Core Viewpoint - The "2025 Chongqing Service Consumption Season" aims to strengthen the service consumption market in Chongqing, running from September 29 to December, with an expected direct consumption boost of over 5 billion yuan [1][4]. Group 1: Event Overview - The event is organized by multiple departments including the Chongqing Municipal Commission of Commerce and involves 38 districts and counties, over 1,000 service consumption enterprises, and financial institutions [1][4]. - The event will feature over 500 themed consumer activities across 11 key service consumption areas [4][5]. Group 2: Key Areas of Focus - The 11 key service consumption areas include dining and accommodation, home services, elderly care, cultural tourism, sports, health, information, finance, education, housing, and transportation [4][5]. - Major activities include the 17th China (Chongqing) Hot Pot Food Culture Festival, various promotional seasons for local cuisine, and multiple sports events [4][6]. Group 3: Integration of Services - The event emphasizes the integration of various service sectors such as commerce, tourism, culture, sports, and health to create diverse consumption scenarios [5][6]. - Specific initiatives include a month-long hot pot sales event and themed tourism routes that highlight local culture and cuisine [5][6]. Group 4: Online and Offline Engagement - The event will leverage online platforms for service consumption, collaborating with major service providers to enhance consumer experience through online booking and promotions [7][8]. - Various promotional activities will be conducted in shopping districts and communities to engage consumers directly [7][8]. Group 5: Consumer Benefits - The Chongqing Municipal Commission of Commerce will implement several consumer-friendly measures, including the distribution of consumption vouchers and encouraging merchants to offer discounts and promotions [8].

Core Viewpoint - The recent policy measures released by nine departments, including the Ministry of Commerce, aim to optimize student holiday arrangements, encouraging localities to adjust academic calendars to include spring and autumn breaks while shortening winter and summer vacations, thereby enhancing service consumption opportunities [1][2]. Group 1: Educational Implications - The proposed spring and autumn breaks are intended to address issues arising from long winter and summer vacations, which often lead to unproductive time for children, such as excessive tutoring or unstructured activities [1][2]. - By redistributing holiday time, the educational experience can extend beyond the classroom, allowing children to engage in hands-on learning through seasonal activities like planting in spring and harvesting in autumn [2][3]. Group 2: Policy Support and Integration - The policy is not an isolated initiative; it includes complementary measures such as extending museum operating hours, promoting sports events in commercial areas, and opening cultural resources for creative development, which collectively enhance the practical learning environment for children during the new breaks [2][3]. - The integration of educational and social service environments transforms consumption into a form of "growth investment," where children learn valuable life skills through experiential learning [2]. Group 3: Collaborative Efforts Required - Successful implementation of the spring and autumn breaks requires collaboration among schools, parents, and society, with schools designing meaningful practical tasks and parents allowing children to explore creativity without the pressure of structured learning [3]. - The ultimate goal is to ensure that the policy translates into tangible experiences for children, providing them with more opportunities for growth and learning [3].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments have issued a notification to promote service consumption, proposing 19 specific measures to boost consumption and expand domestic demand [2][3] Group 1: Policy Measures - The notification includes plans to develop pilot cities for new consumption formats, models, and scenarios, aiming to enhance consumption supply and innovate diverse consumption experiences [2] - Approximately 50 pilot cities will be selected based on competitive evaluation, focusing on those with large populations, strong driving effects, and good development potential [2][3] Group 2: Consumer Demand Trends - There is a shift in consumer demand from quantity to quality, with increasing expectations for high-quality, personalized, and experiential consumption [3] - Different demographic groups have specific consumption needs, such as the younger generation seeking experiential lifestyles and the elderly desiring enjoyable and secure living conditions [3] Group 3: Economic Impact - New consumption formats and scenarios are expected to have strong radiating and cross-regional effects, promoting the development of related industries such as culture, tourism, transportation, and accommodation [3] - The pilot cities will leverage innovation in consumption scenarios and model iterations to drive regional consumption resource integration, creating a model of "one innovation leading to multi-regional linkage" [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core View of the Report - The Fed's interest rate cut process has entered a new stage, and emerging markets are expected to迎来 stronger upward momentum. The current market is still dominated by liquidity. There is a need for asset allocation adjustment among foreign investors, institutions, and residents in the domestic market. There is room for further increase in the equity market, and funds actively buy during the correction phase. The market is judged to maintain a bullish pattern. The technology sector and themes related to "anti-involution" continue to be active, and the CSI 1000 and CSI 500 indices are expected to continue their relatively strong performance [3]. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - Domestically, the State Council Information Office held a press conference to introduce policies and measures to expand service consumption. China will select about 50 pilot cities for new consumption formats, models, and scenarios, introduce a series of policy documents, promote the application of artificial intelligence in service consumption, and use structural monetary policy tools to increase capital supply in the consumption field. During the consumption month, more than 25,000 cultural and tourism consumption activities will be carried out across the country, and more than 330 million yuan in consumption subsidies will be issued. Overseas, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, lowering the federal funds rate to 4.00%-4.25%, the first rate cut this year and the first since a nine-month pause. Powell said that employment growth has slowed, the risk of employment decline has increased, the labor market is less active than before and slightly weak; inflation has recently risen and is still slightly high; commodity inflation has accelerated, and the decline in service inflation continues; the risk of persistent inflation needs to be managed, and the inflation risk tends to the upside. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in October is expected to exceed 90% according to US interest rate futures [1]. Spot Market - A-share indices closed with an upward trend. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.37% to close at 3876.34 points, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.95%. In terms of industries, most sector indices rose, with the power equipment, automobile, coal, and home appliance industries leading the gains, while the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, commerce and trade retail, and social service industries leading the losses. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 2.4 trillion yuan on the day. Overseas, the three major US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.57% to 46018.32 points [2]. Futures Market - In terms of basis, this Friday is the delivery day of the current-month contract, and the basis tends to converge. In terms of trading volume and open interest, the trading volume of stock index futures increased, and the open interest of IH increased [2]. Strategy - The Fed's interest rate cut process has entered a new stage, and emerging markets are expected to迎来 stronger upward momentum. The current market is still dominated by liquidity. There is a need for asset allocation adjustment among foreign investors, institutions, and residents in the domestic market. There is room for further increase in the equity market, and funds actively buy during the correction phase. The market is judged to maintain a bullish pattern. The technology sector and themes related to "anti-involution" continue to be active, and the CSI 1000 and CSI 500 indices are expected to continue their relatively strong performance [3]. Macroeconomic Charts - Include charts such as the US dollar index and A-share trends, US Treasury yields and A-share trends, RMB exchange rate and A-share trends, and US Treasury yields and A-share style trends [10][9]. Spot Market Tracking Charts - The table shows the daily performance of major domestic stock indices on September 17, 2025, including the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, CSI 300 Index, SSE 50 Index, CSI 500 Index, and CSI 1000 Index, along with their daily changes [12]. Futures Market Tracking Charts - The table shows the open interest and trading volume of stock index futures (IF, IH, IC, IM), as well as the basis (futures - spot) and inter - delivery spread of stock index futures [15][36][44].