,322 (33,055,884) TEU, up 0.14% from last Friday. In early September, idle capacity was about 486,400 TEU, with an idle capacity ratio of 1.47%. In August, the global main - route comprehensive punctuality rate was 44.21 (45.06)%, arrival and departure service punctuality rate was 40.24 (42.23)%, and pick - up and delivery service punctuality rate was 48.17 (47.89)% [9]. - **Demand Data**: In August, China's export value was 321.81 (321.784) billion dollars, a year - on - year increase of 4.4%. In July, exports to the US were 31.60404 (35.82748) billion dollars, a year - on - year decrease of 33.12%, and exports to the EU were 51.68954 (50.00028) billion dollars, a year - on - year increase of 10.38% [10]. 3.2 Container Transport Prices - **SCFIS**: European route decreased by 12.87% month - on - month on Monday; US West route decreased by 11.57% month - on - month [9]. - **SCFI**: Composite index decreased by 6.98% month - on - month on Friday, with European route down 7.70% and US West route down 10.76% month - on - month [9]. - **Other Prices**: International container charter price index and global container ship average revenue data are presented in graphs, showing historical trends and monthly changes [23]. 3.3 Container Transport Supply - **Global Container Ship Capacity**: As of Friday, there were 7,414 ships with a total capacity of 33,101,322 TEU, up 0.14% from last Friday. Historical capacity data (ships and TEU) are shown in a graph [9][27]. - **Idle Capacity**: In early September, idle capacity was about 486,400 TEU, with a ratio of 1.47%. Historical idle capacity and its proportion are presented in a graph [9][33]. - **Ship Delivery and Orders**: Data on global container ship deliveries (ships and TEU) and new - signed container ship orders (TEU) are shown in graphs [35]. - **China's Container - Related Equipment Exports**: Data on China's container ship and container exports, including monthly values and cumulative year - on - year changes, are presented in graphs [38]. - **Shipping Punctuality Rates**: Global main - route comprehensive punctuality rate, arrival and departure service punctuality rate, and pick - up and delivery service punctuality rate data are provided, along with historical trends. Punctuality rates of global liner companies, alliances, and major ports are also presented in graphs [40][45][48]. - **Ship Fuel Prices**: Graphs show the price differences between high - sulfur and low - sulfur marine fuels in Singapore and Rotterdam [54]. 3.4 Container Transport Demand - **PMI Data**: China's manufacturing PMI and new export order PMI data, along with a comparison of China, the US, and the EU's PMI, are presented in graphs [58]. - **Foreign Demand**: Data on US commercial inventory changes and EU 27 retail sales changes, including monthly and year - on - year changes, are presented in graphs [60]. - **Import and Export Data**: China's customs import and export values and their year - on - year changes, as well as seasonal data on China's exports to the US and the EU, are presented in graphs [63][65]. - **Cargo Volume**: Seasonal data on European and US route cargo volumes are presented in graphs [68]. - **Port Throughput**: National port container throughput data and monthly changes, as well as Shanghai Port's container throughput and its year - on - year changes, are presented in graphs [70][73]. - **Exchange Rates**: Graphs show the spot exchange rates of the US dollar and the euro against the Chinese yuan [75].

Report Overview - Report Type: Container Shipping Index Daily Report [1] - Date: September 25, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Macro Financial Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The SCFIS has dropped below 1300 points for ten consecutive weeks, and the October freight rates are further reduced. The spot freight prices show a smooth downward trend in the off - season, with an expanding decline. Attention should be paid to whether the freight rate reduction rate can slow down and whether the bottom of the freight rate can be formed. The tense situation in the Middle East is expected to support the far - month contracts. There may be low - buying opportunities in December contracts, and the October contracts are recommended to be short - sold on rallies [8]. 3. Summary by Section 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Condition**: The SCFIS has dropped below 1300 points for ten consecutive weeks, and the October freight rates are further reduced. The spot freight prices of the Shanghai - Rotterdam route and other routes have decreased significantly, showing a smooth downward trend in the off - season with an expanding decline [8]. - **Operation Suggestions**: There may be low - buying opportunities in December contracts, and the October contracts are recommended to be short - sold on rallies [8]. 