宏观研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【宏观快评】 高层密集调研，聚焦哪些问题？ ——政策周观察第 35 期 近一周，国务院高层密集在地方考察调研，关注方向如下： （一）经济：关注基建、"以旧换新"、外贸、经济大省"挑大梁"。 6 月 16 日至 18 日，总理在江苏调研，涉及基建（要求高标准推进工程建设）、 消费品"以旧换新"效果、外贸（详细询问中国和中亚国家经贸合作情况）。 并指出，"江苏经济底子好实力强，也有更高的发展要求……更好发挥经济大 省挑大梁作用，为全国发展大局多作贡献"。 6 月 17 日至 18 日，副总理何立峰在山东调研外经贸工作，"深入了解企业接 单、生产、技术创新和开拓国际市场情况，听取企业主要关切诉求"。 （二）产业：聚焦科技、新质生产力；以及平台经济监管 6 月 16 日至 18 日，总理在江苏调研江苏汇智高端工程机械创新中心有限公司、 深地科学与工程云龙湖实验室、南京原子制造研究所，提及工程机械、技术装 备、人工智能、清洁能源、未来科技和产业发展等领域。 6 月 15 日至 17 日，国务院副总理张国清在广东调研先后来到宝钢湛江钢铁有 限公司、巴斯夫一体化基地（广东）有限公司和粤港澳 ...

1. 据央视新闻，以色列国防军当地时间 20 日表示，当天上午，以色列空军对 伊朗西北部的大不里士和西部的克尔曼沙阿地区的军事目标实施了一系列打击。 地址：北京市朝阳区朝阳门外大街甲 6 号万通中心 D 座 20 层 （100020） 资讯早间报 制作日期： 2025/06/23 隔夜夜盘市场走势 1. 国际油价走势分化，美油主力合约收涨 0.22%，报 74.04 美元/桶，周涨 1.45%；布伦特原油主力合约跌 1.94%，报 77.32 美元/桶，周涨 4.16%。市场关 注中东局势及美国对伊朗政策动向，花旗银行指出若霍尔木兹海峡被封锁，油 价可能飙升至 90 美元。 2. 国际贵金属期货普遍收跌，COMEX 黄金期货跌 0.09%报 3384.4 美元/盎司， 本周累计下跌 1.98%。COMEX 白银期货跌 1.13%报 35.95 美元/盎司，本周累计下 跌 1.11%。美联储官员释放降息信号，中东局势紧张加剧市场避险情绪，全球 贸易政策不确定性持续影响经济前景。 3. 伦敦基本金属收盘全线上涨，LME 期锡涨 2.13%报 32690.00 美元/吨，本周 累计下跌 0.01%；LME 期铝涨 ...

很多事情不是看到希望才去坚持，而是坚持了才会看到希望。各位朋友，新的一周，早安！ 人民币近期迎来重大利好。 6月22日，跨境支付通上线。据了解，为深化内地与 香港金融合作，满足两地居民安全、高效、便捷的跨境汇款需求，中国人民银行、香港金融管理局共 同推动并支持由中国人民银行清算总中心和香港银行同业结算有限公司开展内地与香港快速支付系统互联互通合作（以下简称跨境支付通）。 跨境支付通支持两地快速支付系统参与机构为两地居民提供经常项下人民币、港币便利化汇款服务，支持两地参与机构在落实相关政策的基础上， 为薪 酬发放、留学缴费、医疗缴费等惠及两地民生融合的业务场景提供快速汇款服务，有利于提升两地跨境支付效率和服务水平，便利两地经贸活动和人员往 来。同时，也有利于支持 香港提升竞争优势，巩固香港国际金融中心及离岸人民币业务枢纽地位。 中国人民银行有关部门负责人介绍， 与传统跨境汇款相比，跨境支付通具有以下几方面优势： 一是支持用户通过参与机构的手机银行、网上银行等渠 道，依托手机号码、银行账户等，线上发起内地与 香港间人民币和港币的跨境汇款； 二是支持经常项目项下一定金额内的便利化汇款实时到账； 三是相 关支付基础设 ...

证监会拟进一步优化证券公司分类评价制度 证监会就《证券公司分类评价规定（修订草案征求意见稿）》公开征求意见。此次修订重点修改完善四 方面内容。包括：突出促进证券公司功能发挥的导向，完善评价框架；适当整合、优化业务发展指标， 引导行业机构聚焦高质量发展，支持中小机构差异化发展、特色化经营等。 跨境支付通上线 全国首笔业务落地深圳 重要的消息有哪些 财政部：1—5月全国一般公共预算收入96623亿元 同比下降0.3% 财政部数据显示，1—5月，全国一般公共预算收入96623亿元，同比下降0.3%。其中，全国税收收入 79156亿元，同比下降1.6%；非税收入17467亿元，同比增长6.2%。分中央和地方看，中央一般公共预 算收入41486亿元，同比下降3%；地方一般公共预算本级收入55137亿元，同比增长1.9%。 6月22日，跨境支付通正式上线，标志着内地与香港快速支付系统已实现互联互通，今后两地居民可实 时办理跨境汇款。当日，全国首笔跨境支付通内地居民南向、港人北向汇款业务落地深圳。业内人士对 智通财经记者表示，跨境支付通上线有助于提升人民币在跨境零售场景中的使用便利度，进一步推动人 民币国际化进程。从技术角 ...

