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Emerging Markets 2026: The Next Phase Of Global Rebalancing
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-16 15:36
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前11个月浙江进出口总值突破5万亿元
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-12-15 13:18
Core Insights - Zhejiang's total import and export value reached 5.06 trillion yuan from January to November, marking a year-on-year growth of 5.3%, which is 1.7 percentage points higher than the national average [1] - Exports amounted to 3.83 trillion yuan, growing by 7.1%, while imports were 1.23 trillion yuan, with a slight increase of 0.1% [1] - Zhejiang's import and export, export, and import values accounted for 12.3%, 15.7%, and 7.4% of the national totals, ranking third, second, and sixth respectively [1] Trade Market Performance - ASEAN solidified its position as Zhejiang's largest trading market with a total trade value of 786.81 billion yuan, growing by 15.4%, contributing 40.9% to the province's overall import and export growth [1] - The EU is the second-largest trading market for Zhejiang, with a trade value of 770.14 billion yuan, increasing by 8.3%, including imports and exports with France reaching 83.84 billion yuan, up by 7.3% [1] - Exports to emerging markets such as ASEAN, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa grew by 16.1%, 10.0%, 12.0%, and 15.4% respectively [1] - Total trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative reached 2.90 trillion yuan, growing by 8.5%, accounting for 57.3% of the province's total import and export value [1] Private Sector Performance - Private enterprises' import and export values reached 4.16 trillion yuan, growing by 7.0%, and accounted for 82.1% of the province's total, an increase of 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Exports from private enterprises were 3.30 trillion yuan, up by 8.4%, while imports were 858.61 billion yuan, growing by 1.7% [2] - Foreign-invested enterprises reported an import and export value of 619.78 billion yuan, increasing by 2.8%, with exports at 394.41 billion yuan, up by 2.3%, and imports at 225.37 billion yuan, growing by 3.8% [2] Export Product Trends - The export of electromechanical products reached 1.79 trillion yuan, growing by 8.8%, with "new three samples" products exporting 120.2 billion yuan, a significant increase of 23.3% [2] - Solar products, electric vehicles, and lithium-ion batteries have seen continuous growth for 4, 12, and 20 months respectively [2] - Labor-intensive products exported amounted to 1.13 trillion yuan, growing by 3.9%, capturing 30.5% of the national market share [2] - High-tech product exports reached 324.35 billion yuan, increasing by 10.7%, with high-end equipment exports at 129.73 billion yuan, growing by 16.8% [2] Import Product Trends - Electromechanical product imports grew significantly, reaching 218.42 billion yuan, an increase of 21.8%, with aircraft and other aviation equipment, as well as computers and components, growing by 122.9% and 43.1% respectively [2] - Consumer goods imports totaled 143.46 billion yuan, growing by 8.7%, while agricultural product imports reached 112.04 billion yuan, increasing by 10.6% [2]
英诺特:公司积极发展居家检测业务以满足涵盖呼吸道、消化道等多元应用场景的新兴市场
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-15 10:13
Core Viewpoint - The company is actively developing home testing business to meet the emerging market needs across various applications, including respiratory and digestive health [1] Group 1 - The company has increased marketing efforts through its official flagship store and other online platforms [1] - The specific operational performance will be disclosed in the company's periodic reports and related announcements [1]
农机——冉冉升起的中国出口新星
2025-12-15 01:55
农机——冉冉升起的中国出口新星 20251212 摘要 2023 年中国农机出口增长主要受益于俄乌战争后欧美品牌撤出俄罗斯 市场,中国企业填补空缺,但受俄罗斯农机报废税政策影响,2024- 2025 年出口增速有所放缓,但 2025 年整体出口金额和数量增速仍可 观。 2025 年中国农机出口月度增速维持在 30%-35%区间,高于全球需求 低迷背景下的其他地区,如美国、欧洲、拉美和亚洲等,这些地区农业 机械收入均有所下滑,美国受粮食价格下跌、高利率和高库存影响最大。 中国农机企业在全球多点开花,头部企业如一拖、雷沃等 2025 年出口 增速普遍在 25%-50%范围内,表明中国农机行业在全球需求低迷情况 下实现了逆势增长。 未来三年,新兴市场如非洲、中亚和东南亚地区农业机械需求成长性强, 这些地区的农业机械化水平与几十年前的中国相似,中国企业凭借性价 比优势在这些市场具有较强竞争力。 中国农机企业正加大海外市场投入,调整战略,从大马力段转向低马力 段产品,以匹配当地需求,并逐步建立配件基地和售后服务体系,提高 竞争力,如拓普股份在公司层面做出战略调整。 Q&A 国新机械在农机出海方面的表现如何?未来三年的核 ...
