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警惕无形之“险”:无形资产实缴对上市企业的风险浅谈
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-11 01:48
Group 1: Core Insights - The article highlights the risks and challenges associated with the contribution of intangible assets in the process of overseas listing for companies [2] - It emphasizes the need for companies to be aware of the potential legal and tax implications arising from the overvaluation of intangible assets [4][8] Group 2: Assessment Risks - There is a risk of inflated valuations of intangible assets, which can lead to legal liabilities for shareholders if the actual value is lower than the assessed value [5] - Assessment institutions may also face legal consequences if their evaluations are found to be inaccurate, as they are responsible for the accuracy of their reports [6] Group 3: Tax Risks - Personal income tax implications arise when shareholders contribute intangible assets, with a 20% tax on capital gains from the transfer of such assets [8] - Corporate income tax benefits can be affected by the overvaluation of intangible assets, leading to potential tax liabilities and penalties if discrepancies are identified by tax authorities [9] - Value-added tax (VAT) treatment varies based on the classification of intangible assets, with potential exemptions for technology-related assets if conditions are met [10] Group 4: Recommendations - Companies are advised to select reputable assessment institutions and establish internal review mechanisms to ensure fair valuations of intangible assets [12] - It is recommended to include liability clauses in contracts with assessment institutions to mitigate risks associated with inaccurate evaluations [12]
河南省委书记刘宁、省长王凯会见吴清
券商中国· 2025-07-11 01:27
据河南发布,7月10日,河南省委书记刘宁、省长王凯在郑州会见中国证监会党委书记、主席吴清一行。 吴清感谢河南省委、省政府对中国证监会工作的大力支持。他表示,中国证监会将坚决贯彻落实党中央、国务 院决策部署,坚持稳中求进、以进促稳,立足自身职能,结合地方所需,进一步全面深化资本市场改革,完善 制度和产品供给,充分发挥多层次市场功能,在助力科技创新与产业创新深度融合、提高上市公司质量、防控 金融风险、拓展期货市场服务广度深度、支持乡村振兴和对口帮扶等方面与地方加强沟通合作,为河南落实国 家战略和高质量发展提供有力金融支撑。 来源:河南发布 责编:王璐璐 校对: 祝甜婷 百万用户都在看 重大利好!暴增1883%! 红海,突发!击沉! 刚刚,大涨100%!周杰伦,彻底引爆! 重大转变!特朗普,突然宣布! 事关降息!美联储,重磅传来! 违法和不良信息举报电话:0755-83514034 邮箱:bwb@stcn.com ...
聚乙烯风险管理日报-20250711
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-07-11 01:18
聚乙烯风险管理日报 戴一帆(投资咨询证号:Z0015428) 顾恒烨(期货从业证号:F03143348 ) 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1290号 聚乙烯价格区间预测 | | 价格区间预测(月度) | 当前波动率(20日滚动) | 当前波动率历史百分位(3年) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 聚乙烯 | 7100-7500 | 14.45% | 34.0% | source: 南华研究,同花顺 聚乙烯套保策略表 近日在宏观情绪和焦煤价格的推动下,聚烯烃盘面上行。从基本面看,PE同样存在向上驱动。一方面是其供给端压力得到边际缓解:1)当前PE 装置检修依然较多,开工率处于低位,预计集中检修季将持续至7月中旬;2)由于HDPE-LLDPE的价差持续处于高位,部分全密度装置由LLDPE 转产HDPE,给标品LLDPE供给带来边际缩量,与此同时,虽然HDPE供给量有所增加,但由于其当前但供需情况较好,库存处于极低水平,短期 内HDPE市场尚能够消化转产所带来的供给压力;3)先前的以伊冲突导致伊朗聚烯烃装置出停工的情况,虽然目前已逐步恢复,但预计7-8月的 PE进口仍将因此出现小幅 ...
