Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced a significant operation of 1 trillion yuan in reverse repos to enhance market liquidity and stabilize financial markets, breaking the traditional end-of-month announcement pattern [1][2]. Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - On June 6, the PBOC will conduct a 500 billion yuan reverse repo operation with a 3-month term, following the maturity of 500 billion yuan in 3-month and 700 billion yuan in 6-month reverse repos in June [1]. - The early announcement of the reverse repo operation is intended to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system, especially as the demand for funds typically increases in June [2][3]. - The PBOC's move to implement reverse repos is seen as a response to the high volume of bank interbank certificates maturing, aiming to control fluctuations in the money market [2]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Implications - The current high level of the Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) interest rate has led to a decrease in financial institutions' demand for MLF, prompting the PBOC to use reverse repos as a substitute to lower funding costs [3]. - It is anticipated that the PBOC will continue to reduce the scale of MLF operations, with a consistent decline in its balance [4]. - The PBOC is expected to utilize various monetary policy tools, including reverse repos and MLF, to ensure sustained liquidity in the banking system, which is crucial for enhancing credit availability for enterprises and households [4][5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term fluctuations of stock indices are dominated by overseas variables, but Trump's administration has a changeable style, and tariff policies still face significant uncertainties. Domestic factors have limited driving force for stock indices, and the policy level is in a relative vacuum. It is recommended to adopt a wait - and - see approach for futures index operations and be cautious about chasing rising prices [6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Money Market - DRO01 closed at 1.41 with a - 0.03bp change; DR007 at 1.55 with a 0.53bp change; GC001 at 1.49 with a - 1.00bp change; GC007 at 1.59 with a - 0.50bp change; SHBOR 3M at 1.65 with no change; LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with a - 10.00bp change. 1 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year Chinese treasury bonds decreased by 1.28bp, 1.80bp, and 0.81bp respectively, while the 10 - year US treasury bond remained unchanged at 4.46 [4] - The central bank conducted 2149 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations yesterday, with 2155 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net withdrawal of 6 billion yuan. This week, 16026 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature in the central bank's open market. After the monthly bank assessment, the money market has become looser, and the central bank uses various tools to maintain reasonable liquidity [4][5] 3.2 Stock Index Market - Yesterday, the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 rose 0.43% to 3868.7, the Shanghai 50 rose 0.13% to 2690.8, the CSI 500 rose 0.78% to 5739, and the CSI 1000 rose 0.88% to 6123.2. The trading volume of the two markets was 1.15 trillion yuan, a slight increase of 116 billion yuan. Most industry sectors rose, while aviation, logistics, and aerospace sectors declined [5] - Rumors of Sino - US trade negotiations have affected the market. Stock indices have rebounded for two days but have not broken through key resistance levels, and trading volume has not significantly increased. Domestic factors have limited driving force for stock indices, and the policy level is in a vacuum. It is recommended to wait and see for futures index operations [6] 3.3 Futures Contract Market - For IF, the trading volume was 69824 with a - 7.1% change, and the open interest was 229448 with a - 2.9% change. For IH, the trading volume was 31907 with a - 20.4% change, and the open interest was 78806 with a - 3.8% change. For IC, the trading volume was 58090 with a - 16.3% change, and the open interest was 206376 with a - 3.4% change. For IM, the trading volume was 151505 with a - 7.9% change, and the open interest was 315489 with a - 1.8% change [5] - The IF basis for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts was 15.53%, 14.05%, 0.02%, and 6.60% respectively. The IH basis was 14.60%, 14.62%, 6.77%, and 3.65% respectively. The IC basis was 19.96%, 17.35%, 14.18%, and 11.80% respectively. The IM basis was 25.77%, 21.73%, 18.19%, and 15.27% respectively [7]

Group 1: Central Bank Operations - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 214.9 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.40% on June 4, with the bid and awarded amounts being equal [1] - On the same day, 215.5 billion yuan in reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 600 million yuan, indicating a relatively small scale of operation [1] - This operation reflects the central bank's flexible and precise liquidity management, helping to maintain balance in market liquidity and avoid excessive accumulation or shortage of funds [1] Group 2: European Central Bank Approval - The European Central Bank officially approved Bulgaria's application to adopt the euro, making it the 21st member of the Eurozone, with plans to start using the euro on January 1, 2026 [2] - The European Commission highlighted that joining the Eurozone will benefit Bulgaria by stabilizing prices, reducing transaction costs, protecting savings, increasing investment, and promoting trade [2] - To successfully integrate into the Eurozone, Bulgaria needs to implement strong policies to enhance economic competitiveness and resilience [2] Group 3: Trust Industry Growth - The China Trust Industry Association reported that the total trust assets reached 29.56 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, an increase of 5.64 trillion yuan from the end of 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 23.58% [3] - This growth is attributed to the trust industry's transition towards a more diversified and professional asset service model, moving away from traditional non-standard financing [3] - The significant change in asset scale reflects the industry's proactive adjustment to market demand under the "three classifications" business transformation [3] Group 4: U.S. Economic Pressure - Following disappointing ADP employment data for May, which showed an increase of only 37,000 jobs compared to an expected 110,000, President Trump urged Federal Reserve Chair Powell to lower interest rates [4] - The employment growth rate in May was the lowest since March 2023, putting pressure on the Federal Reserve regarding its monetary policy [4] - Trump argues that not lowering interest rates puts the U.S. at an economic disadvantage, while the Federal Reserve maintains its policy independence based on economic data and analysis [4] Group 5: Corporate Name Change - Recently, the company formerly known as Jiexin Consumer Finance officially changed its name to Tianjin JD Consumer Finance Co., Ltd., indicating a significant corporate restructuring [5] - The registered capital was reduced from 7 billion yuan to 5 billion yuan, and new shareholders were added, including JD's subsidiaries [5] - This name change signifies the completion of the equity restructuring and is expected to enhance JD's customer service capabilities and promote healthy development in the platform economy [5]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 454.5 billion yuan, marking a shift from net liquidity injection to neutral adjustment, indicating precise liquidity management by the central bank [2] - The net liquidity withdrawal of 375.5 billion yuan aligns with market expectations, as the market liquidity has naturally eased with the end of the month-end assessment factors [2] - The central bank is expected to continue using various tools such as reverse repos and Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) to ensure reasonable liquidity in the banking system [2][3] Group 2 - The PBOC has established a multi-dimensional liquidity management system, relying on reserve requirement ratio cuts and government bond transactions for stable support, while using MLF and reverse repos for maintaining reasonable liquidity [2] - Market expectations suggest that the central bank may release long-term liquidity through reserve requirement ratio cuts if necessary, with predictions that the DR007 will remain around 1.5% [3] - PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng emphasized the commitment to a prudent monetary policy, adjusting policy strength and rhythm flexibly according to changing circumstances to create a suitable monetary environment for economic recovery [3]

Group 1 - The central bank has implemented a significant reverse repurchase operation of nearly 400 billion yuan to offset the upcoming maturity of 946 billion yuan in reverse repos this week [4] - The short-term funding environment shows a slight increase in the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for overnight, 7-day, and 14-day tenors, indicating a mixed trend in liquidity [4] - The central bank has conducted a 500 billion yuan Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation with a one-year term, resulting in a net injection of 375 billion yuan after accounting for 125 billion yuan in maturing MLFs [4] Group 2 - The chief macro analyst from Dongfang Jincheng noted that since April, external environment volatility has increased, prompting domestic extraordinary counter-cyclical adjustments [5] - The recent reduction in reserve requirements and continued large-scale MLF operations indicate that quantitative policy tools are actively supporting liquidity in the banking system, enhancing credit availability for enterprises and households [5] - The combination of the reserve requirement cut and various medium-term liquidity management tools will result in a substantial net injection of liquidity in May, providing crucial support for new credit issuance and social financing [5]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced a 500 billion yuan Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation, resulting in a net injection of 375 billion yuan after offsetting 125 billion yuan of maturing loans [1] - This marks the third consecutive month of increased MLF operations, with net injections of 200 billion yuan in March, 500 billion yuan in April, and 375 billion yuan in May, indicating a consistent monetary policy aimed at supporting the real economy [1][2] - The continuous MLF operations, alongside recent reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts, reflect a "combination punch" approach by the PBOC to enhance liquidity in the market and support economic stability [1][2] Group 2 - The acceleration of government bond supply and the upcoming maturity of 9 trillion yuan in reverse repos and 1.25 trillion yuan in MLF highlight the need for ongoing liquidity support from the PBOC [2] - The PBOC's strategy includes a structural optimization of liquidity tools, as evidenced by the reduction of reverse repos alongside increased MLF, which aims to stabilize short-term funding while meeting banks' medium-term liquidity needs [2][3] - The large net injection of liquidity in May is expected to support credit expansion and social financing growth, leading to a potential "wide credit" phase as policy effects become more apparent [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the commercial banking sector is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - A new round of deposit rate declines is creating multidimensional impacts on commercial banks' asset-liability management, forcing a transformation in their strategies [3] - On the liability side, the decrease in deposit costs alleviates interest payment pressures, but the low-interest environment intensifies deposit diversion risks, pushing banks to enhance wealth management capabilities [3] - On the asset side, banks face dual challenges of yield compression and structural adjustments, necessitating a shift towards higher-yield retail assets like consumer loans and small business loans [3] - The complexity of interest rate risk management is increasing, requiring banks to utilize derivatives for hedging and optimize duration matching through dynamic gap management [3] - The operational stratification among commercial banks is increasing, with large banks leveraging their national networks and low-cost funding to support large-scale lending, while smaller banks are constrained by regional operations and high deposit costs [3] - The era of multidimensional asset-liability management for commercial banks has arrived, necessitating a