易起唠嗑-美联储降息对港股的影响有哪些?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 07:35
北京时间12月11日凌晨3点,美联储宣布,降息25个基点,将联邦基金利率目标区间从3.75%—4.00%下调至3.50%—3.75%。这是美联储继9月17日、10月29 日降息后年内的第三次降息,幅度均为25个基点,今年累计降息75个基点。 图:联邦基金利率年内三次下跌 数据来源:Wind 截至:2025.12.10 美联储降息对港股影响几何? 1、流动性闸门打开:港元与美元挂钩,香港银行间利率(HIBOR)基本跟随美息下行。1个月Hibor从5.5%快速掉到4%以下,边际资金成本下降150bp。本 地券商融资利率、散户保证金成本同步下降,市场风险偏好或改善,成交量有望放大。 2、外资或将回补:降息削弱美元,美元兑人民币与美元兑港币同步回落,一方面降低港股盈利换算的汇率损失(中资公司收入以人民币计价),另一方面 缓解资金外流压力,国际对冲基金开始回补此前低配的中国相关资产。全球流动性外溢使长线基金重新配置新兴市场,港股因"离岸+中国"双重属性或成为 再平衡首选,外资或回补仓位带动互联网、消费、医药等权重板块估值修复。 3、南向资金或将联动:美元走弱带动人民币反弹,离岸人民币流动性宽松,既减轻内地房企、平台公司 ...
机构:美元疲软可能仍是2026年新兴市场的催化剂
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 03:48
爱马仕投资管理的新兴市场债券首席投资组合经理Mohammed Elmi表示,由于美元走弱以及美联储可 能进一步降息,新兴市场在2026年可能继续享有宽松的融资环境。Elmi指出,特朗普多次表达希望美联 储更快、更大幅度降息的意愿。随着现任美联储主席鲍威尔任期将于2026年5月结束,特朗普有机会任 命一位更符合其政策优先的主席。Elmi表示,美元走弱已成为2025年的主要主题之一,今年迄今美元已 下跌约8.2%。他补充道:"更多降息可能会对美元施加进一步下行压力。" ...
浙江外贸前11月增长5.3% 新兴市场与民企拉动显著
Core Insights - Zhejiang's foreign trade performance in the first 11 months of the year is strong, with total import and export value reaching 5.06 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%, outperforming the national average by 1.7 percentage points [1] - The province's exports amounted to 3.83 trillion yuan, growing by 7.1%, while imports were 1.23 trillion yuan, with a modest growth of 0.1% [1] Trade Market Performance - ASEAN has solidified its position as Zhejiang's largest trading partner, with a trade value of 786.81 billion yuan, increasing by 15.4%, contributing 40.9% to the province's overall trade growth [2] - The EU is the second-largest trading partner, with a trade value of 770.14 billion yuan, growing by 8.3% [2] - Exports to emerging markets such as ASEAN, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa have seen significant growth, with increases of 16.1%, 10.0%, 12.0%, and 15.4% respectively [2] Product Export Structure - The "new three items" (solar products, electric vehicles, and lithium-ion batteries) have shown remarkable performance, with exports reaching 120.2 billion yuan, a growth of 23.3% [2] - Mechanical and electrical products exports totaled 1.79 trillion yuan, growing by 8.8%, while labor-intensive products and high-tech products also saw increases of 3.9% and 10.7% respectively [2] Import Dynamics - Mechanical and electrical product imports grew significantly, reaching 218.42 billion yuan, an increase of 21.8%, with notable growth in aircraft and computer components [3] - Consumer goods and agricultural product imports also increased, with growth rates of 8.7% and 10.6% respectively [3] Role of Private Enterprises - Private enterprises are the backbone of Zhejiang's export sector, accounting for 82.1% of the province's total import and export value, with a total of 4.16 trillion yuan in trade, growing by 7.0% [4] - Companies like Xinglei Compressor Co., Ltd. have successfully diversified their markets, moving from a focus on Europe to emerging markets in Southeast Asia and Latin America [5] Strategic Market Approaches - Companies are adopting differentiated strategies for various markets, such as providing factory brand solutions in Europe while offering comprehensive sales solutions in Southeast Asia and South America [5] - The establishment of joint ventures, such as the one between Lio Group and Saudi Al Mousa Group, highlights the trend of private enterprises expanding their manufacturing capabilities abroad [5]
浙江外贸前11月增长5.3%,新兴市场与民企拉动显著
