Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the global trend of diminishing humanities programs in higher education, highlighting the challenges faced by humanities graduates in the job market and the shift towards more practical, employment-oriented education [3][4][5]. Group 1: Decline of Humanities Programs - Harvard University has canceled over 30 humanities courses, reflecting a broader trend among global universities to reduce or eliminate humanities programs [3]. - The reduction in humanities enrollment is driven by a perceived lack of job prospects for humanities graduates, as evidenced by statements from university leaders and government policies emphasizing employment-oriented education [4][5]. Group 2: Employment Challenges for Humanities Graduates - Humanities graduates face significant difficulties in securing jobs, with a reported offer rate of only 43.9% for humanities and social sciences graduates compared to 49.4% for STEM graduates [5][6]. - The starting salaries for humanities graduates are notably lower, with no humanities programs appearing in the top 20 for salary rankings among 2023 graduates [6][7]. Group 3: Shift in Career Aspirations - Many humanities graduates are increasingly turning to public sector jobs, with about 30% of 2024 humanities graduates considering civil service exams, compared to only 14% of STEM graduates [7][8]. - The trend of pursuing further education or alternative career paths, such as teaching or training, is prevalent among humanities graduates due to the competitive job market [7][8]. Group 4: Skills and Market Demand - The article emphasizes that the skills of humanities graduates, such as critical thinking and communication, are often undervalued in a job market that prioritizes technical skills and quantifiable results [8][9]. - The historical divide between humanities and sciences has intensified, with the latter being favored in a technology-driven society, further complicating the job prospects for humanities graduates [8][9]. Group 5: Long-term Prospects for Humanities Graduates - Despite current challenges, humanities graduates may find greater job satisfaction and opportunities for personal development in the long run, particularly in fields like education and cultural arts [9][10]. - The article suggests that the unique skills of humanities graduates may become more valuable as workplaces increasingly prioritize soft skills and interdisciplinary knowledge [10][11]. Group 6: Educational Reforms and New Opportunities - Universities are beginning to adapt their curricula to include interdisciplinary studies and practical skills, responding to the evolving job market [16][17]. - The rise of AI and technology is creating new opportunities for humanities graduates, as their critical thinking and communication skills become essential in a data-driven world [18][19].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report presents a comprehensive overview of the futures market, including overnight and spot market conditions, important fundamental information, macro - news, fund flows, etc. It shows the price movements of various commodities such as palm oil, soybeans, and crude oil, and analyzes the impact of factors like weather, export data, and macro - economic indicators on the market [1][5][17]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Market Conditions - The closing prices and daily/overnight price changes of various futures contracts are presented, including Malaysian palm oil, Brent crude oil, US crude oil, US soybeans, etc. The price changes of major currency pairs are also provided [1]. Spot Market Conditions - The spot prices, basis, and basis changes of DCE palm oil, DCE soybean oil, and DCE soybean meal in different regions are given [2]. Important Fundamental Information - **Weather**: US soybean - producing states are expected to have higher - than - normal rainfall and higher temperatures from July 20 - 24. Some areas in the US Midwest have received rainfall, and the overall weather conditions are favorable for crops [5][7]. - **Palm Oil**: ITS and AmSpec data show a decline in Malaysian palm oil exports from July 1 - 15. However, UOB Kay Hian analysts believe that exports may increase in July, and production is expected to rise while inventory may remain stable [8][9]. - **Soybeans**: NOPA data shows that US soybean crushing in June was 185.709 million bushels. Anec predicts an increase in Brazil's soybean and soybean meal exports in July. The EU's imports of palm oil, soybeans, soybean meal, and rapeseed have decreased compared to last year [11][12]. - **Shipping**: The Baltic Dry Bulk Freight Index continued to rise, with freight rates for all types of ships increasing [13]. - **Trading Volume and Inventory**: On July 15, the total trading volume of soybean oil and palm oil decreased. The trading volume of soybean meal decreased, and the开机 rate of oil mills increased slightly. The port inventories of imported soybeans and soybean oil increased [14][15]. Macro - economic News - **International**: The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in July is 97.4%. US economic data such as CPI, NY Fed Manufacturing Index, etc., are released. OPEC maintains its global crude oil demand growth forecasts. The economic data of the Eurozone shows positive trends [17][18]. - **Domestic**: The RMB depreciated against the US dollar on July 15. The Chinese central bank conducted a net injection of 173.5 billion yuan. China's Q2 GDP growth rate was 5.2%, and other economic indicators such as retail sales and industrial added - value were also released [20]. Fund Flows - On July 15, the futures market had a net inflow of 11.281 billion yuan, with 4.329 billion yuan in commodity futures (including net outflows in agricultural futures and net inflows in chemical, black - series, and metal futures) and 6.952 billion yuan in stock index futures [23]. Arbitrage Tracking No relevant information provided.