3.2 Industry News - **Shipping Market**: From September 15th to 19th, the demand for China's export container transportation was weak, the freight rates of ocean routes continued to adjust, and the decline of the comprehensive index expanded. The freight rates of European, Mediterranean, and North American routes all decreased [9]. - **Economic Data**: The year - on - year growth rate of the added value of large - scale industrial enterprises in China was 5.2%, showing strong resilience. Germany's September ZEW economic situation index fell to - 76.4 points, and the US September Michigan consumer confidence index fell to 55.4, both lower than market expectations [9][10]. - **Middle East Situation**: The US vetoed the permanent cease - fire resolution in Gaza at the UN Security Council. There are continuous military operations between the Israeli army and Hamas in Gaza, which has a certain impact on the shipping market [10]. 3.3 Data Overview 3.3.1 Container Shipping Spot Prices - **European Route**: On September 22, 2025, the SCFIS for the European route (basic ports) was 1254.92 points, a decrease of 12.9% compared with September 15th [12]. - **US West Route**: On September 22, 2025, the SCFIS for the US West route (basic ports) was 1193.64 points, a decrease of 11.6% compared with September 15th [12]. 3.3.2 Container Shipping Index (European Line) Futures Market - **Contract Data**: The trading data of EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, EC2606, and EC2608 contracts on September 24th are provided, including opening price, closing price, settlement price, change, change rate, trading volume, open interest, and open interest change [6]. 3.3.3 Shipping - Related Data Charts - The report provides multiple charts, including the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index, container shipping futures contract trends, European container ship capacity, global container ship orders, Shanghai - Europe basic port freight rates, and Shanghai - Rotterdam spot freight rates [13][17][22]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The market is in a bottom - building process under the game of long and short positions. It is not recommended to increase positions, and stop - loss should be set. The core issue is the trend of spot freight rates, and the main contract may be at the bottom - building stage. It is advisable to participate with a light position or just observe [1][3]. - Attention should be paid to tariff policies, the Middle - East situation, and spot freight rate conditions [3]. 3. Summary by Content 3.1 Freight Index - On September 22, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (SCFIS) for the European route was 1254.92 points, down 12.9% from the previous period; for the US - West route, it was 1193.64 points, down 11.6% [2]. - On September 19, the Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) for the comprehensive index was 783.71 points, down 13.24% from the previous period; for the European route, it was 673.61 points, down 7.65%; for the US - West route, it was 944.89 points, down 23.30% [2]. - On September 19, the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) was 1198.21 points, down 199.90 points from the previous period; the SCFI price for the European route was 1052 USD/TEU, down 8.8%; for the US - West route, it was 1636 USD/FEU, down 31.0% [2]. - On September 19, the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) for the comprehensive index was 1125.30 points, down 2.1% from the previous period; for the European route, it was 1537.28 points, down 6.2%; for the US - West route, it was 757.45 points, down 2.2% [2]. 3.2 Market Conditions - On September 24, the main contract 2510 closed at 1100.0, with a 2.67% increase, a trading volume of 24,680 lots, and an open interest of 40,900 lots, a decrease of 568 lots from the previous day [3]. - Market pessimism has been repaired. The rise in crude oil prices may have boosted the bullish sentiment, but the market pulled back after rising due to capital withdrawal in the afternoon, showing a strong - side volatile trend [3]. 3.3 Strategies - **Short - term Strategy**: The main contract is weak, and far - month contracts are strong. It is recommended to stop losses on long positions and wait for bottom - building opportunities. Pay attention to subsequent market trends, do not hold losing positions, and set stop - losses [4]. - **Arbitrage Strategy**: Given the volatile international situation, each contract still follows seasonal logic with large fluctuations. It is recommended to wait and see or try with a light position [4]. - **Long - term Strategy**: It is recommended to take profits when prices rise for each contract, wait for the price to stabilize after a pull - back, and then determine the subsequent direction [4]. 3.4 Policy and Geopolitical Events - The extension of Sino - US tariffs has shown a marginal effect, and the current focus is on the trend of spot freight rates [3]. - On September 23, a ship reported an explosion in the sea area about 222 kilometers east of Aden, Yemen, and the ship and crew were safe [5]. - The United Nations stated that Israel intends to permanently control the Gaza Strip, and in July, Israel's control area in the Gaza Strip expanded to 75% [5]. - The Ministry of Transport and other departments issued an action plan to promote the in - depth integration of container rail - water intermodal transportation from 2025 - 2027, aiming for an average annual growth of about 15% in container rail - water intermodal transportation volume by 2027 [5]. 3.5 Contract Adjustments - The daily limit for contracts from 2508 to 2606 is adjusted to 18% [4]. - The company's margin for contracts from 2508 to 2606 is adjusted to 28% [4]. - The daily opening limit for all contracts from 2508 to 2606 is 100 lots [4].