Core Viewpoint - The situation in Venezuela's oil sector is becoming increasingly critical due to geopolitical tensions and U.S. sanctions, which may lead to a significant reduction in oil production and impact global oil prices [3][6]. Group 1: Oil Storage and Production - Venezuela's main oil storage facilities and docked tankers are rapidly filling with crude oil, expected to reach maximum storage capacity in about 10 days [3]. - Following the seizure of a tanker and U.S. plans to block other sanctioned vessels, Venezuela's oil storage capacity is under severe strain, potentially forcing the state-owned oil company to shut down some oil wells [5]. - The Amuay refinery, Venezuela's largest, has resumed production after a power outage, with a daily capacity of 645,000 barrels, crucial for domestic fuel supply and oil exports [5]. Group 2: Geopolitical Tensions and Oil Prices - Geopolitical risk concerns have escalated, driving oil prices higher, with international oil prices rising over 3% following U.S. President Trump's order to fully block all sanctioned tankers entering or leaving Venezuela [6]. - Trinidad and Tobago's Prime Minister stated that the country does not intend to get involved in the U.S.-Venezuela conflict, emphasizing national security and interests [7]. - The Trinidad and Tobago government has allowed U.S. military aircraft to temporarily use its airports, which Venezuela criticizes as part of a hostile agenda against it [9]. Group 3: International Reactions - UN Secretary-General Guterres has called for restraint from both the U.S. and Venezuela, urging adherence to international law to maintain regional peace [10]. - President Trump has labeled the current Venezuelan government as a "foreign terrorist organization" and ordered the blockade of all sanctioned oil tankers [10].

宝城期货原油早报-2025-12-18 品种晨会纪要 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 期货研究报告 晨会纪要 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 原油 2602 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 偏强 | 偏强运行 | 美委冲突升级，原油震荡企稳 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货能源化工板块 原油（SC） 日内观点：偏强 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：偏强运行 核心逻辑：近期沙特将其主要原油品种对亚洲的售价下调至五年来最低水平，与此同时全球原油库 存不断累积，原油市场正处在供应压力不断增大的阶段。此外，原油市场月差及成品油裂解价差走 弱均显示油市供需偏弱结构。随着美国 ...

汇通财经APP讯——在2025年年末的全球金融市场中，价格犹如脱缰野马般强劲上扬，受到美国就业数据疲软、美联储降息预期重燃以及地缘政治紧张局势 升级等多重因素的合力推动，周三（12月17日）黄金价格继续攀升，盘中最高曾触及4348.70美元/盎司，收报4338美元/盎司附近，涨幅接近1%。与此同 时，价格更是突破66美元大关，创下历史新高66.88美元/盎司，铂金也触及逾17年最高点。周四（12月18日）亚市早盘，现货黄金窄幅震荡，目前交投于 4340美元/盎司附近，本交易日重点关注特朗普的全国讲话和延迟公布的美国11月CPI数据。 就业数据疲软点燃降息预期 美国11月就业数据发布后，市场情绪迅速转向乐观，尽管新增就业岗位达到6.4万个，超出预期，但失业率意外升至4.6%，创下2021年9月以来最高水平。这 一数据揭示了劳动力市场的潜在疲软迹象，投资者普遍解读为美联储可能加速降息的信号。黄金作为非孽息资产，在低利率环境下往往表现出色，因为降息 会降低持有黄金的机会成本，从而吸引更多资金流入。 除了经济数据的影响，国际地缘政治局势的恶化也为黄金提供了强劲支撑。美国总统特朗普周二下令封锁所有进出委内瑞拉的受制裁油 ...

美封锁委内瑞拉油轮，国际油价上涨近2% 。 编辑 | 赵方婷 当 地 时 间 12 月 17 日 ， 在 美 国 总 统 特 朗 普 下 令 全 面 封 锁 所 有 进 出 委 内 瑞 拉 的 受 制 裁 油 轮 后，市场对地缘政治风险担忧升温，推动油价走高，国际原油价格上涨近2%。 截至伦敦时间13时0 2分，布伦特原油期货价格上涨9 9美分，涨幅约1.7%，报每桶59.91 美元；美国西得克萨斯中质原油上涨97美分，涨幅约1.8%，报每桶5 6 . 2 4美元。 欢迎分享给你的朋友！ 出品 | 中国能源报（c n e n e rg y） 来源：央视新闻客户端 End ...

谷歌与Meta Platform 片软件支持 亚马逊宣布重组人工智 (国际宏观) 地缘政治扰动推动油价 【市场回顾】 北京时间12月18日，日韩股市开盘齐跌；甲骨文百亿美元数据中心融资受阻；谷歌正与Meta Platforms合作，扩大对AI芯片的软件支持；亚马逊宣布重组其 人工智能相关项目团队；市场对地缘政治风险担忧升温，推动油价走高。 甲骨文百亿美元数据中 当地时间12月17日，欧洲三大股指收盘涨跌不一，德国DAX指数跌0.02%报24072.25点，法国CAC40指数跌0.25%报8086.05点，英国富时100指数涨0.92%报 9774.32点。 【个股资讯】 据英国金融时报，甲骨文在AI基础设施扩张计划上遭遇重大挫折，其最大的数据中心合作伙伴Blue Owl Capital已决定不再支持一项价值100亿美元的数据中 心项目。甲骨文随后回应称，该项目的谈判仍然按计划进行，整体推进情况符合预期，且交易中不包括Blue Owl Capital。 谷歌正与Meta Platforms合作，扩大对AI芯片的软件支持。谷歌和Meta Platforms项目旨在让TPU在AI程序构建工具PyTorch上良好运行 ...

