Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall operation of the lithium carbonate market this week was stable, in line with previous expectations. The news of illegal waste disposal by Xinghua Lithium Salt Co., Ltd. in Qinghai triggered concerns about environmental compliance, but it has not yet had a substantial impact on the supply - demand fundamentals. The core contradiction of lithium carbonate futures price trends in the next month will focus on supply - side factors such as the resumption of production at Jiuxiaowo, potential disruptions at Qinghai lithium salt enterprises due to environmental inspections, and market sentiment regarding the "930" node in Jiangxi, as well as demand - side factors such as the support of downstream restocking demand during the peak season [1]. - If the "930" shutdown expectation in Jiangxi is not fulfilled after the National Day holiday, some long positions in the futures market may face closing pressure, potentially suppressing prices in the short term. The evolution of demand will also significantly affect prices. If demand support persists, prices are expected to remain in a reasonable range; otherwise, prices may weaken. By the end of October, if the resumption of production at Jiuxiaowo exceeds market expectations, prices will show a weakening trend [2]. - From a national industrial policy perspective, the demand of downstream lithium - battery material enterprises is expected to increase month - on - month by the end of the year, which may provide phased support for lithium carbonate futures prices. It is estimated that before the National Day holiday, lithium carbonate futures prices will fluctuate between 72,000 - 76,000 yuan/ton [2]. Summary by Directory Chapter 1: Core Contradictions and Strategy Recommendations 1.1 Core Contradictions - The current core contradiction in the lithium carbonate market lies in the supply - side factors such as the resumption of production at Jiuxiaowo, potential disruptions at Qinghai lithium salt enterprises due to environmental inspections, and market sentiment regarding the "930" node in Jiangxi, and demand - side factors such as the support of downstream restocking demand during the peak season [1]. - The market focus is first on the "930" shutdown expectation in Jiangxi and further environmental policies. The evolution of demand after the National Day and the resumption of production at Jiuxiaowo in late October will also be crucial for price trends [2]. 1.2 Trading - Type Strategy Recommendations - **Trend Judgment**: Wide - range fluctuations. The price range is 70,000 - 78,000 yuan/ton, with a low - level range of 68,000 - 70,000 yuan/ton and a high - level range of 78,000 - 80,000 yuan/ton [7]. - **Unilateral Strategy**: When the price reaches the high - level range, short positions can be established (preferably above 78,000 yuan/ton) [9]. - **Basis Strategy**: The basis is expected to gradually weaken [9]. - **Calendar Spread Strategy**: Hold the long spread of LC2511 - LC2605 and plan to exit at the end of the month [9]. - **Option Strategy**: Sell LC2511 - P - 70000 or put options with a strike price below 70,000 (preferably enter at a price above 1,000); hold the short position of LC2511 - C - 78000 or call options with a strike price above 78,000 (preferably enter at a price above 1,700) [9]. 1.3 Industry Customer Strategy Recommendations - For lithium - battery enterprises, different hedging strategies are recommended based on different scenarios such as procurement management, sales management, and inventory management, including using futures, on - exchange/over - the - counter options, and different hedging ratios and entry price ranges [11]. Chapter 2: Market Information 2.1 This Week's Main Information - **Positive Information**: The news of illegal waste disposal by Xinghua Lithium Salt Co., Ltd. in Qinghai triggered market concerns; the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will accelerate the R & D and industrialization of forward - looking technologies; Fulin精工's subsidiary received a 1.5 - billion - yuan prepayment from CATL; Ganfeng Lithium's energy - storage cell production capacity is fully utilized [12]. - **Negative Information**: The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is researching and formulating the "15th Five - Year Plan for the Development of the New Battery Industry" to prevent low - level redundant construction [13]. 2.2 Next Week's Main Information No relevant information provided. Chapter 3: Futures and Price Data 3.1 Price - Volume and Capital Interpretation - This week, lithium carbonate futures prices fluctuated widely, with a simultaneous decline in trading volume and open interest. The weighted index contract closed at 74,015 yuan/ton on Friday, up 3.84% week - on - week. The trading volume was about 492,300 lots, down 5.89% week - on - week, and the open interest was about 734,900 lots, down 3.61% week - on - week [16]. - Technical indicators suggest that the market is likely to enter a stage of fluctuating decline, but considering the support of moving averages, it is expected to maintain a wide - range consolidation pattern. The implied volatility of at - the - money options has the possibility of a phased increase [16]. - As the National Day holiday approaches, there are signs of short - position withdrawal, and investors are advised to reduce their positions [18]. - The term structure of lithium carbonate has changed from a backwardation to a contango structure, and there is a possibility of further weakening in the future [21]. - This week, the basis of the lithium carbonate main contract fluctuated. Based on historical data and spot - market fundamentals, the basis may weaken after the end of downstream restocking at the end of the month [25]. 