美联储降息预期
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刚刚,现货黄金涨破4410美元!
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-12-22 09:04
相较于黄金的稳健攀升,白银与铂金的涨势更为凌厉。放眼全年,现货白银、珀金、钯金今年累计涨幅 分别达到128%、112%、80%,走出了一轮波澜壮阔的行情。 本轮贵金属价格上涨的逻辑清晰明确,基本面支撑坚实有力。2025年,白银成为全球表现最强的资产之 一,全年涨幅一度突破120%,远超黄金的64%。白银作为导电性最强的金属,已成为光伏电池、新能 源汽车电控系统和AI服务器散热模块中不可或缺的"工业血液"。然而,供应端却难以跟上。2024年全球 白银矿产量为2.52万吨,较十年前下降近10%。且白银多为伴生矿属性导致供应弹性不足,市场连续五 年呈现结构性供应缺口,2025年缺口预计达9500万盎司。叠加COMEX等核心市场库存降至近十年低 位,现货紧缺触发逼空行情,再配合美联储降息带来的金融属性提振,多重因素推动银价加速上行。铂 族金属则迎来价值重估行情,南非作为全球70%铂金的产地,受电力短缺、成本激增等因素影响,2025 年产量预计同比下降6%,全球铂金市场已连续三年短缺,年度供应缺口扩大至约96.4万盎司。叠加现 货流动性危机,再加上氢能产业发展与汽车催化剂需求的双重支撑,机构预测铂金上行趋势或延续至 2 ...
贵金属市场集体狂欢!黄金白银刷新历史新高,铂钯跟涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 08:49
北京商报讯(记者 宋亦桐 周义力)贵金属市场集体迎来"高光"时刻。12月22日,黄金、白银、铂金、 钯金四大贵金属品种同步发力,奏响上涨"主旋律"。Wind数据显示,截至15:00,伦敦金现盘中冲高至 4420.070美元/盎司,突破10月20日4381.48美元/盎司的前期高点,刷新历史纪录;伦敦银现更是首度站 上69美元/盎司关口,盘中最高触及69.45美元/盎司,同步改写历史峰值。国际期货市场亦同步跟涨, COMEX黄金攀升至4443.5美元/盎司,COMEX白银期货冲高至69.525美元/盎司,均再创历史新高。 体工业需求的复苏程度,其走势与全球宏观经济景气度的绑定更深,与黄金的相关性可能减弱。"2026 年大概率将形成黄金引领、白银高波动跟随、铂金钯金回归自身供需基本面的分化格局。"武泽伟如是 说道。 行情火热之下,投资者的参与策略备受关注,明明提示,尽管当前宏观环境对贵金属板块整体有利,但 核心品种价格已处于历史高位区间,投资者需充分认知潜在风险,结合自身风险承受能力谨慎参与交 易。 武泽伟则进一步强调,投资者需理性认识本轮上涨的核心逻辑,其本质是长期驱动因素累积的结果,而 非短期投机炒作催生的行 ...
贵金属上演疯狂星期一,黄金、白银、铂金齐创历史新高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 08:38
潮新闻客户端 记者 吴恩慧 截至下午4点发稿时,WIND数据显示,现货黄金继续攀升,盘中站上4420美元/盎司,突破10月20日创下的历史纪录(4381.484美元/盎司),再创新高。至 此,现货黄金价格年内涨幅超68%。 | 山东黄金 | | 38.08 | 4.56% | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600547.SH | | | | | | | 紫金矿业 | | 32.53 | 4.53% | | | | 601899.SH | | | | | | | 中金黄金 | | 23.85 | 4.29% | | | | 600489.SH | | | | | | | 四川黄金 | | 29.33 | 3.86% | | | | 001337.SZ | | | | | | | 赤峰黄金 | | 33.10 | 3.60% | | | | 600988.SH | | | | | | | 招金黄金 | | 13.80 | 3.14% | | | | 000506.SZ | | | | | | | 湖南貢金 | | 21.83 | 2.73% | | | | ...
