Core Viewpoint - The company, Viginie, has shown a recovery in its fiscal year 2025 performance, with an 11.7% increase in revenue to HKD 7.84 billion, despite challenges from macroeconomic fluctuations and uneven consumer recovery [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The intimate apparel segment generated revenue of HKD 4.243 billion, a modest increase of 3.0% year-on-year, accounting for 54.2% of total revenue, with a gross margin improvement of 1.0 percentage points to 24.7% [3] - The sports products segment emerged as a growth highlight, with revenue of HKD 2.934 billion, a significant increase of 26.9% year-on-year, representing 37.4% of total revenue, driven by a global sports trend and strong demand for sports bras [3] - The consumer electronics accessories segment, although smaller, saw robust growth with revenue of HKD 409 million, a substantial increase of 43.2% year-on-year, primarily driven by new product orders from core brand partners [3] Group 2: Operational Optimization - The company is advancing its smart transformation through vertical integration, intelligent management, automation, and localized supply chains to enhance production efficiency and cost control [4] - As of October 2024, the total output value from the Vietnam base accounted for 85% of total revenue, with approximately 31,900 employees in Vietnam compared to about 4,900 in mainland China [4] - The company's China operations generated revenue of HKD 1.966 billion in fiscal year 2025, a 4.4% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of HKD 85.6 million, benefiting from localized innovation and strong e-commerce performance [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company faces multiple challenges in fiscal year 2026 due to increased global market uncertainty from trade tariffs, leading to cautious order placements from brand partners [5] - The company is implementing cost-reduction measures across R&D, production, and operations to enhance organizational efficiency and effectiveness [5] - The company aims to leverage its leading Bonding technology to expand its successful cross-category initiatives from intimate apparel to sports and clothing segments, showcasing strong market potential [5]

