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「经济发展」林毅夫:坚持高质量发展 推进中国式现代化
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 16:52
三、实现高质量发展的主要方式。一要加快构建新发展格局。注重科技创新,打好关键核心技术攻坚 战。发挥我国超大规模市场优势,推动供应链产业链优化升级。依托国内大循环,吸引全球高质量的商 品、资源和要素,畅通国内国际双循环。二要构建高水平社会主义市场经济体制。坚持社会主义市场经 济改革方向,毫不动摇巩固和发展公有制经济,毫不动摇鼓励、支持、引导非公有制经济发展。充分发 挥市场在资源配置中的决定性作用。三要深化供给侧结构性改革。提升供给体系的水平和质量,更好适 应、引领和创造新需求。同时加强需求侧管理,努力扩大内需。实施区域协调发展战略。四要在高水平 对外开放中推动高质量发展,促进国际合作,实现互利共赢。五要把实体经济特别是制造业做实、做 强、做优,加快构建市场竞争力强、可持续的现代产业体系。六要深入实施创新驱动发展战略。坚持科 技是第一生产力、人才是第一资源、创新是第一动力,塑造发展新动能新优势。充分发挥民营企业在科 技创新中的重大作用,走"专精特新"发展道路。 【林毅夫:长安街读书会成员、北京大学新结构经济学研究院院长】 注:授权发布,本文已择优收录至"长安街读书会"理论学习平台(人民日报、人民政协报、北京日报、 ...
持续夯实高质量发展安全根基
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-20 00:41
Group 1: Innovation and Technology - The current technological revolution and industrial transformation are characterized by unprecedented levels of innovation, particularly in fields like artificial intelligence and quantum communication, which are reshaping global order and development patterns [2] - China's original innovation capabilities remain relatively weak, especially in critical core technologies, leading to risks in certain industrial sectors [2] - There is a need to enhance security guarantees while promoting innovation and industrial upgrading, ensuring that core technologies are firmly in national control [2] Group 2: Economic Coordination and Development - Long-standing issues of uncoordinated development in China manifest as imbalances in industrial growth and regional disparities [3] - Emphasis on supply-side structural reforms is crucial to maintain the stability of industrial and supply chains while fostering new industries and upgrading traditional sectors [3] - Regional coordination and urban-rural integration are essential for optimizing productivity distribution and reducing disparities [3] Group 3: Ecological and Energy Security - Respecting and protecting nature is vital for building a modern socialist country, necessitating a focus on ecological and energy security [4] - Continuous improvement of environmental quality and a transition to green, low-carbon development are prioritized to enhance ecological resilience [4] - A multi-faceted energy supply system that includes traditional, renewable, and new energy sources is essential for ensuring energy security [4] Group 4: Open Economy and Security - Increased openness in China's economy necessitates a heightened focus on security, particularly in foreign trade and investment [5] - Diversifying trade partnerships and aligning with high-standard international economic rules are critical to mitigate risks associated with over-reliance on single partners [5] - As Chinese enterprises expand globally, there is a need for robust policy guidance and emergency management systems to protect overseas interests [5] Group 5: Shared Development and Social Equity - Shared development aims to address social equity issues, ensuring that economic growth benefits all citizens and fosters social stability [6] - Enhancing public services in education, healthcare, and social security is essential for improving the quality of life and ensuring equitable access [6] - Promoting high-quality employment is fundamental to achieving social stability and ensuring that laborers share in the economic development outcomes [6]
周绍东:持续夯实高质量发展安全根基
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-20 00:40
Group 1: Innovation and Technology - The current technological revolution and industrial transformation are characterized by unprecedented levels of innovation, particularly in fields like artificial intelligence and quantum communication, which are reshaping global order and development patterns [2] - China's original innovation capabilities remain relatively weak, especially in critical core technologies, leading to risks in certain industrial sectors [2] - There is a need to enhance security guarantees while promoting innovation and industrial upgrades, focusing on mastering core technologies to ensure national economic security [2] Group 2: Economic Coordination and Development - Long-standing issues of uncoordinated development in China manifest in industrial and regional disparities, necessitating a focus on supply chain stability and the promotion of new industries [3] - The strategy for regional coordination and urban-rural integration aims to optimize productivity distribution and reduce urban-rural gaps [3] Group 3: Ecological and Energy Security - Emphasizing the importance of ecological and energy security, there is a call for a green and low-carbon transformation of development methods, alongside improving ecological environment quality [4] - The establishment of a multi-faceted energy supply system that includes traditional fossil fuels, new energy, and renewable energy is crucial for ensuring energy security [4] Group 4: Open Economy and Security - Increased openness in China's economy necessitates a focus on security, particularly in foreign trade and investment, to avoid over-reliance on single trade partners [5] - The "Belt and Road" initiative and other international collaborations require robust policy guidance and emergency management to protect overseas interests [5] Group 5: Shared Development and Social Equity - Shared development aims to address social equity issues, ensuring that development benefits are distributed fairly among the population [6] - Enhancing public services in education, healthcare, and social security is essential for improving the overall well-being and stability of society [6]