贵金属日评-20251222
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-22 08:01
行业 贵金属日评 日期 2025 年 12 月 22 日 宏观金融团队 研究员:何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 021-60635739 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3008762 研究员:黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3051589 研究员:聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03124070 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、贵金属行情及展望 日内行情: 美国公布的 11 月就业与通胀数据整体偏弱,美联储降息预期重新发酵打压美 元指数并刺激贵金属市场,近期贵金属价格仍然易涨难跌;广期所对铂钯期货实 施交易限额风险管理措施,意在为近期飙升的工业贵金属市场降温。总体看在美 联储宽松货币政策和全球增长前景改善等因素影响下,近期贵金属板块将继续偏 强运行,建议投资者继续持偏多思路参与贵金属交易,空头套保者适当降低仓位 规模,关注美国经济就业通胀形势对美联储降息预期的影响。 | 表1: | 国内贵金属行 ...
国际金价,再创新高!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 07:40
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights that gold prices have reached historic highs, with the February 2026 futures price surpassing $4,430 per ounce on the New York Commodity Exchange and spot gold prices in London exceeding $4,400 per ounce [1][3] - The surge in gold prices is attributed to escalating geopolitical tensions and market expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3] - Central banks around the world are continuing to purchase gold, and there has been a significant inflow of funds into gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs), contributing to the rising prices [3] Group 2 - Bloomberg reports that gold-backed ETFs have seen five consecutive weeks of inflows, indicating strong investor interest [3] - According to the World Gold Council, the total holdings of these funds have been increasing every month this year, except for May [3]
现货黄金,突破4400美元
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-12-22 07:39
Core Viewpoint - Gold and other precious metals have experienced significant price increases, reaching historical highs, driven by market conditions and economic indicators. Group 1: Gold Prices - Spot and futures gold prices surged, with London gold breaking the $4,400 per ounce mark, reaching $4,401.274 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 67% [1] - COMEX gold stabilized above $4,430 per ounce, currently at $4,430.9 per ounce, also a historical high [3] Group 2: Domestic Gold Prices - Domestic gold prices have been adjusted upwards, with Chow Tai Fook's gold price reaching 1,368 yuan per gram, a daily increase of 0.59% [5] - Other brands such as Lao Miao and Chow Sang Sang also reported prices exceeding 1,365 yuan per gram [5][6] Group 3: Other Precious Metals - Silver prices also reached historical highs, with London silver at $69.229 per ounce, a daily increase of 3.25%, and COMEX silver at $69.375 per ounce, up 2.79% [7] - Spot platinum prices rose to $2,055.7 per ounce, surpassing $2,000 per ounce for the first time since 2008, with a year-to-date increase of over 127% [7] Group 4: Market Influences - Citic Securities noted that the U.S. November CPI unexpectedly cooled, leading to market adjustments regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in 2026, which strengthened precious metal prices [8] - Galaxy Futures indicated that the Bank of Japan's cautious stance on future monetary policy and the U.S. inflation data contributed to a favorable outlook for gold and silver prices [9]
国际金价,再创新高!
