Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will conduct a 800 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on November 17, 2025, to maintain liquidity in the banking system, with a term of 6 months [1][2]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Actions - The PBOC's operation will involve a fixed amount and interest rate bidding with multiple price levels, indicating a proactive approach to liquidity management [1][2]. - In November, there will be a total of 500 billion yuan in additional reverse repos, which is an increase of 100 billion yuan compared to the previous month, marking the sixth consecutive month of liquidity injection through reverse repos [2][3]. Group 2: Economic Context and Implications - The increase in liquidity is necessary due to the upcoming issuance of 500 billion yuan in local government bonds and the completion of 500 billion yuan in new policy financial instruments, which are expected to boost loan growth [3][4]. - Analysts suggest that the PBOC's actions are aimed at stabilizing the funding environment, supporting government bond issuance, and encouraging financial institutions to increase credit lending [3][4]. - The fourth quarter is seen as a critical period for growth stabilization policies, with the PBOC's measures being timely and necessary to ensure sufficient market liquidity [3][4].

新华财经北京11月14日电 （刘润榕）11月14日，中国人民银行公告称，为保持银行体系流动性充裕， 11月17日将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展8000亿元买断式逆回购操作，期限为6个月 （182天）。 "由此，着眼于应对潜在的流动性收紧态势，央行通过买断式逆回购向银行体系注入中期流动性，有助 于保持资金面处于较为稳定的充裕状态。这在助力政府债券发行，引导金融机构加大货币信贷投放力度 的同时，也将释放数量型政策工具持续加力信号，显示货币政策延续支持性立场。"王青称。 数据显示，11月6个月期买断式逆回购加量续作5000亿元，符合预期。此前，央行已于10月5日开展7000 亿元3个月期买断式逆回购到期，结合当月7000亿到期量，11月3个月期买断式逆回购为等量续作。由 此，11月两个期限品种的买断式逆回购合计加量续作5000亿元，加量规模较上月高1000亿元，连续两个 月扩大，这也是央行连续第6个月通过买断式逆回购向市场注入中期流动性。 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青表示，其背后的主要原因在于，10月安排5000亿元地方政府债务结存限 额，用于化解存量债务及扩大有效投资，这意味着年底前会加发5000亿元 ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced an 800 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on November 17, with a six-month term, indicating a net injection of 500 billion yuan for the month [1][3] - Since October last year, the PBOC has been conducting reverse repurchase operations to address medium to long-term funding gaps, with a total of 1.5 trillion yuan in operations for November [3] - Analysts suggest that the PBOC's continued increase in reverse repurchase operations is necessary to support liquidity in the banking system due to various factors, including the expiration of new policy financial tools and increased interbank certificate of deposit maturities [3] Group 2 - The PBOC's monetary policy report for Q3 2025 indicates a commitment to maintaining a moderately loose monetary policy and ensuring ample liquidity in the market [4] - The PBOC is expected to continue using reverse repurchase agreements and medium-term lending facilities (MLF) to inject liquidity into the market [4] - Market analysts believe that the significance of the PBOC's resumption of government bond trading lies more in its signaling rather than an immediate need for liquidity injection [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The central bank's third - quarter monetary policy implementation report indicates a natural decline in financial aggregate growth, and mentions points such as downplaying monetary policy quantity targets, maintaining a reasonable interest - rate ratio, and vigorously developing the bond market's "science and technology board". [2] - In October, both CPI and PPI increased year - on - year and month - on - month. Besides the contribution of the low - base effect, the effects of monetary and fiscal policies and industrial policies like anti - involution and capacity reduction are evident, especially in industries such as non - ferrous metals, building materials, and new energy. [2] - October financial data shows a