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市场消息:SpaceX的估值在最新的股票出售中预计将达到约4000亿美元。
news flash· 2025-07-08 18:36
市场消息:SpaceX的估值在最新的股票出售中预计将达到约4000亿美元。 ...
中枢1.9%的焦虑
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-08 15:25
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - As of July 7, 2025, the valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise real estate bonds and industrial bonds in the outstanding credit bonds are generally higher than those of other varieties. Compared with last week, the yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds and real estate bonds have generally declined, and the short - end varieties of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds have a larger decline. Among them, the 1 - 2 - year public and 1 - year private non - perpetual bonds of private enterprises have declined by 19.6BP and 14.2BP respectively. The 2 - year private enterprise real estate bonds are more popular [3][8]. - In financial bonds, the varieties with high valuation yields and spreads include urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools and leasing company bonds. Compared with last week, the yields of financial bonds have generally declined. For example, the yields of 3 - 5 - year non - perpetual leasing bonds have declined by more than 8.5BP, and the yields of 1 - year joint - stock bank secondary perpetual bonds have declined by nearly 13BP [4][8]. - In public offering urban investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces are both below 2.3%. The urban investment bonds with yields exceeding 4.5% are in prefecture - level cities and districts and counties of Guizhou. The spreads in Yunnan, Gansu and other regions are also relatively high. Compared with last week, the yields of public offering urban investment bonds have basically declined, and the average yield of varieties within 1 year has declined by 11.5BP [2][16]. - In private placement urban investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields of coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong and Fujian are below 2.7%. The varieties with yields higher than 4% appear in prefecture - level cities of Guizhou and Shaanxi. The spreads in Yunnan, Gansu, Heilongjiang and other regions are also relatively high. Compared with last week, the yields of private placement urban investment bonds have mainly declined [2]. Group 3: Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Overall Outstanding Credit Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise real estate bonds and industrial bonds are generally higher than those of other varieties. The yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds and real estate bonds have generally declined, and the short - end varieties of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds have a larger decline. The yields of financial bonds have also generally declined [3][4][8]. - The data in the table shows the weighted average valuation yields, spreads, and their changes compared with last week of different types of bonds (including urban investment bonds, non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds, real estate bonds, financial bonds, etc.) under different issuance methods (public offering and private placement) and different maturities [9][12][13]. 2. Public Offering Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces are below 2.3%, while those in Guizhou's prefecture - level cities and districts and counties exceed 4.5%. The spreads in Yunnan, Gansu and other regions are relatively high. The yields have basically declined compared with last week, and the 1 - year varieties have an average decline of 11.5BP. The varieties with a large decline in yields include 1 - year non - perpetual bonds of Jiangsu provincial level, 1 - year perpetual bonds of Hebei provincial level, etc. [2][16]. - The table shows the weighted average valuation yields, spreads, and their changes compared with last week of public offering urban investment bonds at different administrative levels in various regions [17][19][21]. 3. Private Placement Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields of coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong and Fujian are below 2.7%. The varieties with yields higher than 4% appear in prefecture - level cities of Guizhou and Shaanxi. The spreads in Yunnan, Gansu, Heilongjiang and other regions are relatively high. The yields have mainly declined compared with last week, and the varieties with a large decline in yields include 1 - year perpetual bonds of Shandong district and county level, etc. [2]. - The table shows the weighted average valuation yields, spreads of private placement urban investment bonds at different administrative levels in various regions [25][28].
美银中国股市三季度策略:保持防御姿态,继续看好互联网和金融
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 15:09
保持防御姿态,聚焦盈利 编者按:7月8日,美银发布《中国投资指南针》,聚焦2025 年第三季度季报,建议投资者保持防御姿 态,聚焦自下而上的盈利。 股票策略 2025 年第三季度,中国投资指南针(CIM)应处于 C4 / 刺激阶段。信贷增速从 2024 年的 8.0% 同比小 幅升至 2025 年 5 月的 8.7%,但贷款增速从 7.0% 降至 6.7%。信贷与 GDP 增长的乘数效应不足以推动 GDP 实现显著复苏。房地产市场在 2024 年第四季度至 2025 年第一季度有所回暖,但第二季度再次下 滑。5 月,贸易、工业利润、生产者物价指数(PPI)和固定资产投资(FAI)也显现出疲软迹象。5 月,基准利率下调 10 个基点。人民币对美元汇率基本稳定,但第二季度对其他主要货币贬值。 模型投资组合:偏好金融 / 互联网,而非白酒 / 煤炭 2025 年第三季度,我们继续看好以国内需求为导向的行业,如互联网和金融。第二季度互联网行业内 部表现分化(娱乐板块跑赢电子商务),但其盈利势头相对其他行业仍较好。 银行和券商被纳入前 10 名榜单,因为它们可能提供相对更好的下行保护。 我们还上调了科技硬件的评级,并继 ...