聚丙烯风险管理日报-20250711
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-07-11 01:13
聚丙烯风险管理日报 戴一帆(投资咨询证号:Z0015428) 顾恒烨(期货从业证号:F03143348 ) 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1290号 聚丙烯价格区间预测 | | 价格区间预测(月度) | 当前波动率(20日滚动) | 当前波动率历史百分位(3年) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 聚丙烯 | 7000-7300 | 13.38% | 30.7% | source: 南华研究,同花顺 聚丙烯套保策略表 | 行为导 | 情景分析 | 现货敞 | 策略推荐 | 套保工具 | 买卖方 | 套保比例(%) | 建议入场区 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 向 | | 口 | | | 向 | | 间 | | | | | 为了防止存货跌价损 失,可以根据企业的库 存情况,做空聚丙烯期 | PP2509 | 卖出 | 25% | 7200-7250 | | | | | 货来锁定利润,弥补企 | | | | | | 库存管 | 产成品库存偏高,担心聚丙烯价 | 多 | 业的生产成本 | | | | | | ...
西南地区华南等地持续降雨 福建广东局地有大暴雨
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-11 01:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the severe weather conditions caused by the residual vortex of "Danas," leading to heavy rainfall and potential natural disasters in various regions of China, particularly in Guangdong and Fujian [1][3] - On July 10, parts of the coastal areas of Fujian, Guangdong, Hong Kong, and central-southern Taiwan experienced heavy to extremely heavy rainfall, with some areas in Guangdong's Jieyang exceeding 400 millimeters in a single day [1] - The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a blue rainstorm warning, predicting continued heavy rainfall in regions such as northeastern Guangdong and southeastern Fujian, with rainfall amounts expected to reach between 100 to 150 millimeters in some areas [3] Group 2 - Meteorological experts have warned of high risks for mountain floods in eastern Guangdong and geological disasters in southeastern Fujian and eastern Guangdong due to the ongoing heavy rainfall [3] - The forecast for the next three days indicates thunderstorms and heavy rain in regions including Inner Mongolia, northern Hebei, and the Sichuan basin, while high temperatures are expected to develop in North China and the Huanghuai region, with Jinan projected to exceed 37°C for the week [3]
地产“弱现实、强预期”对债市的影响探讨
2025-07-11 01:05
Q&A 地产"弱现实、强预期"对债市的影响探讨 20250710 摘要 债券市场调整受多重因素影响,包括资金面回升、股票风险偏好提升以 及城市更新政策预期,其中央行回笼逆回购导致资金面紧张,R01 重回 1.4,一年期存单利率上升。 未来资金面紧张可能缓解,因季节性因素消除及财政支出,央行对资金 面高度控制,资金面大幅走紧可能性较低;股票风险偏好上修持续性存 疑,对债市的利空影响或有限。 城市更新政策对楼市影响不确定,放松限购和降低首付效果有限,居民 投资意愿降低;城市更新推进依赖专项债,但拆迁成本与收益平衡,短 期内难以形成显著效果。 房地产市场信用风险可控,头部房企融资成本较低,资产贬值空间有限; 但估值风险依然存在,销售计划不及预期或项目事件可能导致估值波动, 关注地方政府支持力度大的主体。 当前市场处于"弱现实,强预期"阶段,短期内资金面未实质性宽松, 风偏仍高;建议逢高配置债券,下半年政府债券发行将改善,美元走弱 人民币升值或带来降息窗口。 近期股债市场的表现如何?有哪些主要因素影响了市场走势? 近期股债市场表现受到多重因素影响。首先,地产板块在 A 股市场表现突出, 全板块上涨了三个点,收益也有小 ...
