通胀对冲

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今日金价下跌了!9月14日最新黄金价格!各大金店、黄金回收价格
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 23:15
Group 1 - The global gold market has seen a significant price increase, with spot gold prices rising approximately 5% this month, reaching a historic high of $3674.27 per ounce, surpassing the inflation-adjusted peak of $3590 from 1980 [2][3] - This milestone indicates that gold has solidified its position as a traditional safe-haven asset against inflation and currency devaluation, with analysts noting a shift in investor sentiment due to concerns over government deficits and central bank policies [2][3] - The value of gold stored in London vaults has exceeded $1 trillion for the first time, and gold has surpassed the euro to become the second-largest asset in global central bank reserves [3] Group 2 - As of September 14, 2025, the international gold price is reported at $3651.9 per ounce, while the domestic market in China shows a base gold price of 830.9 yuan per gram [4][5] - Retail market prices for gold vary, with high-end brands like Chow Tai Fook and Chow Sang Sang selling at approximately 1078 yuan per gram, while mid-range brands like Chow Tai Sheng and Cai Bai are priced lower [6][7] - The precious metals recycling market shows palladium at 242 yuan per gram, 18K gold at 590 yuan per gram, and silver at 7.3 yuan per gram [9] Group 3 - Investors can also engage in "paper" trading for platinum and palladium, with prices for paper platinum ranging from $1390.72 to $1404.57 per ounce across different banks, and paper palladium prices between $1178.63 and $1237.27 per ounce [18][20] - The 2025 edition of the Panda gold coin series remains popular among collectors and investors, with prices for various weights ranging from 1135 yuan for 1 gram to 480000 yuan for 1 kilogram [21][27]
【真灼港股名家】聚焦美联储议息会议 金价或再创新高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-14 12:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong upward trend in gold prices driven by multiple favorable factors, despite persistent inflation data [2] - 80% of Wall Street analysts are optimistic about gold prices this week, viewing gold as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks [2] - Retail investors are more cautious, with 65% betting on rising gold prices while 35% believe a correction is imminent, reflecting a natural reaction to recent price surges [2] Group 2 - Factors contributing to the rise in gold prices include increased demand from ETFs and options, central banks like the People's Bank of China continuing to buy gold, and geopolitical instability [2] - Upcoming significant events, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate announcement, are expected to influence gold prices further, with a focus on economic data and central bank policies [3] - The overall sentiment in the gold market remains strong, but investors should be aware of potential technical corrections and shifts in market sentiment [3]
突发!金价,彻底爆了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 07:53
Group 1 - Gold prices reached a historic high of $3674.27 per ounce, surpassing the previous peak of $850 per ounce (adjusted for inflation) from January 1980, with a cumulative increase of approximately 5% in September and nearly 40% year-to-date [1] - The rise in gold prices is attributed to macroeconomic uncertainties, with significant factors including a surge in initial jobless claims to 263,000, the highest in three years, and a core CPI increase of 0.3% [1] - Analysts suggest that despite some short-term buyer fatigue, the outlook for gold remains constructive with limited room for significant pullbacks in the coming months [1] Group 2 - Recent economic data indicates a cooling U.S. economy, with the August CPI rising by 2.9%, the largest increase in seven months, and non-farm payrolls adding only 22,000 jobs, leading to a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3% [2] - The market is increasingly concerned about stagflation, with traders fully pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the upcoming meeting [2] - The combination of a weakening labor market and persistent inflation signals has heightened expectations for a gradual resumption of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2] Group 3 - Factors such as tax cuts and tariffs from the Trump administration, along with challenges to the independence of the Federal Reserve, have diminished the attractiveness of the U.S. dollar and Treasury bonds, driving funds into gold [3] - Gold is viewed as a unique hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, with historical precedence reinforcing its role as a safe haven during economic uncertainty [3] - Analysts note that the current volatility in gold prices is lower compared to the sharp spikes seen in 1980, attributed to increased market liquidity and the accessibility of gold through ETFs [3] Group 4 - Central banks are diversifying their foreign reserves, with gold's share in reserves rising since the Russia-Ukraine conflict, making it the second-largest reserve asset globally, surpassing the euro [4] - The future trajectory of gold prices will depend on the Federal Reserve's policy direction and global risk events, with historical trends indicating that rate-cutting periods enhance gold's appeal [4] - The ongoing relationship dynamics between the Trump administration and the Federal Reserve are considered a significant variable influencing gold prices [4]
金价 爆了!
