五一节后，光伏玻璃价格开始新一轮下行行情。 5 月初 2.0mm 主流报价为 13-13.5 元 / 平方米， 3.2mm 主流报价为 22-22.5 元 / 平方米，截止目前， 2.0mm 主流报价为 12- 13 元 / 平方米， 3.2mm 主流报价为 21-22 元 / 平方米 ，光伏玻璃价格下调幅度较大， 甚至部分 2.0mm 和 3.2mm 光伏玻璃成交价格已低于 12 元 / 平方米和 21 元 / 平方米。 展望后市，短期内光伏玻璃市场仍呈弱势运行态势。从供应端来看，由于跨行企业转型需 求以及行业内企业为提高市占率，叠加政府或银行方面的压力，光伏玻璃在产在建产能持续 增加，供应相对宽松。从需求端来看，下游组件企业采购意愿不高，整体采购议价仍以压价 为主。同时，在后续终端需求减弱影响下，组件排产仍呈下行的趋势。从成本端来看，纯 碱、天然气仍呈下行态势。因此，光伏玻璃在供大于求，成本降低的局面下，市场情绪较为 消极，预计光伏玻璃价格仍将承压下行。虽然短期内，光伏玻璃市场行情难以好转，但是中 长期来看， 25 年全球对光伏玻璃需求仍将呈现出增长的态势。因此，对于下半年光伏玻璃市 场行情不宜过于悲观。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The panel prices for TVs, monitors, and laptops are expected to remain stable in June 2025, despite some pressures from inventory levels and demand fluctuations [2][4][5]. Group 1: TV Panel Market - TV panel demand has weakened, leading to increased inventory levels since the first quarter. Brands are negotiating for better prices and discounts for the upcoming promotional season [2]. - The expectation for June is that TV panel prices will remain flat, although there is a possibility of slight declines in certain sizes due to ongoing buyer pressure [2][4]. Group 2: Monitor Panel Market - Monitor panel prices have been supported by active procurement from brand customers, but this momentum is slowing as inventory levels rise. The demand for TV panels is also affecting monitor panel pricing [4]. - Most panel manufacturers are cautious about further price increases, anticipating that brand customers will resist ongoing price hikes. Therefore, monitor panel prices are expected to stabilize in June [4]. Group 3: Laptop Panel Market - The demand for laptop panels is currently stable, with brand customers becoming more optimistic about the third quarter compared to earlier in the year [5]. - Despite this optimism, panel manufacturers remain cautious about future demand fluctuations and are unlikely to propose price increases, opting instead for discreet discounts to maintain key customer relationships. Thus, laptop panel prices are also expected to remain stable in June [5].

汾渭煤炭专家：动力煤市场调研反馈及展望 20250605 摘要 2025 年以来，动力煤市场呈阶梯式下行趋势，环渤海北方港 5,500 大 卡动力煤价格较年初下跌超 150 元，逼近 2014 年低点，主因供需过剩， 需关注后续市场供需变化。 2025 年 1-4 月全国原煤产量同比增长 6.6%，山西和新疆增幅显著，但 5 月受环保安检及需求疲软影响，产量或环比减少，需关注环保政策对 煤炭生产的影响。 进口动力煤供应减少，预计 2025 年进口总量同比减少 3,000 万-5,000 万吨，印尼煤因价格倒挂减少进口，澳洲煤受洪水影响，需关注国际煤 炭市场供应变化。 国内动力煤市场供应宽松，火电需求受新能源挤压，5 月火电发电量同 比下降 2.3%，电厂库存高位运行，压制煤价，需关注新能源发电对火 电行业的影响。 2025 年 1-4 月动力煤供需过剩累计达 3,046 万吨，各环节库存持续累 积，北方港口库存虽有所下滑，但仍处历史高位，需关注库存水平对煤 价的影响。 Q&A 动力煤市场近期的价格走势如何？ 从 2025 年 5 月底至今，动力煤市场价格一直较为平稳。尽管坑口价格有所反 弹，但港口指数报价仍保 ...

