事件：海天味业发布2025 年一季报，2025Q1 实现营业收入83.2 亿元，同比+8.1%，归母净利润22.0 亿 元，同比+14.8%，扣非后归母净利润21.5亿元，同比+15.4%。 行业整体需求端较弱背景下，公司收入端增长仍表现强劲。2025Q1 实现营业收入83.2 亿元，同比 +8.1%。 1 ） 分产品看： 25Q1 酱油/ 调味酱/ 蚝油/ 其他产品分别实现收入44.2/9.1/13.6/12.9 亿元，同比 +8.2%/+14.0%/+6.1%/+20.8%。各品类均实现较稳健增长，在当前行业整体需求端较弱背景下，彰显强 经营韧性。 2）分渠道看：线下/ 线上渠道分别实现收入75.6/4.2 亿元，同比+8.9%/+43.2%。线下渠道方面：25Q1 期末公司经销商数量共6668 家（环比净减少39 家），分区域看：东部/南部/中部/北部/西部区域分别环 比净变动+29/+23/-21/-25/-45 家。 3）分区域看：东部/南部/中部/北部/西部区域分别实现收入16.4/15.7/17.6/19.8/10.3 亿元，分别同比 +14.2%/+16.1%/+7.9%/+5.8%/+9.4 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company with a target price of 51.20 RMB [7][8]. Core Views - The company's Q1 performance exceeded expectations due to significant cost benefits, with revenue and net profit increasing by 8.1% and 14.8% year-on-year, respectively [1][3]. - The company is expected to continue its steady growth trajectory in the short term, supported by low inventory levels and proactive replenishment by distributors [1][4]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, prompting the company to increase its marketing expenditures to maintain market share [3][4]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 83.2 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 40.0%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.7 percentage points due to lower raw material costs [1][3]. - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 26.5%, up 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved profitability despite rising sales expenses [3]. Product and Channel Performance - Revenue growth in Q1 was driven by downstream replenishment and the introduction of new products, with specific categories like soy sauce and oyster sauce showing strong performance [2]. - The company reported a 43.2% increase in online sales, while offline sales grew by 8.9%, highlighting the effectiveness of its channel strategies [2]. Market Position and Outlook - The company is expected to solidify its leading position in the market through ongoing channel reforms and product expansion strategies [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.28, 1.42, and 1.59 RMB, respectively, with a reference PE ratio of 40x for 2025 [4][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock's performance in the near term [1][5][21]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 8.315 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.202 billion yuan, up 14.8% year-on-year [1][5]. - The company is expected to achieve close to double-digit growth for the full year 2025, driven by strong performance in new products and effective channel strategies [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit Growth**: - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 26.901 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 9.5%. For 2025, revenue is expected to reach 29.595 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.0% growth rate [1][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 6.344 billion yuan in 2024, growing to 7.163 billion yuan in 2025, with respective growth rates of 12.8% and 12.9% [1][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - EPS is projected to increase from 1.14 yuan in 2024 to 1.29 yuan in 2025, and further to 1.43 yuan in 2026 [1][10]. - **Valuation Metrics**: - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 36 times in 2024 to 32 times in 2025, and further down to 29 times in 2026 [1][10]. - **Market Position**: - The company has shown resilience in its market position, with a notable increase in revenue from new product categories, particularly in the condiment segment, which saw a 10.3% year-on-year growth [5][6]. - **Cash Flow**: - The company reported cash receipts of 6.226 billion yuan in Q1 2025, marking an 8.0% increase year-on-year, indicating strong cash flow management [5][6]. - **Cost Management**: - The gross margin improved to 40.0% in Q1 2025, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from lower raw material costs and scale effects [5][6]. - **Regional Performance**: - Revenue growth varied by region, with the southern region showing a 16.1% increase, indicating a strengthening market presence [5][6]. - **Future Outlook**: - The company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, supported by strategic initiatives in product development and market expansion [5][6].

公司发布 2025 年一季报。2025 年 Q1 公司实现营业总收入 104.46 亿元，同比 +2.91%；实现归母净利润 17.1 亿元，同比+7.08%；实现扣非归母净利润 16.03 亿元，同比+5.95%。 评论： 证 券 研 究 报 告 青岛啤酒（600600）2025 年一季报点评 强推（维持） Q1 开局良好，旺季提速可期 目标价：90 元、70 港元 事项： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 32,138 | 33,639 | 34,556 | 35,235 | | 同比增速(%) | -5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 4,345 | 4,875 | 5,303 | 5,621 | | 同比增速(%) | 1.8% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | | 每股盈利(元) | 3.19 | 3.57 | 3.89 | 4.12 | | 市盈率( ...

