6. 高盛集团：英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变，薪资上涨压力减轻加上服务类通胀有望回落将促使 其在8月降息，并在下半年连续降息。 7. 三菱日联：英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变，外部形势变化可能使其选择继续保留选择权，国内 数据则可能使其在传递信息方面发生微妙变化。 8. 法兴银行：英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变，然后将在今年8月和11月进行两次25个基点的降 息，随后在2026年进行三次25个基点的降息。 金十整理：机构前瞻英国央行利率决议——6月不降息已无悬念，但8月必降？ 1. 凯投宏观：英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变，随后有可能超预期降息，明年利率有望降至3.5%。 2. 瑞银集团：英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变，然后可能会在8月和11月降息，到今年年底将利率 降至3.75%。 3. 晨星公司：英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变，因关税紧张局势缓解及薪资增长前景不确定；下一 次降息预计在8月。 4. 美国银行：英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变，然后将在今年下半年加快降息步伐，在8月、9月和 11月降息，将利率降至3.5%。 5. Investec：英国央行料将维持利 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain interest rates, indicating a slowdown in future rate cuts, which has led to fluctuations in gold and silver prices [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has been experiencing a range-bound trading pattern, with a recent high of 3450 and a low around 3360, indicating potential trading opportunities for both bullish and bearish positions [5][6]. - The current support level for gold is at 3360, with resistance at 3405 and a target high of 3430 for the week [6][7]. - Despite the recent fluctuations, gold maintains a bullish trend, with each dip followed by a significant rebound [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver has shown a complex trading pattern, with a recent peak at 37.3 and a drop to 36.4, indicating a strong bullish trend but also high volatility [3][7]. - The recommendation is to avoid chasing high prices in silver and to consider light short positions instead, as the market remains uncertain [7][8]. Domestic Market Insights - In the domestic gold market, there has been a lack of momentum, with the highest price for Shanghai gold reaching 793, but without sustained upward movement [7]. - The strategy for domestic silver is to avoid aggressive buying and instead consider light short positions above 8900, as the market is currently at a high risk of correction [8]. Oil Market Overview - The international oil market saw a drop to a low of 72.8 but rebounded to 75.5, indicating a potential for further gains if it breaks above 77.5 [8][9]. - The domestic fuel market is also showing a slow upward trend, with a current price around 3198, and the outlook remains bullish [9].

6月19日，美联储将基准利率维持在4.25%-4.50%不变，连续第四次会议按兵不动，符合市场预期。 委员会致力于在长期内实现最大就业和2%的通胀目标。尽管经济前景的不确定性已有所缓解，但仍处 于高位。委员会高度关注其"双重使命"两方面所面临的风险。 为支持上述目标，委员会决定将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%至4.5%之间。在评估是否以及何时 进一步调整这一目标区间时，委员会将密切评估最新数据、前景变化及风险平衡情况。委员会将继续缩 减所持有的国债、机构债及机构抵押贷款支持证券的规模。委员会坚定致力于支持最大就业，并将通胀 率恢复至2%的目标水平。 在评估货币政策的适当立场时，委员会将继续关注新发布信息对经济前景的影响。如出现可能阻碍实现 委员会目标的风险，委员会准备在适当情况下调整货币政策立场。委员会的评估将综合考虑多方面信 息，包括劳动力市场状况、通胀压力与预期、以及金融和国际动态等。 支持本次货币政策决定的委员包括：主席鲍威尔（Jerome H. Powell）、副主席约翰·威廉姆斯（John C. Williams）、迈克尔·巴尔（Michael S. Barr）、米歇尔·鲍曼（Michelle ...

标普500指数涨超0.3%，道指涨超0.3%，纳指涨超0.4%，费城银行指数涨1.9%。 美联储6月FOMC利率决议声明发布前，美元指数跌0.1%，美元兑日元跌超0.3%，美元兑瑞郎涨约 0.2%；欧元兑美元涨超0.1%，英镑兑美元涨约0.1%，澳元兑美元涨约0.6%。 现货黄金跌约0.1%，白银跌超0.6%。 美国10年期国债收益率跌2.2个基点，两年期美债收益率跌1.9个基点暂报3.9330%。 ...