3.2 Spot Price Data - The prices of various lithium - related products in the lithium - battery industry chain showed different trends this week, with some raw materials and products experiencing price increases, while others decreased [27]. Chapter 4: Valuation and Profit Analysis 4.1 Profit Tracking of the Upstream and Downstream of the Industrial Chain - The profits of lithium - salt enterprises that purchase lithium ore externally have been marginally weakening this week, but most enterprises still maintain a certain level of profitability due to previous hedging positions. The profits of enterprises purchasing lithium spodumene have increased, while those purchasing lithium mica have decreased, indicating a shortage of mica ore [28]. - The processing profits of lithium - iron phosphate plants and cobalt - acid lithium plants have started to strengthen this week, while the profit growth of ternary - material plants and manganese - acid lithium plants has decreased marginally, indicating an improvement in demand for lithium - iron phosphate cells [28]. 4.2 Import and Export Profits - Recently, the import profit of lithium carbonate has been decreasing marginally, which may affect future import volumes. In contrast, the export profit of lithium hydroxide has been increasing [32]. Chapter 5: Fundamental Situation 5.1 Lithium Ore Supply - **Domestic Mine Production**: No specific production data was provided, but charts showed the seasonal trends of domestic lithium - ore production [35]. - **Overseas Mine Imports**: No specific import data was provided, but charts showed the import volume of lithium concentrate by country and the monthly import volume of lithium spodumene by country [37]. - **Lithium Ore Inventory**: The domestic lithium - ore inventory has decreased this week, including the total available inventory, trade - merchant inventory, warehouse inventory, and port inventory [39]. 5.2 Upstream Lithium - Salt Supply - **Lithium Carbonate Supply**: The total production of sample enterprises this week was 20,363 tons, an increase of 2.00% week - on - week. The production of lithium carbonate from different sources such as lithium spodumene, lithium mica, salt - lake materials, and recycled materials also showed different trends [41]. - **Lithium Carbonate Net Exports**: No specific net - export data was provided, but a chart showed the seasonal trend of net exports [58]. - **Lithium Carbonate Inventory**: The total weekly inventory of lithium carbonate decreased by 0.71% week - on - week, with a decrease in smelter inventory and an increase in downstream inventory [59]. - **Lithium Hydroxide Supply**: No specific production data was provided, but charts showed the monthly production of lithium hydroxide by process, total monthly production, and production by the smelting and causticizing ends, as well as the seasonal trends of production and operating rates [68]. 5.3 Mid - Stream Material Plant Supply - **Material Plant Production**: The production of various materials such as lithium - iron phosphate, ternary materials, cobalt - acid lithium, manganese - acid lithium, and lithium hexafluorophosphate showed different trends this week, with some increasing and some decreasing [73]. - **Material Plant Inventory**: No specific inventory data was provided, but charts showed the seasonal trends of the total weekly inventory of ternary materials, lithium - iron phosphate, and other materials [83]. 5.4 Downstream Cell Supply - **Power Cell Production**: The weekly production of power cells was 26.01 GWh, an increase of 0.08% week - on - week. The production of iron - lithium and ternary power cells also showed different trends [87]. - **Consumption - Type Cell Production**: No specific monthly production data was provided, but charts showed the monthly production of consumption - type cells by category and the seasonal trends of production [88]. - **Lithium - Battery Installation Volume**: No specific installation - volume data was provided, but charts showed the seasonal trends of the total installation volume of lithium batteries and the installation volume of power lithium batteries by vehicle type [91]. 5.5 New - Energy Vehicles - **New - Energy Vehicle Production and Sales**: The production and sales of new - energy vehicles showed different trends, with the weekly sales of domestic new - energy passenger vehicles increasing by 41.99% week - on - week, and the penetration rate of new - energy vehicles reaching 60.00% [95]. - **New - Energy Commercial Vehicle Production**: The production of new - energy commercial vehicles showed different trends, and charts showed the production volume and seasonal trends [99]. - **Automobile Inventory**: No specific inventory data was provided, but a chart showed the seasonal trend of the domestic automobile dealer inventory warning index [104]. 5.6 Energy Storage - The total bid - winning power and capacity of energy - storage projects showed different trends, and charts showed the total bid - winning capacity and its seasonal trend [106].