地缘政治风险
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新浪财经隔夜要闻大事汇总:2026年1月15日
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-14 23:21
Market - US stock market experienced a decline for the second consecutive day, with the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 all falling, primarily driven by poor performance in technology stocks, particularly chip stocks like Nvidia, which dropped due to export restrictions [2] - Bank stocks also struggled, with Wells Fargo's revenue falling short of expectations, while Bank of America and Citigroup exceeded expectations but could not support the high market levels. The banking sector faced additional pressure from Trump's call for credit card interest rate reforms [2] - Despite strong PPI and retail sales data, the market remained low due to concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve and rising geopolitical risks, particularly related to Iran [2] Company - Tesla announced it will stop selling its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software at a fixed price and will instead offer it as a monthly subscription service starting at $99, leading to a 1.79% drop in its stock price [3][33] - Cerebras secured a significant contract with OpenAI worth over $10 billion, committing to provide 750 MW of computing power by 2028, which will help reduce its reliance on a single customer [32] - Wells Fargo reported profits below expectations, with a significant $612 million spent on severance costs, leading to its stock experiencing the largest intraday drop in six months [40] - Bank of America reported a 23% increase in stock trading revenue to $2.02 billion, exceeding analyst expectations, but concerns over costs led to a 5% drop in its stock price [41] - Boeing announced it received 1,173 net orders in 2025, surpassing Airbus, although its stock fell 1.7% in early trading [42]
Silver and Gold Prices Soar on Fundamentals and FOMO. Why Investors Should Be Wary.
Barrons· 2026-01-14 15:02
Global metals prices extended their searing rally Wednesday, with gold, silver, and copper all hitting all-time highs amid a surge in demand tied to geopolitical risks, currency debasement and industrial demand. ...
金价、银价飙升,有上市公司“炒银”大赚数亿元
证券时报· 2026-01-14 14:47
最近,一家原本主业平平的上市物管公司,靠出售银条赚得盆满钵满,引起市场热议。 进入2026年以来,黄金和白银价格的凌厉涨势依旧不减,并不断刷新历史新高。1月14日晚间, 黄金、白银价格继续攀升,现货黄金最高至4641.853美元/盎司,COMEX黄金最高至4647.6美元/ 盎司,均刷新历史纪录;现货白银、COMEX白银盘中均涨超6%,最高分别至92.211美元/盎司、 91.805美元/盎司,同样刷新历史纪录。 记者梳理发现,在金银价格不断上涨的背景下,上市企业的"淘金淘银"热不断升温:或加码存 量、或整合金银相关业务、或进行跨界布局涉足金银相关业务。 公司此前曾公告称,经考虑未分配银条的现时市场趋势,尤其是近期市价已为近年最高,现为集 团变现部分其余未分配银条投资的适当时机。 根据市场公开信息,祈福生活服务的在管项目主要来自兄弟公司祈福集团,截至2025年6月30 日,公司为16个住宅区及6项纯商业物业或项目提供物管服务,签约建筑面积约1018.90万平方 米。公告显示,近年来祈福生活服务的年度利润基本在1亿元上下波动。 有分析人士表示,上市企业积极寻求各种投资机遇,希望通过对资金进行财务管理,以获取更高 ...
狂飙!现货白银触及92美元,芝商所四次调保难挡涨势,花旗喊出100美元目标|大宗风云
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2026-01-14 14:36
"1月14日白银再创新高,其主要驱动因素包括:首先是全球地缘局势紧张,美国和以色列威胁对伊朗进 行打击,尤其美国已经公布对伊朗的打击方案。其次,近期公布的美国经济数据也刺激贵金属价格上 涨,昨晚公布的CPI低于市场预期。这些因素导致市场避险需求增加,从而推动白银价格暴涨。"创元期 货分析师何燚接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示。 本报(chinatimes.net.cn)记者叶青 北京报道 1月14日亚洲时段现货白银开盘强势拉升,盘中一度大涨6%,首次站上90美元关口,最高触及92美元, 再创历史新高,今年以来累计涨幅达29%。受美联储降息预期、AI与光伏领域刚需影响,花旗已将白银 三个月目标价上调至100美元/盎司。 美国CPI利好白银 1月13日隔夜市场,美国12月CPI数据公布,同比增长2.7%,持平预期和前值;核心CPI同比增长2.6%, 持平前值,略低于预期的2.7%。结合就业和通胀数据,美联储1月维持利率不变的可能性仍较大。美国 总统特朗普则继续表态,美联储应该降息。 "美国CPI数据略低于市场预期,核心商品通胀稳定,核心服务通胀没有加速反弹,支持美联储进一步宽 松,对白银价格利好。白银期货价格创新高 ...
Oil prices rise as tensions flare in Iran, risking 'the nerve center of the global oil market'
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-14 13:14
Oil prices rose to a two-month high on Wednesday as traders priced in a heightened risk premium on Iran, where protests have been raging, and President Trump said the country's ruling regime would "pay a big price." International pricing benchmark Brent crude (BZ=F) and US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) have both gained more than 10% over the past five trading sessions to trade above $66.10 and $61.80 per barrel, respectively, for the first time since October as geopolitical tensions have roiled ...
