截至2025年5月6日 14:12，信用债ETF基金(511200)多空胶着，最新报价100.29元。流动性方面，信用债ETF基金盘中换手38.16%，成交14.01亿元，市场交投 活跃。拉长时间看，截至4月30日，信用债ETF基金近1周日均成交16.09亿元。 从资金净流入方面来看，信用债ETF基金近3天获得连续资金净流入，最高单日获得3007.03万元净流入，合计"吸金"6113.87万元，日均净流入达2037.96万 元。份额方面，信用债ETF基金最新份额达3659.75万份，创近3月新高。规模方面，信用债ETF基金最新规模达36.67亿元，创成立以来新高。 西部证券展望5月表示，信用债收益率震荡下行的可能性较大。5月基本面和资金面是影响后续债市走势的核心因素，随着基本面数据陆续公布，预计更多稳 增长政策将陆续出台；资金供给取决于央行态度，4月在央行流动性投放呵护下，资金利率已有一定下行，若宽货币实际落地将打开短端利率下行空间。在 基本面预期和货币政策进一步宽松带动下，信用债收益率有望跟随利率债突破前低。 信用债ETF基金（511200）主要跟踪上证基准做市公司债指数，选取的底层债券均为上交所上市的发行 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - Among AA - rated urban investment bonds (subject rating) with a high discount, "24 Hengting 03" has the largest deviation in valuation price. Among the top 50 individual bonds with the largest net - price decline, "23 Chanrong 09" has the largest deviation in valuation price. Among the top 50 individual bonds with the largest net - price increase, "22 Vanke 06" has the largest deviation in valuation price. Among the top 50 secondary perpetual bonds with the largest net - price increase, "24 ABC Secondary Capital Bond 02B" has the largest deviation in valuation price [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Discount - Rate Ranking of AA Urban Investment Bonds - The report presents a list of AA urban investment bonds with high discount rates, including details such as remaining term, valuation price, valuation net - price, valuation yield, etc. "24 Hengting 03" has a remaining term of 4.57 years, a valuation price deviation of - 0.27%, a valuation net - price of 100.53 yuan, and a valuation yield of 2.45% [3]. 3.2 Top 50 Individual Bonds with the Largest Net - Price Decline - The list shows 50 individual bonds with significant net - price declines. "23 Chanrong 09" has a remaining term of 3.38 years, a valuation price deviation of - 0.62%, a valuation net - price of 98.08 yuan, and a valuation yield of 4.02% [5]. 3.3 Top 50 Individual Bonds with the Largest Net - Price Increase - The report lists 50 individual bonds with the largest net - price increases. "22 Vanke 06" has a remaining term of 2.19 years, a valuation price deviation of 0.99%, a valuation net - price of 90.55 yuan, and a valuation yield of 8.61% [7]. 3.4 Top 50 Secondary Perpetual Bonds with the Largest Net - Price Increase - The list includes 50 secondary perpetual bonds with significant net - price increases. "24 ABC Secondary Capital Bond 02B" has a remaining term of 9.00 years, a valuation price deviation of 0.09%, a valuation net - price of 102.56 yuan, and a valuation yield of 2.17% [10].

过去这一年，全球资本市场仿佛被按下了"不确定性"的循环播放键。 政策突发转向带来暗流涌动、全球产业链重构掀起惊涛骇浪、传统货币信用体系经历信任考验……这些变量不断冲刷着投 资者的认知坐标系。 一边是长期低利率时代的加速渐进，优质"资产荒"正从周期性现象走向新常态；另一边是权益市场的波动之频繁，愈发考 验投资者的"顿感力"与配置智慧。 当"不确定性"本身成为了最确定的主题，市场正在本能地追寻更稳健的价值锚点。 信用债ETF这个组合了稳健票息与交易灵活度的金融工具，正在完成从组合配角到核心拼图的进化。 01 工具解码 ——信用债ETF的双重底色 信用债ETF的内核，正是"信用债"+"ETF"所产生的化学反应。 所谓信用债，指的是依赖企业自身信用，而非政府直接背书的债券。 主要包括商业银行等金融机构发行的普通金融债，以及非金融企业（含城投、央国企）发行的公司债、企业债、中期票 据、短期融资券等。 来源：中信建投证券 作为对信用风险的补偿，以及部分品种可能包含的流动性溢价，这类债券收益率往往高于国债等利率债。 而ETF（交易型开放式指数基金）则像一只篮子，将动辄百只信用债按特定规则装入其中。 以信用债ETF基金跟踪的 ...