Core Viewpoint - The pig farming sector is experiencing a rebound driven by "anti-involution" policies, leading to significantly enhanced expectations for capacity optimization [1][4]. Group 1: Policy and Capacity Optimization - The core issue facing the pig industry is overcapacity, with the breeding sow inventory reaching 40.43 million heads as of June 2025, which is 103.7% of the normal holding level [4]. - Policies are being implemented to control production capacity, including a directive to reduce the breeding sow count by 1 million heads to a target of 39.5 million [6]. - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs is monitoring the market, indicating a 0.8% decrease in the inventory of pigs over 5 months old in June, suggesting a potential reduction in pig output in July and August [6]. Group 2: Industry Restructuring and Competitive Advantages - The "anti-involution" policy is reshaping the competitive landscape, accelerating the exit of inefficient production capacities, which benefits quality listed pig companies [7]. - Cost competition is becoming crucial, with leading companies like Shennong Group, Muyuan Foods, and Wens Foodstuff Group achieving production costs as low as 12-12.5 yuan per kilogram, providing them with a long-term competitive edge [7]. - Recent earnings forecasts from 14 listed companies indicate that 11 expect profit increases, with Muyuan Foods projecting a 1190% year-on-year growth in net profit for the first half of the year [7][8]. Group 3: Market Performance and Investment Opportunities - The DCE pig futures surged by 1.67% on July 23, reaching a new high for the year, while the livestock farming ETF (516670) rose by 3.37% over the week, with a cumulative net inflow of 115 million yuan [1]. - The SW Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index's price-to-book ratio is approximately 2.53 times, still relatively low compared to historical levels, indicating potential for investment [1][4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Views - **Stainless Steel**: Policy to address "involution - style" competition and eliminate backward production capacity stabilizes the market, and a slight reduction in July's steel mill production schedule also helps. However, high inventory and capacity pressure remain. With weak downstream consumption and high - cost dynamic decline, it will follow a weak fundamental pattern after short - term macro - driven sentiment fades, with an operating range of 12,000 - 13,000 yuan [2]. - **Nickel**: At a low valuation, short - term industry policies support a bottom - stabilizing. Short - term focuses are on Indonesian mining policy changes and the US employment market. In the long run, the contradiction between profit contraction and capacity expansion will lead to large inventory de - stocking and capacity optimization pressure. The short - term price will run in the weak range of 120,000 - 125,000 yuan [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Pure Nickel & Stainless Steel - **Basis**: The fluctuation amplitude weakens, and the spot - futures price difference narrows. Stainless steel prices are flat compared to last week, with futures at a 50 - yuan discount. Refined nickel prices dropped by 1,000 yuan, and futures are at par [7][9]. - **Inventory**: The inventory of the entire industrial chain is at a historical high. The nickel ore end has moderate inventory, while downstream nickel - iron, stainless steel, and refined nickel inventories are all high. The social total inventory of stainless steel is 1.1675 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.93% [10][11]. - **Production Profit**: Although prices are low and production profits are shrinking, some steel mills' processes still have profits [14]. - **Output and Export**: In June, production decreased but remained at a high historical level, and external demand was strong. Refined nickel's domestic exchange inventory has been transferred overseas, and the proportion of LME nickel from Chinese brands is increasing. Stainless steel warehouse receipts are decreasing due to weak spot markets [17][19]. - **Domestic and Overseas Inventory**: Refined nickel's domestic exchange inventory is transferred overseas, and the proportion of LME nickel from Chinese brands is expanding. Stainless steel warehouse receipts are decreasing due to weak spot markets [19]. 3.2 Nickel - Iron - **Price**: The price of high - nickel iron in the market is 905 - 915 yuan/nickel, a 5 - yuan decrease from last week. The nickel ore price at the mining end is firm, and the cost of Indonesian nickel ore has weakened [27]. - **Production Profit**: Overseas imported nickel - iron profits remain high, while domestic nickel - iron steel mills face pressure from upstream and downstream, with immediate profits showing full - scale losses. Indonesian nickel - iron profits have also decreased. From January to May 2025, China's nickel - iron import volume was 4.516 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 0.882 million tons or 24.3% [30]. - **Output and Import - Export**: In 2025, the import volume of nickel - iron remains high. From January to May, the total import volume was 4.516 million tons, with 4.404 million tons from Indonesia, a year - on - year increase of 25.6% [32]. 3.3 Nickel Intermediates - **Price**: The total inventory of chromium ore at national ports is 2.994 million tons. South African chromium ore inventory accounts for 85% of the total, a 1% increase from last week [36]. - **Production Profit**: The cost of producing nickel sulfate from nickel hydroxide has increased, and the immediate profit loss has intensified. The cost of producing nickel sulfate from nickel beans has also increased, and the production immediate profit loss has intensified [39]. - **Output**: The production of nickel sulfate from Indonesian MHP and high - ice nickel has increased [41][43]. - **Import Volume**: The import volume data of nickel ore, nickel sulfate, MHP, and high - ice nickel are presented in the report [47][49]. 3.4 Supply and Consumption of Nickel - **Supply**: The total supply of primary nickel in 2024 was 2.464 million tons, with a monthly value of 206,800 tons in a certain month. The total supply of stainless steel from China and Indonesia in 2024 was 4.581 million tons [52]. - **Consumption**: The consumption of primary nickel in China in 2024 was 2.5524 million tons [52].

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing positive policy signals aimed at promoting high-quality development and addressing issues of overcapacity and disorderly competition [1] Group 1: Policy Signals - The Central Financial Committee's sixth meeting highlighted the need to accelerate the exit of backward production capacity and promote high-quality industry development [1] - Leading photovoltaic glass companies have announced a 30% production cut starting in July to alleviate structural pressures in the industry [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) held a meeting with key manufacturing enterprises to emphasize product quality and enhance industrial structure efficiency [1] Group 2: Price Trends - The average price of polysilicon dense material remains stable at 35.0 yuan/kg, while N-type 182 and 210 silicon wafer prices decreased by 0.020 yuan/W and 0.050 yuan/W respectively [2] - PERC battery prices remained stable at 0.035 USD/W, while TOPCON battery prices decreased by 0.015 yuan/W [2] - The average price of double-glass HJT components is 0.83 yuan/W, with no significant changes in other component prices [2] Group 3: Market Performance - The photovoltaic sector's performance from June 27 to July 4 showed a 0.79% change, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.23 percentage points [3] - Year-to-date, the photovoltaic sector has a cumulative change of -3.87%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 8.70 percentage points [3] - As of July 4, the TTM overall valuation of the photovoltaic sector is 18.95 times, ranking in the lower middle compared to other sectors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the environmental impact assessment (EIA) public announcement for the technological transformation project of Sichuan Yingda Lithium Battery New Materials Co., Ltd., which aims to enhance the production capacity of lithium-ion battery cathode material lithium iron phosphate precursor to 100,000 tons per year [2] Group 1 - The project is located in the Pengxi Economic Development Zone, with an investment of 30 million yuan for technical upgrades within the existing factory [2] - The construction plan includes optimizing the existing production capacity of 40,000 tons of sodium-based iron phosphate and 60,000 tons of ammonium-based iron phosphate to a total of 100,000 tons of ammonium-based iron phosphate [2] - The project will be executed in three phases, with the first phase (one production line) achieving a capacity of 25,000 tons per year, already accepted, and the second phase (two production lines) reaching 50,000 tons per year, totaling 75,000 tons [2] Group 2 - The second workshop will be developed in the third phase, adding a fourth production line with a capacity of 25,000 tons, achieving a total production capacity of 100,000 tons [2] - The project will enhance raw material supply autonomy by replacing externally sourced monoammonium phosphate with a reaction process using ammonia water and dilute phosphoric acid [2] - Energy-saving upgrades will be implemented in the drying section, along with the addition of waste gas treatment systems and other environmental protection facilities [2]

