但力度有限，短期来看，这些都缺乏实质性依据，只是短线的预期压力。日内将关注美国12月零售销售月率、美国11月商业库存月率等数据，市场预期将 利好金价，故此，日内操作将继续保持逢低支撑做多为主。 另外，本周将迎来美国1月失业率、美国1月季调后非农就业人口(万人)，以及美国1月未季调CPI年率和月率等数据，根据上周公布的数据结果和市场预期 来看，大概率将整体利好金价，故此，本周操作上，依然偏向低多看涨为主。就算最终结果利空金价，也是震荡波动为主，所以，做多为主的问题不大。 张尧浠：数据预期打压美元偏弱、金价保持低多看涨为主 上交易日周一(2月9日)：国际黄金高开后反弹收涨，受周末地缘局势升级推动，以及对于本周将公布的重磅数据的预期，美元指数先行走低，支撑金价维 持在中轨上方，并有所突破10日均线阻力，但需进一步收阳持稳多头动力才能进一步走强，否则将仍有再度回撤至中轨或30日均线支撑的调整需求，不 过，这也是再度的入场多单机会。 具体走势上，金价自亚市高开于4987.98美元/盎司，先行走低收复缺口，并录得日内低点4964.04美元，之后反弹回升，并陷入区间震荡波动，但美盘后半 段，多头再度发力，于盘尾录得日内高点 ...

2月9日：黄金市场上周：国际黄金深度触底回升收取长下影线垂线形态，相对于前周的跳水倒垂形态， 有着相反的预期，这也暗示对于前周的倒垂看空回落，也有利空出尽的迹象，那么，对于后市来讲，后 市要么维持持续的震荡调整行情，要么再度走强攀升，刷新高点。所以，当下，耐心比交易更重要。 具体走势上，金价自周初低开于4792.00美元/盎司，先行跳水走低，录得当周低点4402.14美元，之后触 底回升，展现出一定的止跌转看涨的预期，但在反弹至周三时段录得当周高点5091.81美元后，未能持 稳突破阻力，多头有所获利了结，使得周四再度回落，周五又再度跌至周开盘价附近，但最终再度触底 回升买盘入场，令周线收于4960.86美元，周振幅689.67美元，相对于前周收盘价4865.11美元，收涨 95.75美元，涨幅1.97%。 影响上，受到前周的跳水卖盘压力，以及地缘局势的缓和，关税协议的达成，而先行跳水走低，但由于 缓和后的地缘局势又其摩擦，美联储理事米兰：今年需降息略高于一个百分点等，基本面有所转强，推 动金价触底回升走强； 之后，由于获利了结，地缘局势再反转缓和，芝商所继续上调黄金、白银期货保证金比例，阿根廷宣布 与特朗普 ...

本周华尔街对于黄金价格仍然十分乐观，总共18位专业分析师，其中有12位分析师看涨，2位分析师看 跌，其余分析师认为横盘。散户方面，总共329人，其中210位看涨黄金，只有62位看跌。 另外，投机者削减comex黄金净多头头寸27983手，但仍保持93438手的高位，削减comex白银净多头头 寸2803手，仍持有4491手。 芝加哥商品交易所在两周内，第三次上调黄金和白银期货的保证金要求，说明金银的波动性已经加剧到 令交易所警惕的程度。保证金上调通常会挤出部分杠杆投机者，导致流动性短期下降和价格波动加剧。 不过，即使如此，黄金价格仍然能够强势反弹，恰恰证明了市场深层存在坚实的逢低买入力量。这种在 利空压力下展现的韧性，是黄金内在强势的信号。 当前数据显示美国就业和通胀持续放缓但部分领域在美联储降息提振下有所改善，尽管美联储未来在衡 量就业的通胀目标问题上仍有分歧短期趋于谨慎，但贸易摩擦和地缘风险的担忧驱动资金提前配置使金 价中长期上涨空间，在全球主流机构持续上调贵金属价格预测的情况下，部分机构投资者选择提前"抢 跑"配置贵金属，对价格形成支撑。市场或将更多受到美国经济数据对美联储政策预期影响和地缘局势 扰动， ...