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the growth of Guangzhou's service industry, with a reported revenue increase of 8.7% year-on-year for the first half of the year [1] - Key sectors such as internet, software, and information technology services saw a revenue growth of 7.9%, while leasing and business services grew by 12.4% [1] - The cultural and sports industries also thrived, with cultural arts and sports sectors growing by 9.7% and 17.6% respectively [1] Group 2 - Guangzhou is focusing on cross-border economic needs, particularly in the healthcare sector, with initiatives like "Hong Kong-Macao Drug and Medical Device Access" facilitating faster access to urgently needed drugs and medical devices [1] - The city has introduced measures to enhance service consumption, including 23 specific initiatives and 107 tasks across various sectors such as commerce, culture, sports, and health [2] - The establishment of a world-class horse industry economic circle in collaboration with Hong Kong is also noteworthy, featuring a state-of-the-art training center and innovative cross-border transportation for horse racing [2]

Group 1 - The service consumption market in Beijing has shown active performance in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 4.4% in service consumption from January to August [1] - Cultural and entertainment services, including movies, exhibitions, and performances, have significantly contributed to this growth, with both box office revenue and audience numbers experiencing double-digit increases [1] - The integration of culture, commerce, tourism, and sports is deepening, with events like the Beijing International Film Festival attracting over 5 million visitors and generating sales exceeding 480 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The shift towards service-oriented consumption is becoming more pronounced, driven by consumer demand for immersive, personalized experiences [2] - Recent policies from the State Council and the Ministry of Commerce aim to enhance service consumption quality and promote the integration of various sectors to stimulate new consumption vitality [2] - There is a growing international consumption atmosphere, with inbound tourism showing significant growth, as evidenced by 448,000 inbound tourists and international tourism revenue of 4.15 billion yuan from January to July [1]

Market Situation - A-shares opened lower but rose throughout the day, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.37% at 3876.34 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.16%, and the ChiNext Index rose by 1.95% [1] - Among individual stocks, 2504 stocks rose (80 hitting the daily limit), while 2757 fell (4 hitting the lower limit) [1] - Notable gainers included Hongxi Technology, Sanwei Equipment, and Xingtou New Science, with increases of 29.99%, 29.95%, and 20.02% respectively [1] - Major sectors showing strength included multi-financial, electrical grid, and power generation equipment, with increases of 4.39%, 3.14%, and 2.86% respectively [1] - The food and beverage sector experienced a pullback, with declines in precious metals, agriculture, and restaurant tourism of 1.58%, 1.34%, and 1.32% respectively [1] Futures Market - All four major index futures contracts rose in line with the indices: IF2509 and IH2509 increased by 0.80% and 0.20% respectively, while IC2509 and IM2509 rose by 1.26% and 1.25% respectively [2] - The main contracts for the four index futures will expire this Friday, with the basis approaching neutrality [2] News Highlights - The State Council held a press conference to introduce policies for expanding service consumption, including selecting around 50 pilot cities for new consumption models and promoting AI applications in service consumption [3] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 4185 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation at a fixed rate of 1.40%, with a net injection of 1145 billion yuan for the day [4] - The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00%-4.25%, marking the first rate cut of the year and the first in nine months [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the introduction of policies aimed at expanding service consumption, which includes 19 specific measures to enhance service supply and stimulate demand [1][2][3] - The policies emphasize the combination of improving people's livelihoods and promoting consumption, addressing barriers to service consumption development [2] - The measures include creating high-profile sports events and expanding long-term care insurance coverage to enhance community services [2][3] Group 2 - The policies advocate for a dual approach of optimizing supply and stimulating demand, focusing on enhancing the quality of service offerings while also increasing consumer willingness and capacity [2][3] - There is a strong emphasis on both external openness and internal deregulation to attract quality service resources and improve service supply quality [3] Group 3 - The application of artificial intelligence in service consumption is highlighted as a key area for innovation, aiming to enhance service quality and create new consumer experiences [4] - The cultural and tourism sectors are identified as critical components of improving consumption, with plans for product updates and innovative activities to