作者：招商银行研究院 零售客群部 私人银行部 | | 本期要点摘要 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 回顾 | 近１月 | 2025 年以来 | | 固收产品 | 中长期借鉴>范佳音等>高美级目小在审指音 | 昌等级同业存审指基 > 现金管理 > 短债塞金>中长 | | 收益回顾 | >现金管理>含权债基 | 期债基 > 含权债基 | | | 近一个月资金面转松,关税冲击国内名义经 | | | 债市回顾 | 济增长预期,信贷扩张趋稳,债市情绪明显 | 1月偏强震荡,2月-3月中旬债市大幅调整,3月 | | | 改善后转而关注政策对冲和关税进展,债券 | 中旬以来转为偏强震荡。 | | | 利率快速下行后转为窄幅震荡。 | | | 行业事件 | | 1、银行理财、保险资管首次获得网下 IPO"打新"入场券。短期有助于理财固收+产品"稳中求 | | 跟踪 | 进"策略更好实现,长期或推动理财权益投资占比进一步提升,有利于产品多样化。 | | | 展望 | 短期(1个月维度) | 中期(3-6个月维度) | | | | 债券市场中长期仍有机会。美国经济"滞胀"压力 | | | -同业存单:预计利率 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints - In the bonds with discounted transactions, "22 Zunqiao 05" had a relatively large deviation in bond valuation price. Among the bonds with rising net prices, "20 Vanke 08" had a relatively high deviation in valuation price. Among the Tier 2 and perpetual bonds with rising net prices, "23 Huaxing Bank Tier 2 Capital Bond 01" had a relatively large deviation in valuation price. Among the commercial financial bonds with rising net prices, "24 Zhuhai Rural Commercial Bank Bond" had a relatively high deviation in valuation price. Among the bonds with a transaction yield higher than 10%, real estate bonds ranked high [2]. - The changes in credit bond valuation yields were mainly distributed in the (0,5] range. The transaction term of non - financial credit bonds was mainly within 0.5 years, and the 3 - 4 - year variety had the highest proportion of discounted transactions. The transaction term of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds was mainly between 4 - 5 years, and the variety within 1.5 years had the highest proportion of discounted transactions. By industry, the bonds in the automotive industry had the largest average deviation in valuation price [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Discounted Transaction Tracking - Bonds such as "22 Zunqiao 05", "25 Zhangjiu 02", etc. had discounted transactions. The remaining terms, valuation price deviations, valuation yields, and other indicators varied. For example, "22 Zunqiao 05" had a remaining term of 2.00 years, a valuation price deviation of - 0.30%, a valuation yield of 4.66%, and a transaction scale of 8.04 million yuan [4]. 3.2 Tracking of Bonds with Rising Net Prices - Bonds like "20 Vanke 08", "22 Vanke 07" had rising net prices. "20 Vanke 08" had a remaining term of 0.58 years, a valuation price deviation of 0.50%, a valuation yield of 14.31%, and a transaction scale of 14.53 million yuan [5]. 3.3 Tracking of Tier 2 and Perpetual Bond Transactions - "23 Huaxing Bank Tier 2 Capital Bond 01" had a relatively large deviation in valuation price among Tier 2 and perpetual bonds. The valuation yield deviation was - 3.60bp, the remaining term was 0.11 years, and the transaction scale was 41.5 million yuan [6]. 3.4 Tracking of Commercial Financial Bond Transactions - "24 Zhuhai Rural Commercial Bank Bond" had a relatively high deviation in valuation price among commercial financial bonds. The valuation yield deviation was - 2.15bp, the remaining term was 2.19 years, and the transaction scale was 60.32 million yuan [7]. 3.5 Tracking of Bonds with a Transaction Yield Higher than 10% - Real estate bonds such as "20 Vanke 08", "22 Vanke 07" had a transaction yield higher than 10%. For example, "20 Vanke 08" had a valuation yield of 14.31% and a transaction scale of 14.53 million yuan [8]. 3.6 Distribution of Credit Bond Valuation Yield Changes - The changes in credit bond valuation yields were mainly distributed in the (0,5] range [2]. 3.7 Distribution of Non - Financial Credit Bond Transaction Terms - The transaction term of non - financial credit bonds was mainly within 0.5 years, and the 3 - 4 - year variety had the highest proportion of discounted transactions [2]. 3.8 Distribution of Tier 2 and Perpetual Bond Transaction Terms - The transaction term of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds was mainly between 4 - 5 years, and the variety within 1.5 years had the highest proportion of discounted transactions [2]. 3.9 Proportion and Transaction Scale of Discounted Transactions of Non - Financial Credit Bonds by Industry - The bonds in the automotive industry had the largest average deviation in valuation price [2].