有色金属日报 2025-6-6 有色金属小组 吴坤金 从业资格号：F3036210 交易咨询号：Z0015924 0755-23375135 wukj1@wkqh.cn 曾宇轲 从业资格号：F03121027 0755-23375139 zengyuke@wkqh.cn 张世骄 五矿期货早报 | 有色金属 铜 从业资格号：F03120988 0755-23375122 zhangsj3@wkqh.cn 王梓铧 五矿期货早报 | 有色金属 从业资格号：F03130785 0755-23375132 wangzh7@wkqh.cn 刘显杰 从业资格号：F03130746 0755-23375125 liuxianjie@wkqh.cn 陈逸 从业资格号：F03137504 0755-23375125 cheny40@wkqh.cn 白银价格大幅上涨，美铜明显冲高，中美元首通话后美铜回落，昨日伦铜收涨 0.61%至 9707 美元/吨， 沪铜主力合约收至 78570 元/吨。产业层面，昨日 LME 库存减少 3350 至 138000 吨，注销仓单比例提 高至 60.4%，Cash/3M 升水扩大。国内方面，社会库 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货动力煤早报（2025 年 6 月 6 日） ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | | | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货黑色板块 品种：动力煤现货 日内观点： 中期观点： 参考观点：震荡 核心逻辑：随着旺季临近，动力煤利多因素开始积蓄，市场僵持博弈，价格暂稳运行。一方面， 国内煤价处在国际低洼，外贸煤进口性价比较 2024 年显著走低，引发进口量下滑。另一方面，随 着 6 月到来，我国将进入迎峰度夏关键时期，同时终端电厂仍有一定的旺季补库需求，对市场情 绪起到少许支撑。不过，动力煤中长期供需宽松的整体格局依然未变，且当前港口库存处于近五 年同期高位，今夏煤价旺季不旺的可能性依然较高。 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 专业研究·创 ...

期货盯盘神器专属文章 亚洲尿素周报：尿素价格已逼近1700关口，但后市仍不宜过度悲观？除了即将到来的夏季需求外，目前 已成交X万吨的出口也将为价格带来支撑？ 相关链接 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in alumina futures prices are primarily driven by changes in supply dynamics and market sentiment, particularly influenced by Guinea's mining policies and domestic production adjustments [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Alumina futures experienced a significant drop, with the main contract closing at 2,943 yuan/ton, down 2.9% [1]. - The market saw a brief recovery in the night session, closing at 2,953 yuan/ton after touching a low of 2,928 yuan/ton [1]. - The recent price movements are attributed to a decrease in trading activity and a shift back to fundamental factors affecting supply and demand [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Factors - The alumina industry faced production cuts due to losses, leading to tighter spot supply, while Guinea's policy changes initially drove prices up to around 3,300 yuan/ton [1][2]. - However, as the excitement around Guinea's mining policy waned, short positions increased, causing prices to retreat to the 2,900-3,000 yuan/ton range [1]. - Current supply conditions are sufficient to meet domestic production needs, with no significant price increases observed in ore prices [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that if Guinea's bauxite production does not further decline, the domestic supply will experience a balance between surplus and seasonal tightness later in the year [2]. - The alumina production capacity is expected to rise to approximately 92 million tons, which may lead to price stabilization around high-cost production levels [2]. - The market sentiment remains bearish, with expectations of continued supply increases and macroeconomic factors influencing trading behavior [3].