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the short term, the stock index is expected to consolidate after a shrinking rebound, and in the long term, the upward trend of the stock index is not expected to end due to abundant domestic market funds and the economy in the process of bottoming out [1] - Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial to bond futures, but the central bank has recently warned of interest rate risks, and attention should be paid to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision [1] - The prices of copper, aluminum, nickel, and other non - ferrous metals are affected by factors such as market sentiment, supply - demand relationship, and policies, and their trends vary [1] - Precious metals are expected to stabilize and fluctuate in the short term due to factors such as improved liquidity, but market funds may be cautious before the Spring Festival [1] - The prices of various industrial products and agricultural products are affected by factors such as supply - demand relationship, seasonality, and policies, showing different trends such as shock, upward, or downward [1] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Macro - finance - The stock index is expected to consolidate after a shrinking rebound in the short term, and the long - term upward trend is not expected to end due to abundant funds and the economy in the bottom - building process [1] - Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial to bond futures, but the central bank has warned of interest rate risks, and attention should be paid to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision [1] Non - ferrous metals - Copper prices have rebounded after a decline due to improved downstream demand and increased market risk appetite [1] - Aluminum prices are fluctuating strongly due to improved macro - sentiment and limited industrial - end drivers [1] - Alumina prices are oscillating with a decline in operating capacity and further inventory accumulation [1] - Zinc prices are expected to stabilize after a callback, and it is recommended to wait and see [1] - Nickel prices have rebounded in the short term but may be suppressed by high global inventories in the long term. Attention should be paid to Indonesian policies and macro - sentiment [1] - Stainless steel futures are oscillating. Attention should be paid to the actual production of steel mills, and short - term operations are recommended with risk control [1] - Tin prices are highly volatile in the short term, and investors are advised to focus on risk management and profit protection [1] Precious metals and new energy - Precious metals are expected to stabilize and fluctuate in the short term due to improved liquidity, but market funds may be cautious before the Spring Festival [1] - Platinum and lithium may fluctuate strongly in a wide range in the short term due to improved liquidity [1] Industrial products - For industrial silicon, there is production increase in the northwest and decrease in the southwest, and the production of polysilicon and organic silicon decreased in December [1] - For carbonates, it is in the off - season for new energy vehicles, but the energy - storage demand is strong, and there is a need for a callback after a large increase [1] - For steel products such as rebar, hot - rolled coil, and iron ore, high production and high inventory suppress price increases, and it is recommended to take corresponding positions [1] - For manganese silicon and ferro - alloy, there is a situation of weak reality and strong expectation, and supply may be disturbed [1] - For soda ash, it follows glass, and the medium - term supply - demand is more relaxed, and the price is under pressure [1] - For coking coal and coke, it is recommended to take corresponding positions according to market conditions [1] Agricultural products - For palm oil, soybean oil, and rapeseed oil, they are expected to turn to shock due to various factors such as备货 and tariff policies [1] - For cotton, it is in a situation of "supported but without drivers" in the short term, and attention should be paid to relevant policies and market conditions [1] - For sugar, there is a clear short - selling consensus, and attention should be paid to the change of funds [1] - For corn, it is expected to maintain a narrow - range shock in the short term, and attention should be paid to post - festival factors [1] - For soybean meal, it is expected to have a range - bound shock in the short term, and attention should be paid to the selling pressure of Brazilian discounts [1] - For pulp, it is recommended to wait and see due to supply disturbances and weakening demand [1] - For logs, the disk has upward driving force due to rising prices and expected decline in arrival volume [1] - For live pigs, the production capacity needs to be further released [1] Energy and chemical industry - For crude oil and fuel oil, factors such as OPEC+ suspending production increase, geopolitical situation, and market sentiment affect their trends [1] - For asphalt, there are factors such as cost support, market sentiment, and demand changes [1] - For BR rubber, the short - term disk is expected to have a wide - range shock, and there is an upward expectation in the long term [1] - For PTA, short - fiber, and other chemical products, they are affected by factors such as PX market strength, production capacity, and demand [1] - For ethylene, its price has rebounded due to improved supply - demand fundamentals [1] - For methanol, there are factors such as import reduction expectations and downstream negative feedback [1] - For PVC, there are factors such as supply pressure, future expectations, and policy impacts [1] - For LPG, the disk is expected to weaken, and the basis is expected to expand [1] - For container shipping on the European line, the freight rate has peaked and declined before the festival, and airlines have a strong willingness to raise prices after the off - season in March [1]