四十华载谋精酿,与时俱进拓新局——珠江啤酒40周年记
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2025-11-19 12:38
Group 1 - The "3+N" brand strategy was launched in 2022, focusing on high-end product development and market expansion [3] - The company is undergoing structural reforms and enhancing its market network to improve efficiency [3] - The project for the Pearl River Wine subsidiary officially commenced in 2024, emphasizing brand culture and economic development [4] Group 2 - The company is positioned for high-quality development in the Greater Bay Area, aiming for diversified growth and integration [6] - The company is transitioning from traditional beer production to a more diversified business model [6] - The Jiangfeng Wine Tower construction ceremony indicates ongoing investment in infrastructure and brand presence [7]
增强供需适配 柔性制造发展提速
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-11-18 16:08
Core Viewpoint - The State Council meeting emphasizes enhancing supply-demand adaptability as an effective measure to unleash consumption potential and facilitate economic circulation [1] Group 1: Flexible Manufacturing - Flexible manufacturing is identified as a future direction for manufacturing enterprises to achieve personalized customization in response to increasingly diverse market demands [1][2] - The construction of flexible manufacturing plants in China has transitioned from conceptual exploration to large-scale practical implementation, driven by national strategy and market demand [1][2] - Flexible manufacturing can effectively address the mismatch between supply and demand in traditional mass production, thereby releasing domestic demand potential and creating new demand through high-quality supply [2] Group 2: Market Potential and Growth - The market size of flexible manufacturing was approximately 62 billion yuan in 2020, with expectations to reach 130 billion yuan by 2025, indicating significant growth potential [2] - The penetration of flexible manufacturing is expanding from the automotive and home appliance sectors to include clothing, food, and other industries, with the automotive sector already accounting for 35% of flexible production lines [2] Group 3: Policy Support and Technological Integration - Policies such as the "Implementation Plan for Digital Transformation in Light Industry" aim to enhance flexible production capabilities by promoting the application of smart technologies in various industries [3] - The integration of new information technologies, such as industrial internet platforms and AI, is deepening, providing strong support for rapid production changes and personalized scheduling in flexible manufacturing [3][5] Group 4: Future Trends and Workforce Development - The demand for flexible manufacturing is increasing due to industrial upgrades, which also provide application scenarios for advanced technologies like embodied intelligent robots [4] - The implementation of technologies like digital twins, AI scheduling, and 5G edge computing is expected to drive the development of upstream and downstream industries, creating new job roles in data analysis and algorithm engineering [5] - Strengthening the "digital foundation" and breaking down data barriers across enterprises and industries are essential for the development of flexible manufacturing plants [5]
21专访|和社科院大专家蔡昉聊透“十五五”:增速、消费、2亿人户籍改革红利与AI未来
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-18 08:43
Core Insights - The 14th Five-Year Plan is crucial for achieving the goal of modernizing China's economy and society by 2035, with a key indicator being the per capita GDP reaching the level of middle-income developed countries [1][5] - The plan emphasizes maintaining reasonable economic growth, improving total factor productivity, increasing the consumption rate, and expanding the middle-income group [1][5][6] Economic Growth and Productivity - The average annual growth rate required to reach the per capita GDP target of approximately $25,000 by 2035 is estimated to be around 4.8% [5][6] - Current potential growth rates for China's economy are estimated between 4.5% and 4.8%, with the possibility of increasing if reforms are intensified [5][6] Consumption and Income Distribution - The focus on increasing the consumption rate is driven by the need to address challenges posed by negative population growth and aging demographics, which will impact demand [6][7] - Improving income distribution is essential, with a current Gini coefficient of 0.465 indicating a need for faster income growth among low-income groups to expand the middle-income population [6][7][9] Employment and Labor Market - The labor market requires targeted efforts to address structural unemployment, particularly among the elderly and youth, through vocational training and support [8][9][11] - The rise of new employment forms, including gig economy jobs, necessitates the development of suitable social security systems to protect workers' rights [9][11][12] Urbanization and Household Registration Reform - Urbanization is ongoing, with a significant gap between registered and actual urban populations, indicating potential for economic contributions through household registration reform [15][16] - The reform aims to enhance public services and employment opportunities in cities, thereby attracting rural residents to urban areas [15][16] Agricultural Modernization - The potential for labor transfer from agriculture to higher productivity sectors remains significant, with current agricultural labor accounting for 22% of the workforce [17][18] - Modern agriculture is characterized by high labor productivity, large operational scales, and the application of advanced technologies, including AI [19][20]