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - On October 10, the cargo receiving was still weak. After the market closed, MSK raised the post - holiday weekly freight rate to $1800 (+$400). Other shipping companies may follow suit before the holiday. However, the purpose of this price increase is to stabilize prices and encourage downstream shippers to book cabins before the holiday, not a real price increase. The 10 - contract can be shorted depending on the subsequent upward trend [1]. - After the holiday, there are multiple upward drivers, including multiple price increase announcements, high operation space for shipping companies to slow down and suspend voyages, and the long - term contract signing season from December to January [1]. - From a valuation perspective, the valuation of the 12 - contract is not low, but funds may be more concentrated on this contract. It is recommended to take a long - allocation approach in the short term. The 02 - contract may have higher cost - effectiveness than the 12 - contract, and its settlement price may be higher due to the late Spring Festival in 2026 (February 17, 2026). The 04 - contract currently has a high valuation and is more suitable for short - allocation in the short term as an off - season contract, but its low liquidity may be easily disturbed [1]. 3. Summary by Related Content Futures Market Data - **Futures Prices and Changes**: On September 25, 2025, the closing prices of EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, and EC2606 were 1114.4, 1696.5, 1588.1, 1261.0, and 1445.3 respectively, with daily changes of 1.31%, 4.50%, 3.42%, 2.14%, and 1.69% [1]. - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: The spreads of EC2510 - 2512, EC2512 - 2602, 10 - 12, and 02 - 04 were - 582.1, 108.4, - 582.1 (- 58.7), and 327.1 (+26.1) respectively [1]. - **Basis**: The basis of the 10 - contract was around 95 points [1]. Spot Market Data - **Spot Index Changes**: From September 15 to September 19, 2025, the TEU index decreased by 8.06%, the SCH index decreased by 8.84%, the CCFI (European Line) index decreased by 4.31%, and the NCFI index decreased by 7.65% [1]. Recent European Line Quotations - **Week 39 (End of September)**: The average quotation was $1600 (equivalent to 1150 points on the futures market). MSK's quotation increased from $1500 to $1570, PA Alliance's was $1550 - $1600, and OA Alliance's was $1600 - $1720 [2]. - **Weeks 40 - 41 (Early October)**: The average quotation was $1450 (equivalent to 1020 points on the futures market). MSK's was $1400, PA's was $1300 - $1500 (YML's $1300 was the lowest of the year), and OA's was $1400 - $1600 [2]. - **Week 42**: MSK's opening quotation was $1800 (a week - on - week increase of $400), CMA's was $2520 (+$900), and HPL's was $2035 (+$600) [2].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The spot freight rate is continuously falling, the bullish sentiment has subsided, and the market has declined again. It is not recommended to increase positions, and stop - losses should be set [2]. - The main contract remains weak, while the far - month contract is relatively strong. It is recommended to stop losses on long positions and wait for the bottom - building opportunity. Attention should be paid to subsequent market trends, and it is not advisable to hold positions stubbornly [4]. - In the context of international turmoil, each contract still follows the seasonal logic, with large fluctuations. The core of the movement is the trend of the spot freight rate. The main contract may be in the bottom - building process, and it is recommended to participate lightly or wait and see [4]. - For long - term strategies, it is recommended to take profits when the contracts rise, wait for the correction to stabilize, and then judge the subsequent direction [4]. 3. Summary by Related Content Freight Rate Index Changes - On September 22, compared with the previous period, the NCFI (comprehensive index) dropped 13.24% to 783.71 points, the SCFIS (European route) dropped 12.9% to 1254.92 points, the NCFI (European route) dropped 7.65% to 673.61 points, the SCFIS (US West route) dropped 11.6% to 1193.64 points, and the NCFI (US West route) dropped 23.30% to 944.89 points [3]. - On September 19, compared with the previous period, the SCFl announced price dropped 199.90 points to 1198.21 points, the CCFI (comprehensive index) dropped 2.1% to 1125.30 points, the SCFI European route price dropped 8.8% to 1052 USD/TEU, the CCFI (European route) dropped 6.2% to 1537.28 points, the SCFI US West route dropped 31.0% to 1636 USD/FEU, and the CCFI (US West route) dropped 2.2% to 757.45 points [3]. Economic Data - In August, the eurozone's manufacturing PMI initial value was 50.5 (estimated 49.5, previous value 49.8), the service PMI initial value was 50.7 (estimated 50.8, previous value 51), and the composite PMI initial value rose to 51.1, higher than July's 50.9, reaching the highest level since May 2024 and higher than the expected value of 50.7. The Sentix investor confidence index was - 3.7 (expected 8, previous value 4.5) [3]. - In August, China's manufacturing PMI was 49.4%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, and the comprehensive PMI output index was 50.5%, up 