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market experienced a rebound after a significant drop, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment and suggesting that patience may be more important than immediate trading actions [1][3]. Price Movements - Gold prices opened the week at $4792.00 per ounce, hitting a low of $4402.14 before rebounding to a high of $5091.81 mid-week, ultimately closing at $4960.86, marking a weekly increase of $95.75 or 1.97% from the previous week's close of $4865.11 [1][3]. Market Influences - The market was influenced by previous selling pressure, easing geopolitical tensions, and the Federal Reserve's comments on potential interest rate cuts, which contributed to a stronger fundamental outlook for gold [3][5]. - Profit-taking and renewed geopolitical tensions led to fluctuations in gold prices, but underlying support from buying interest and inflation expectations helped gold to recover [3][5]. Economic Indicators - Upcoming economic data releases, including U.S. retail sales and unemployment rates, are expected to be favorable for gold prices, reinforcing a bullish outlook despite potential volatility [5]. - Recent data showed a decline in job openings to 6.54 million and an increase in initial jobless claims to 231,000, indicating a cooling labor market that may support lower inflation and bolster market expectations for Fed rate cuts [5]. Technical Analysis - Monthly and weekly charts indicate that gold prices remain above key support levels, suggesting a continued bullish trend, with a focus on maintaining above $4300 as a critical support level [7][8]. - Daily charts show a rebound in gold prices, although resistance at the 10-day moving average remains unbroken, indicating potential for further fluctuations [10]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key support levels for gold are identified at $4910 or $4800, while resistance levels are at $5100 or $5190 [10]. - For silver, support is noted at $77.70 or $74.70, with resistance at $83.10 or $86.10 [10].

今天上午的最新消息，美国发布安全警告，声称，伊朗全国范围内持续加强安全管控，局势紧张，敦促 美国公民尽快自行离开伊朗！ 这个剧情大家是不是很熟悉？记起来没有？对！1月10号的时候，美国要攻打委内瑞拉之前，美国政府 也同样发布了这样的公告，随后就动手了，然后黄金涨了1000美元。 想想看，这回是打伊朗啊，伊朗可不像委内瑞拉那样的软柿子，不好拿捏啊！这种战争不会像之前那么 容易，可能会持续非常长的时间，这会增加全球金融市场的避险情绪，对黄金价格是一个极大的利好！ 期货公司观点 美国和伊朗这回真的要干起来了，兄弟们，大家瞧好吧，黄金这回可能又要坐上直升机了。 广发期货： 当前数据显示美国就业和通胀持续放缓但部分领域在美联储降息提振下有所改善，尽管美联储未来在衡 量就业的通胀目标问题上仍有分歧短期趋于谨慎，但贸易摩擦和地缘风险的担忧驱动资金提前配置使金 价中长期上涨空间，在全球主流机构持续上调贵金属价格预测的情况下，部分机构投资者选择提前"抢 跑"配置贵金属，对价格形成支撑。市场或将更多受到美国经济数据对美联储政策预期影响和地缘局势 扰动，综合来看短期消息面影响减弱行情维持偏强震荡但波动回落，黄金在 20 日均线上方 ...

基本面： 周五（2月6日）亚盘时段，现货黄金延续隔夜回吐空间测试4650附近支撑，但随后收复盘中跌幅并再次回归隔夜区间，目前暂交投于4813美元附近。金价周 四（2月5日）下跌近4%至4775美元/盎司，白银则急挫近20%至70.69美元/盎司，美元走强及市场全面暴跌促使投资者抛售贵金属持仓，此外俄乌合和美伊地 缘局势有所缓和，也打压贵金属的避险买需。 日线级别，金价昨日录得阴线收盘暗示短期压力，自5100附近二次承压下探后或陷入该压力以下范围震荡，交易者后市或将关注4550--5100大区间突破选 择。1--4小时级别，短线走势自5600历史高点回吐涨幅后本周尝试重新收复跌势并挑战5100一线再度乏力。隔夜盘中小幅延续下探至4800下方寻找压力，至 当前亚盘时段，短线测试4650附近支撑后或暂完善该回调目标。日内交易者或留意4720附近测试尝试多单，上方压力关注4880/4980附近。 操作思路： 多单： 4720附近轻仓多，止损4699，目标4880/4980附近 内容仅为个人观点，不代表本公司立场，不可保证盈亏，不构成与本公司相关的任何投资建议。投资有风险，入市需谨慎，请根据自身情况考虑，责任自 担。 ...