新华网财经· 2025-12-22 07:39
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that gold prices have reached historical highs, with the February 2026 gold futures on the New York Commodity Exchange surpassing $4,430 per ounce, and London spot gold prices exceeding $4,400 per ounce [2][4] - The article attributes the surge in gold prices to escalating geopolitical tensions and market expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4] - Continuous purchases of gold by central banks and inflows into gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have also contributed to the rising gold prices, with data indicating that gold-backed ETFs have seen five consecutive weeks of inflows [4]
现货黄金,突破4400美元!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 07:20
Core Viewpoint - Precious metals, including gold and silver, have collectively surged, reaching new historical highs as of December 22, with significant price increases noted in both spot and futures markets [1][8]. Gold Market - Spot gold in London has surpassed the $4,400 per ounce mark, reaching $4,401.274 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase of over 67% [1][10]. - COMEX gold has stabilized at $4,430.9 per ounce, also marking a new historical high [3][10]. Domestic Gold Prices - Domestic gold prices have been adjusted upwards, with Chow Tai Fook's gold price reaching 1,368 RMB per gram, reflecting a daily increase of 0.59% [5][12]. - Other brands such as Lao Miao and Chow Sang Sang have also reported prices exceeding 1,365 RMB per gram [5][12]. Silver Market - Both spot and futures silver prices have reached new historical highs, with London silver at $69.229 per ounce, showing a daily increase of 3.25%, and COMEX silver at $69.375 per ounce, with a daily increase of 2.79% [6][14]. Platinum Market - Spot platinum has also seen significant gains, reaching $2,055.7 per ounce, marking the first time it has surpassed $2,000 per ounce since 2008, with a year-to-date increase of over 127% [6][14]. Market Analysis - CITIC Securities indicates that the unexpected cooling of the U.S. November CPI has led to an upward revision of market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in 2026, contributing to the strength of precious metals [7][15]. - Galaxy Futures notes that the Bank of Japan's cautious stance on future monetary policy has weakened the yen, alleviating potential global liquidity tightening pressures, while U.S. inflation data has unexpectedly shown moderation, reinforcing a trend of slowing economic growth [8][15]. - Galaxy Futures anticipates that gold and silver prices are likely to maintain a strong trend in the near term, although market liquidity changes during the holiday period may impact price volatility [8][15].
现货黄金,突破4400美元!
中国基金报· 2025-12-22 07:16
Core Viewpoint - Precious metals, including gold and silver, have collectively surged, reaching new historical highs, with gold breaking the $4,400 per ounce mark for the first time, reflecting a year-to-date increase of over 67% [1]. Group 1: Gold Market - As of December 22, spot and futures gold prices have continued to rise, with London gold reaching $4,401.274 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 67% [1]. - COMEX gold has stabilized around $4,430 per ounce, also setting a new historical high [3]. - Domestic gold prices have been adjusted upwards, with Chow Tai Fook's gold price reaching 1,368 RMB per gram, reflecting a daily increase of 0.59% [5]. Group 2: Silver and Other Precious Metals - On December 22, both spot and futures silver prices have hit new historical highs, with London silver at $69.229 per ounce, showing a daily increase of 3.25% [8]. - COMEX silver is reported at $69.375 per ounce, with a daily increase of 2.79% [8]. - Spot platinum has also seen significant gains, reaching $2,055.7 per ounce, the first time it has surpassed $2,000 since 2008, with a year-to-date increase of over 127% [8]. Group 3: Market Influences - Citic Securities indicates that the unexpected cooling of the U.S. November CPI has led to an adjustment in market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in 2026, contributing to the strength of precious metals [9]. - Galaxy Futures notes that the Bank of Japan's cautious stance on future monetary policy, combined with unexpectedly mild U.S. inflation data, has reinforced a trend of economic slowdown, leading to a cautious optimism regarding future interest rate cuts [10]. - The overall market sentiment is influenced by abundant liquidity and strong supply constraints, driving commodity prices to challenge historical highs [9].
涨疯了!刚刚密集涨停!这些品种再度狂飙!
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-22 06:52
Group 1: Precious Metals Market Trends - Silver prices surged over 6% today, with platinum and palladium futures also hitting their daily limit, as global markets enter the "Christmas mode" and major financial markets prepare for holiday closures [1][2] - Year-to-date, silver has increased by 137%, while tungsten concentrate prices have risen by 202% [1][4] - The recent week saw silver prices rise by 8.27%, and tungsten powder prices increased by approximately 18% [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Jiexin International Resources (03858.HK) experienced a significant rise, with its stock price increasing over 11% today, marking a threefold increase since its IPO on August 28 [1][4] - The domestic stock market's precious metals sector has outperformed, with gains exceeding 3% and an annual increase of over 80% [2] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The recent surge in tungsten prices is attributed to tight supply and structural growth in demand, with prices reaching historical highs [5] - Global tungsten supply is expected to remain tight over the next 3-5 years due to declining ore grades and stricter regulations, which will likely drive prices higher [5][4] - The global tungsten production is projected to increase from 79,500 tons in 2023 to 89,900 tons by 2028, while demand is expected to rise from 96,200 tons to 110,000 tons in the same period, leading to an expanding supply-demand gap [5]