Core Viewpoint - The silicon material market is currently experiencing limited transaction volumes and stable prices, with expectations for future price movements largely dependent on new order signings [1][2]. Group 1: Silicon Material Prices - The average transaction price for N-type recycled silicon is 37,500 yuan/ton, N-type granular silicon is 34,500 yuan/ton, and P-type polysilicon is 31,300 yuan/ton, all remaining stable compared to the previous week [1]. - The procurement demand for silicon materials from downstream sectors remains, but the pricing pressure from buyers is strong, with offers dropping to between 32,000 yuan/ton and 34,000 yuan/ton [2]. Group 2: Production and Supply Dynamics - The current production capacity of polysilicon manufacturers is stable, with 11 companies operating at reduced loads, and the overall supply is expected to remain stable in the short term [1][3]. - By May 2025, China's polysilicon production is projected to reach 101,600 tons, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 2.52% [1]. Group 3: Silicon Wafer and Battery Prices - The average transaction prices for N-type G10L, G12R, and G12 silicon wafers are 0.95 yuan/piece, 1.10 yuan/piece, and 1.30 yuan/piece, respectively, all remaining unchanged from the previous week [2]. - The average prices for battery cells, including 183N and 210RN, are stable at 0.25 yuan/W and 0.265 yuan/W, while the price for 210N cells has decreased to 0.265 yuan/W [3][4]. Group 4: Module Market Conditions - The demand for terminal components is currently weak, with major manufacturers reducing production and mid-to-small-sized manufacturers initiating cutbacks [5]. - The price range for TOPCon double-glass modules is approximately 0.60 yuan/W to 0.72 yuan/W, while HJT module prices range from 0.72 yuan/W to 0.83 yuan/W [4][5].

Aneka Tambang 未立即回应置评请求。该矿位于印尼加格岛，产出印尼品位等级最高的镍矿石之一，年度 整体采矿配额达300万吨。 智通财经APP获悉，全球最大规模的镍矿供应国印度尼西亚(即印尼)将暂停位于该国东部一处有着"潜水 天堂"称号的潜水胜地附近镍矿开采活动，主要原因是担心其影响到印尼赖以生存的旅游业。对于经历3 月强劲涨势以及4月大反弹之后的镍价来说，可能迎来新的价格上行催化剂——自5月以来镍价走势持续 疲软且相比于2022年-2023年期间创下的峰值仍然处于腰斩状态。 印尼能源与矿产资源部长巴利尔·拉哈达利亚周四向记者表示，这座位于西巴布亚拉贾安帕特群岛、由印 尼国有企业 PT Aneka Tambang 旗下子公司 PT Gag Nickel运营的镍矿将被暂时停产，期间政府工作组将调 查其对当地经济的影响。 据了解，印尼该地区是海洋保护区，以珊瑚礁和生物多样性而闻名全球，深受潜水爱好者们青睐。 "我们理解拉贾安帕特是必须保护的旅游景点，其面积非常广阔。"拉哈达利亚在记者会上表示。 印尼在过去十年迅速扩张镍矿产业，以满足电动汽车电池对镍金属的未来增长需求。目前，该国占全球 镍产量的一半以上，得 ...

摘要周四(6月7日)欧洲交易时间，国际黄金区间来回震荡，目前徘徊于3370美元附近，日内可重点关注 美国5月挑战者企业裁员人数(万人)、欧洲央行公布利率决议。 周四(6月7日)欧洲交易时间，国际黄金区间来回震荡，目前徘徊于3370美元附近，日内可重点关注美国 5月挑战者企业裁员人数(万人)、欧洲央行公布利率决议。欧洲央行行长拉加德召开货币政策新闻发布 会、美国至5月31日当周初请失业金人数(万人)、美国4月贸易帐(亿美元)、美国5月全球供应链压力指数 等，欧洲央行预期将降息，而利好美元，美盘初请等数据预期向好，也将利好美元，故此晚间留意压力 回落需求。但根据本周美盘走势和已公布的数据来看，也有弱于预期和走强的风险，所以，日内操作震 荡或看涨反弹的观点为主。 【要闻速递】 19:30 美国5月挑战者企业裁员人数 20:15 欧洲央行公布利率决议 20:30 美国4月贸易帐 20:30 美国至5月31日当周初请失业金人数 20:45 欧洲央行行长拉加德召开新闻发布会 欧洲央行即将在本周四（6月5日）宣布再次降息，这一决定几乎已成定局，市场和投资者对此早有预 期。然而，随着欧元区经济和通胀形势的复杂变化，关于未来货 ...