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The price of lithium carbonate futures contracts showed a strong - running trend this week. The price is expected to fluctuate strongly due to the strong demand in the domestic energy - storage market, although demand may slow down temporarily after the pre - National Day replenishment ends [1][3] - The price of the futures main contract is expected to operate in the range of 70,000 - 75,000 yuan/ton. It is not recommended to conduct arbitrage, and it is suggested to carry out selling hedging for inventory later [4][5] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Price Trends - This week, the lithium carbonate futures contracts showed a strong - running trend. The 2511 contract closed at 73,960 yuan/ton, up 2,800 yuan/ton week - on - week; the 2601 contract closed at 74,040 yuan/ton, up 2,780 yuan/ton week - on - week; the spot price rose 1,050 yuan/ton to 73,500 yuan/ton [1] - The SMM spot - futures basis (2511 contract) fell 1,750 yuan/ton to - 460 yuan/ton, and the Fubao trader's premium/discount quote was - 255 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan/ton week - on - week. The 2511 - 2601 contract spread was - 80 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan/ton month - on - month [1] 3.2 Supply and Demand Fundamentals - **Raw Materials**: In September, the shipments of Australian mines and Chilean lithium salts increased. In the first three weeks of August and September, Australian mines shipped 213,000/238,000 tons, and Chilean lithium salts shipped 17,000/20,000 tons [2] - **Supply**: The weekly output continued to increase and reached a record high of 20,363 tons. The output before the shutdown of sub - standard plants was 19.98 million tons. The output of spodumene, salt lakes, and recycling effectively made up for the reduction in mica output [2] - **Demand**: Benefiting from the capacity - based electricity price compensation, the domestic energy - storage market exceeded expectations in terms of volume. In August, the energy - storage winning bids reached 25.8 GW, a year - on - year increase of 520%. In September, the lithium - battery output is expected to be 168.4 GWh, a month - on - month increase of 5%, including 130.1 GWh of LFP, a 6% month - on - month increase, and 32.8 GWh of ternary batteries, a 2% month - on - month increase. The 3C consumer end also exceeded expectations [2] - **Inventory**: The weekly lithium carbonate inventory decreased to 137,500 tons. The upstream inventory dropped to an absolute low, while the downstream inventory increased to an absolute high. The number of futures warehouse receipts increased to 39,484 tons [2] 3.3 Market Outlook - The demand in the domestic energy - storage market far exceeds market expectations. Although the lithium - salt output has exceeded the level before the shutdown of sub - standard plants, the social inventory continues to decline, and the price trend shows a strong - fluctuating pattern. After the pre - National Day replenishment ends and the rush - buying demand before September 30 due to the subsidies of the US "Big and Beautiful" Act comes to an end, the demand is expected to slow down temporarily but still remain strong [3] 3.4 Trading Strategies - **Unilateral Trading**: The price of the futures main contract is expected to operate in the range of 70,000 - 75,000 yuan/ton [4] - **Inter - period Trading**: The basis strengthens slightly, but the increase in warehouse receipts is obvious. Arbitrage is not recommended [4] - **Hedging**: As the basis is gradually repaired, it is recommended to conduct selling hedging for inventory later [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively pursuing new projects in line with national energy policies, focusing on the "electricity, heat, hydrogen, and storage" sectors, while also addressing shareholder concerns regarding stock repurchase and market value [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Position - As of September 19, 2025, the stock price of Suihengyun A (000531) closed at 6.11 yuan, down 3.93% from the previous week [1] - The current market capitalization is 6.363 billion yuan, ranking 69th out of 102 in the electricity sector and 2722nd out of 5153 in the A-share market [1] Group 2: Project Developments - The company has successfully launched the Modern Hydrogen Technology (Guangzhou) Co., Ltd., which focuses on producing core components for hydrogen fuel cell systems [2] - Ongoing projects include the Knowledge City gas power project, Baiyun gas power project, and initiatives in heat and hydrogen energy, which are either under construction or in planning stages [2] Group 3: Shareholder Engagement and Stock Repurchase - The company has previously repurchased 9.597 million shares, costing approximately 59.77 million yuan, and currently has no further plans for stock repurchase or increase in holdings [2][3] - A stock repurchase plan was approved on December 18, 2024, allowing for the purchase of shares at a price not exceeding 8 yuan per share, with a total amount between 50 million and 100 million yuan [3] Group 4: Strategic Focus and Risk Management - The company aims to enhance its internal value by focusing on its core energy business, improving operational efficiency, and exploring investment opportunities for industry transformation [3] - A risk control and compliance committee has been established to promote standardized operations and reduce operational risks [3]

