6月11日国内金价快报：国内品牌金店金价又出现上涨，大部分金店都涨至了1006元/克。其中，周生生黄金上涨6元/克，报 1009元/克，还是最高价金店。上海中国黄金价格价格不变，报价969元/克，仍是最低价金店。今日金店黄金价差40元/克， 价差还在扩大。 昨日现货黄金盘中不断震荡，先是走低至3301.54美元/盎司，后又冲高至3348.89美元/盎司，最后回落至3323.31美元/盎司， 跌幅0.04%。今日金价暂有上涨趋势，截至发稿，现货黄金暂报3337.26美元/盎司，涨幅0.42%。 昨日金价回落，主要是美国商务部长卢特尼克和财长贝森特对中美经贸谈判的积极表态，强化了市场对中美可能达成阶段 性协议的预期。市场避险情绪有所削减。 需注意的是，在美国关税问题上，位于华盛顿特区的联邦上诉法院周二允许美国总统特朗普的全面关税措施继续生效。此 次裁定强化了市场对贸易摩擦长期化的担忧，这也是昨日金价盘中出现回升的重要原因。 此外，地缘政治局势仍是支撑金价上涨的重要动力，美国洛杉矶冲突还在继续。伊朗称若遭以色列袭击，将打击以秘密核 设施。俄罗斯昨晚对乌克兰发动大规模无人机袭击，乌克兰全境拉响防空警报。 具体各大品牌 ...

Group 1: Market Dynamics - The paper gold market showed subtle price dynamics on June 10, with an opening price of 768.23 CNY per gram, reaching a high of 770.34 CNY and a low of 762.52 CNY, closing at 766.57 CNY, reflecting a 0.22% decline from the opening [1] - Economic and political factors are interwoven, influencing market supply and demand as well as investor sentiment [1] Group 2: Trade Relations - Senior officials from the US and China are holding crucial meetings in London regarding tariffs and trade restrictions, with a previous agreement to suspend some tariffs easing market tensions [3] - Positive outcomes from the trade negotiations could increase market risk appetite, leading to a potential outflow of funds from safe-haven assets, which may exert downward pressure on gold prices, although the impact is expected to be limited [3] Group 3: Geopolitical Factors - The geopolitical situation, particularly Russia's control over more territory in Ukraine, has heightened market uncertainty, increasing the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset [4] - In a low-interest-rate environment, gold's lack of yield becomes less of a disadvantage, enhancing its attractiveness for asset preservation during economic instability [4] Group 4: Inflation and Economic Indicators - Investors are focused on the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, a key indicator of inflation that could provide insights into the health of the US economy [4] - Higher-than-expected CPI data may intensify inflation concerns, potentially driving gold prices up, while lower-than-expected data could complicate the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [4] Group 5: Technical Analysis - Paper gold is facing critical resistance and support levels, with the 795-805 CNY range acting as significant resistance and the 740-750 CNY range as key support [5] - A breakthrough above the resistance could open further upside potential, while a drop below the support may trigger panic selling and further price declines [5]