slowdown in social financing and credit growth, with insufficient credit demand. At the same time, non - bank deposits increased by 77 billion yuan year - on - year, and the process of deposit transfer continues. [2] - The US federal government's temporary appropriation bill was passed, ending the 6 - week shutdown. The shutdown pulled down the US fourth - quarter annualized GDP growth rate by 1.5%, and the secondary impact on residents' lives is hard to estimate. The annual appropriation is still undetermined, and there may be another shutdown in two months. [2] - After the shutdown ended, the market trading theme shifted to interest - rate cuts. Hawkish remarks from Fed officials led to a significant decline in the market's expectation of a December interest - rate cut, triggering a sharp drop in US stocks and an increase in US bonds. [2] - This week's full - A trading volume was basically flat compared to last week, maintaining at around 2 trillion yuan per day. The margin trading balance rose slightly to nearly 2.5 trillion yuan. The Shanghai Composite Index once reached a new high since 4000 points but fell back at the end of Friday's session, declining 0.18% for the whole week. Major broad - based indexes turned negative at the end of Friday's session, with the CSI 300 and CSI 500 falling more than 1% for the week, the SSE 50 closing flat, and micro - cap stocks performing outstandingly. The correction of the STAR Market and ChiNext continues. [2] - In terms of basis, the recent basis fluctuation range is still small. The annualized basis of each variety has decreased compared to last week. The IH has switched to a slight discount state, and the annualized discounts of IF, IC, and IM have reached around 3%, 11%, and 14% respectively, with the term structure becoming steeper, and far - month contracts having a greater advantage in hedging costs. [2] 3. Summary According to the Catalog 3.1 Weekly Forecast Conclusion - This week's model predicts that the movement directions of the basis for IH, IF, IC, and IM next week are strengthening, weakening, weakening, and weakening respectively [4]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is set to conduct a 800 billion yuan reverse repo operation on November 17, indicating a continued increase in liquidity support for the banking system amid upcoming debt maturities and liquidity tightening factors [1][2]. Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - The PBOC will implement an 800 billion yuan reverse repo operation with a six-month term, resulting in a net injection of 500 billion yuan for the month [1]. - This operation marks the sixth consecutive month of increased reverse repo operations, with a total of 1.5 trillion yuan conducted in November alone [1]. - The central bank has been using reverse repos to address long-term funding gaps since their introduction last October [1]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Tools - The PBOC has employed various monetary policy tools, including reserve requirement ratio cuts, open market operations, medium-term lending facilities (MLF), and re-lending, to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system throughout the year [2]. - In October, the PBOC not only continued with increased reverse repos and MLF but also restarted government bond trading operations [2]. - Analysts expect the PBOC to continue increasing MLF operations despite 900 billion yuan maturing in November, indicating a commitment to maintaining a relatively loose monetary policy [2]. Group 3: Market Expectations - Market institutions view the resumption of government bond trading as a significant signal, although the necessity for large liquidity injections through bond purchases is considered low [2]. - The PBOC's ability to maintain liquidity in the banking system is not dependent on the resumption of government bond trading, as it has sufficient tools at its disposal [2].