相关链接 今日重点关注的财经数据与事件：2025年6月19日 周四 ① 02:00 美联储FOMC公布利率决议和经济预期摘要 ② 02:30 美联储主席鲍威尔召开货币政策新闻发布会 ③ 09:00 中国5月Swift人民币在全球支付中占比 ④ 09:30 澳大利亚5月季调后失业率 ⑤ 14:00 瑞士5月贸易帐 ⑥ 15:30 瑞士央行公布利率决议 ⑦ 19:00 英国央行公布利率决议及会议纪要 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. labor market showed a moderate slowdown in June, with initial jobless claims data indicating low levels of layoffs historically [1] - Financial markets reacted mildly to the jobless claims data, with a temporary rise in spot gold prices to $3389.71 per ounce [1] - Traders are currently adopting a wait-and-see approach ahead of the FOMC policy signals, with cautious sentiment prevailing in the market [1] Group 2 - Spot gold closed with a small doji candlestick, indicating a balance between bullish and bearish forces, and is currently waiting for further directional stimulus [2] - The key resistance level for gold is identified at $3400-$3404, and a breakthrough above this level could signal a shift to an upward trend [4] - The domestic gold market suggests waiting for a pullback after a significant rise before entering long positions, with targets set at $800-$805 for the upcoming days [4]

美联储即将公布最新利率决议。 当地时间6月18日，美股三大指数小幅高开，截至发稿，道指涨0.13%，标普500指数涨0.09%， 纳指涨0.05%。 | 道琼斯指数 | 42270.29 | +0.13% | | --- | --- | --- | | .DJI | | | | 标普500指数 | 5988.06 | +0.09% | | .SPX | | | | 纳斯达克综合指数 | 19531.49 | +0.05% | | .IXIC | | | | 纳斯达克中国金龙指数 | 7227.26 | -0.35% | | .HXC | | | 大型科技股多数下跌，截至发稿，微软、英伟达、苹果、谷歌A、特斯拉小幅下跌；亚马逊、Meta、博通小幅上涨。 热门中概股多数下跌，截至发稿，携程跌超4%，贝壳跌超3%，哔哩哔哩、理想汽车、京东、百度、阿里巴巴跌超1%；腾讯音乐涨超1%，蔚来等小幅上涨。此 外，脑再生科技一度跌超30%，该股此前2个交易日累涨近400%。 上周，美国初请失业金人数有所下降，但仍稳定在8个月来的最高水平附近。 美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示， 在截至6月14日的当周，首次申请失业救济的人数 减 ...

黄金再次陷入震荡僵局！多空博弈鹿死谁手？利率决议能否引发波动？金十研究员Steven正在直播，点 击进入直播间观看>> 相关链接 ...

利率决议即将来袭！白银多头能否再下一城？黄金震荡僵局能否打破？金十研究员Steven正在直播，点 击进入直播间观看>> 相关链接 ...

Gold Market - The U.S. retail sales for May showed a month-on-month decline of 0.9%, lower than the expected 0.7% and the previous value of -0.1%, marking the largest drop since March 2023, indicating a sluggish consumer market which is somewhat bullish for gold prices [1] - Following the data release, gold prices saw reduced downward momentum, hitting a low of $3366 before continuing to trade in a narrow range [1] - The upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision is a key focus for the gold market, with expectations that rates will remain unchanged [1] Oil Market - The API reported a significant decrease in U.S. crude oil inventories, with a drop of 10.133 million barrels, far below the expected decrease of 580,000 barrels, indicating strong oil consumption which supports rising oil prices [2] - Geopolitical tensions are escalating, with Russia launching a large-scale counteroffensive against Ukraine and the EU planning to ban imports of Russian oil and gas [2] Geopolitical Tensions - U.S. President Trump urged Iran to surrender unconditionally, while Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei stated the need for a strong response against Israel, indicating ongoing tensions with no signs of reconciliation [3] - The conflict between Iran and Israel is intensifying, which, combined with increased oil demand, provides strong support for oil prices [3] Nasdaq Index - The Nasdaq index continues to oscillate within the range of 21450 to 22060, with recent poor retail data causing a dip to a low of 21630, as the market awaits the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for clearer direction [4] U.S. Dollar Index - The U.S. dollar index is fluctuating between 97.50 and 99.20, with significant support at 97.50 leading to a strong rebound and a short-term upward trend [5]