五矿期货能源化工日报-20250711
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-07-11 01:03
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The current geopolitical risks in the crude oil market are still uncertain. Although OPEC has increased production slightly more than expected, the current fundamentals remain in a tight - balance. Crude oil is in a long - short game between strong reality and weak expectations. It is recommended that investors control risks and adopt a wait - and - see approach [2] - Methanol is currently in a situation of weak supply and demand. With the improvement of domestic commodity sentiment, the upward and downward space is limited. It is recommended to wait and see [3] - The supply and demand of domestic urea are acceptable, and the price has support at the bottom, but the upside is also restricted by high supply. The current valuation is neutral to low, and it is more advisable to pay attention to short - long opportunities on dips [5] - For rubber, it is expected to be easy to rise and difficult to fall in the second half of the year. Adopt a long - term bullish mindset, build positions opportunistically, and use a neutral - to - bullish short - term strategy [8][12] - PVC is expected to have strong supply and weak demand. The main logic of the market is inventory reduction and weakening. It will be under pressure in the future [14] - The price of styrene is expected to fluctuate following the cost side [17] - The price of polyethylene is expected to remain volatile [19] - The price of polypropylene is expected to be bearish in July [20] - For PX, after the end of the maintenance season, the load remains high. It is expected to continue to reduce inventory in the third quarter. Pay attention to the opportunity of going long on dips following crude oil [23] - For PTA, the supply is expected to continue to accumulate inventory, and the demand side is slightly under pressure. Pay attention to the opportunity of going long on dips following PX [24] - For ethylene glycol, the fundamentals are weak, and pay attention to the opportunity of short - selling on rallies [25] Summary by Directory Crude Oil - **Market Quotes**: WTI main crude oil futures fell $1.42, or 2.08%, to $66.87; Brent main crude oil futures fell $1.30, or 1.85%, to $68.88; INE main crude oil futures rose 2.80 yuan, or 0.54%, to 522.5 yuan [1] - **Data**: Singapore ESG weekly oil product data showed that gasoline inventory decreased by 0.37 million barrels to 12.00 million barrels, a 2.97% decrease; diesel inventory decreased by 0.15 million barrels to 9.74 million barrels, a 1.51% decrease; fuel oil inventory increased by 1.33 million barrels to 24.71 million barrels, a 5.68% increase; total refined oil inventory increased by 0.81 million barrels to 46.46 million barrels, a 1.78% increase [1] Methanol - **Market Quotes**: On July 10, the 09 contract rose 26 yuan/ton to 2398 yuan/ton, and the spot price rose 15 yuan/ton, with a basis of + 8 [3] - **Supply**: Domestic operating rate continued to decline by 3.89%, coal - to - methanol profit increased slightly, and overseas plant operating rate returned to medium - high levels [3] - **Demand**: Port MTO load decreased slightly, traditional demand operating rates varied, and it is currently the off - season. Downstream profit levels are generally low, and methanol valuation is still high [3] - **Inventory**: Both port and enterprise inventories increased during the off - season [3] Urea - **Market Quotes**: On July 10, the 09 contract rose 7 yuan/ton to 1777 yuan/ton, and the spot price rose 10 yuan/ton, with a basis of + 53 [5] - **Supply**: Domestic operating rate increased slightly, with a daily output of 19.6 tons, and the overall corporate profit is at a medium - low level [5] - **Demand**: The operating rate of compound fertilizers has bottomed out and rebounded, and exports are still ongoing. Future demand is concentrated in compound fertilizers and exports [5] Rubber - **Market Quotes**: Due to the bullish expectations in the real estate market, most industrial products rose, and NR and RU rose significantly [8] - **Long - Short Views**: Bulls believe that factors in Southeast Asia may lead to rubber production cuts, and rubber usually rises in the second half of the year. Bears think that the macro - economic outlook has deteriorated, demand is in the off - season, and the production cut may be less than expected [8] - **Industry Situation**: As of July 10, 2025, the operating rate of all - steel tires in Shandong was 64.54%, up 0.81 percentage points from last week and 