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-12 13:31
Group 1: Gold Price Surge - Gold prices reached a historical high of $3674.27 per ounce, surpassing the previous peak of $850 per ounce from January 21, 1980, when adjusted for inflation [1] - The gold price has increased approximately 5% this month and nearly 40% year-to-date [1] - Major banks in China, including Bank of China and Agricultural Bank of China, have raised investment thresholds and adjusted margin requirements for precious metals due to increased volatility in gold prices [1][2] Group 2: Factors Driving Gold Prices - Multiple factors, including tax cuts and tariffs from the Trump administration, have weakened the appeal of the US dollar and US Treasury bonds, leading to increased investment in gold [2] - Gold is viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, a role it has played for centuries [2] - Central banks have been diversifying their foreign reserves, with gold now being the second-largest reserve asset globally, surpassing the euro [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Predictions - Analysts suggest that the current gold price surge is characterized by lower volatility compared to the 1980s, attributed to enhanced market liquidity and the accessibility of gold through ETFs [2][3] - Goldman Sachs predicts that gold prices could reach $3700 by the end of 2025 and potentially exceed $4000 by mid-2026, with scenarios suggesting prices could touch $4500 to $5000 if there is a significant outflow from dollar assets [2] Group 4: New Product Launches in Jewelry Sector - Popop, a jewelry brand under Pop Mart, launched its first gold product line, featuring items priced between ¥980 and ¥56,800, with the most expensive item being a 41g gold ornament [4][10] - The pricing strategy for Popop's gold products is a fixed price model, similar to traditional gold shops, rather than fluctuating with gold prices [6][10] - The new product line is part of Pop Mart's strategy to expand into the jewelry sector, aiming to leverage its IP for broader market opportunities [10]
金价爆了!泡泡玛特盯上珠宝生意,推出足金一口价产品
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 06:53
Group 1: Gold Price Surge - Gold prices reached a record high of $3674.27 per ounce on September 12, surpassing the previous peak of $850 per ounce set in January 1980, adjusted for inflation [1] - Gold prices have increased approximately 5% this month and nearly 40% year-to-date [2] - The surge in gold prices has prompted several banks, including Bank of China and Agricultural Bank of China, to raise investment thresholds and adjust margin requirements for precious metals trading [3] Group 2: Factors Driving Gold Prices - Multiple factors, including tax and tariff policies from the Trump administration and challenges to the independence of the Federal Reserve, have diminished the attractiveness of the US dollar and US Treasury bonds, leading to increased investment in gold [4] - Gold is seen as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, a role it has played for centuries [4] - Central banks have been diversifying their foreign reserves, with gold now being the second-largest reserve asset globally, surpassing the euro [5] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Predictions - Analysts suggest that the current gold price rally is characterized by lower volatility compared to the 1980s, attributed to enhanced market liquidity and the accessibility of gold through ETFs [4] - Goldman Sachs predicts that gold prices could reach $3700 by the end of 2025 and potentially exceed $4000 by mid-2026, with a possibility of hitting $4500 to $5000 if there is a significant outflow from dollar assets [4] Group 4: New Product Launches in Jewelry Sector - Pop Mart's jewelry brand popop has launched its first gold product line, featuring items priced between ¥980 and ¥56,800, with a per gram price exceeding ¥1300 [6][8] - The pricing strategy for popop's gold products differs from traditional gold brands, opting for a fixed price model rather than a combination of gold price and processing fees [8] - The new gold jewelry line is part of popop's strategy to expand into the jewelry market, previously focusing on lower-value materials [14]
金荣中国:现货黄金延续强势,目前暂反弹至3646美元附近表现强劲
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 05:52
美国债市和股市的积极响应,进一步印证了降息预期对黄金的间接支撑。在债市,10年期美债收益率跌至五个月低点,一度触及3.994%,收盘下跌1.7个基 点至4.015%。两年期收益率小幅下跌至3.531%,收益率曲线趋平至正48.2个基点,这被视为经济预期向好的信号。30年期公债标售顺利进行,需求稳健,尽 管财政担忧存在,但一级交易商无需填补空缺,凸显市场对美债的信心。同时,TIPS损益平衡收益率显示,市场预期未来10年年均通胀率约2.4%,略高于 美联储2%目标,这为黄金作为通胀对冲工具提供了空间。 基本面: 周五(9月12日)亚盘时段,现货黄金守住隔夜空间后延续强势,目前暂反弹至3646美元附近表现强劲。周四现货黄金价格虽小幅回落0.2%至每盎司3632.49 美元,但距离周二创下的历史高位不远。周二金价曾创下3674.36美元的新纪录,今年以来,金价已累计上涨38%,这不仅得益于地缘政治风险和通胀压 力,还深受美国经济数据和美联储货币政策预期的影响。 技术面: 日线级别,金价昨日录得小实体收盘守住短期涨幅仍暗示强势,盘中最低触及3610美元上方并迅速收复,短期或仍有望延续新高,交易者留意3660一线短期 破 ...
