Core Viewpoint - The Chinese real estate stocks have shown significant gains following the State Council's meeting, which emphasized strong measures to stabilize the real estate market [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Vanke Enterprises (02202) increased by 8.9%, trading at HKD 5.63 [1] - Oceanwide Holdings (03377) rose by 7.63%, trading at HKD 0.127 [1] - Sunac China (01918) saw a rise of 5.92%, trading at HKD 1.61 [1] - Longfor Group (00960) increased by 5.88%, trading at HKD 11.35 [1] Group 2: Policy and Market Outlook - The State Council's meeting on August 18 highlighted the need for strong measures to consolidate the stabilization of the real estate market [1] - Ping An Securities noted that there is still potential policy space in the real estate sector [1] - The market is expected to continue its short-term momentum due to the focus on cost-effectiveness in the second-hand housing market and limited supply of "good houses" [1] Group 3: Company Performance Insights - Some real estate companies have shown signs of improvement in their financial reports, such as Binhai and Jianfa, with year-on-year growth in mid-year reports [1] - CITIC Securities indicated a clear performance divergence among real estate companies in the first half of the year, with those operating in core cities performing well [1] - Companies like Binhai Group (002244), Jianfa International, Greentown Service, and Binhai Service reported double-digit profit growth [1]

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 2.08% to 25,866.49 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 3.1% to 5,822.51 points, and the China Enterprises Index gained 2.05% to 9,266.29 points [1][2] Sector Performance - Major technology stocks showed strong performance, with Alibaba up 5.85%, Tencent up 3.08%, and JD.com up 4.78%, contributing to the overall market rise [3] - The rare earth sector saw significant gains, with Jinli Permanent Magnet rising over 11% following the release of new regulatory measures by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [4] - Real estate stocks also surged, led by Vanke, which increased by over 15% despite reporting a 26.2% year-on-year decline in revenue [5] Regulatory Developments - New interim measures for the management of rare earth mining and separation were announced, imposing penalties on companies that violate regulations [4] Economic Indicators - The U.S. Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts are expected to attract more foreign capital into the Hong Kong market, enhancing stock prices [7][8] - China's fiscal revenue for July reached 20,273 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, marking the highest growth rate for the year [8] Investment Opportunities - Analysts suggest focusing on sectors with better-than-expected mid-year performance, those benefiting from favorable policies, and high-dividend stocks for stable returns [8]

上海发布《关于优化调整本市房地产政策措施的通知》明确进一步调减住房限购政策。本地户籍及社保个税缴满1年的非户籍居民在外环外购房不限套数（成年单身限购）。首套最高贷款额度从160万元提高至184万元，多子女家庭首套上浮比例可叠加计算，从192万元提高至216万元；二套最高贷款额度从130万元提高至149.5万元。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant increase in the stock prices of Chinese real estate companies following a government meeting that emphasized measures to stabilize the real estate market [1] - Vanke Enterprises (02202) saw an increase of 8.9%, Oceanwide Holdings (03377) rose by 7.63%, Sunac China (01918) increased by 5.92%, and Longfor Group (00960) grew by 5.88% [1] - The State Council's ninth plenary meeting on August 18 indicated that there is still potential policy space for the real estate sector, suggesting a positive outlook for the market [1] Group 2 - Ping An Securities noted that the second-hand housing market is more focused on meeting basic needs, leading to a price-volume trade-off, while "good houses" cater to improvement demands, resulting in a focus on quality-price ratio [1] - The supply of "good houses" remains relatively limited, which is expected to sustain short-term market enthusiasm [1] - Some real estate companies have shown signs of improvement in their financial reports, with companies like Binjiang and Jianfa reporting year-on-year growth [1] Group 3 - CITIC Securities indicated a clear divergence in the performance of real estate companies in the first half of the year, with developers and property companies in core cities performing exceptionally well [1] - Companies such as Binjiang Group, Jianfa International, Greentown Service, and Binjiang Service achieved double-digit profit growth [1] - Conversely, previously loss-making real estate companies continue to face significant losses in the first half of the year [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [3][5]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that the current policy environment is being driven by fundamental pressures, suggesting that the policy response may exceed the levels seen in 2008 and 2014, and is still evolving [3]. - Real estate is identified as an early-cycle indicator, serving as a barometer for economic trends, making it a strategic investment focus [3]. - The competitive landscape within the industry is improving, with leading state-owned enterprises and select mixed-ownership and private firms performing well in land acquisition and sales [3]. - The report continues to favor investment in first-tier cities and two-thirds of second-tier cities, as this combination has shown better performance during sales rebounds [3]. - Supply-side policies, including land storage and management of idle land, are highlighted as critical areas to monitor, with first and second-tier cities expected to benefit more from these changes [3]. Summary by Sections Real Estate Development - The 5-year LPR remains stable at 3.5% as of August, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% [10]. - The real estate index saw a cumulative change of 0.5%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 3.68 percentage points, ranking last among 31 sectors [13]. - New home sales in 30 cities totaled 1.57 million square meters, a 16.7% increase month-on-month but a 16.1% decrease year-on-year [20]. - Year-to-date, new home sales in the same 30 cities are down 2.1% year-on-year, with first-tier cities showing a 2.4% increase [25]. Secondary Housing - Secondary home sales in 14 sample cities reached 1.915 million square meters, reflecting a 6.4% month-on-month increase and a 9.5% year-on-year increase [30]. - Cumulative secondary home sales for the year are 6.8677 million square meters, up 16.7% year-on-year [30]. Credit Bonds - In the week of August 18-24, 18 credit bonds were issued by real estate companies, totaling 15.282 billion yuan, an increase of 6.921 billion yuan from the previous week [39]. - The net financing amount was 3.378 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase [39].