shift towards "lightweight" operations and the expansion of non-interest income sources [3] Summary by Sections 1. Framework Objectives: Matching Assets and Liabilities - The goal of asset-liability management is to balance risk and return, maximizing risk-adjusted returns while considering profitability, liquidity, and safety [7][8] 2. Constraint Tools: Optimization Under Multiple Conditions - Asset-liability management involves managing the asset-liability portfolio, liquidity, interest rate risk, and capital management [7][8] 3. System Application: Perception of Liquidity Tightness - Liquidity management indicators include LCR, NSFR, liquidity ratios, and the adequacy of high-quality liquid assets [109][110] 4. Differentiated Characteristics of Different Institutions - Different types of banks exhibit varying asset structures and investment strategies, with large banks focusing on government bonds and large corporate loans, while smaller banks may have a more diversified approach [30][34]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has lowered the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for financial institutions by 0.5 percentage points, and for auto finance and financial leasing companies by 5 percentage points, effective from May 15 [1][10] - This RRR cut is expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the financial market, optimizing the structure of liquidity provided to the banking system and reducing banks' funding costs [3] - The reduction in RRR will increase the availability of long-term stable funds in the banking system, enabling enterprises and residents to obtain loans at lower interest rates, thereby promoting domestic demand and stabilizing investment [5] Group 2 - The current liquidity issues in the market are primarily structural, and the RRR cut will enhance the supply of long-term liquidity while reducing the reliance on short-term liquidity tools [7] - The significant reduction in the RRR for auto finance and financial leasing companies is a crucial step in improving the reserve requirement system, which will lower their funding costs and enhance their credit supply capabilities in specific sectors [9][10] - After this round of RRR cuts, the reserve requirement ratio for large banks remains relatively high, indicating ample policy space for further adjustments [5]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The monetary policy continues to be "moderately loose" and shifts its focus towards stabilizing growth. Given the increasing external shocks and the need to consolidate the domestic economic recovery, further monetary policy easing can be expected [2][26]. - Multiple quantitative monetary policy tools are continuously used to maintain sufficient liquidity, and the credit resources are mainly directed towards the "Five Major Articles", "consumption", and "stabilizing foreign trade". Price - based tools are still restricted by the net interest margin, and financial institutions may be guided to price rationally [2][26]. - With the increasing downward pressure on the US economy and the weakening of the US dollar's safe - haven property, the pressure on the exchange rate to restrict monetary policy has eased [2][9]. - In the bond market, due to the need for stabilizing growth, the capital market may become looser, and bond yields still have room to decline. The central bank plans to innovate and launch a "technology board" in the bond market to guide bond funds to the innovation field more efficiently [2][26]. - In terms of credit, the short - term credit risk may increase due to the uncertainty of the external environment, and attention should be paid to the progress of trade frictions, the sustainability of economic recovery, and the frequency and intensity of policy repairs [3][27]. 3. Summary by Directory Policy Tone - The monetary policy in Q1 2025 continues the tone of the Central Economic Work Conference and the Politburo Meeting, emphasizing "flexibility" in policy implementation [8]. - Although the domestic economy started well in Q1, affected by the US tariff policy since April, the domestic export has been frustrated. At the same time, the weakening of the US dollar's safe - haven property has eased the exchange - rate pressure on monetary policy. The domestic monetary policy will still be "moderately loose" and strengthen counter - cyclical adjustment [9]. Interest Rates - The Q1 report adds the statement of "reducing the bank's liability - side cost". With the adjustment of the MLF operation mechanism, the policy rate system has changed, and it is expected that the deposit rate will decline following the loan rate [10][12]. - In Q1 2025, the weighted average interest rate of new loans issued by financial institutions decreased. The central bank advocates promoting the decline of the comprehensive financing cost of SMEs by clarifying various financing costs [13]. Liquidity - The Q1 report aims to maintain sufficient liquidity. In the short - term, the capital market has changed from a tight - balance to a loose state. In the medium - and long - term, the central bank has adjusted various tools to supplement the capital gap. The reduction of the deposit - reserve ratio in May will release long - term liquidity and relieve the bank's net interest - margin pressure [15][16]. - The central bank has suspended the treasury - bond trading operation in Q1 and may resume it under specific conditions [17]. Credit - The Q1 report emphasizes increasing credit supply and guiding more credit resources to key areas and weak links. In addition to the previous areas, it also highlights "stabilizing foreign trade" [19][21]. - Structural monetary policies will focus on the "Five Major Articles", consumption, and stabilizing foreign trade [21]. Bond Market Mechanism - The Q1 report proposes to innovate and launch a "technology board" in the bond market, which will help guide bond funds to the innovation field more efficiently and solve existing problems in the science - innovation bond market [22][23]. - The central bank emphasizes strengthening investors' interest - rate risk management and points out that the pricing efficiency and risk - management ability of the bond market need to be improved [24].

Group 1 - The central bank of Malaysia indicates that lowering interest rates will assist banks in better managing liquidity amid increased volatility in financial markets [1]