在药物临床试验中，安全性评估与疗效评估分别扮演着重要且不同意义的角色。然而，以心脏磁共振成 像(CMR)为代表的传统影像学工具，受限于空间分辨率不足、定量指标单一和缺乏组织特异性，常在早 期漏检亚临床心脏毒性或细微功能变化，使高危受试者被误判为低风险。该盲区易使研究团队低估药物 的心脏毒性，从而错估获益-风险比，最终影响方案修订、开发决策及受试者后续管理。 PART.01 AI助力心血管疾病风险评估，多模态数据融合成关键 当前临床实践中，肥厚型心肌病的诊断准确率仅50%左右，这一局限性导致医生在评估患者是否需要植 入心脏除颤器等预防性治疗时面临重大决策困境。2025年7月2日，约翰·霍普金斯大学的研究团队在 Nature Cardiovascular Research 发表题为"Multimodal AI to forecast arrhythmic death in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy"的研究。 MAARS是一款功能强大且值得信赖的临床决策支持工具。它有可能极大改善肥厚型心肌病(HCM)患者 的临床决策和医疗护理，可通过自动化数据提取系统直接整合至临床流程，也可作为辅助工 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the fluctuations in gold prices influenced by U.S. inflation data and bond yields, highlighting a recent decline in gold prices followed by a slight recovery in Asian markets. It also emphasizes the ongoing interest of global central banks in accumulating gold as a strategic asset. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - On July 15, gold prices fell significantly due to moderate U.S. inflation data and rising U.S. Treasury yields, with spot gold closing down $18.74, a decrease of 0.56%, at $3324.60 per ounce [1] - As of July 16, gold prices turned upward in Asian markets, with COMEX gold rising by 0.37% and London gold increasing by 0.56% [2] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also seen a decline, with brands like Chow Sang Sang and Lao Feng Xiang reporting decreases in their gold prices per gram [3] Group 2: U.S. Inflation Data - The U.S. core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% in June compared to May, with a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, marking the fifth consecutive month of inflation data falling below expectations [4][5] - The report indicates that certain categories, particularly those affected by tariffs, have seen price increases, while new and used car prices have decreased [5] Group 3: Central Bank Gold Accumulation - Global central banks continue to increase their gold reserves, with a reported net purchase of 20 tons in May. As of the end of June, China's official gold reserves increased by 7,000 ounces [9] - The chief investment officer of DBS Bank expressed optimism about the gold market, projecting a target price of $3765 per ounce for gold by the fourth quarter of 2024 [8] - The article notes that the amount of gold purchased by central banks in the past three years has exceeded the total of the previous decade, suggesting a strong long-term demand for gold [9]

伦铜小幅走低，沪铜窄幅震荡，中国经济数据表现向好，提振需求预期，机构表示沪铜企稳等待新驱 动，预计短期市场将.....点击阅读。 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...