（文章来源：第一财经） 据外媒报道，韩国将禁止无居留权的外国人在首尔购房。 ...

Macro and Strategy Research - The economic data for July 2025 shows that the industrial added value increased by 5.7% year-on-year, lower than the expected 6.0% and previous value of 6.8% [3] - Retail sales of consumer goods grew by 3.7% year-on-year, below the expected 4.6% and previous value of 4.8% [4] - Fixed asset investment cumulative year-on-year growth is at 1.6%, also below expectations [4] Company Research: Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd. (603799) - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 37.197 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.78%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.711 billion yuan, up 62.26% [15] - Nickel product shipments increased significantly, with nickel product output reaching 139,400 tons, a year-on-year growth of 83.91% [16] - The company has made significant progress in cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with a sales net profit margin of 9.33%, an increase of 1.44 percentage points year-on-year [16] Industry Research: Metal Industry - Frequent bidding by major magnetic material manufacturers is expected to boost the price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide [10] - The steel industry is facing supply constraints due to tightened production policies, but demand may be impacted by construction site shutdowns [11] - Copper prices are expected to fluctuate due to insufficient fundamental support, with potential demand driven by seasonal inventory accumulation [11] - The rare earth market is seeing improved inquiry conditions, with light rare earth prices expected to be supported in the short term [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [4][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights that new home prices have seen a smaller decline compared to second-hand homes, with a national average drop of 10.8% from the 2021 peak and a 2.0% decline from the 2024 "930" benchmark [11][12]. - The second-hand home market is facing more significant challenges, with prices down 18.7% from the 2021 peak and 3.8% from the 2024 "930" benchmark, indicating a more pessimistic outlook for many cities [12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of policy changes and their impact on the market, suggesting that the real estate sector serves as an economic barometer [4]. Summary by Sections National Housing Price Overview - As of July, new home prices in 70 cities have decreased by 10.8% from the 2021 peak, with Shanghai showing the strongest performance [11]. - Second-hand home prices have nearly erased the slight gains made since last year, with many cities falling below the "930" benchmark [12]. Transaction Trends - In the latest week, new home sales across 30 cities totaled 132.7 million square meters, reflecting a 9.6% increase month-on-month but a 12.8% decrease year-on-year [27]. - Second-hand home transactions in 14 sample cities reached 178.7 million square meters, up 3.8% from the previous week but down 2.8% year-on-year [35]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on real estate-related stocks, particularly those with strong fundamentals and those benefiting from policy changes, including companies like Greentown China and China Overseas Development [4]. - The report advocates for a city selection strategy that favors first-tier and select second- and third-tier cities, which have shown better sales performance [4].

7月份，一线城市二手住宅销售价格环比下降1.0%，降幅比上月扩大0.3个百分点。其中，北京、上海、 广州和深圳分别下降1.1%、0.9%、1.0%和0.9%。二、三线城市二手住宅销售价格环比均下降0.5%，降 幅均收窄0.1个百分点。 70城新房房价环比变化情况 国家统计局8月15日发布的数据显示，7月份，70个大中城市中，各线城市商品住宅销售价格环比下降， 同比降幅整体有所收窄。 环比看，7月份，一线城市新建商品住宅销售价格环比下降0.2%，降幅比上月收窄0.1个百分点。其中， 北京持平，上海上涨0.3%，广州和深圳分别下降0.3%和0.6%。二线城市新建商品住宅销售价格环比下 降0.4%，降幅扩大0.2个百分点。三线城市新建商品住宅销售价格环比下降0.3%，降幅与上月相同。 国家统计局数据显示，7月份，一线城市新建商品住宅销售价格同比下降1.1%，降幅比上月收窄0.3个百 分点。二、三线城市新建商品住宅销售价格同比分别下降2.8%和4.2%，降幅分别收窄0.2个和0.4个百分 点。一线城市二手住宅销售价格同比下降3.4%，降幅比上月扩大0.4个百分点。二、三线城市二手住宅 销售价格同比分别下降5.6%和6 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [4][6]. Core Insights - The recent policy changes in Beijing, which relax restrictions on home purchases outside the Fifth Ring Road, are expected to aid in inventory reduction in suburban areas, although the overall impact may be limited [11][12]. - The real estate sector is viewed as an early economic indicator, making it a key focus for investment [4]. - The competitive landscape in the industry is improving, with leading state-owned enterprises and select private firms expected to benefit more in the future [4]. - The report emphasizes a focus on first-tier and select second-tier cities for investment opportunities, as this combination has shown better performance during market rebounds [4]. - Supply-side policies, including land management and disposal of idle land, are critical areas to monitor for future developments [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Policy Changes - Beijing's new policy allows residents with two years of social security contributions to purchase homes without quantity restrictions outside the Fifth Ring Road, differing from other cities that have fully lifted purchase limits [11][12]. 2. Market Review - The real estate index increased by 2.2% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.93 percentage points, ranking 16th among 31 sectors [2][13]. - New home sales in 30 cities totaled 120.5 million square meters, down 35.0% month-on-month and 19.3% year-on-year [22]. - Second-hand home sales in 14 cities totaled 171.1 million square meters, down 7.2% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year [32]. 3. Credit Market - A total of 22 corporate bonds were issued this week, raising 228.70 billion yuan, with a net financing amount of 159.94 billion yuan [3]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals, including both H-shares and A-shares, as well as local state-owned enterprises and property management firms [4].