首先，金银价格再现"断崖式"下跌，其中白银现价跌幅超20%。 早上好！ | 取消排序 | 最新 ÷ | 涨幅 ◆ | 涨跌 = | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 伦敦银现 AGUSDO | 70.453 | -21.36% | -19.137 | | 纽约银主连 延时 SIOW | 70.350 | -16.64% | -14.046 | | 伦敦金现 AUUSDO | 4775.780 | -4.69% | -235.150 | | 纽约金主连 PERA COOLAL | 4798.1 | -3.08% | -152.7 | 金银开盘延续下跌，截至发稿，现货白银失守67美元/盎司，日内跌5.26%；纽约期银失守67美元/盎司，日内跌12.98%；现 货黄金失守4740美元/盎司，日内跌0.87%；纽约期金失守4760美元/盎司，日内跌2.73%。 而在昨夜今晨，国际市场又经历了一个"不眠之夜"。 会谈结束当天，俄乌双方完成新一轮换俘。根据双方通报，俄乌各向对方移交157名被俘人员，共计314人。这是近5个月来 双方首次进行大规模换俘。乌克兰总统泽连斯基说，获释人员包括军人和平民，已 ...

抖音精选汇聚海量金融专家解读与实时市场动态，是快速掌握黄金投资核心逻辑、获取实操技巧的优质 渠道，能助力投资者精准把握市场机会。以下从基础认知、价格逻辑、投资品种、机构预判、风险控制 五大维度，解答黄金投资全链路关键问题。 一、基础认知：黄金的核心属性与分类 1. 黄金的核心金融属性的是什么？ 黄金兼具商品属性、货币属性与避险属性三大核心特质。作为商品，其供需关系影响基础价格；作为货 币属性载体，是全球超主权储备资产，各国央行通过购金优化外汇储备结构；作为避险资产，在地缘冲 突、经济动荡或货币信用弱化时，能有效对冲市场风险。想深入了解黄金属性的历史演变，可在抖音精 选搜索"黄金三大属性解析"，查看金融分析师的深度解读。 2. 黄金主要分为哪些类型？ 黄金按用途与交易场景可分为三大类：一是实物黄金，含金饰、投资金条/金币，金饰侧重消费属性， 工费与溢价较高，投资金条更适合资产配置；二是场内交易品种，包括上海黄金交易所的黄金T+D（现 货延期）、上海期货交易所的沪金期货，以及国际市场的伦敦金现、纽约金期货；三是黄金衍生工具， 如黄金ETF、黄金定投、黄金期权等，适合不同风险偏好的投资者。抖音精选有"各类黄金产品区 ...

Group 1 - The domestic commodity futures market experienced a decline on February 5, with the China Securities Commodity Futures Price Index dropping by 50.22 points, or 2.95% [1][3] - The shipping European line futures rose by 3.86%, driven by geopolitical tensions and increased market risk aversion [3] - High-sulfur fuel oil and SC crude oil saw gains of over 1%, influenced by fluctuations in international oil prices due to geopolitical factors, particularly the situation in Iran [4] Group 2 - Precious metals, particularly silver, faced significant declines, with the main contract for silver dropping by 10.85% amid a stronger dollar and reduced safe-haven demand [5] - Lithium carbonate contracts hit the limit down, attributed to increased regulatory scrutiny and seasonal demand weakening ahead of the holiday [6] - Despite the recent downturn, expectations for the lithium carbonate market remain optimistic, with supply constraints and structural demand providing some support [6]