Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the steel industry, indicating a positive outlook for selected companies within the sector [7]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recovery of demand driven by government policies aimed at boosting consumption, alongside a gradual improvement in the overall economic environment [2][4]. - It highlights the ongoing adjustments in supply-side policies, particularly in the steel industry, which are expected to enhance the long-term fundamentals of steel products [4][12]. - The report identifies several undervalued companies within the industry that are likely to benefit from the anticipated recovery in demand and supply-side reforms [2][4]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The CITIC Steel Index closed at 1,658.89 points, up 1.36%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.23 percentage points, ranking 19th among 30 CITIC primary sectors [1][68]. Supply Dynamics - Daily average pig iron production increased by 0.1 million tons to 230.7 million tons, indicating a slight uptick in supply amid improving demand [11]. - The capacity utilization rate for 247 steel mills remained stable at 86.6%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.5 percentage points [16]. Inventory Trends - Total steel inventory decreased by 1.6% week-on-week, with social inventory down 25.0% year-on-year, indicating a tightening supply situation [22][26]. Demand Recovery - Apparent consumption of the five major steel products reached 883.9 million tons, up 3.6% week-on-week and 6.4% year-on-year, with rebar consumption showing a notable increase [40][34]. Raw Material Prices - Iron ore prices strengthened, with the Platts 62% iron ore price index at $103.5 per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.6% [48]. Price and Profitability - Steel spot prices rose, with the Myspic comprehensive steel price index at 126.5, up 0.3% week-on-week, while the gross profit margins for long-process steel products slightly declined [55][54]. Key Companies and Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including: - Hualing Steel (Buy) - Baosteel (Buy) - Nanjing Steel (Buy) - New Steel (Buy) - Jiuli Special Materials (Buy) - Emerging Foundry (Hold) [8].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 03 15 年 月 日 钢铁 发动消费引擎提振需求 行情回顾（3.10-3.14）： 中信钢铁指数报收 1,658.89 点，上涨 1.36%，跑输沪深 300 指数 0.23pct， 位列 30 个中信一级板块涨跌幅榜第 19 位。 分析师 高亢 重点领域分析： 投资策略：本周市场继续上涨，结构上顺周期板块表现突出。与此同时商品市 场黄金突破了 3000 美元重要关口，在金融属性和商品属性双重加持下，有色 金属表现亮眼，金融属性不足的黑色金属则继续震荡。我们在此前的深度报告 《江河万古流》中指出，随着时间的推移美国政府债务似乎将越来越难寻觅到 大的承接主体，其旁氏的平衡十分脆弱。每年两万亿的财政赤字如果不能保证 能够及时融入更大的债务资金，则由央行买单的概率和紧迫性增加。新一轮财 政赤字货币化也许会超出市场的预期，实施后会加速美元的贬值，带来全球资 本大流动。同时货币周期的循环也将加速从信用货币向金属货币回归，其中作 为美元的对立面黄金等有色金属会最受青睐。黑色金属方面四季度至今政府 发债的速度非常快，同时财政存款余额还是下降的，说明资金使用情 ...