Group 1 - Hubei Yihua's phosphate chemical project has recently commenced production, achieving full capacity for various products including diammonium phosphate and complex fertilizers [1] - The project involves a capacity replacement of 660,000 tons/year of diammonium phosphate and the construction of a new facility with an annual output of 200,000 tons of refined phosphoric acid and 650,000 tons of phosphate [1] - This development enhances product diversity and market competitiveness while responding to industrial upgrades and environmental requirements [1] Group 2 - Minmetals New Energy has achieved a breakthrough in solid-state battery materials, focusing on high-nickel cathode materials and lithium-rich manganese-based cathode materials [2] - The company has successfully delivered over 100 kilograms of certain products, indicating strong technical capabilities and market potential [2] - This advancement is expected to accelerate the commercialization of solid-state batteries and improve the company's competitive position in the industry [2] Group 3 - Longi Green Energy's controlling shareholder, Li Zhenguo, has released a pledge on 22 million shares, representing 20.61% of his holdings and 2.90% of the company's total shares [3] - The release of the pledge reflects increased confidence in the company's future prospects, potentially boosting market confidence and stabilizing stock prices [3] - The remaining pledged shares and the company's fundamental changes should be monitored, but the pledge release is seen as beneficial for corporate governance [3]

Core Viewpoint - The industry is experiencing significant changes as companies in the cathode materials sector seek to adapt amidst a backdrop of overcapacity and financial losses, leading to project terminations and a shift towards more advanced materials like lithium manganese iron phosphate [1][4][10]. Group 1: Industry Dynamics - The effective capacity of lithium iron phosphate has increased from 500,000 tons in 2021 to 4.5 million tons by 2024, while the industry's capacity utilization rate has dropped from over 90% to 55% during the same period [4][6]. - Major companies like Hunan Yuno (湖南裕能) have maintained a relatively high capacity utilization rate, with figures of 96.82%, 89.77%, and 101.3% from 2022 to 2024, contrasting sharply with the overall industry trend [13]. Group 2: Company Actions - Zhongke Titanium White (中核钛白) announced the termination of its 500,000-ton lithium iron phosphate project, reallocating remaining funds to supplement working capital due to changes in market demand and profitability concerns [6][7]. - Other companies, including Longbai Group (龙佰集团) and Jingu Titanium Industry (金浦钛业), have also paused or terminated their investments in lithium iron phosphate projects, reflecting a broader trend of project cancellations in the industry [5][6]. Group 3: New Directions - Hunan Yuno is focusing on lithium manganese iron phosphate, which offers higher voltage, energy density, and better low-temperature performance compared to traditional lithium iron phosphate, with plans to invest 2.8 billion yuan in a 320,000-ton production project [10][12]. - The first phase of Hunan Yuno's lithium manganese iron phosphate project, with a capacity of 160,000 tons, has been completed and is currently utilized for high-pressure lithium iron phosphate production, ensuring operational efficiency [12][14].