5.59 percentage points from the same period last year. The operating rate of semi - steel tires in domestic tire enterprises was 72.55%, up 2.51 percentage points from last week and down 6.36 percentage points from the same period last year. Tire enterprises' shipment rhythm has slowed down, and inventory is under pressure [9] - **Inventory**: As of June 29, 2025, China's natural rubber social inventory was 129.3 tons, a 0.6% increase; the total inventory of dark - colored rubber was 78.9 tons, a 1.2% increase; the total inventory of light - colored rubber was 50.5 tons, a 0.3% decrease. As of July 7, 2025, the inventory of natural rubber in Qingdao was 50.52 (- 0.14) tons [10] - **Spot Prices**: Thai standard mixed rubber was 14150 (+ 300) yuan, STR20 was reported at 1735 (+ 30) dollars, STR20 mixed was 1740 (+ 30) dollars, Jiangsu and Zhejiang butadiene was 9100 (+ 50) yuan, and North China butadiene was 11200 (0) yuan [11] PVC - **Market Quotes**: The PVC09 contract rose 77 yuan to 5040 yuan, the spot price of Changzhou SG - 5 was 4860 (+ 70) yuan/ton, the basis was - 180 (- 7) yuan/ton, and the 9 - 1 spread was - 103 (- 8) yuan/ton [14] - **Cost**: The price of calcium carbide in Wuhai was 2250 (0) yuan/ton, the price of medium - grade semi - coke was 620 (- 10) yuan/ton, ethylene was 820 (0) dollars/ton, and the cost remained flat. The spot price of caustic soda was 820 (+ 10) yuan/ton [14] - **Supply**: The overall PVC operating rate was 77.4%, a 0.7% decrease; among them, the calcium carbide method was 80.8%, a 0.2% decrease; the ethylene method was 68.5%, a 1.9% decrease [14] - **Demand**: The overall downstream operating rate was 42.9%, a 0.1% increase [14] - **Inventory**: Factory inventory was 38.6 tons (- 0.9), and social inventory was 59.2 tons (+ 1.7) [14] Styrene - **Market Quotes**: Spot prices remained unchanged, while futures prices rose, and the basis weakened [17] - **Cost**: The operating rate of pure benzene increased, and the supply was relatively abundant [17] - **Supply**: The profit of ethylbenzene dehydrogenation increased, and the operating rate of styrene continued to rise. Port inventory increased [17] - **Demand**: In the off - season, the overall operating rate of the three S products decreased [17] Polyethylene - **Market Quotes**: Futures prices rose. The spot price remained unchanged, and the PE valuation has limited downward space [19] - **Supply**: The upstream operating rate was 77.82%, a 0.34% increase. Production enterprise inventory increased by 5.47 tons to 49.31 tons, and trader inventory decreased by 0.09 tons to 6.05 tons [19] - **Demand**: In the off - season, the demand for agricultural films was weak, and the overall operating rate fluctuated downward [19] Polypropylene - **Market Quotes**: Futures prices rose [20] - **Supply**: The profit of Shandong refineries has stopped falling and rebounded, and the operating rate is expected to gradually recover, increasing the supply of propylene [20] - **Demand**: The downstream operating rate decreased seasonally. In the off - season, both supply and demand are weak, and the price is expected to be bearish in July [20] PX - **Market Quotes**: The PX09 contract rose 58 yuan to 6782 yuan, and PX CFR rose 2 dollars to 852 dollars. The basis was 240 yuan (- 45), and the 9 - 1 spread was 64 yuan (- 10) [22] - **Supply**: The operating rate in China was 81%, a 2.8% decrease; the Asian operating rate was 74.1%, a 1.1% increase. Some domestic plants reduced production, while some overseas plants restarted or increased loads [22] - **Demand**: The PTA operating rate was 79.7%, a 1.5% increase [22] - **Inventory**: In late May, the inventory was 434.6 tons, a 16.5 - ton decrease from the previous month [23] - **Valuation**: PXN was 261 dollars (+ 9), and the naphtha crack spread was 84 dollars (+ 11) [23] PTA - **Market Quotes**: The PTA09 contract rose 24 yuan to 4742 yuan, and the East China spot price fell 15 yuan to 4735 yuan. The basis was 7 yuan (- 29), and the 9 - 1 spread was 12 yuan (- 16) [24] - **Supply**: The PTA operating rate was 79.7%, a 1.5% increase. Some plants increased production, and a plant in Taiwan, China restarted [24] - **Demand**: The downstream operating rate was 88.9%, a 1.3% decrease. Some plants restarted or underwent maintenance [24] - **Inventory**: On July 4, the social inventory (excluding credit warehouse receipts) was 213.5 tons, a 1.9 - ton increase [24] - **Valuation**: The spot processing fee of PTA decreased by 24 yuan to 128 yuan, and the futures processing fee decreased by 14 yuan to 293 yuan [24] Ethylene Glycol (EG) - **Market Quotes**: The EG09 contract rose 42 yuan to 4325 yuan, and the East China spot price rose 27 yuan to 4374 yuan. The basis was 70 (- 1), and the 9 - 1 spread was - 33 yuan (- 4) [25] - **Supply**: The EG operating rate was 68.1%, a 1.5% increase; among them, the syngas - based method was 73.1%, a 3.8% increase; the ethylene - based method was 64.2%, a 0.6% decrease. Some domestic and overseas plants restarted [25] - **Demand**: The downstream operating rate was 88.9%, a 1.3% decrease. Some plants restarted or underwent maintenance [25] - **Inventory**: The import forecast was 9.6 tons, and the East China port outbound volume on July 9 was 1.24 tons. Port inventory increased by 3.5 tons to 58 tons [25] - **Valuation**: The profit of naphtha - based production was - 644 yuan, the profit of domestic ethylene - based production was - 704 yuan, and the profit of coal - based production was 951 yuan [25]
标本兼治打造就业友好型环境
第一财经· 2025-07-11 01:02
2025.07. 11 三是扩大以工代赈政策覆盖范围和项目实施规模。这既维护了暂时遭遇失业困难群体的人格尊严,又 强化社会奋进者基因,推动人们更积极地寻求更多就业创业机会,使失业保险等社会防护型保障体系 不仅具有托底和善后的作用,而且散发出托举的功能,营造努力可改变困局的社会风气。 这方面的核心是要把握好尺度,即通过金融杠杆提升就业的资源调动能力,存在一个边际成本的消化 和分担机制。因为金融杠杆是有成本的,何种情况适合通过稳岗扩岗专项贷款来稳就业,需有一个明 晰的评判标准,设定这个标准的一个原则,应是相关专项贷款不会导致任何一方的处境和境况呈边际 恶化态势,不会带来额外的负外部性成本等。 就业是民生之本,稳定之基。 近日国务院办公厅印发《关于进一步加大稳就业政策支持力度的通知》(下称《通知》),明确扩大 稳岗扩岗专项贷款支持范围等举措,着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期,推动经济高质量发展。 当前经济面临复杂的内外部不确定环境,尤其是正值高校毕业季,就业关系到经济社会的稳定和可持 续发展,加大稳就业政策支持力度迫在眉睫。 《通知》最突出的亮点,一是杠杆化就业政策,通过扩大稳岗扩岗专项贷款支持范围,深化政银合 ...
白银闪耀!年内涨幅28%超越黄金,地缘风险与通胀驱动资金加速流入
智通财经网· 2025-07-11 00:46
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that silver prices are on an upward trend due to geopolitical risks, inflation concerns, and positive price expectations, with predictions that silver will surpass gold in investment value by 2025 [1] - In the first half of this year, silver ETF net inflows reached 95 million ounces, surpassing the total for 2024, and bringing global silver ETF holdings to 1.13 billion ounces by the end of June, close to the historical high of 1.21 billion ounces set in early 2021 [1] - The value of silver holdings exceeded $40 billion for the first time in June, with monthly purchases contributing nearly half of the year-to-date increase [1] Group 2 - As of the latest market dynamics, silver futures closed at the second-highest level of the year, with a year-to-date increase of 28%, outpacing gold's 26% [2] - The current market is focused on various silver investment tools, including SLV and PSLV, as well as diversified combinations like GDXJ, NUGT, and others, indicating strong global capital expectations for silver [2] - The real-time price of silver is reported at $37.735 per ounce, reflecting active trading and positive market sentiment towards silver's future [2]
省防范化解重大风险工作领导小组召开会议
Shan Xi Ri Bao· 2025-07-11 00:22
Core Viewpoint - The meeting emphasized the importance of preventing and mitigating major risks, aligning with Xi Jinping's significant discussions on the topic, and highlighted the need for a comprehensive approach to ensure national security and stability [1][2]. Group 1: Political and Economic Security - The meeting underscored the priority of safeguarding national political security, with a focus on preventing and combating hostile forces' infiltration and sabotage activities [2]. - There is a strong emphasis on monitoring and addressing economic risks, particularly through dynamic debt risk monitoring and legal actions against illegal financial activities [2]. Group 2: Social Stability and Governance - The meeting highlighted the importance of addressing social risks by promoting the "Fengqiao Experience" and enhancing legal governance in petition work [2]. - Efforts will be made to strengthen grassroots governance and maintain social order through ongoing anti-crime initiatives [2]. Group 3: Safety and Disaster Preparedness - The meeting called for proactive measures to prevent safety production and natural disaster risks, including comprehensive inspections in various high-risk sectors [2]. - There is a specific focus on flood prevention and disaster response preparations to ensure the safety of people's lives and property [2]. Group 4: Responsibility and Coordination - The meeting stressed the need for strict implementation of responsibilities at all levels, including party and government leaders, to ensure effective risk management and resolution [2]. - A call was made to enhance monitoring, rapid response, and collaborative mechanisms to improve risk perception and management capabilities [2].