Group 1: Economic Indicators - The Ministry of Finance reported that from January to May, the national general public budget revenue was 96,623 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3% [2] - Tax revenue was 79,156 billion yuan, down 1.6% year-on-year, while non-tax revenue increased by 6.2% to 17,467 billion yuan [2] - Central government budget revenue was 41,486 billion yuan, a decline of 3% year-on-year, while local government budget revenue increased by 1.9% to 55,137 billion yuan [2] Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is seeking public opinion on the revised draft of the Securities Company Classification Evaluation Regulations, focusing on enhancing the evaluation framework and promoting high-quality development [3] - New guidelines for designated trading business by the Shanghai Stock Exchange will take effect, requiring brokers to process investor requests for unbinding designated trading on the same day without delay [5] Group 3: Industry Innovations - The National Medical Products Administration has approved measures to support the innovation of high-end medical devices, including optimizing special approval processes and enhancing post-market supervision [6] - The launch of the Cross-Border Payment Platform facilitates real-time cross-border remittances between residents of mainland China and Hong Kong, promoting the internationalization of the renminbi [4] Group 4: Corporate News - Shaoyang Hydraulic is planning a major asset restructuring and will be suspended from trading starting June 23 [7] - ST Hetai will have its delisting risk warning and other risk warnings lifted starting June 24 [7] - Xinhong Optoelectronics plans to transfer 100% equity of its wholly-owned subsidiary to Luxshare Precision [8] - Osai Kang's subsidiary has obtained a drug registration certificate for Methotrexate injection [8] - Tianrong Tianyu's shareholder plans to reduce their stake by no more than 3% [9] Group 5: Market Insights - Galaxy Securities emphasizes investment opportunities in the food and beverage sector, particularly in new categories and channels, predicting slow recovery in traditional food and beverage markets [15] - CITIC Securities highlights the growth of domestic beauty and personal care brands, suggesting that local brands are gaining market share and moving towards high-end markets [16]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of accurately identifying and assessing the innovative attributes and commercial prospects of technology enterprises, which is a key aspect of the STAR Market reform [1] - The introduction of seasoned professional institutional investors is proposed to enhance the evaluation of companies' innovative attributes and commercial potential, thereby facilitating better decision-making for review agencies and retail investors [1] - The efficient integration of technology and capital is expected to further unlock the development space for new productive forces [1] Group 2 - Multiple companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange are actively pursuing cash acquisitions to expand their business areas, with several announcements made since 2025 [2] - The Beijing Stock Exchange has revised its rules regarding major asset restructuring to enrich the tools available for mergers and acquisitions for innovative SMEs [2] - The exchange aims to continue implementing policies to optimize market mechanisms and stimulate market vitality, thereby supporting innovative SMEs in enhancing their development quality and investment value [2] Group 3 - Satellite communication technology is becoming a focal point in the mobile communication sector, particularly highlighted at the 2025 Shanghai World Mobile Communication Conference [3] - Industry experts believe that satellite communication is reshaping network access in remote areas and connecting populations that lack internet access, thus opening a new chapter in the digital economy [3] - The satellite industry is expected to lead revolutionary changes in the communication sector over the next decade [3] Group 4 - The new classification evaluation rules for securities companies are set to reshape industry positioning by shifting the focus from scale to value creation, with net asset return rate as a core efficiency metric [4] - The adjustments aim to enhance operational efficiency and deter major illegal activities within the securities industry, promoting a virtuous cycle of compliance, rating, and business [4] Group 5 - The A-share market is expected to experience a rebound in the second half of the year, supported by ongoing policy efforts and capital market reforms [5] - Despite short-term pressures from overseas factors, the technology sector, backed by industry trends and strong performance in semi-annual reports, is recommended for investor attention [5] Group 6 - A significant number of newly established fund products, particularly initiator funds, are facing challenges in growth, with 41 funds having been liquidated this year due to persistent low scales [6] - The majority of these funds were created to chase market trends but failed to perform, leading to investor withdrawals and subsequent liquidation [6] Group 7 - The launch of the "Cross-Border Payment Link" aims to enhance the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of traditional cross-border payments, facilitating real-time remittance services between mainland China and Hong Kong [12] - This initiative is seen as a strategic move to promote the internationalization of the Renminbi and deepen financial cooperation between the two regions [12] Group 8 - The first batch of floating rate funds has been established, with a total scale exceeding 12.6 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest in performance-linked fee structures [14] - The average subscription for these funds has surpassed 10,000 households, with the highest single fund attracting over 47,000 subscriptions, reflecting the appeal of the management fee model tied to performance [14]