摘要 折价幅度靠前 50 只 AA 城投债（主体评级）中，"25 河南路桥 MTN002"估值价格偏离程度最大。净价跌幅靠前 50 只 个券中，"24 川发 K3"估值价格偏离幅度最大。净价上涨幅度靠前 50 只个券中，"22 万科 07"估值价格偏离幅度最 大。净价上涨幅度靠前 50 只二永债中，"24 建行二级资本债 02B"估值价格偏离程度最大。 风险提示 统计数据偏差或遗漏，高估值个券出现信用风险 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 扫码获取更多服务 固定收益动态(动态) 图表1：折价幅度靠前 50 只 AA 城投债（主体评级） | 债券名称 | 剩余期限 | 估值价格 | 估值净价 | 估值收益率 | 当日估值 | 票面利率 | 隐含 | 主体 | 成交日期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (年) | 偏离(%) | (元) | 偏离(bp) | 收益(%) | (%) | 评级 | 评级 | | | 25 河南路桥 MTN002 | 2.89 | -0.27 | 99.74 | 10.17 | 4.5 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report According to Wind data, among the bonds traded at a discount, '25 Henan Road and Bridge MTN002' had a relatively large deviation in valuation price. Among the bonds with rising net prices, '21 Vanke 02' had a leading deviation in valuation price. Among the secondary perpetual bonds with rising net prices, '23 Dalian Bank Perpetual Bond 01' had a relatively large deviation in valuation price. Among the commercial financial bonds with rising net prices, '25 China Zheshang Bank Small and Micro Enterprise Bond 01BC' had a leading deviation in valuation price. Among the bonds with a trading yield higher than 10%, real estate bonds ranked at the top. The changes in credit bond valuation yields were mainly distributed in the (0,5] range. The trading terms of non - financial credit bonds were mainly distributed between 2 and 3 years, with the 2 - 3 year - term varieties having the highest proportion of discount trading. The trading terms of secondary perpetual bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, with the varieties within 1 year having the highest proportion of discount trading. By industry, the bonds in the pharmaceutical and biological industry had the largest average deviation in valuation price [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Discounted Bond Trading - The report tracked the trading of significantly discounted bonds, including details such as the bond name, remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield deviation, valuation yield, previous day's valuation yield, implied rating, issuer rating, industry, and trading volume. For example, '25 Henan Road and Bridge MTN002' had a remaining term of 2.89 years, a valuation price deviation of - 0.27%, a valuation net price of 99.74 yuan, and a trading volume of 39.52 million yuan [4]. 3.2 Bonds with Rising Net Prices - The report tracked the trading of bonds with significant positive deviations in net prices, including details such as the bond name, remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield deviation, valuation yield, previous day's valuation yield, implied rating, issuer rating, industry, and trading volume. For example, '21 Vanke 02' had a remaining term of 0.79 years, a valuation price deviation of 1.11%, a valuation net price of 90.78 yuan, and a trading volume of 9.01 million yuan [5]. 3.3 Secondary Perpetual Bond Trading - The report tracked the trading of secondary perpetual bonds, including details such as the bond name, remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield deviation, valuation yield, previous day's valuation yield, implied rating, issuer rating, bank category, and trading volume. For example, '23 Dalian Bank Perpetual Bond 01' had a remaining term of 2.78 years, a valuation price deviation of 0.11%, a valuation net price of 104.40 yuan, and a trading volume of 198.16 million yuan [6]. 3.4 Commercial Financial Bond Trading - The report tracked the trading of commercial financial bonds, including details such as the bond name, remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield deviation, valuation yield, previous day's valuation yield, implied rating, issuer rating, bank category, and trading volume. For example, '25 China Zheshang Bank Small and Micro Enterprise Bond 01BC' had a remaining term of 2.99 years, a valuation price deviation of 0.01%, a valuation net price of 100.01 yuan, and a trading volume of 1.75021 billion yuan [7]. 3.5 Bonds with a Trading Yield Higher than 10% - The report tracked the trading of high - yield bonds, including details such as the bond name, remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield deviation, valuation yield, previous day's valuation yield, implied rating, issuer rating, industry, and trading volume. For example, '21 Vanke 02' had a remaining term of 0.79 years, a valuation price deviation of 1.11%, a valuation net price of 90.78 yuan, a valuation yield of 17.14%, and a trading volume of 9.01 million yuan [8]. 