受地缘政治局势影响，昨日现货黄金盘中有上涨趋势，不过后续又因中美经贸会谈的开始，金价涨势受限，最终收报 3324.75美元/盎司，涨幅0.48%。今日金价继续震荡，截至发稿，现货黄金暂报3324.92美元/盎司，涨幅0.01%。 今日金价暂稳，金店黄金回收价格对微跌2元/克。同时，每个品牌的回收价格也不一样，小金大致整理了几个，详见下表， 数据仅供参考： | 今日金店黄金回收价格一览(2025年6月10日) | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 回收报价 | 今日金价 | 单位 | | 黄金 | 758.00 | 元/克 | | 菜自黄金 | 753.60 | 元/克 | | 周生生黄金 | 752. 30 | 元/克 | | 周大福黄金 | 755.70 | 元/克 | | 老凤祥黄金 | 761.30 | 元/克 | 说完实物黄金价格，我们再来讲讲国际金价情况： 6月10日国内金价快报：国内品牌金店金价重新稳定下来了，个别金店金价稍有变化。周生生黄金今日还是最高价金店，对 比昨日微涨2元/克，报1003元/克。上海中国黄金价格下跌12元/克，报价969元/克，仍是最低价金店。今日金店黄金 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for May showed an increase of 139,000 jobs, slightly better than the market expectation of 130,000 [2] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%, consistent with market expectations and previous values [2] - Average hourly wages increased by 3.9% year-on-year, surpassing the previous value of 3.8% and the expected 3.7%, indicating a resilient job market [2] Group 2 - Global geopolitical tensions have eased somewhat, with reduced likelihood of escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict as both sides show willingness to negotiate [3] - In the Middle East, there are positive signals regarding a potential permanent ceasefire between Hamas and Israel, and a revival of the U.S.-Iran nuclear deal [3] - The market has developed a degree of immunity to geopolitical conflicts, which has diminished the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset [3] Group 3 - Tariff issues remain a key factor influencing gold price movements, with significant progress made in U.S.-China tariff negotiations [4] - The initiation of a second round of talks between U.S. and Chinese leaders indicates that the most severe phase of the trade war may be over [4] - The impact of tariff factors on the gold market is gradually weakening, suggesting a potential "tail-end" market phase for gold [4] Group 4 - The U.S. dollar is expected to depreciate due to rising domestic debt and the loss of dollar credibility from tariff policies, establishing a solid foundation for a long-term bull market in gold [5] - In the short term, while geopolitical tensions are entering a negotiation phase, there is a lack of upward momentum for gold prices, and investors should be cautious of potential price corrections [5] - Technically, gold prices are expected to maintain a range adjustment between $3,200 and $3,400 in June, with a prevailing bullish trend [5]

伊朗情报部长伊斯梅尔·哈提卜（Esmail Khatib）上周日在未提供证据的情况下宣称，德黑兰缴获了大量 以色列机密文件，这批文件是能"增强伊朗进攻能力"的"战略宝库"。 据哈提卜透露，文件内容涉及以色列核设施、与美国及欧洲等国的关系，以及其防御能力等相关的情 报。他特别强调，"用'数千份文件'形容其规模都属保守"，并坚称这些文件将很快公开。 他并未详细说明获取这些机密文件的方法。值得注意的是，作为什叶派神职人员的哈提卜，曾因2022年 主导"为支持伊朗政治目标而开展的网络间谍和勒索软件攻击"而受到美国财政部制裁。 对伊朗而言，这一宣称可能旨在向公众展示，这个神权国家有能力回应以色列2018年的一次行动——当 时以色列总理内塔尼亚胡称，以方秘密获取了"半吨"与伊朗核计划相关的文件。以色列的这一宣布恰逢 时任美国总统特朗普单方面退出伊朗2015年与世界大国达成的核协议，该协议以大幅限制伊朗核计划为 条件换取解除经济制裁。 哈提卜的言论延续了伊朗伊斯兰共和国广播电视台（IRIB）上周六的报道，当时该媒体声称德黑兰获取 了"大量具有特殊敏感性的战略文件"，这些文件与以色列相关，其中包含"数千份涉及以色列核设施及 ...

Group 1 - The market widely expects the Bank of Canada to maintain the interest rate at 2.75% [1] - The Bank of Canada may not provide much forward guidance, with an increased likelihood of a dovish tone due to potential economic damage from trade wars [2] - Attention is focused on the Bank of Canada's views regarding trade wars, the economy, and inflation [3] Group 2 - There is also a focus on the Bank of Canada's perspectives on geopolitical situations, oil prices, and the Canadian dollar exchange rate [4] - The interest rate decision will be announced at 21:45 Beijing time [5]