随着内地与香港往来日益密切，经贸合作更加频繁，居民南下北上消费需求旺盛，对跨境支付的高效安 全以及资金的快速流通的更高要求是跨境支付通推出的重要背景。 据悉，作为中央政府支持香港发展和便利民生、推动内地与香港合作的又一项重要举措，跨境支付通于 今日（6月22日）正式上线运行。首批参与跨境支付通的内地机构包括：工商银行（601398）、农业银 行（601288）、中国银行（601988）、建设银行（601939）、交通银行（601328）、招商银行 （600036）；香港机构包括：中银香港、东亚银行、建银亚洲、恒生银行、汇丰银行、工银亚洲。 6月20日上午，中国人民银行与香港金融管理局联合举办内地与香港快速支付系统互联互通（以下简 称"跨境支付通"）启动仪式。 一是境内居民个人汇出至香港地区银行账户的"南向便利化汇款业务"，可选择人民币汇出、人民币或港 币到账。二是香港居民个人汇入至内地银行账户的"北向便利化汇款业务"，可选择港币或人民币发起、 人民币到账。三是个人与机构间的"双向跨境人民币支付业务"，如留学缴费、公共事业缴费、就医、薪 资和补贴发放等，可选择双边本币或双边人民币汇款。 "跨境支付通业务的推出， ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent expansion of China's Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) signifies a strategic move towards enhancing the internationalization of the Renminbi, aiming to challenge the dominance of the US dollar and promote a multipolar global currency order [3][10][12] Group 1: Strategic Developments - CIPS has signed direct participation agreements with six foreign institutions, including banks from South Africa, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia, marking a significant step in expanding its global reach [1][3] - The inclusion of the African Export-Import Bank is particularly noteworthy, as it opens access to a broader financial network across 52 African countries [3][4] - The CIPS expansion is seen as a response to the increasing global demand for a diversified payment system, moving away from reliance on a single sovereign currency [4][10] Group 2: Economic Implications - The ability to settle transactions in Renminbi directly through local banks in resource-rich regions like Africa and the Middle East is expected to enhance the currency's utility in global commodity trade [6][9] - The launch of China's international letter of credit business allows companies to issue letters of credit in Renminbi, providing a reliable alternative to the dollar-dominated system [7][9] - This development is anticipated to facilitate smoother trade financing and settlement processes, particularly for emerging markets seeking more efficient payment channels [9][10] Group 3: Challenges and Considerations - Despite the strategic advancements, the Renminbi's international payment network faces challenges, including liquidity issues and geopolitical risks that could impact its adoption [13][15] - The need for robust legal frameworks and regulatory transparency is emphasized to build trust in the Renminbi as a viable alternative to the dollar [15] - Historical lessons from the euro's challenge to the dollar highlight the importance of integrating payment systems with trade scenarios to ensure effective penetration in global markets [13][15]

来源：@中国经济周刊微博 本刊记者 周琦 阿里、京东等互联网大厂抢滩、美国参议院首次通过法案、多国多地金融机构加速入场，一场国际金融暗战悄然展开…… 现在直接用稳定币，不光绕过了SWIFT，1小时内到账，还能省去兑换美元的费用。更关键的是，在没有银行的地方，稳定币也可以交易，这就大 大扩展了国际支付的方式和空间。 近日，香港特区落地《稳定币条例》。分析认为，这意味着美元霸权的"垄断高墙"，又被凿开一道缝。 以后，跨境电商就可以用和港币挂钩的稳定币结算，手续费直降80%，这可比传统用美元结算的SWIFT便宜多了。更值得关注的是，香港财经事 务及库务局局长许正宇还公开表示，从法规角度看，不排除稳定币挂钩人民币的可能性。这样一来，SWIFT估计有些紧张。 比如，俄乌刚开起冲突那会，俄罗斯被踢出了SWIFT系统，结果，一笔跨境货款得绕3家银行5天才能到账；伊朗之前也是被掐断过这个"金融脐 带"，在国际上买东西那叫一个费劲。 而现在香港玩的这手稳定币，直接把SWIFT甩到了一边，变身"跨境结算高铁"——商家上午给内地发货，下午钱就到账，比当地银行转账还快。 为啥这么厉害？因为绕开了SWIFT直接点对点。 SWIFT全名 ...

2025 年 06 月 22 日 从稳定币应用场景展望人民币国际 化的未来 ——全球货币体系重塑和人民币国际化系列之三 相关研究 《美元"稳定币"未必"稳定"—— 全球货币体系重构与人民国际化系 列之二》 2025/06/02 《人民币国际化的进程、前景与机遇 ——全球货币体系重构与人民币国 际化系列之一》 2025/05/17 证券分析师 金倩婧 A0230513070004 jinqj@swsresearch.com 冯晓宇 A0230521080005 fengxy2@swsresearch.com 林遵东 A0230524100005 linzd@swsresearch.com 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 涂锦文 A0230123070009 tujw@swsresearch.com 联系人 涂锦文 (8621)23297818× tujw@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 策 略 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 大 类 资 产 配 置 ⚫ 前言：在《美元"稳定币"未必"稳定"——全球货 ...