Group 1 - The continuous expansion of MMA production capacity in Asia is significantly altering the global market structure, with global MMA capacity expected to grow from 6.4 million tons in 2024 to 7.3 million tons by 2029, driven by over 900,000 tons of new capacity in Asia [2] - Mitsubishi Chemical has canceled its planned 350,000 tons/year MMA plant in Louisiana, anticipating a loss of 20 billion yen, while also closing its 107,000 tons/year plant in Hiroshima and a 220,000 tons/year facility in Cassel, UK, to enhance competitiveness [2] - The MMA market in the US is currently experiencing a supply shortage, with the new MMA plant in Bay City, Texas, having a capacity of 250,000 tons/year, which will primarily supply raw materials for PMMA production [3] Group 2 - The trend of capacity consolidation is becoming inevitable in the oversupplied Asian market, as evidenced by Sumitomo Chemical's closure of two production lines in Singapore, reducing MMA and PMMA production capacity by 80% and 70% respectively [3] - PTT Asahi Chemical Co. plans to cease MMA production and sales by December 31, 2024, and intends to dismantle its production facilities by 2028, reflecting the challenges in maintaining stable sales and profit margins for general-purpose products in the medium to long term [4] - The global MMA industry is undergoing a transformation, with companies responding to market changes through capacity optimization, technological upgrades, and application development [4]

Core Viewpoint - Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Industry Co., Ltd. has reported significant declines in net profit, with a 69.24% drop in 2024 and a loss of 73.30 million yuan in Q1 2025, marking the lowest performance in nearly a decade [1][3][2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Tianrun Dairy's revenue was 625 million yuan, down 2.5% year-on-year, with a net profit loss of 73.30 million yuan, a staggering decline of 1713.36% [2] - For the full year 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.804 billion yuan, a 3.33% increase, but net profit fell to 43.66 million yuan, a 69.26% decrease [3] - The decline in net profit is attributed to increased culling of low-yield cows and inventory impairment provisions for milk powder [2][3] Market Conditions - The dairy and cattle farming industries are facing challenges, with a 3.5% year-on-year decrease in national cattle inventory and a 12.3% drop in fresh milk prices in major producing provinces [2] - The company is experiencing a phase of oversupply in milk sources and intensified market competition, prompting it to optimize its core herd and explore new sales channels [2][3] Acquisition Impact - The acquisition of Xinjiang New Agricultural Dairy Co., Ltd. has significantly impacted Tianrun Dairy's profits, with a reported loss of 95.35 million yuan attributed to this acquisition in 2023 [4][5] - New Agricultural Dairy's performance has been poor post-acquisition, with losses continuing into 2024, further straining Tianrun Dairy's financials [5][6] Strategic Focus - Despite challenges, Tianrun Dairy's revenue from markets outside Xinjiang has shown growth, with 2024 figures indicating a 9.25% increase in revenue from these markets [7][8] - The company aims to leverage its advantages in Xinjiang's milk sources to build a robust product matrix and industry system [10]

Core Viewpoint - The global economic growth forecast for 2025 has been revised down from 2.8% to 2.6% due to ongoing regional conflicts and new trade tensions arising from U.S. government tariff policies, leading to increased geopolitical uncertainty. The chemical industry is facing market changes and cost pressures, prompting companies to implement capacity optimization and strategic restructuring measures [1]. Group 1: Company Actions - Dow Chemical reported a 65.9% drop in net profit, leading to plans to close three high-cost, high-energy European plants as part of its global capacity optimization strategy [1][2]. - SGL Carbon announced the closure of its Lavradio carbon fiber plant in Portugal due to significant declines in demand for fiber products in Europe and global overcapacity [3]. - Celanese plans to divest its Micromax® product line and increase prices for its engineering materials due to rising transportation and operational costs [4]. - Kraton Corporation will close its Ohio plant and gradually exit the dimer and polyamide production lines to focus on core assets in pine chemicals [5]. - Ascend Performance Materials has initiated Chapter 11 restructuring to reduce leverage while continuing operations for its global customer base [6][7]. - Mitsui Chemicals will permanently reduce its TDI production capacity from 120,000 tons to 50,000 tons, a decrease of 58%, as part of its business transformation strategy [8]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Dow Chemical's Q1 revenue was $10.431 billion, a 3.1% year-over-year decline, with a net loss of $290 million compared to a profit of $538 million in the same period last year [1][2]. - Celanese reported Q1 net sales of $2.4 billion, a 1% increase quarter-over-quarter, driven by a 2% rise in product sales, although some gains were offset by currency fluctuations [4]. - Ascend Performance Materials received a $250 million financing commitment from creditors to support its restructuring efforts [7].