智通财经7月16日电，乘联分会数据显示，7月1-13日，全国乘用车市场零售57.1万辆，同比去年7月同 期增长7%，较上月同期下降5%，今年以来累计零售1,147.3万辆，同比增长11%；7月1-13日，全国乘用 车厂商批发55.5万辆，同比去年7月同期增长34%，较上月同期下降7%，今年以来累计批发1,383.5万 辆，同比增长13%。 乘联分会：7月1-13日全国乘用车市场零售57.1万辆 同比去年7月同期增长7% ...

智通财经APP获悉，开源证券发布研报称，2025年6月社零数据增速环比回落，主要与618活动错期、部 分地区国补政策控制以及可选消费和餐饮收入下滑有关。下半年关税和出口仍有不确定性，内需相关政 策或有可能择时推出，食品饮料板块有望受益。细分板块看，当前白酒预期较低，连续回调后估值已在 低位，同时基金持仓白酒比例连续回落，筹码结构也相对较好，下半年随着板块进入底部位置，应有布 局机会。大众品板块在新消费标的中寻找符合产业发展趋势的优质公司并长期持有。 开源证券主要观点如下： 月度观察：6月社零增速环比回落，餐饮及可选消费增速下滑 2025年6月社会消费品零售总额同比+4.8%，增速环比5月-1.6pct，6月社零增速放缓，一是5月提前开启 618活动，6月同比有一定错期因素影响;二是部分地区在6月对国补政策进行控制，部分耐用品增速回 落;三是可选消费和餐饮收入下滑。2025年6月餐饮及限额以上餐饮收入同比分别+0.9%、-0.4%，增速环 比5月分别-5.0pct、-5.2pct，餐饮消费承压明显，一方面6月外卖平台加大补贴，影响餐饮实收金额，另 一方面八项规定等政策出台，宴请、聚餐等消费场景缺失较多。细分子行 ...

近日，中国石油（601857）新疆油田在推进数据要素市场化改革中实现重要突破，其自主研发的"新疆 油田地面设施咨询服务"和"新疆油田区域资源咨询服务"两大核心数据产品耗时一年，成功登陆国家级 数据交易平台，获得数据资产登记证书，并完成首笔交易。这场从数据资源到数据资产的跨越，为能源 企业数据价值转化打开了新的突破口。(新华社) ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report Through macro - fundamental analysis and technical analysis using tools like the golden ratio line, horizontal line, and moving average, the report predicts the likely trends of various futures contracts on July 16, 2025. Index futures are expected to fluctuate and consolidate; gold, silver, rebar, and crude oil futures are likely to experience weak fluctuations; industrial silicon, polysilicon, and lithium carbonate futures are anticipated to have strong and wide - range fluctuations; container shipping index (European Line) futures are expected to fluctuate with an upward bias; nickel and soybean meal futures are likely to have strong fluctuations [1][2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Futures Market Outlook - **Index Futures**: On July 16, 2025, IF2509, IH2509, IC2509, and IM2509 are expected to fluctuate and consolidate. Resistance and support levels are provided for each contract [2][19]. - **Ten - year Treasury Bond Futures**: The T2509 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to have a strong - biased fluctuation, with resistance at 109.00 and 109.06 yuan and support at 108.83 and 108.74 yuan [2][38]. - **Thirty - year Treasury Bond Futures**: The TL2509 contract on July 16, 2025, is expected to have a strong - biased fluctuation, with resistance at 121.0 and 121.2 yuan and support at 120.6 and 120.4 yuan [2][42]. - **Gold Futures**: The AU2510 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to have a weak fluctuation and may test support at 773.8 and 768.7 yuan/gram, with resistance at 780.4 and 781.8 yuan/gram [2][45]. - **Silver Futures**: The AG2510 contract on July 16, 2025, is expected to have a weak fluctuation and may test support at 9088 and 9040 yuan/kg, with resistance at 9207 and 9267 yuan/kg [3][49]. - **Copper Futures**: The CU2508 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, with support at 77700 and 77500 yuan/ton and resistance at 78100 and 78400 yuan/ton [3][52]. - **Alumina Futures**: The AO2509 contract on July 16, 2025, is expected to have a weak fluctuation and may test support at 3117 and 3100 yuan/ton, with resistance at 3187 and 3208 yuan/ton [3][57]. - **Zinc Futures**: The ZN2508 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to have a weak fluctuation and may test support at 22000 and 21860 yuan/ton, with resistance at 22090 and 22130 yuan/ton [3][60]. - **Nickel Futures**: The NI2508 contract