央行将开展8000亿元买断式逆回购！ 11月14日，中国人民银行（下称"央行"）发布预告称，将在17日以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开 展8000亿元买断式逆回购操作，期限为6个月（182天）。综合11月操作量与到期量看，本次操作意味着当月央 行买断式逆回购将实现加量续作，累计净投放5000亿元。 自去年10月启用以来，央行持续开展买断式逆回购操作补充中长期资金缺口。为进一步提高买断式操作信息披 露的时效性，央行自今年6月起调整为操作前发布招标公告，明确操作日期和操作量等信息，稳定市场预期。 对于国债买卖操作，市场机构更看重央行重启操作的信号意义，预计央行通过买入国债大幅投放流动性的必要 性不强。光大证券固定收益首席分析师张旭此前接受记者采访时表示，无论是否重启国债买卖，央行皆有能力 维护银行体系流动性的充裕。 责编：万健祎 校对： 许欣 版权声明 证券时报各平台所有原创内容，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载。我社保留追 究相关 行 为主体 法律责任的权利。 转载与合作可联系证券时报小助理，微信ID：SecuritiesTimes END 点击关键字可查看 潜望系列深度报道丨 股事会专栏 丨 投资 ...

这将是央行本月第二次开展买断式逆回购操作。11月5日，央行以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展7000亿元买断式逆回购操作，期限为3个月 （91天）。 【导读】央行将开展8000亿元买断式逆回购操作 11月14日，央行发布公告称，为保持银行体系流动性充裕，2025年11月17日，中国人民银行将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展8000亿元买 断式逆回购操作，期限为6个月（182天）。 | 中国人民银行 | | | | | 货币政策司 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | THE PEOPLE'S BANK OF CHINA | | | | | Monetary Policy Department | | | | | | | 货币政策 | 新闻发布 | 法律法规 | | 宏观审慎 | 信贷政策 | 金融市场 | 金融稳定 | 调查统计 | 银行会计 | 支付体系 | | 信息公开 | 金融科技 | 人民币 | 经理国库 | 国际交往 | 人员招录 | 学术交流 | 征信管理 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is set to conduct a 800 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on November 17, 2025, to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system, indicating a supportive monetary policy stance aimed at stabilizing growth and expectations [1][2]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Actions - The PBOC will implement a fixed-quantity, interest-rate bidding, multi-price reverse repurchase operation of 800 billion yuan with a term of 6 months (182 days) [1]. - In November, there are 700 billion yuan of 3-month reverse repos and 300 billion yuan of 6-month reverse repos maturing, with the PBOC having already conducted an equal amount of 3-month reverse repos on November 5 [1]. - The PBOC has established a monthly funding injection model, conducting 3-month reverse repos around the 5th, 6-month reverse repos around the 15th, and 1-year Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) around the 25th [1]. Group 2: Market Implications - The injection of medium-term liquidity through reverse repos helps maintain a stable and ample funding environment, supporting government bond issuance and encouraging financial institutions to increase credit supply [2]. - The PBOC's larger-scale continuation of reverse repos signals a sustained use of quantity-based policy tools, reinforcing a supportive monetary policy stance [2]. - There is an expectation of a small increase in MLF operations, with 900 billion yuan of MLF maturing in November, indicating a comprehensive approach to liquidity management by the PBOC [2].

证券研究报告 2025 年 11 月 14 日 星期五 【下周策略】 ◆下周大势研判：震荡巩固 从本周市场来看： 首先，10 月信贷社融增速收敛，企业信贷增速放缓、居民融资 意愿承压。 其次，10 月份经济运行基本平稳，稳中有进态势持续。 最后，政策将继续实施好适度宽松的货币政策，保持社会融资 条件相对宽松。 总体来看，本周沪指在 4000 点附近震荡整理。10 月信贷社融 增速放缓，企业信贷增长减弱，居民融资意愿仍偏低。10 月经济运 行总体平稳，延续稳中有进态势，但也面临外部环境不确定、内部 结构调整等挑战，经济平稳运行存在压力。不过随着扩内需、稳就 业、稳预期等政策持续发力并落地见效，经济有望实现质的有效提 升与量的合理增长。货币政策方面，在全年 5%左右增速目标预计可 达的背景下，货币政策短期加码的紧迫性降低，重点转向既有政策 的落实与跨周期工具储备。货币宽松方向不变，降准、降息仍可期， 节奏上更侧重"相机抉择"。后续需关注 12 月上中旬政治局会议和 中央经济工作会议的政策定调，以及美联储动向与"十五五"规划 衔接对政策的影响。从技术面来看，当前沪指在 4000 点附近震荡 整理，资金分歧有所加大， ...

Economic Growth and Projections - October economic data indicates a slowdown in growth, with a projected Q4 GDP growth rate of 4.2%[1] - The annual GDP growth target of around 5% is expected to be achieved, with policies focusing on implementation[1] - Anticipated budget deficit rate for next year is expected to remain at 4%[1] Consumer Spending and Retail - Retail sales growth in October decreased to 2.9%, slightly better than the market expectation of 2.8%[2] - Durable goods consumption showed mixed results, with communication equipment sales rising to 23.2% while home appliances fell by 14.6%[2] - The "Double Eleven" shopping festival did not generate as much excitement as in previous years, indicating weak consumer demand[1] Industrial Production and Investment - Industrial production growth fell to 4.9%, below the expected 5.5%, influenced by a holiday effect[5] - Fixed asset investment growth declined significantly to -1.7%, lower than the market expectation of -0.8%[3] - Real estate investment continued to weaken, with a year-on-year decline of 14.7% in October[3] Employment and Inflation - The urban unemployment rate improved slightly to 5.1%, better than the expected 5.2%[5] - October CPI inflation rate increased to 0.2%, surpassing the market expectation of -0.1%[6] External Demand and Trade - Export growth turned negative at -1.1% in October, influenced by high base effects and holiday timing[7] - The contribution of net exports to GDP is expected to decline, with a forecasted export growth drop to 3.0% next year[11]