3.6 Distribution of Credit Bond Valuation Deviations The changes in credit bond valuation yields were mainly distributed in the (0,5] range [2]. 3.7 Distribution of Non - financial Credit Bond Trading Terms The trading terms of non - financial credit bonds were mainly distributed between 2 and 3 years, with the 2 - 3 year - term varieties having the highest proportion of discount trading [2]. 3.8 Distribution of Secondary Perpetual Bond Trading Terms The trading terms of secondary perpetual bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, with the varieties within 1 year having the highest proportion of discount trading [2]. 3.9 Distribution of Discounted Trading Proportions and Trading Volumes by Industry By industry, the bonds in the pharmaceutical and biological industry had the largest average deviation in valuation price [2].

Market Performance - A-shares experienced a collective rebound with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.16%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 2.25%, and the ChiNext Index up by 2.27% on April 10, 2025 [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.61 trillion yuan, a decrease of 901 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] ETF Performance - Several US stock ETFs saw significant gains, with the S&P Oil & Gas ETF rising by 10.06%, the Nasdaq Index ETF increasing by 10.04%, and the Nasdaq 100 ETF up by 10.03% [1] - The US stock market indices experienced substantial increases, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up by 2,962.86 points (7.87%), the S&P 500 up by 474.13 points (9.52%), and the Nasdaq Composite up by 1,857.06 points (12.16%) [2] ETF Trading Volume - The top ETFs by trading volume included the Yinhua Daily ETF with 14.6 billion yuan, the Hang Seng Technology ETF with 13.93 billion yuan, and the Hang Seng Technology Index ETF with 13.70 billion yuan [5] - The top ETFs by turnover rate were led by the Benchmark Treasury ETF at 314.35%, followed by the New Economy ETF at 216.55% and the S&P Consumer ETF at 205.95% [6] New ETF Launch - The Dachen Shenzhen 100 ETF (code: 159216) is set to launch on April 11, 2025, closely tracking the Shenzhen 100 Index, which reflects the performance of core quality listed companies in the Shenzhen market [7] - The Shenzhen 100 Index is characterized by a significant weight in large-cap stocks, with 44.61% of its components having a market capitalization exceeding 200 billion yuan [7] Sector Focus - The Shenzhen 100 Index components are concentrated in TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), high-end manufacturing, and consumer sectors, indicating long-term growth potential aligned with China's economic transformation and high-quality development [8]

Report Summary 1. Core Viewpoints - Among the bonds with discounted transactions, "24 Xintai 01" had a relatively large deviation in bond valuation price. Among the bonds with rising net prices, "24 Kunpeng Investment MTN004B" had a relatively large deviation in valuation price. Among the Tier 2 and perpetual bonds with rising net prices, "23 Tianjin Bank Tier 2 Capital Bond 01" had a relatively large deviation in valuation price. Among the commercial financial bonds with rising net prices, "23 Hangzhou Bank 01" had a relatively large deviation in valuation price. Among the bonds with a transaction yield higher than 10%, real estate bonds ranked high [2]. - The changes in credit bond valuation yields were mainly distributed in the (0,5] range. The transaction terms of non - financial credit bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, with the 1 - 1.5 - year - term variety having the highest proportion of discounted transactions. The transaction terms of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, with the varieties within 1 year and 2 - 3 years having the highest proportion of discounted transactions. By industry, real estate industry bonds had the largest average deviation in valuation price [2]. 2. Key Points from Related Tables 2.1 Discounted Transaction Tracking - Bonds such as "24 Xintai 01", "25 Wujian 01", and "25 Wuhu Investment Control MTN001" had discounted transactions, with their remaining terms ranging from 2.18 to 9.96 years, and the deviation in valuation price ranging from - 0.05% to - 0.24%. The industries involved included urban investment, comprehensive, and non - bank finance [4]. 