大摩:黄金暴涨揭示深层巨变,央行购金与ETF流入创纪录暗藏玄机
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-09-12 04:24
这不仅是避险情绪驱动,更预示全球经济和金融市场正在发生深层变革。摩根士丹利预计2025年黄金还 有约5%上涨空间,但有一个重要变数需要考虑。 随着黄金年内涨幅超过38%、白银上涨42%,重大变革显然已在发生。高逸列举了驱动此轮涨势的若干 关键因素。 摩根士丹利金属与大宗商品策略师艾米·高逸(Amy Gower)表示,黄金不仅是避险资产,其价格走势 更向投资者揭示了全球经济和金融市场的真实状况。 「首先,央行购金势头持续强劲,黄金在央行储备中的占比自1996年来首次超过美国国债,」她强 调,"这是对黄金长期价值的强力背书。此外,黄金ETF仅在8月就流入50亿美元,年内累计流入规模创 2020年以来新高,表明机构投资者重拾兴趣。" 「黄金始终是不确定性时期的首选资产,」高逸指出,「但到2025年,其角色正在进化。投资者不仅将 黄金视为通胀对冲工具,更将其作为从央行政策到地缘风险的万能晴雨表。」 「尽管黄金是非生息资产,但在多数主要经济体通胀仍高于目标的情况下,其吸引力展现出惊人韧 性,」她补充道,「投资者正押注央行即将减息,这可能进一步推升金价。」 「当金价异动时,往往预示着表层之下正在发生重大变革。」 「但有一 ...
涨超2%!黄金股票ETF基金(159322)持续上行!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 02:22
Group 1 - The gold market has been performing exceptionally well, with prices reaching historical highs, driven by factors such as doubts about the Federal Reserve's independence and rising expectations for interest rate cuts [1][2] - As of September 11, over 100 billion yuan has been attracted to gold futures, with an increase of more than 17 billion yuan in September alone [1] - The recent surge in gold prices has led several banks, including Bank of China and Agricultural Bank of China, to adjust their precious metals business, including increasing investment thresholds and modifying trading rules [2] Group 2 - Gold prices have risen approximately 5% in September, reaching a record high of $3,674.27, surpassing inflation-adjusted records from 1980 [2] - The gold stock ETF has seen a net value increase of 52.47% over the past six months, ranking in the top 1.80% among comparable funds [5] - The gold stock ETF closely tracks the CSI Hong Kong and Shanghai Gold Industry Index, which includes 50 major companies involved in gold mining, refining, and sales [6]
突破1980年通胀调整峰值,现货黄金再创历史新高
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 01:21
多重因素推升金价 特朗普政府的减税与关税政策,加之对美联储独立性的挑战,削弱了美元与美债的吸引力,推动资金加 速流入黄金。马拉松资源顾问公司投资组合经理罗伯特·马林(Robert Mullin)表示:"黄金在数百甚至 上千年的历史中,一直扮演着对冲通胀和货币贬值的独特角色。" 世界银行前首席经济学家卡门·莱因哈特(Carmen Reinhart)也认为,黄金上涨不仅反映通胀担忧,还 折射出全球经济与地缘政治的不确定性。"黄金在上世纪七八十年代已被视为有效的对冲工具,如今这 种作用再次被强化。" 9月12日,现货黄金一度升至3674.27美元/盎司,创下新的历史纪录,并首次突破1980年1月21日创下的 850美元/盎司峰值(按通胀调整约为3590美元)。本月以来金价累计上涨约5%,今年以来涨幅已接近 40%。市场普遍认为,这一突破再次凸显黄金在持续的宏观不确定性中作为避险资产的地位。 在美国经济数据公布前,金价曾一度下跌多达0.6%。随着数据出炉,价格迅速扭转跌势并刷新高位。 独立金属交易员黄泰(Tai Wong)评论称:"上周初请失业金人数大幅攀升至26.3万,创三年来新高, 而核心CPI环比增幅仍维持在0 ...
纽约金价11日小幅下跌
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 00:57
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a decline in gold prices, with the December 2025 gold futures price dropping by 0.23% to $3673.40 per ounce, influenced by an unexpected rise in initial jobless claims and a slight increase in the consumer price index (CPI) in the U.S. [1] - The U.S. Department of Labor reported an increase of 27,000 in initial jobless claims, reaching 263,000, which was above market expectations of 235,000, suggesting a dovish stance on monetary policy [1] - The CPI for August showed a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, up from 2.7% in the previous month, while the core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, rose by 3.1% [1] Group 2 - The European Central Bank decided to maintain interest rates during its monetary policy meeting [1] - Gold prices have increased by over 38% this year, while silver prices have risen by more than 42%, indicating a strong performance in precious metals amid uncertainty [1] - Morgan Stanley predicts a further increase in gold prices by approximately 5%, expecting the price to reach $3800 per ounce by the end of 2025 [1]