stimulate demand [6][7] Group 4 - Financial support policies have been established to boost service consumption, including a 500 billion yuan loan program aimed at enhancing service supply in key sectors [8][9] - The People's Bank of China has implemented measures to guide financial institutions in increasing credit support for consumption, resulting in a significant increase in loans in service consumption sectors [9][10]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - In September, the market entered a high-level consolidation phase after continuous upward movement. Due to increased hedging demand of some funds at high levels, there was a certain divergence between long and short forces, leading to significant fluctuations in stock index. However, from a long - term perspective, China's capital market is just at the beginning of the strategic allocation period. The CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices, which are mostly composed of technology - growth stocks, are more offensive with larger fluctuations but may bring higher returns. The SSE 50 and CSI 300 indices, which are mostly composed of dividend blue - chip stocks, are more defensive with smaller fluctuations but relatively weaker price elasticity [2] Summary by Directory 1. Stock Index Futures Market - **IF Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IF contracts for the current month, next month, next quarter, and the quarter after next were 4553.20, 4541.80, 4518.20, and 4492.80 respectively, with increases of 36.20, 34.80, 31.60, and 30.20. The trading volumes were 72782.00, 20655.00, 57612.00, and 11450.00 respectively, and the positions were 61553.00, 33842.00, 133521.00, and 44996.00 respectively. The position changes were - 17674.00, 7608.00, 6720.00, and 666.00 respectively [1] - **IH Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IH contracts for the current month, next month, next quarter, and the quarter after next were 2956.20, 2955.60, 2955.80, and 2958.40 respectively, with increases of 5.80, 6.20, 5.00, and 3.80. The trading volumes were 29648.00, 8442.00, 23042.00, and 3627.00 respectively, and the positions were 28332.00, 12791.00, 52206.00, and 11442.00 respectively. The position changes were - 4903.00, 3127.00, 5476.00, and 321.00 respectively [1] - **IC Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IC contracts for the current month, next month, next quarter, and the quarter after next were 7252.40, 7197.00, 7081.00, and 6916.00 respectively, with increases of 90.40, 93.40, 86.80, and 79.80. The trading volumes were 67086.00, 24005.00, 56441.00, and 16292.00 respectively, and the positions were 56442.00, 40143.00, 111083.00, and 44403.00 respectively. The position changes were - 20158.00, 6496.00, 1443.00, and 1399.00 respectively [1] - **IM Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IM contracts for the current month, next month, next quarter, and the quarter after next were 7547.00, 7480.20, 7331.60, and 7126.20 respectively, with increases of 93.00, 96.00, 99.40, and 99.40. The trading volumes were 122397.00, 36291.00, 101376.00, and 25839.00 respectively, and the positions were 89169.00, 57923.00, 158963.00, and 73293.00 respectively. The position changes were - 23457.00, 11171.00, 9900.00, and 1807.00 respectively [1] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The current values of IF next month - IF current month, IH next month - IH current month, IC next month - IC current month, and IM next month - IM current month were - 11.40, - 0.60, - 55.40, and - 66.80 respectively, compared with previous values of - 9.40, 0.80, - 57.80, and - 70.00 [1] 2. Stock Index Spot Market - **Major Indexes**: The previous day's closing prices of the CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 were 4551.02, 2952.78, 7260.04, and 7554.81 respectively, with increases of 0.61, 0.17, 0.96, and 0.95. The trading volumes (in billions of lots) were 235.72, 56.67, 258.26, and 301.71 respectively, and the total trading amounts (in billions of yuan) were 6084.54, 1550.34, 4455.49, and 4932.96 respectively [1] - **Industry Indexes**: Among different industries, the energy, industrial, optional consumption, and information technology industries had increases of 1.06%, 2.13%, 1.72%, and 0.76% respectively. The raw materials, main consumption, real - estate finance industries had decreases of - 0.13%, - 0.58%, and - 0.10% respectively [1] 3. Futures - Spot Basis - **IF Contracts and Underlying Index**: The previous day's basis values of IF current month - CSI 300, IF next month - CSI 300, IF next quarter - CSI 300, and IF quarter after next - CSI 300 were 2.18, - 9.22, - 32.82, and - 58.22 respectively [1] - **IH Contracts and Underlying Index**: The previous day's basis values of IH current month - SSE 50, IH next month - SSE 50, IH next quarter - SSE 50, and IH quarter after next - SSE 50 were 3.42, 2.82, 3.02, and 5.62 respectively [1] - **IC Contracts and Underlying Index**: The previous day's basis values of IC current month - CSI 500, IC