事件 2025 年4 月23 日，好想你发布2024 年年报与2025 年一季报，2024 年总营收16.70 亿元（同减3%），归 母净利润亏损0.72 亿元（2023 年亏损0.52 亿元），扣非净利润亏损0.81亿元（2023 年亏损0.59 亿 元）。其中2024Q4 总营收4.92亿元（同减23%），归母净利润亏损0.11 亿元（2023Q4 亏损0.11 亿 元），扣非净利润亏损0.17 亿元（2023Q4 亏损0.04亿元）。2025Q1 总营收4.13 亿元（同减16%），归 母净利润0.40 亿元（同增216%），扣非净利润0.29 亿元（同增101%）。截至2024 年12 月31 日，公司 现金红利派发总额6.11 亿元，分红额度创历史新高。 产品结构优化，电商渠道费用管控加强 产品方面，2024 年红枣制品/健康锁鲜类/其他类产品营收分别为12.22/0.69/3.20 亿元，分别同 比-7%/-20%/+16%，锁鲜类产品下降幅度较大主要系旧品维护力度下降，后续公司重视冻干锁鲜产品， 进一步推进产能释放；其他类产品大幅增长，主要系滋补类产品如红枣山药、红枣八宝茶等新品开发所 致。公司 ...

投资要点： 成本红利延续，盈利能力同比优化。根据公司公告，测算2025Q1 公司吨酒成本为2696.3 元/吨，同比下 降2.6%，主因去年同期使用了部分高价麦芽，以及今年麦芽价格进一步下降。2025Q1 公司毛利率为 41.64%， 同比提升1.2pct 。费用端， 2025Q1 公司销售/管理/ 研发费用率分别为12.53%/3.2%/0.17%，分 别同比-0.29/-0.2/基本持平。费用率优化预计一方面是公司优化了费用投放方式，另一方面来自于销量 表现回暖后规模效应增强。2025Q1 公司归母净利率为16.37%，同比提升0.64pct。净利率提升幅度小于 毛利率，主因2025Q1 公允价值变动收益减少，以及利息收入减少等因素所致。 股价表现的催化剂：餐饮消费改善，产品提价。 核心假设风险：中高端竞争加剧，原材料成本超预期上涨。 事件：公司发布2025 年一季报，根据公司公告，2025Q1 公司实现营业总收入104.46 亿，同比增长 2.9%，归母净利润17.1 亿，同比增长7.08%，扣非净利润16.03 亿，同比增长5.9%，公司业绩符合预 期。 投资评级与估值：维持盈利预测，预测2025~2 ...

改善逻辑持续兑现，有力打破悲观预期。对国内增速的担忧导致近期市值有所回落，我们在前期报告中 多次强调，海外已成为公司增长的核心引擎，产能扩张保障未来几年营收双位数稳增，而盈利端受益于 成本红利与折旧减轻，未来2 年改善周期确定性仍足。25Q1 海外营收仍维持20%+高增，且成本红利有 效对冲折旧摊销增加，毛利率扩张幅度仍在加大，经营改善逻辑仍持续兑现，有力打破悲观预期。此 外，25 年初公司将国内销售组织按市场领域划分为烘焙面食、福邦农业、食品与发酵工业三大板块， 虽短期磨合使得1-2 月国内销售承压，但中长期将利于业务协同推广与费效比提升，25Q1 食品原料业 务贡献加速已在印证，未来营收扩张工具箱充足。 投资建议：Q1 打破悲观预期，周期弹性与成长空间兼具，估值低位重申"强推"评级。25-26 年成本红利 兑现先行、转固压力减轻接力，改善周期确定性充足，25Q1 改善逻辑已超预期兑现，我们维持25-27 年EPS 预测1.75/2.16/2.51元，对应PE 为19/16/13 倍。考虑公司稳步迈向全球第一，海外掘金加速下长期 投资逻辑不仅局限于"周期弹性"，更在于"成长空间"，近期市值已不足300亿，估 ...