Core Insights - Zhejiang's foreign trade performance in the first 11 months of the year is commendable, with total import and export value reaching 5.06 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%, surpassing the national average by 1.7 percentage points [3][4] Trade Performance - Zhejiang's exports amounted to 3.83 trillion yuan, growing by 7.1%, while imports were 1.23 trillion yuan, with a marginal increase of 0.1% [3] - The ASEAN region has solidified its position as Zhejiang's largest trading partner, with a trade value of 786.81 billion yuan, up 15.4%, contributing 40.9% to the province's overall trade growth [4][5] - The EU is the second-largest trading partner, with a trade value of 770.14 billion yuan, increasing by 8.3% [5] Emerging Markets - Exports to emerging markets such as ASEAN, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa have seen significant growth, with increases of 16.1%, 10.0%, 12.0%, and 15.4% respectively [5] - Trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative reached 2.90 trillion yuan, growing by 8.5% and accounting for 57.3% of the province's total trade [5] Product Structure - The "new three categories" of products, including photovoltaic products, electric vehicles, and lithium-ion batteries, have shown remarkable growth, with exports reaching 120.2 billion yuan, a 23.3% increase [5] - Mechanical and electrical products exports totaled 1.79 trillion yuan, growing by 8.8%, while high-tech product exports increased by 10.7% to 324.35 billion yuan [5] Import Dynamics - Mechanical and electrical product imports grew significantly, reaching 218.42 billion yuan, a 21.8% increase, with notable growth in aircraft and computer components [6] - Consumer goods imports were 143.46 billion yuan, up 8.7%, while agricultural product imports reached 112.04 billion yuan, increasing by 10.6% [6] Role of Private Enterprises - Private enterprises are the backbone of Zhejiang's export sector, with a total import and export value of 4.16 trillion yuan, a 7.0% increase, accounting for 82.1% of the province's total [7] - Companies like Xinglei Compressor Co., Ltd. have successfully diversified their markets, moving from traditional European markets to emerging markets in Southeast Asia and Latin America [9] Market Strategies - Companies are adopting diversified market strategies, with a focus on both traditional and emerging markets, as seen in the case of Sigmay Co., which has expanded its exports to ASEAN and Latin America [8] - Liou Group has signed a joint venture agreement in Saudi Arabia to establish a localized manufacturing base, showcasing the trend of private enterprises moving towards manufacturing and supply chain expansion [9]
我国贸易顺差首超万亿美元,怎么看?
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-12-09 23:11
央视网消息:我国对外贸易顺差首次突破1万亿美元,民营企业成为外贸稳定增长的核心支柱,占我国 外贸总值的57.1%。出口产品结构升级,新兴市场多点开花,我国出口从"量"的增长转向"质"的提升。 ...
新兴市场在2025年逆风翻盘,分析师预计明年优势还将继续
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-12-09 09:40
基金管理公司Asia Frontier正在买入斯里兰卡和孟加拉的股票。其基金经理Ruchir Desai表示,这些国家 的发展才刚刚开始,正在重组其整个经济体系,以及整个国家的治理方式。 资管公司Aberdeen认为阿根廷、加纳和厄瓜多尔的债券明年有上涨潜力,而Federated Hermes则增加了 对前沿市场债券的投资,尤其青睐尼日利亚、斯里兰卡、巴基斯坦和厄瓜多尔的债券。 新兴市场与前沿市场还将继续增长 新兴市场资产在今年大放异彩,尽管全球都受到了美国关税的影响,但贸易战冲击不及预期、美元走软 以及中国宏观经济企稳,让新兴市场强劲复苏。 截至11月28日,MSCI新兴市场指数上涨了近30%,而MSCI全球指数的涨幅为17%。诱人的估值,宏观 经济环境良好,加上投资者情绪不断改善,还在为新兴市场股票创造良性循环,预计未来还有进一步上 涨空间。 Federated Hermes新兴市场固定收益高级投资组合经理Mohammed Elmi表示,前沿市场债券兼具高收益 回报和资本增值潜力,且发行人的性质更加独特,与整体风险市场的相关性也更低。 投资管理公司William Blair的投资组合经理Daniel Wo ...