2.2 Tracking of Bonds with Rising Net Prices - Bonds like "24 Kunpeng Investment MTN004B", "24 Zhonghua 08", and "24 Sichuan Energy Investment GN001" had rising net prices, with their remaining terms ranging from 0.88 to 29.29 years, and the deviation in valuation price ranging from 0.12% to 0.55%. The industries mainly included non - bank finance, comprehensive, and urban investment [5]. 2.3 Tier 2 and Perpetual Bond Transaction Tracking - "23 Tianjin Bank Tier 2 Capital Bond 01" had a relatively large deviation in valuation price among Tier 2 and perpetual bonds. Banks involved included city commercial banks, rural commercial banks, and state - owned banks, with transaction scales ranging from 4623 to 122511 million yuan [6]. 2.4 Commercial Financial Bond Transaction Tracking - "23 Hangzhou Bank 01" had a relatively large deviation in valuation price among commercial financial bonds. Banks included city commercial banks, joint - stock banks, and state - owned banks, with transaction scales ranging from 1010 to 44457 million yuan [7]. 2.5 Tracking of Bonds with a Transaction Yield Higher than 10% - Bonds such as "21 Vanke 06", "21 Vanke 04", and "22 Vanke 07" had a transaction yield higher than 10%, all belonging to the real estate industry, with transaction scales ranging from 488 to 1293 million yuan [8]. 2.6 Distribution of Credit Bond Transaction Valuation Deviations on the Day - The changes in credit bond valuation yields were mainly distributed in the (0,5] range [2]. 2.7 Distribution of Non - financial Credit Bond Transaction Terms on the Day - The transaction terms of non - financial credit bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, and the 1 - 1.5 - year - term variety had the highest proportion of discounted transactions [2]. 2.8 Distribution of Tier 2 and Perpetual Bond Transaction Terms on the Day - The transaction terms of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, and the varieties within 1 year and 2 - 3 years had the highest proportion of discounted transactions [2]. 2.9 Discounted Transaction Proportion and Transaction Scale of Non - financial Credit Bonds in Each Industry - The real estate industry had the largest average deviation in non - financial credit bond valuation price, and different industries had different transaction scales [2][18]

Core Viewpoint - Since the beginning of the year, the funding environment has remained tight, particularly with a noticeable increase in short-term interest rates. The article explores the remaining government debt supply for the first quarter, the liquidity gap in March, and whether the funding situation will improve [1][4]. Group 1: Funding Tightness - The funding environment has been tight since the start of 2025, with the central bank increasing the scale of reverse repos. Despite this, the pressure on liquidity has slightly eased from January to February, with a reduction in liquidity stratification [1][4]. - The central bank's operations included a resumption of 14-day reverse repos before the Spring Festival, while the scale of medium-term lending facility (MLF) continued to decrease. The buyout reverse repo operations have provided significant support for medium to long-term liquidity [5][6]. Group 2: Government Debt Supply - In March, it is estimated that the issuance of government bonds will reach approximately 1.4 trillion yuan, with a net financing scale of nearly 650 billion yuan after accounting for 712.2 billion yuan in maturing bonds. Local government bonds are expected to total around 1.3 trillion yuan, resulting in a combined net financing scale of over 1.8 trillion yuan for government debt [2][14]. Group 3: Liquidity Outlook - The liquidity gap in March is projected to be around 260 billion yuan, indicating some pressure on the funding environment. However, after the "Two Sessions," funding rates are expected to trend towards easing, with the central bank's net injection likely to increase marginally [3][19]. - The article suggests that the central bank may primarily use buyout reverse repos to supplement medium to long-term liquidity during the phase of increased government debt supply, which could lead to a decrease in funding rates, especially for short-term bonds [19].