Core Viewpoint - Tongbao Energy's stock price has decreased by 1.87% to 5.78 yuan, with a market capitalization of 6.627 billion yuan, ranking 66th in the power sector and 2651st in the A-share market [1] Group 1: Company Development and Strategy - The company currently has no plans for energy storage projects but will evaluate future opportunities based on national policy and project feasibility [1] - The company has experienced rapid revenue and net profit growth since 2022, doubling its market value, but has seen a decline in market value by the end of 2023. It follows the CSRC's guidelines for market value management [1][3] - The company prioritizes local resource development for renewable energy projects, focusing on wind and solar energy within its home province [1][3] Group 2: ESG and Corporate Governance - The company is committed to green energy and sustainable development, focusing on energy transition, environmental protection, and employee welfare [2] - There are currently no plans for an equity incentive program to attract and retain core talent [2] - The company did not distribute dividends in 2024 to ensure funding for new clean energy projects, but it will consider future dividend plans based on profitability and funding needs [2][3] Group 3: Financial Management and Capital Expenditure - The company has sufficient cash reserves due to effective fund management and plans to allocate future capital expenditures primarily for new project investments and technological upgrades [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully developed and mass-produced new materials such as silicon-aluminum alloys and aluminum carbide silicon for semiconductor equipment components, indicating a strong focus on innovation and market application [1] Group 1: Product Development - The company has achieved mass production of silicon-aluminum alloys and aluminum carbide silicon for manufacturing semiconductor equipment components like bases, support frames, and electrostatic chucks [1] - The high thermal conductivity solderable die-casting aluminum alloy developed by the company is being actively expanded for applications in energy storage and liquid cooling systems for computing centers [1] Group 2: Material Advantages - The new aluminum alloy material is suitable for high-pressure die-casting and high-temperature soldering processes, offering significant advantages over some existing solderable die-casting materials by not including precious metals like nickel and vanadium [1] - The material demonstrates excellent casting performance and high cost-effectiveness, representing a breakthrough for the company's aluminum alloy materials in replacing forging with casting [1] Group 3: Industry Impact - The advancements in materials are expected to facilitate low-cost, short-process, low-carbon, and green development of thermal management components in energy storage, computing centers, and communications sectors [1]

Core Viewpoint - Xiangxin Technology held an online performance briefing on September 19, 2025, discussing its business strategies and future outlook, particularly in the energy storage and robotics sectors [1] Group 1: Energy Storage and Robotics - The company signed energy storage orders focusing on commercial energy storage needs, emphasizing safety and longevity, with a competitive edge in a growing market over the next six years, but did not specifically compare its products to Tesla's [1] - Xiangxin Technology holds a 1.25% stake in Nuwa Robotics, which combines software tools with cost-effective hardware to provide multi-scenario solutions, having secured partnerships with major firms like SoftBank [1] - The second-generation dexterous hand is ready for mass production, designed to adapt to production line needs, but the monthly shipment volume was not disclosed [1] Group 2: Capacity Expansion and Production Planning - The company is implementing a dual-engine mechanism focusing on core business improvement and capturing emerging opportunities, with strategic directions including low-altitude economy [1] - Xiangxin Technology is establishing dedicated production lines for liquid cooling technology and dexterous hands, preparing for large-scale production [1] - The company supplies lightweight automotive structural components to clients in China and Mexico, while also focusing on the development of the robotics industry [1] Group 3: Financial Performance and Market Strategy - Specific details regarding the orders and revenue proportions for robotics and liquid cooling products were not disclosed due to confidentiality [1] - The company has developed a micro-channel liquid cooling module for servers, featuring a 0.15mm channel width and a 250% increase in heat exchange area [1] - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and resilience against risks by focusing on core business and optimizing product structure in the second half of the year [1] Group 4: Future Business Outlook - The company plans to solidify its automotive and photovoltaic storage businesses while expanding into computing servers and humanoid robotics, currently engaging with leading companies in these sectors [1] - Future revenue contributions from humanoid robotics and liquid cooling products over the next three to five years were not specified [1] - The company is collaborating with major international clients, including Benteler and Faurecia, across various industries, but specific order details remain undisclosed [1]

Core Viewpoint - The AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) energy storage market is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected increase of over 12 times in installed capacity over the next six years, driven by the surge in AI computing demands and the transition from traditional IDC to AIDC [2][3][4]. Market Growth and Projections - The global data center energy storage battery shipments are expected to grow from 10 GWh in 2024 to approximately 300 GWh by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 76.3% [2][3]. - High-tech advancements in AI and AIDC are anticipated to increase the number of global data center racks to 181.3 million by 2030, leading to a significant rise in energy storage capacity from 16.5 GWh in 2024 to 209.4 GWh by 2030 [3][4]. Competitive Landscape - Major players such as CATL, Huawei, and others are actively entering the AIDC