[7月8日]指数估值数据(螺丝钉定投实盘第372期发车;个人养老金定投实盘第22期;养老指数估值表更新)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-07-08 13:56
价值风格微涨。 价值风格通常低迷的时候比较抗跌,上涨行情的进攻性就弱一些。 港股也整体上涨。 文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 今天大盘低开高走,到收盘,整体上涨,回到4.8星。 中证全指站上5000点,接近去年十一假期回来后的收盘点数。 大中小盘股都上涨,中小盘指数上涨略多一些。 成长风格比较强势。 前几天下跌较多的创业板指,上涨超2%。 港股科技股上涨较多。恒生科技指数上涨1.8%。 1. 钉系列投顾组合,投顾费限时5折优惠来啦~ 螺丝钉一直致力于持续帮助大家降低成本,这次也为大家争取到了 投顾费限时5折优惠活动 。 以 主动优选组合(点击蓝字查看) 为例, 优惠期间的投顾费,具体如下图。 本期 投顾费优惠活动,开展时间为 2025年7月1日-2025年12月31日 。 优惠针对活动期间持有的所有份额生效(包含活动前买入的份额)。 只要持有投顾组合,不需额外操作即可享受优惠。 之后,螺丝钉也会继续为大家争取更多的优惠~ 点击文 章查看详情: 5折优惠来了:钉系列投顾组合,投顾费5折~ • 资金量大的时候,则走年费制封顶。 并且由系统自动判断,哪个更划算走哪个,不需要投资者手动选择。 这样,对资金量小 ...
可转债周报:“反内卷”背景下如何配置转债-20250708
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-08 12:53
丨证券研究报告丨 固收资产配置丨点评报告 [Table_Title] "反内卷"背景下如何配置转债 ——可转债周报 20250705 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 当周转债市场延续温和回暖,风格以稳健配置为主,市场重心由成长向低估值、基本面改善方 向切换。"反内卷"政策持续推进,钢铁、建材、汽车等周期行业供需格局优化预期升温,有望 带动转债结构性机会显现。估值层面平价区间整体拉伸,市价区间估值整体压缩则结构略有分 化,隐含波动率小幅上行,情绪边际回暖或应关注短期过热风险。个券方面,中久期、具备弹 性与正股催化预期品种表现突出。一级市场供给平稳推进,条款博弈与赎回公告频出,反映局 部资金博弈意愿持续。建议在防守基础上关注政策驱动下的中期估值修复与轮动机会。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 熊锋 朱承志 SAC:S0490524080003 SAC:S0490524120004 SFC:BVN394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 相关研究 [Table_Title "反内卷"背景下如何配置转债 2] ——可转债周报 ...
AI芯片“配比率”不断提升,高盛看好光模块增长,聚焦“一二线厂商估值差收敛”
硬AI· 2025-07-08 10:14
高盛表示,AI芯片对光模块的配比率正在显著提升,这支撑了数据中心对高速光模块的需求,将光模块厂商2025-2027年 的净利润预测上调42%,目标价提升23%-82%。展望后续,高盛预计一线厂商估值收敛、二线厂商受益于需求外溢将成 为两大投资主线。。 硬·AI 作者 | 李笑寅 编辑 | 硬 AI 随着AI技术的迅猛发展,AI芯片与光模块的"配比率"持续提升,成为推动光模块行业增长的重要引擎。 据追风交易台消息,高盛分析师Jin Guo、Allen Chang在其最新研报中表示,AI芯片与光收发器配比率持 续上升的趋势将显著增强行业长期发展韧性。 01 配比率提升驱动下 光模块需求有强劲支撑 AI芯片与光模块的配比率提升是行业增长的核心驱动力。 报告显示,基于厂商发布的参考设计,GPU/ASIC与光收发器的配比率呈明显上升趋势。 比如,H100和GB200的配比率约为1:3(每GPU需要3个800G光收发模块),而B300提升至1:4.5,特定 ASIC训练集群甚至达到1:8。这一变化源于新芯片更高的带宽需求以及网络架构从400G向800G甚至1.6T 的升级。 报告强调, 这种趋势意味着即使AI芯片销量增长 ...