on July 16, 2025, is expected to have a strong fluctuation and may attack resistance at 121500 and 122300 yuan/ton, with support at 119600 and 119400 yuan/ton [3][66]. - **Industrial Silicon Futures**: The SI2509 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to have a strong and wide - range fluctuation and may attack resistance at 8900 and 9000 yuan/ton, with support at 8740 and 8620 yuan/ton [3][69]. - **Polysilicon Futures**: The PS2508 contract on July 16, 2025, is expected to have a strong and wide - range fluctuation and may attack resistance at 43250 and 44600 yuan/ton, with support at 42360 and 41760 yuan/ton [3][71]. - **Lithium Carbonate Futures**: The LC2509 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to have a strong and wide - range fluctuation and may accumulate strength to attack resistance at 68400 and 69000 yuan/ton, with support at 66000 and 64200 yuan/ton [4][73]. - **Rebar Futures**: The RB2510 contract on July 16, 2025, is expected to have a weak fluctuation and may test support at 3100 and 3085 yuan/ton, with resistance at 3121 and 3131 yuan/ton [4][76]. - **Hot - Rolled Coil Futures**: The HC2510 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to have a weak fluctuation and may test support at 3238 and 3225 yuan/ton, with resistance at 3259 and 3273 yuan/ton [6][82]. - **Iron Ore Futures**: The I2509 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to fluctuate and consolidate and may accumulate strength to attack resistance at 770 and 777 yuan/ton, with support at 760 and 755 yuan/ton [6][83]. - **Coking Coal Futures**: The JM2509 contract on July 16, 2025, is expected to have a weak fluctuation and may test support at 900 and 890 yuan/ton, with resistance at 920 and 928 yuan/ton [6][92]. - **Glass Futures**: The FG509 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance at 1078 and 1084 yuan/ton and support at 1057 and 1048 yuan/ton [6][92]. - **Soda Ash Futures**: The SA509 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance at 1231 and 1241 yuan/ton and support at 1200 and 1194 yuan/ton [6][95]. - **Crude Oil Futures**: The SC2508 contract on July 16, 2025, is expected to have a weak fluctuation and may test support at 514 and 511 yuan/barrel, with resistance at 523 and 528 yuan/barrel [6][97]. - **Fuel Oil Futures**: The FU2509 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to have a strong fluctuation and may attack resistance at 2883 and 2911 yuan/ton, with support at 2840 and 2824 yuan/ton [7][103]. - **PTA Futures**: The TA509 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, with support at 4686 and 4664 yuan/ton and resistance at 4728 and 4760 yuan/ton [7][103]. - **PVC Futures**: The V2509 contract on July 16, 2025, is expected to have a weak fluctuation and may test support at 4950 and 4925 yuan/ton, with resistance at 4977 and 5000 yuan/ton [7][105]. - **Methanol Futures**: The MA509 contract on July 16, 2025, is expected to have a weak fluctuation and may test support at 2359 and 2336 yuan/ton, with resistance at 2400 and 2413 yuan/ton [7][107]. - **Soybean Meal Futures**: The M2509 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to have a strong fluctuation and may attack resistance at 3001 and 3004 yuan/ton, with support at 2974 and 2960 yuan/ton [7][109]. - **Natural Rubber Futures**: The RU2509 contract on July 16, 2025, is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance at 14570 and 14710 yuan/ton and support at 14320 and 14220 yuan/ton [7][111]. - **Container Shipping Index (European Line) Futures**: The EC2510 contract on July 16, 2025, is expected to fluctuate with an upward bias and may attack resistance at 1802 and 1888 points, with support at 1640 and 1600 points [7][113]. 