Market Overview - On December 17, U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.47%, S&P 500 down 1.16%, and Nasdaq down 1.81% [1] - Major technology stocks experienced significant declines, with Oracle dropping over 5%, Tesla down over 4%, and Nvidia down nearly 4%, resulting in a market value loss of $164.8 billion (approximately 1160.8 billion RMB) [2][3] Sector Performance - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell by 3.78%, with notable declines in ASML, ARM, AMD, Broadcom, TSMC, and Intel, all dropping over 3% [2] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index decreased by 0.73%, with individual stocks like Huya down over 4% and several others, including NIO and Li Auto, down over 3% [3] Commodity Market - WTI crude oil prices surged, with an increase of over 3% during trading, closing up more than 2.9% due to geopolitical concerns following U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan oil tankers [4] - Silver reached a new historical high at $66 per ounce, while gold was reported at $4338 per ounce [5] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market saw a collective decline, with Bitcoin dropping to $86,104 per coin, reflecting a decrease of 1.87% [6] - Over the past 24 hours, more than 150,000 traders experienced liquidation in the crypto market [5][7] Economic Indicators - According to CME data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January is 24.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 75.6% [7]

Market Overview - On December 17, U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.47%, S&P 500 down 1.16%, and Nasdaq down 1.81% [1] - Major technology stocks experienced significant declines, with Oracle dropping over 5%, Tesla down over 4%, and Nvidia falling nearly 4%, resulting in a total market value loss of $164.8 billion (approximately 1160.8 billion RMB) [2] Sector Performance - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell by 3.78%, with notable declines in stocks such as ASML, ARM, and AMD, each dropping over 5%, while Broadcom fell over 4% and TSMC and Intel dropped more than 3% [2] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index decreased by 0.73%, with individual stocks like Huya down over 4% and several others, including NIO and Li Auto, down over 3% [3] Commodity Market - WTI crude oil prices surged, with an increase of over 3% during the day, closing up more than 2.9% due to geopolitical concerns following U.S. President Trump's order to block all sanctioned oil tankers from entering Venezuela [4] - Silver reached a new historical high at $66 per ounce, while gold was reported at $4338 per ounce [4] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market saw a collective decline, with Bitcoin dropping to $86104 per coin, reflecting a decrease of 1.87% [5] - Over the past 24 hours, more than 154,000 traders experienced liquidation, totaling $526 million in losses [5] Federal Reserve Outlook - According to CME's FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January is 24.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 75.6% [5]

截至伦敦时间13时02分，布伦特原油期货价格上涨99美分，涨幅约1.7%，报每桶59.91美元；美国西得 克萨斯中质原油上涨97美分，涨幅约1.8%，报每桶56.24美元。（总台记者 马天静 报道员 陈果） 总台记者获悉，当地时间12月17日，在美国总统特朗普下令全面封锁所有进出委内瑞拉的受制裁油轮 后，市场对地缘政治风险担忧升温，推动油价走高，国际原油价格上涨近2%。 ...

截至伦敦时间13时02分，布伦特原油期货价格上涨99美分，涨幅约1.7%，报每桶59.91美元；美国西得 克萨斯中质原油上涨97美分，涨幅约1.8%，报每桶56.24美元。（央视新闻） 当地时间12月17日，在美国总统特朗普下令全面封锁所有进出委内瑞拉的受制裁油轮后，市场对地缘政 治风险担忧升温，推动油价走高，国际原油价格上涨近2%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - International oil prices experienced a sharp increase due to reports of the U.S. preparing new sanctions against Russia if Moscow refuses to accept a peace proposal regarding the Ukraine conflict [1][4]. Group 1: U.S. Sanctions on Russia - The U.S. is considering new sanctions targeting the "shadow fleet" of oil tankers used for transporting Russian oil, as well as traders facilitating these transactions [4][5]. - These sanctions are being prepared to apply pressure on President Putin to accept a peace agreement with Ukraine, with potential announcements expected as early as this week [5]. - Ongoing negotiations between U.S. and Ukrainian representatives have made progress on potential peace agreement terms, although key issues remain unresolved [5]. Group 2: Impact on Oil Prices - Brent crude oil futures rose by as much as 2.4%, surpassing $60 per barrel, driven by geopolitical risks and expectations of sanctions against both Venezuela and Russia [1][4]. - The recent actions taken by the Trump administration against Venezuela, including a comprehensive maritime blockade, have also contributed to the upward trend in oil prices [6].