理性看待创新药估值,寻找优秀公司的买点
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-07-08 08:37
2025 年 7 月 8 日 招银国际环球市场 | 睿智投资 | 行业研究 中国医药 理性看待创新药估值,寻找优秀公司的买点 MSCI中国医疗指数 2025年初至今累计上涨 41.4%,跑赢 MSCI 中国指数 25.2%。 短期来看,由于市场对于出海交易的频次和交易规模预期较高,创新药的估值持续 攀升,需理性看待股价上升空间。创新药属于高风险、长周期、高回报的行业。中 国创新药的研发实力具备全球竞争力,创新药出海趋势将长期持续。然而,由于创 新药的长周期特征,导致出海交易的达成往往需要较长时间的研发积累。 估值表 | | | | 市值 | 目标价 | 上行/ | P/E (x) | | P/B (x) | | ROE (%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 公司名称 | 股份代码 | 评级 | (百万美元) | | | | (LC) 下行空间 FY25E FY26E FY25E FY26E FY25E FY26E | | | | | | 三生制药 | 1530 HK | 买入 | ...
南向资金昨日低位“扫货”超120亿港元,港股底部信号显现?恒生科技指数ETF(513180)走高
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-08 05:29
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market indices opened high, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising over 1.5%, driven by strong performances from stocks like Sunny Optical Technology, Kuaishou, Baidu, Bilibili, BYD Electronics, and Xiaomi [1] - Southbound funds recorded a net purchase of HKD 12.067 billion, the largest single-day net inflow since May 6, with significant buys in Meituan, SMIC, Tencent, Kuaishou, Innovent Biologics, and Guotai Junan International [1] - CICC noted that the structural changes in Hong Kong's asset and funding landscape, moving away from a traditional industry and foreign institution dominance, could enhance trading activity and growth potential in the capital market sector [1] Group 2 - The valuation of the Hong Kong tech sector is currently at a relatively low level, with the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF's latest P/E ratio at 19.83, indicating it is below 92% of the time since the index's inception [2] - Positive sentiment and ample liquidity are setting a strong foundation for the next phase of growth in the Hong Kong tech sector, awaiting favorable catalysts to drive performance [2]
海隆控股(01623):完成全部复牌指引,治理重塑完成,估值修复值得期待
Winrich Securities· 2025-07-08 05:14
| 能源 油气设备与服务 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 买入评级(维持)|目标价:HK$0.75 | | 海隆控股 (1623.HK) – 更新报告 | | 2025年 07月 08日 | | 完成全部复牌指引,治理重塑完成,估值修复值得期待 | | 恒生指数 | 23887.83 | 事件回顾 ❑ | | 恒生中小型指数 ❑ | 2743.52 | 海隆控股于 2024 年 4 月 2 日起暂停买卖,原因是在 2023 年审计过程中,前任核数师罗兵咸永 | | 恒生科技指数 | 5229.56 | 道识别出与俄罗斯附属公司相关的若干关键未决审计事项,主要涉及 2022 年 10 月至 2023 年 | | | | 12 月期间与 MTC 公司之间的交易结构。该交易包括大额采购与回购安排,反映出公司在内部 | | 关键市场数据 | | 控制、交易披露及管理层审批等方面存在程序缺口。 | | 收盘价(港元) | 0.113 | 为应对监管关注,公司成立独立调查委员会,聘请安永开展法证调查,并同步完成内部控制审 | | 52 周最高/最低(港元) 市值(亿港元) | 0.115/0.09 ...
【期货热点追踪】铁矿石期货价格反弹,中国需求支撑价格,特朗普贸易政策影响以及铁矿石期货估值超前,市场是否存在回调风险?
news flash· 2025-07-08 05:01
期货热点追踪 铁矿石期货价格反弹,中国需求支撑价格,特朗普贸易政策影响以及铁矿石期货估值超前,市场是否存 在回调风险? 相关链接 ...