估值修正

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近日基金为什么大跌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 03:36
近期基金市场出现大幅下跌,主要受多重因素叠加影响,以下从市场环境、政策调整、资金流动等角度 综合分析原因: 三、市场情绪与资金流动 1. 赎回潮负反馈效应 - 部分基民因净值下跌触发止损赎回,迫使基金管理人 被动抛售持仓,进一步加剧市场下跌(尤其小盘股、流动性较差的债券)。 2. 北向资金流出 - 3月以来外资持续减持A股(累计净流出超200亿元),外资重仓的蓝筹股(如白酒、 金融)表现疲软,影响大盘指数及偏股型基金。 一、宏观经济预期波动 1. 全球通胀与货币政策收紧 - 美联储等主要央行维持高利率政策,市场对流动性收紧的担忧加剧,导致 风险资产(如股票、债券)估值承压,间接影响基金表现。 - 国内3月CPI(消费者物价指数)数据低于 预期,引发市场对经济复苏力度的疑虑,部分行业盈利预期下调。 2. 地缘政治冲突升级 - 近期中东局势紧张、俄乌冲突反复,推高原油等大宗商品价格,加剧全球供应链 不确定性,投资者避险情绪升温。 二、行业与政策调整冲击 1. 监管政策变化 - 金融监管部门近期加强对部分行业(如房地产、平台经济)的规范整顿,相关板块 (如中概股、地产债)大幅回调,拖累相关主题基金净值。 - 4月初 ...
美股屡创新高背后暗藏风险!Verdence首席投资官:市场定价“过于完美” 回调风险加剧
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 01:23
Group 1 - The core concern is that investors are overly complacent regarding the upcoming U.S. trade tariff deadline on August 1, with the market currently pricing in a perfect scenario [1] - There are uncertainties surrounding Federal Reserve policies and technical indicators showing overbought conditions, which could lead to a valuation correction in the market [1] - The market has seen significant gains, with the S&P 500 index rising 16% and the Nasdaq index increasing 21% over the past three months [2] Group 2 - The chief investment officer of Verdence Capital Advisors, Megan Horneman, remains bullish in the long term, viewing market pullbacks as investment opportunities, particularly favoring international stocks [1] - Despite high valuation levels, international stocks are considered relatively cheap compared to the U.S. market, indicating a potential rotation of funds into these assets [1] - Trader Guy Adami expressed concerns about the market being somewhat bubble-like, primarily driven by retail investors [2]