2. Macro - information and Trading Tips - **Domestic News**: Important articles by General Secretary Xi Jinping were published in Qiushi Journal; Premier Li Qiang held the 10th China - Australia Prime Minister's Annual Meeting; the Central Urban Work Conference was held; China's semi - annual economic report showed GDP growth of 5.3% in H1 2025; housing prices in various cities showed different trends; China adjusted the catalog of prohibited and restricted export technologies; domestic refined oil prices were adjusted; the 3rd China International Supply Chain Expo opened [8][9][10]. - **International News**: Trump reached an agreement with Indonesia; US CPI in June 2025 rose 2.7% year - on - year; the selection process for the next Fed Chairman started; the EU may postpone trade counter - measures; the EU failed to reach an agreement on the 18th round of sanctions against Russia; NVIDIA will resume selling H20 chips in China [10][11][12]. 3. Commodity Futures - related Information - On July 15, 2025, international precious metal futures generally closed down, with COMEX gold down 0.85% and COMEX silver down 1.95%. International oil prices slightly declined, with US oil down 0.34% and Brent crude down 0.52%. London base metals mostly fell, except for copper which rose 0.40%. OPEC maintained its global crude oil demand growth forecast. China's industrial output of coal, oil, and gas increased in June 2025. The RMB exchange rate and the US dollar index showed certain trends. Investors considered shorting the US dollar the most crowded trade [12][13][14]. 4. Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - **Index Futures**: On July 15, 2025, IF2509, IH2509, IC2509, and IM2509 showed different trends, generally with a slight decline and weakening upward momentum. It is expected that in July 2025, these contracts will fluctuate with an upward bias [15][16][18]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: On July 15, 2025, the ten - year and thirty - year treasury bond futures showed an upward trend. The central bank conducted reverse repurchase operations, and the money market showed certain changes. It is expected that on July 16, 2025, the ten - year and thirty - year treasury bond futures will have a strong - biased fluctuation [36][37][42]. - **Other Futures**: Each futures contract showed different trends on July 15, 2025, and the report provides corresponding price range forecasts for July 16, 2025, and some also for July 2025 [45][49][52].

今年是"十四五"规划收官之年，距离完成"2025年要基本消除重污染天气"这一目标的时间已不足半年， 任务艰巨，更要正本清源。 入夏以来，受罕见持续高温和污染物排放双重影响，全国多地环境空气质量出现波动。对此，各地采取 多项措施强力攻坚，精准实施大气污染物管控行动，取得一定成效。然而，此时也出现了一些不同的声 音，有网友评论称某些地方的管控措施是"片面追求监测数据好看"，理由是当前空气质量已属良好，无 需为短期波动过度关注数据高低。对于此类观点，笔者并不认同。 监测数据是大气治理成效的刻度尺，这一点毋庸置疑。回顾十余年前，当时的监测数据令人难忘，很多 地方都曾有过PM2.5浓度超过500微克/立方米的时候。经过十余年攻坚，去年我国PM2.5平均浓度降至30 微克/立方米以下，人民群众的蓝天获得感同步显著增强。"好看"的数据是通过全国上下攻坚克难、真 抓实干得来的，是对空气质量持续改善的科学反映。追求"好看"的监测数据，不仅不应受到非议，反而 应成为全社会共同努力的方向。 客观而言，社会上之所以出现类似质疑的声音，也与个别地方在工作中存在的造假等问题有关。比如有 的地方作风不实，存在监测数据弄虚作假行为，损害了公 ...