拼多多(PDD.US)“千亿扶持”半年记:聚焦价值,实现共赢
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-18 07:15
Core Insights - The article discusses the transition of the e-commerce industry from a focus on traffic competition to high-quality development, emphasizing the dual themes of "supply upgrade" and "consumer inclusivity" [1] - Pinduoduo's "100 Billion Support" plan, launched in April, aims to invest over 100 billion yuan in resources to assist merchants in achieving high-quality growth, which has begun to show positive results within six months [1][6] Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The "100 Billion Support" plan focuses on enhancing both supply quality and demand potential, creating a resonant ecosystem through targeted investments [2] - On the supply side, Pinduoduo has shifted from traditional subsidy models to systematic cultivation of quality supply, with key initiatives in agricultural products and industrial upgrades [2] - The "Duoduo Good Specialty" initiative has provided comprehensive support to merchants, resulting in a 47% year-on-year increase in agricultural product sales and a 54% growth in quality agricultural SKUs [2][3] Group 2: Manufacturing Sector Transformation - In the manufacturing sector, the "New Quality Supply" initiative addresses transformation challenges, enabling local businesses to shift from wholesale to direct online sales, leading to significant operational improvements [3] - The report indicates that under the "New Quality Supply" initiative, the number of quality SKUs in industrial belts has increased by over 50%, highlighting the potential for brand development in traditional industries [3] Group 3: Consumer Inclusivity and Logistics Optimization - The demand-side investments focus on "consumer inclusivity," breaking down regional barriers through logistics optimization and subsidy upgrades [3] - Initiatives such as reducing logistics fees for remote areas and establishing new transfer warehouses have significantly improved delivery times and expanded coverage to previously underserved regions [3] Group 4: Strategic Shifts in Competition - Pinduoduo's support plan aims to shift the industry from low-level competition based on price and traffic to a high-quality development phase characterized by value and ecosystem competition [4] - The company is redefining the "cost-value" relationship, achieving sustainable high-quality price ratios through various strategies, including logistics optimization and data empowerment [4] - The platform is transitioning from a traditional intermediary role to an "ecosystem builder," providing comprehensive support to merchants and consumers while promoting digital transformation in agriculture and manufacturing [5] Group 5: Conclusion and Future Outlook - The "100 Billion Support" plan has demonstrated significant results in revitalizing supply and demand, enhancing product quality, and expanding consumer inclusivity [6] - This initiative serves as a viable case for high-quality transformation in the e-commerce industry, emphasizing supply upgrades, digital empowerment, and shared benefits as key components for sustainable growth [6] - The ongoing expansion of the "free shipping zone," acceleration of brand development in industrial belts, and the rise of young merchants will further refine the value co-creation ecosystem established by Pinduoduo [6]
“反内卷”对玻璃行业的影响分析
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-11-18 01:08
Group 1: Industry Overview - The float glass industry has faced severe challenges since 2021, including weakened demand, high inventory levels, and continuous price pressure due to the adjustment cycle in the real estate market [1][15] - The industry is expected to accelerate capacity clearance and transformation by 2025-2026, moving away from its reliance on the real estate sector [1][15] Group 2: Supply-Side Structural Reform - Supply-side structural reform was first proposed in November 2015, focusing on reducing excess capacity, improving total factor productivity, lowering enterprise costs, and preventing financial risks [2] - Significant progress has been made in eliminating excess capacity in key industries, including steel, cement, and flat glass, with 300 million tons, 400 million tons, and 150 million weight boxes of capacity eliminated respectively by the end of 2022 [3] Group 3: Real Estate Market Dynamics - The real estate market has shown significant policy-driven improvements, with a notable increase in new housing starts and sales from 2015 to 2016, but has since entered a downward trend [4][5] - By 2024, new housing starts are projected to drop to 7.39 million square meters, a 67% decline from peak levels in 2019-2020 [13][14] Group 4: Float Glass Demand and Supply Dynamics - The float glass industry is heavily dependent on the real estate sector, with 80% of its demand linked to construction activities [11] - The industry has experienced a significant drop in demand, with housing completion areas expected to decrease by 26.13% in 2024 [15] - Current inventory