Core Viewpoint - The company's coal production and sales volume declined in Q1 2025, primarily due to falling coal prices, leading to a significant drop in performance. It is anticipated that coking coal prices have bottomed out, presenting potential for upward movement in the future, while the power generation business is gradually expanding [1][2][3][4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported total operating revenue of 1.179 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 42.52%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 27 million yuan, down 93.70% year-on-year [2]. - The company adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.58, 0.66, and 0.75 yuan, down from previous estimates of 0.64, 0.71, and 0.80 yuan [2]. - The average selling price of coal in Q1 2025 was 692 yuan per ton, a decrease of 325 yuan per ton year-on-year, while the sales cost remained stable at 561 yuan per ton, resulting in a gross profit of 130 yuan per ton, down 326 yuan per ton year-on-year [3]. Market Conditions - The average price of coking coal in Q1 2025 was 1,675 yuan per ton, down 615 yuan per ton year-on-year. In Q2 2025, it is expected to further decline by 235 yuan per ton to 1,439 yuan per ton due to ongoing market supply and demand issues [4]. - The company anticipates that policies to stimulate domestic demand may be introduced in the second half of 2025, which could boost downstream steel demand and potentially lead to a recovery in coking coal prices [4]. Business Expansion - The company has a relatively small installed capacity for thermal power generation at 66 MW and holds a 50% stake in the Qianyingzi Power Plant, which has an installed capacity of 2×350 MW for phase one and 1×1000 MW for phase two, with the latter connected to the grid on February 25, 2025. Additionally, it has a 21% stake in the Guoneng Suzhou Thermal Power Co., Ltd., which has an installed capacity of 2×350 MW [4].

东吴证券在最新策略月报中也指出，当前关税冲击引发美国经济衰退预期强化，3月美国 贸易政策不确定性指数创下历史新高，驱动全球大类资产进入高波状态。 今天市场全天低开后震荡反弹，沪指录得8连涨。截至收盘，沪指涨0 . 1 3%，深成指跌 0 . 1 6%，创业板指涨0 . 0 9%。全市场超3100只个股上涨。 相较于海外经济体面临的衰退压力，我国在政策工具箱充足、地产/债务风险可控且经济 韧性支撑下，具备独特的抗压优势，中长期维度无需过分悲观。 沪深两市全天成交额9 9 9 5亿元，较上个交易日缩量1124亿元，内第三次跌破万亿大关。 量能萎缩反映资金短期趋于谨慎。 值 得 注 意 的 是 ， 今 天 尾 盘 又 是 狂 买 指 数 ETF ， 只 要 有 人 砸 ， 国 家 队 就 买 ， 照 惯 常 经 验，"国家队"在托底节点，一般是先稳沪深300，再拉中证1 0 0 0。 此外，国务院新闻办公室将于2025年4月21日（下周一）下午3时举行新闻发布会，请商 务部副部长兼国际贸易谈判副代表凌激和工业和信息化部、国家卫生健康委、中国人民银 行有关负责人介绍《加快推进服务业扩大开放综合试点工作方案》有关情况， ...