OPEC+继续增产但幅度"克制"，地缘政治紧张局势升级，再加上极端的空头头寸，共同促成了油价的暴力反弹！ 周一（6月2日），国际油价暴涨，美国WTI原油期货收涨2.8%至每桶63美元附近，盘中一度暴涨5.1%，布伦特原油期货价格收涨3.88%至63.85美 元/桶，盘中最高触及65.69美元/桶。 分析指出，国际油价大涨背后，主要由OPEC+继续增产但幅度不及预期，俄乌和伊核等地缘政治局势等基本面因素推动，再加上空头头寸处于极 端水平和技术面的破位，共同构成了油价反弹的利好。 据央视新闻，乌克兰透露，6月1日当天对俄发起特别行动，用无人机摧毁了俄41架战略轰炸机，俄罗斯主要机场中约34%的战略轰炸 机遭到攻击。俄媒表示，乌方说法纯属谣言。 伊朗则对显示其浓缩铀储量不断增长的报告提出批评。据人民日报消息，国际原子能机构5月31日发表的季度报告显示，截至5月17 日，伊朗拥有408.6千克丰度为60%的浓缩铀，大大高于2月时的274.8千克。根据2015年签署的伊核协议，伊朗铀浓缩丰度上限为 3.67%。 国际原子能机构在报告中说，伊朗进行如此高丰度的铀浓缩活动应引起"严重关切"。伊朗外交部和伊朗原子能组织则称， ...

因地缘政治局势持续紧张，原油、黄金双双飙升！ | 贵金属 [^ | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 伦敦金现 | 伦敦银现 | COMEX黄金 | | 3355.490 | 33.688 | 3387.3 | | +66.910 +2.03% | +0.713 +2.16% | +71.9 +2.17% | | COMEX白银 | SHEE電全 | SHFE自银 | | 33.820 | 771.80 | 8218 | | +0.791 +2.39% | +5.34 +0.70% | +6 +0.07% | | 能源化工 [△ | | | | NYMEX WTI原油 | ICE布油 | ICE轻质低硫原油 | | 63.59 | 65.41 | 61.48 | | +2.80 +4.61% | +2.63 +4.19% | +2.48 +4.20% | 截至21时，布伦特原油、WTI原油双双飙升超4%。6月2日，现货黄金日内涨超2%，现报3355 美元/盎司。 | W | | | 伦敦金现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Core Viewpoint - Oil prices are expected to decline this week due to concerns over OPEC+ supply increases amidst an already oversupplied market [1] Group 1: OPEC+ Supply Concerns - There are growing worries about OPEC+'s potential significant increase in production levels for July, which is putting pressure on the oil market [1] - Analysts from ING indicate that the oil market is facing new pressures as rumors circulate regarding OPEC+'s handling of its production levels [1] - A larger scale supply increase following May and June will solidify OPEC's policy shift from defending prices to defending market share [1] Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - Traders are closely monitoring geopolitical developments, particularly concerns about a broader conflict in the Middle East [1] - The upcoming negotiations between the U.S. and Iran scheduled for Friday are also a point of concern for market participants [1]

Geopolitical Tensions - The geopolitical situation is tense in multiple regions, particularly in the Middle East where negotiations between Israel and Hamas have stalled, and there are reports of Israel potentially preparing to attack Iranian nuclear facilities [2] - In Europe, the EU has approved the 17th round of sanctions against Russia, and the UK has introduced over 100 new sanctions, including the suspension of free trade agreement negotiations with Israel [2] - The complex geopolitical landscape has significantly increased market uncertainty, providing strong support for gold prices [2] Economic Outlook - High uncertainty is causing households and businesses to pause spending and investment, which may lead to a significant slowdown in economic growth [2] - The market is closely watching the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction, with expectations of at least two rate cuts by the end of 2025, each by 25 basis points [2] Credit Rating Impact - The downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating by Moody's from Aaa to Aa1 has led to a significant drop in U.S. stock markets, with the 10-year Treasury yield surpassing 4.5% and the 30-year yield exceeding 5% [3] - These economic instabilities are prompting investors to seek channels for asset preservation and appreciation, highlighting the safe-haven function of gold [3] Trading Strategies - For spot gold, a buy position is recommended if it stabilizes at 3245.00, with a target of 3275.00 [4] - For spot silver, a sell position is suggested if it stabilizes at 32.700, with a target of 32.900 [6]