0.3 percentage points from the previous month [4]. - In August, the US S&P Global manufacturing PMI initial value was 53.3 (estimated 49.5, previous value 49.8), the service PMI initial value was 55.4 (estimated 54.2, previous value 55.7), and the Markit manufacturing PMI initial value was 53.3, the highest level since May 2022 (expected 49.7, previous value 49.8) [4]. Market and Contract Information - On September 23, the main contract 2510 closed at 1100.0, down 0.18%, with a trading volume of 28,500 lots and an open interest of 41,500 lots, a decrease of 4522 lots from the previous day [4]. - The up - limit and down - limit for contracts 2508 - 2606 were adjusted to 18%, the margin was adjusted to 28%, and the daily opening position limit for all contracts 2508 - 2606 was 100 lots [4]. Geopolitical Events - On September 23, local time, the UK Maritime Trade Operations Office reported that a ship heard an explosion about 222 kilometers east of Aden, Yemen. The ship and its crew were safe and continued normal navigation [4]. - Australia, Canada, and the UK announced the recognition of the State of Palestine. Since the new round of the Israel - Palestine conflict in October 2023, Israel's military operations in the Gaza Strip have caused more than 60,000 Palestinian deaths, and the international community's call for the implementation of the "two - state solution" has increased [4].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Spot freight rates are continuously falling, and the bullish sentiment has faded. The market is weakening, and it is not recommended to add more positions. Stop - loss should be set [2]. - The market shows a pattern of near - term strength and long - term weakness. Attention should be paid to tariff policies, the Middle East situation, and spot freight rates [4]. - Tariff issues have a marginal effect. In the short - term, wait for the market to bottom; in the long - term, take profit on rallies and wait for the market to stabilize after a pullback [4]. 3. Summary by Content Freight Rate Indexes - From September 19th to 22nd, multiple freight rate indexes declined. For example, the NCFI (composite index) dropped 13.24%, the SCFIS (European route) fell 12.9%, and the NCFI (US West route) decreased 23.30% [3]. Economic Data - In August, the manufacturing PMI in China was 49.4%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, and the composite PMI output index was 50.5%, up 0.3 percentage points [4]. - The eurozone's August manufacturing PMI, services PMI, and composite PMI all showed improvement. The Sentix investor confidence index was - 3.7 [3]. - The US August manufacturing and services PMI data were better than expected [4]. Trading Strategies - Short - term strategy: The main contract is weak, and it is recommended to stop loss on long positions and wait for the bottoming opportunity. Do not hold positions stubbornly and set stop - loss [4]. - Arbitrage strategy: Due to the volatile international situation, it is recommended to temporarily observe or participate with a light position [4]. - Long - term strategy: Take profit on rallies and wait for the market to stabilize after a pullback before making further decisions [4]. Market Conditions - On September 23rd, the main contract 2510 closed at 1100.0, with a decline of 0.18%, a trading volume of 28,500 lots, and an open interest of 41,500 lots, a decrease of 4,522 lots from the previous day [4]. - The daily trading limit for contracts 2508 - 2606 was adjusted to 18%, the margin was adjusted to 28%, and the intraday opening limit for all contracts 2508 - 2606 was 100 lots [4]. Geopolitical Events - On September 23rd, a ship reported an explosion in the sea area about 222 kilometers east of Aden, Yemen, but the ship and its crew were safe [4]. - Australia, Canada, and the UK announced the recognition of the State of Palestine, and the international community's call for the implementation of the "two - state solution" has increased [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - In the short - term, the EC futures market is under pressure from spot prices. The price in early October is expected to decline, with a potential rebound in late October (before the National Day), but more likely to stabilize due to the off - season [1]. - From a medium - term perspective, considering multiple upward drivers, the 02 contract has a higher cost - performance for long - position allocation as the Spring Festival in 2026 is relatively late (February 17, 2026), which may lead to a higher settlement price. The 04 contract, being an off - season contract, is suitable for short - position allocation in the short term, but its low liquidity may cause price fluctuations. Attention should be paid to the 02 and 04 contracts. Also, be aware of the pre - holiday position - reduction volatility and the capital transfer risk of the 10 contract [8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 EC Futures Contract Price and Trading Volume - **Contract Prices**: The prices of EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, and EC2606 contracts are 1100.0, 1623.4, 1535.6, 1234.6, and 1421.3 respectively, with daily changes of 0.58%, - 1.84%, - 2.41%, - 3.17%, and - 2.28% [1]. - **Trading Volumes**: The trading volumes of EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, and EC2606 contracts are 28527, 12535, 2521, 1838, and 157 respectively [1]. - **Open Interest**: The open interest of EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, and EC2606 contracts are 41508, 22118, 7601, 8854, and 961 respectively, with changes of - 4522, 162, 203, - 68, and 11 [1]. 