“唐罗主义”推升全球地缘政治风险 面对动荡时局应如何布仓
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-14 12:31
Geopolitical Risks and Market Impact - The U.S. is experiencing a shift towards "Trumpism," reviving a 200-year-old foreign policy aimed at projecting American dominance, which is causing investors to prepare for increased geopolitical risks in the coming year [1][9] - Trump's unpredictable actions could affect various asset classes, including energy prices and imports of AI chips, as outlined in a recent national security strategy [9][10] - Despite geopolitical tensions, the stock market has shown resilience, with the recent ousting of Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro being a minor event in the context of rising U.S. stock prices [10] Defense Sector - Defense stocks have shown volatility due to Trump's social media posts, but they may provide relative protection in the long term amid potential global conflicts and increased military spending [11] - Defense contractors like L3Harris Technologies Inc. and Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. have seen stock price increases of 16% and 21% respectively this year [11] - Investment managers suggest that larger defense companies, such as Raytheon and General Dynamics, may be viewed as stable investments in an unstable environment [11] Energy Sector - Following Trump's warnings to Iran, oil prices have risen for four consecutive days, drawing investor attention to potential military actions against the oil-rich nation [14] - The recent rise in oil prices has not significantly changed skepticism regarding the core tenet of "Trumpism," particularly concerning drilling in Venezuela, which ExxonMobil has labeled as "uninvestable" [15] - Refining companies are expected to benefit the most from Trump's actions in Venezuela, as they typically perform better when oil prices are low [15] Materials Sector - The mining and metals sector has seen significant gains, particularly after discussions about potential U.S. military actions to acquire Greenland, which is rich in critical minerals [17] - Companies involved in rare earth minerals and lithium exploration, such as Critical Metals Corp., have experienced stock price surges, with an 84% increase noted [17] - However, there are risks associated with chasing raw material stocks, as market reactions may be influenced by geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding China's potential responses to U.S. actions [17]
Silver, Gold Prices Soar on Fundamentals and FOMO. Why Investors Should Be Wary.
Barrons· 2026-01-14 12:27
Global metals prices extended their searing rally Wednesday, with gold, silver, and copper all hitting fresh all-time highs amid a surge in demand tied to geopolitical risks, currency debasement and industrial demand. ...
地缘风险或成市场动荡导火索 解码美股四大板块危与机
智通财经网· 2026-01-14 12:12
智通财经APP获悉,随着白宫大力推进"唐罗主义"(Donroe Doctrine),即一种旨在强化美国在西半球乃 至更广范围主导地位的、特朗普式的两百年外交政策复兴,投资者正为地缘政治风险加剧的一年做好准 备。 要推演美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的政策转变如何在各类资产中引发连锁反应并非易事:他的举动常常难 以预测,并可能影响从能源价格到人工智能产业核心芯片进口等一系列市场。特朗普政府在上月发布的 国家安全战略中,阐明了其意图在门罗主义(Monroe Doctrine)基础上推进的打算。 WisdomTree宏观策略师萨姆·莱恩斯表示,"值得退一步看看更长期的影响,因为我认为,从地缘政治角 度出发,正在发生的事情确实存在一种策略,可称之为投资组合框架策略。" 迄今为止,委内瑞拉尼古拉斯·马杜罗政府的下台,对美股破纪录的涨势而言不过是个小插曲,这强化 了更广泛的股票市场很少长期受地缘政治风险困扰的看法。然而,市场表面之下暗流涌动:增加军费开 支的呼声已推动国防股上涨,同时投资者正聚焦美国在格陵兰、伊朗和古巴等地区的潜在行动,并权衡 中俄可能作出的反应。 与此同时,在特朗普表示伊朗将为杀害抗议者"付出沉重代价"后,油价 ...
银河期货贵金属衍生品日报-20260114
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-01-14 11:18
研究所 贵金属研发报告 贵金属衍生品日报 2026 年 1 月 14 日 研究所副所长:车红云 期货从业证号:F03088215 投资咨询号:Z0017510 研究员:王露晨 CFA 期货从业证号:F03110758 投资咨询号:Z0021675 研究员:袁正 期货从业证号:F03151476 投资咨询号:Z0023508 联系方式: 上海:021-65789219 北京:010-68569781 邮箱: 2.地缘政治:伊朗局势—①欧盟正在商讨额外对伊制裁措施。②特朗普:已取 消与伊朗官员的所有会晤,伊朗当局将"付出巨大代价"。③万斯定于今晨与国家 安全团队举行会议,主导制定对伊朗的战略。 3.美联储观点:美联储穆萨莱姆称短期内进一步放松政策的理由不多;仍认为 通胀风险将比预期更为持久。 wangluchen_qh@chinastock.co m.cn 贵金属衍生品日报 金银 【市场回顾】 1.金银市场: 今天白天,金银再度创出新高。伦敦金将历史高点刷至 4639.723 美元/盎司,伦敦银将历史高点刷至 91.551 美元/盎司。沪金主力合约将历史高点 刷至 1041 元/克,最终收于 1040.62,涨幅 ...
每日核心期货品种分析-20260114
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-01-14 11:12
地址:北京市朝阳区朝阳门外大街甲 6 号万通中心 D 座 20 层(100020) 总机:010-8535 6666 注:本报告有关现货市场的资讯与行情信息,来源于安云思、肥易通、国家统计局、隆众资讯、金十数 据、EIA、OPEC、IEA 等。 本公司具备期货交易咨询业务资格,请务必阅读免责声明。 本报告中的信息均来源于公开资料,我公司对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证。报告中的内容和 意见仅供参考,并不构成对所述品种买卖的出价或征价。我公司及其雇员对使用本报告及其内容所引发的 任何直接或间接损失概不负责。本报告仅向特定客户传送,版权归冠通期货所有。未经我公司书面许可, 任何机构和个人均不得以任何形式翻版,复制,引用或转载。如引用、转载、刊发,须注明出处为冠通期 货股份有限公司。 每日核心期货品种分析 发布日期:2026 年 1 月 14 日 商品表现 数据来源:Wind、冠通研究咨询部 分析师:王静,执业资格证号 F0235424/Z0000771。 苏妙达,执业资格证号 F03104403/Z0018167。 免责声明: 行情分析 沪铜: 沪铜高开高走,日内上涨。美国劳工部发布的 12 月通胀数据显示 ...