next month - CSI 500, IC next quarter - CSI 500, and IC quarter after next - CSI 500 were - 7.64, - 63.04, - 179.04, and - 344.04 respectively [1] - **IM Contracts and Underlying Index**: The previous day's basis values of IM current month - CSI 1000, IM next month - CSI 1000, IM next quarter - CSI 1000, and IM quarter after next - CSI 1000 were - 7.81, - 74.61, - 223.21, and - 428.61 respectively [1] 4. Other Domestic and Overseas Indexes - **Domestic Indexes**: The previous day's closing prices of the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, Small and Medium - Sized Board Index, and ChiNext Index were 3876.34, 13215.46, 8042.44, and 3147.35 respectively, with increases of 0.37%, 1.16%, 0.99%, and 1.95% respectively [1] - **Overseas Indexes**: The previous day's closing prices of the Hang Seng Index, Nikkei 225, S&P Index, and DAX Index were 26908.39, 44790.38, 6600.35, and 23359.18 respectively, with increases of 1.78%, - 0.25%, - 0.10%, and 0.13% respectively [1] 5. Macroeconomic Information - **US Federal Reserve**: The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, lowering the federal funds rate to 4.00% - 4.25%. After the FOMC statement, the market expected a more than 90% probability of another rate cut in October [2] - **China's Policies**: China will select about 50 pilot cities for new consumption formats, models, and scenarios, introduce a series of policy documents, promote the application of AI in service consumption, and use structural monetary policy tools to increase capital supply in the consumption field. During the consumption month, there will be over 25,000 cultural and tourism consumption activities and over 330 million yuan in consumption subsidies [2] - **China - ASEAN Relations**: Vice - President Han Zheng put forward four suggestions at the 22nd China - ASEAN Expo to strengthen cooperation between China and ASEAN [2] 6. Industry Information - **Cybersecurity**: The deputy director of the National Cyberspace Administration of China called on leading enterprises to take on the responsibility of tackling "neck - stuck" technologies in key areas such as chips [2] - **Pig Industry**: A symposium on pig production capacity regulation was held to control the sow production capacity and regulate the pig supply for next year [2] - **Intelligent Connected Vehicles**: The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology solicited public opinions on mandatory national standards for combined driving assistance of intelligent connected vehicles [2] - **Energy Storage**: The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released a ten - year development roadmap for new energy storage technologies, aiming for an installed capacity of over 180 million kilowatts by 2027, over 240 million kilowatts by 2030, and over 300 million kilowatts by 2035 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government has introduced a series of policy measures aimed at expanding service consumption, which is seen as a crucial driver for economic growth and improving living standards [1][2][3]. Group 1: Policy Measures - The policy measures focus on addressing bottlenecks in service consumption development, emphasizing the combination of improving people's livelihoods and promoting consumption [1]. - Initiatives include creating high-profile sports events, expanding long-term care insurance, and supporting early childhood education to enhance service consumption [1]. - The measures aim to optimize supply and stimulate demand by promoting new consumption models and increasing quality service resources in sectors like culture and tourism [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - In the first half of the year, over 19 million foreign visitors entered China, marking a 30% year-on-year increase, with visa-free entries rising by 54% [3]. - The number of duty-free shops has tripled compared to the end of 2024, with a 248% increase in the number of people benefiting from duty-free refunds [3]. - The Ministry of Commerce is working to enhance high-quality consumption supply and create diverse consumption scenarios to boost inbound consumption [3]. Group 3: Service Quality Improvement - The government plans to enhance service supply quality by promoting innovation in service sectors through initiatives like "Artificial Intelligence+" [4]. - There is a focus on improving service levels in key areas such as childcare, elderly care, and tourism by increasing skilled labor supply and implementing credit systems [4][5]. - The establishment of a unified market environment is being prioritized to facilitate fair market access, especially for small and medium-sized enterprises [5]. Group 4: Financial Support - The People's Bank of China has allocated 500 billion yuan for service consumption and elderly care refinancing, encouraging financial institutions to increase lending in key service sectors [5]. - As of July, the loan balance in key service consumption areas reached 2.79 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [5].