3.2 Month - to - Month Spreads - **EC2510 - 2512**: The spread is - 523.4, with a daily increase of 36.8 and a weekly increase of 38.9 [1]. - **EC2512 - 2602**: The spread is 87.8, with a daily increase of 7.5 and a weekly decrease of 5.4 [1]. 3.3 Spot Freight Rate Indexes - **TCI**: Updated every Monday, as of September 15, 2025, it is 1440.24 points, down 8.06% from the previous period and 11.68% from the period before that [1]. - **SCFI (European Line)**: Updated weekly, as of September 19, 2025, it is 1052 dollars/EU, down 8.84% from the previous period and 12.24% from the period before that [1]. - **CCFI (European Line)**: Updated every Friday, as of September 19, 2025, it is 1470.97 points, down 4.31% from the previous period and 6.19% from the period before that [1]. - **NCFI (European Line)**: Updated every Friday, as of September 19, 2025, it is 673.61 points, down 7.65% from the previous period and 14.78% from the period before that [1]. 3.4 European Line Spot Quotations - **Week 39**: The average quotation is 1600 dollars (equivalent to 1150 points on the disk). MSK's quotation is 1500 dollars (later rising to 1570), PA Alliance's is 1550 - 1600 dollars, and OA Alliance's is 1600 - 1720 dollars [2]. - **Week 40 - 41**: The average quotation is 1450 dollars (equivalent to 1020 points on the disk). MSK's is 1400 dollars; PA's is 1300 - 1500 dollars, with YML's 1300 dollars being the lowest price of the year; OA's is 1400 - 1600 dollars [2]. 3.5 Related News - On September 23, the Polish Prime Minister decided to reopen the border crossing with Russia. The Polish Interior Minister is expected to issue a relevant order, and border traffic is expected to resume between Wednesday and Thursday midnight [3]. - On September 23, Trump expected the meeting on the Gaza issue to be successful and hoped for an end to the war in Gaza [3]. - A UN investigation report showed that the Israeli government intends to establish permanent control in the Gaza Strip [3].

Report Information - Report Title: Container Shipping Index Daily Report [1] - Date: September 24, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Macro Financial Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The SCFIS has fallen below 1300 points for ten consecutive weeks, and the freight rates in October have been further reduced. The spot freight rates show a smooth downward trend in the off - season with an expanding decline. Attention should be paid to whether the freight rate reduction rate can slow down and whether the bottom can be formed. The tense situation in the Middle East may support the far - month contracts. There may be a low - buying opportunity for the December contract, and the October contract is recommended to be short - allocated on rallies [8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The SCFIS has dropped below 1300 points for ten consecutive weeks. In October, the freight rates are further reduced. For example, in the Shanghai - Rotterdam route, Maersk's quotes for the first and second weeks of October are about $200 lower than those in late September, and other airlines have followed suit. The spot freight rates show a smooth downward trend in the off - season with an expanding decline. There may be a low - buying opportunity for the December contract, and the October contract is recommended to be short - allocated on rallies [8] 2. Industry News - From September 15th to 19th, the demand for China's export container transportation was weak, and the freight rates in the ocean - going routes continued to adjust with an expanding decline in the composite index. The national industrial added value increased by 5.2% year - on - year, with high - tech manufacturing leading the growth. On September 19th, the Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index dropped by 14.3%. In the European route, the German economic situation is still低迷, and the freight rate from Shanghai Port to European basic ports dropped by 8.8%. In the Mediterranean route, the freight rate dropped by 5.8%. In the North American route, the US consumer confidence index hit a new low since May, and the freight rates to the US West and East basic ports dropped by 31.0% and 22.7% respectively. There are also updates on the Middle - East situation including actions of the Israeli military and Hamas in Gaza [9][10] 3. Data Overview 3.1 Container Shipping Spot Prices - From September 15th to 22nd, the SCFIS for the European route dropped from 1440.24 to 1254.92, a decrease of 12.9%. The SCFIS for the US West route dropped from 1349.84 to 1193.64, a decrease of 11.6% [12] 3.2 Container Shipping Index (European Line) Futures Market - Transaction data for various contracts on September 23rd are provided, including EC2510, EC2512, etc. For example, the EC2510 contract had a closing price of 1,100.0, a settlement price of 1,085.4, a decline of 2.0, and a decline rate of 0.18%. The trading volume was 28,527, and the open interest was 41,508 with a change of - 4,522 [6]