安琪酵母（600298.SH） 证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 28 年 月 日 主业稳健增长，利润弹性向上 事件：公司发布 2025 年一季报，25Q1 实现营收 37.9 亿元，同比+8.9%； 实现归母净利润 3.7 亿元，同比+16.0%；实现扣非净利润 3.4 亿元，同 比+14.4%。 酵母主业稳健增长，海外市场高增延续。25Q1 公司收入同比+8.9%，分 品类来看，酵母及深加工/制糖/包装/其他（含食品原料）分别实现营收 27.7/1.6/1.0/7.6 亿元，同比分别+13.2%/-60.7%/-4.4%/+44.1%，主业 酵母及衍生品主业稳健增长，我们预计前期公司内部组织架构调整的影响 已基本消除；制糖业务收入规模持续收缩，其他业务中预计食品原料等延 续高增长。分地区来看，25Q1 国内/国外实现营收 21.0/16.8 亿元，同比 -0.3%/+22.9%，国内业务若剔除制糖和包装影响则 25Q1 同比+15.0%， 预计酵母主业在春节错期影响下仍表现稳健，食品原料等其他业务贡献增 量；海外业务仍保持高增速。 业务结构改善+糖蜜成本红利，盈利能力企 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company "好想你" has shown significant improvement in profitability, with a notable recovery in its financial performance driven by cost advantages and effective expense management [2][3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, total revenue was 1.67 billion yuan, a decrease of 3% year-on-year, with a net loss of 72 million yuan compared to a loss of 52 million yuan in 2023. The first quarter of 2025 saw total revenue of 413 million yuan, a decrease of 16%, but a net profit of 40 million yuan, an increase of 216% year-on-year [2]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 22.62% and 33.97%, respectively, indicating a recovery in profitability as high-cost raw materials have been consumed [3]. Cost Management and Profitability - The company has effectively reduced sales and management expense ratios, leading to improved net profit margins of -4.53% in 2024 and 9.62% in Q1 2025 [3]. - The company is expected to continue benefiting from lower raw material costs and reduced depreciation expenses, which will enhance profitability in the coming years [4]. Product and Channel Strategy - The revenue from red date products, health preservation products, and other categories in 2024 was 1.22 billion yuan, 69 million yuan, and 320 million yuan, respectively, with a focus on developing differentiated and technologically advanced products [3]. - Offline channel revenue increased by 3% to 1.14 billion yuan, driven by new retail channels, while e-commerce revenue decreased by 16% to 475 million yuan due to channel relocation [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to have earnings per share (EPS) of 0.02 yuan, 0.17 yuan, and 0.27 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 502, 70, and 44 times [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [9] Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in net profit, with a notable recovery in profitability driven by the consumption of high-cost raw materials and effective cost control measures [2][3] - The company is focusing on optimizing its product structure and enhancing cost management in e-commerce channels, which is expected to lead to improved profitability [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, total revenue was 1.67 billion yuan, a decrease of 3% year-on-year, with a net loss of 72 million yuan compared to a loss of 52 million yuan in 2023. The first quarter of 2025 saw total revenue of 413 million yuan, a decrease of 16%, but a net profit of 40 million yuan, an increase of 216% [1][9] - The company distributed a total cash dividend of 611 million yuan as of December 31, 2024, marking a historical high in dividend payout [1] Profitability and Cost Management - Gross margins for 2024 and Q1 2025 were 22.62% and 33.97%, respectively, with a recovery in profitability expected as high-cost raw materials are depleted and new procurement costs are at historical lows [2] - The sales expense ratio decreased by 0.1 percentage points in 2024 and 1 percentage point in Q1 2025, while the management expense ratio decreased by 1 percentage point and 0.1 percentage points, respectively, indicating effective cost control [2] Product and Channel Strategy - Revenue from red date products, health preservation products, and other categories in 2024 was 1.22 billion yuan, 69 million yuan, and 320 million yuan, respectively, with a focus on developing differentiated and technologically advanced red date products [3] - Offline channel revenue increased by 3% to 1.14 billion yuan in 2024, driven by new retail channels, while e-commerce revenue decreased by 16% to 475 million yuan due to channel relocation impacts [3] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to see continued improvement in profitability due to lower raw material costs and the expiration of certain depreciation expenses, with projected EPS for 2025-2027 at 0.02, 0.17, and 0.27 yuan, respectively [9]