energy storage sector, with CATL already indicating a strong focus on this market in its 2024 financial report [4][10]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by a mix of lithium battery leaders, energy technology companies, and system solution providers, with a focus on differentiated strategies to capture market share [10][18]. Policy and Market Drivers - The Chinese government has introduced favorable policies to promote energy storage solutions for data centers, with expectations that energy consumption from data centers will rise from 3% to 6% by 2027 [8][9]. - The collaboration between various government departments has emphasized the need for new energy storage configurations for high-energy-consuming users, further solidifying the market's growth potential [9]. Technological Innovations - The shift towards high voltage direct current (HVDC) systems is becoming a trend in AIDC power supply, enhancing efficiency and integration with renewable energy sources [16]. - Companies are exploring advanced energy management solutions that combine storage with AI algorithms, aiming to create comprehensive offerings that go beyond traditional battery production [16][18]. Emerging Opportunities - The current phase of the AIDC energy storage market is marked by a demand that outpaces supply, presenting opportunities for new entrants to capture market share by aligning with emerging trends and technological advancements [15][18]. - The transition from passive backup power to active energy management is expected to redefine competitive dynamics, with a focus on safety, economy, and sustainability becoming central to market strategies [18].

Group 1: Company Overview and Product Applications - The company specializes in various transformer products, including frequency conversion transformers, power transformers, small transformers, and marine transformers, with a focus on expanding the application of phase-shifting transformers in data centers [2][4]. - The company is actively developing solid-state transformers (SST) and has completed the development of medium-frequency isolation transformers for the DC side, aiming to meet the growing demand in data centers [4]. Group 2: Competitive Advantages and Market Position - The company has extensive experience in high-voltage frequency conversion technology, being one of the earliest manufacturers in this field, which provides a strong technical advantage in transformer design and manufacturing [4]. - Established long-term partnerships with major clients in the industry enhance the company's ability to deliver solid-state transformer products [4]. Group 3: Storage Business and Future Growth - The company is expanding its storage market presence, with products like storage integrated machines and inverters receiving certifications and achieving batch sales [4]. - Future growth is expected to come from continuous innovation in special transformers, power transformers, and reactors, alongside the development of new technologies and products such as solid-state transformers and epoxy-encapsulated transformers [5]. Group 4: Capital Operations and Strategic Planning - The company adopts a dual approach of industrial operation and capital operation, focusing on synergistic acquisitions that align with its core business and technological advantages [5]. - The company is committed to maintaining steady growth in its main business while exploring new market opportunities in renewable energy and data centers [5].

Group 1 - The company, Zhongzhou Special Materials, primarily focuses on the research, production, and sales of high-temperature alloy materials and products [2] - In the energy storage sector, the company is currently mainly involved in flywheel energy storage applications [2]

Market Review - A-shares major indices rose last week, with trading volume slightly decreasing amidst divergence [1] - Among 31 Shenwan first-level industries, electronics, real estate, and agriculture showed relatively strong performance [1] Macro Data Analysis - August CPI decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, compared to a previous value of 0.0%; month-on-month remained at 0.0% [3] - PPI decreased by 2.9% year-on-year, improving from a previous decline of 3.6%; month-on-month remained at 0.0% [3] - The decline in CPI was attributed to a high base from the previous year and low food price increases [3] - PPI showed signs of improvement due to the effectiveness of anti-involution policies, with significant price increases in coal processing and black metal industries [3] Stock Market Strategy Outlook - The market experienced wide fluctuations last week, with high levels of market liquidity and margin financing, although there was a slight decrease [5] - Since August, the market has shown characteristics of a structural bull market, particularly in technology sectors [5] - Current market movements are characterized by low trading volumes, indicating limited downward pressure [5] - Despite some fundamental pressures, the overall liquidity and sentiment environment remains supportive of thematic opportunities [5] Industry Insights - Defensive dividend sectors should maintain a low allocation, while observing extreme market developments [6] - Focus on sectors with catalysts, such as anti-involution related industries and real estate chain rebound stocks [6] - In offensive sectors, technology remains a key focus, with strong performance expected in autonomous control, solid-state, energy storage, and robotics [6] - Consumer sectors are anticipated to benefit from policy support and increased market activity, particularly in construction and chemical industries [6]