levels in the float glass sector are at historical highs, with total inventory reaching 63.14 million weight boxes, a 29.05% increase year-on-year [18] Group 5: Financial Performance and Profitability - The float glass industry has been in a prolonged state of loss, with average weekly profits for natural gas-based production lines at -172.70 yuan/ton [20] - The profitability of the industry is being affected by fluctuating raw material costs, with some production lines still maintaining profits due to lower costs of coal-based gas [20][21] Group 6: Future Outlook - The float glass industry is expected to undergo significant changes, with a focus on reducing reliance on the real estate sector and enhancing operational efficiency [15][21] - The ongoing adjustments in the real estate market and the implementation of "anti-involution" policies are likely to further influence the industry's dynamics and competitive landscape [12][21]
精准发力提升住宿业供给质量
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-18 00:02
Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments have jointly issued guidelines to promote high-quality development in the accommodation industry, aiming to enhance supply quality and unleash service consumption potential, which is significant for boosting consumption, benefiting people's livelihoods, and stabilizing employment [1] Group 1: Industry Challenges and Opportunities - China's per capita GDP has exceeded $13,000, marking a critical period for upgrading service consumption, with the accommodation industry serving as a hub for various consumer activities [1] - In the first three quarters of this year, domestic travel reached 4.998 billion trips, a year-on-year increase of 18%, indicating a vast market potential for the accommodation sector [1] - The industry faces challenges such as insufficient brand development, prominent homogenization, and low levels of green development that need to be addressed [1] Group 2: Proposed Measures for Development - The guidelines emphasize quality, intelligence, integration, greening, and internationalization, proposing specific measures to strengthen brand development, support mid-to-high-end hotels and unique homestays, and promote facility upgrades [1] - Encouragement for innovative business models and smart transformations aims to enhance service experiences, such as virtual reality room selection and smart voice control, which can reduce labor costs and meet the demands of younger consumers [2] Group 3: Sustainability and Internationalization - The guidelines advocate for reducing single-use plastics, promoting water and energy-saving facility upgrades, and encouraging the creation of green hotels, which can lower carbon emissions and operational costs, enhancing competitiveness [2] - With the resurgence of inbound tourism, improving reception capabilities is becoming a new focus, including optimizing accommodation registration for foreigners and promoting multilingual services to enhance international visitor satisfaction [2] Group 4: Collaborative Efforts for Implementation - Successful implementation of the guidelines requires collaboration among government, enterprises, and social forces, with the government simplifying approval processes and providing support for green and smart transformations [3] - Enterprises need to shift focus from hardware to service, investing more in brand building and talent development, while county markets are emerging as new growth points for the industry [3] - The transformation of the accommodation industry into a comprehensive consumption scene that embodies culture, green practices, technology, and emotions is essential for meeting the growing needs of the population and injecting lasting momentum into consumption upgrades [3]
姚景源:投资转向民生,消费迎来黄金期
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-11-17 15:08
Core Points - The Beijing Municipal Committee's recent meeting emphasized a significant shift in economic development strategy from investment-driven growth to a model promoting interaction between investment and consumption [1][4] - The meeting highlighted the need to address consumption issues, with a focus on increasing the resident consumption rate as part of the 15th Five-Year Plan [1][3] - Investment should be directed towards sectors that foster new productive forces, such as digital economy, artificial intelligence, and green industries [1][2] Investment and Consumption Interaction - The primary constraint on consumption is not a lack of willingness but rather financial concerns and expectations [2] - The connection between boosting consumption and promoting employment and income is crucial for addressing consumer hesitance [2] - Investments in urban renewal, elderly-friendly modifications, and 5G network coverage are seen as creating new consumption scenarios, effectively "building roads and bridges" for future consumption [2] Employment and Income Growth - The service sector is identified as a key driver for creating high-quality jobs, with a current employment share around 50% compared to 70%-80% in developed countries [3] - There is a strong recommendation for Beijing to develop its tourism and cultural industries, leveraging its historical and cultural resources [3] - The central government's proposal emphasizes synchronizing labor income growth with productivity improvements, highlighting the importance of technology in driving consumer income growth [3]