Market Overview - The A-share market opened high on January 7, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29% to 4095.54 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.35% to 14071.35 points, and the ChiNext Index increasing by 0.41% to 3332.74 points, marking a four-year high [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.84 trillion yuan, an increase of 53.8 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The photolithography concept stocks surged, with Guofeng New Materials hitting the limit up for two consecutive days, and several other stocks like Nanda Optoelectronics and Tongcheng New Materials also reaching the limit up [1] - The controllable nuclear fusion concept showed strong performance, with stocks like Wangzi New Materials and China First Heavy Industries hitting the limit up [1] - The brain-computer interface concept continued its strong trend, with stocks such as Innovation Medical and Nanjing Panda achieving three consecutive limit ups [1] - Semiconductor equipment stocks were actively traded, with stocks like Chip Source Microelectronics and Hengkun New Materials hitting the limit up by 20% [1] - The electric grid equipment sector showed strength, with Sanbian Technology and China West Electric reaching the limit up [1] - In contrast, oil and gas stocks performed poorly, with China National Offshore Oil Corporation experiencing a decline [1] Hot Sectors - The storage chip concept was strong, with stocks like Yingxin Development achieving two consecutive limit ups, and others like Puran Shares and Jiangbolong also rising [2] - The nickel concept stocks saw a rally, with stocks like Greeenmei hitting the limit up, supported by a significant increase in nickel prices [3] - The controllable nuclear fusion concept stocks rose, with breakthroughs in experimental methods reported, indicating long-term growth potential for the industry [4] Institutional Insights - Huaxi Securities noted that the spring market rally has started early, maintaining a bullish outlook, and suggested focusing on emerging growth sectors and anti-involution opportunities [5] - Shenwan Hongyuan Securities emphasized that the spring market structure remains unchanged, with high elasticity in thematic opportunities, particularly in AI and cyclical sectors [5] - Dongfang Securities indicated that the Shanghai Composite Index is approaching the 4100-point mark, predicting a slowdown in upward momentum and potential volatility [6]

Group 1 - The controllable nuclear fusion sector in A-shares shows a strong upward trend, with stocks like Wangzi New Materials leading the surge, indicating heightened market interest in the sector due to favorable policies and technological breakthroughs [1] - The trading volume in the sector increased significantly in the morning session, reflecting effective release of market energy and supporting stock price increases [1] - The sector is expected to receive dual benefits from technological breakthroughs and policy improvements by January 2026, with significant developments in China's "artificial sun" experiment confirming the existence of the density free zone [1] Group 2 - The Chinese government has included controllable nuclear fusion as a key growth point in the 14th Five-Year Plan, defining four core industrial chain segments: superconducting magnets, vacuum chambers, divertors, and supporting equipment [2] - Leading enterprises are already positioning themselves in these segments, accelerating the commercialization process of the "artificial sun" and driving significant benefits across the supply chain [2] - The superconducting materials industry is expected to see sustained demand growth, as superconducting magnets are critical for high-temperature plasma confinement, with low-temperature superconducting magnets accounting for 28% of the total cost of international ITER devices [2] Group 3 - The extreme environment materials industry is crucial for the protective components of controllable nuclear fusion devices, which must withstand temperatures significantly higher than those experienced by spacecraft during re-entry [3] - Domestic companies have achieved technological breakthroughs in tungsten-based composite materials, reaching international advanced levels [3] - The core equipment manufacturing sector is essential for constructing controllable nuclear fusion devices, with components like vacuum chambers and cooling systems requiring high precision and strict technical standards [3]

A股2026年首个交易日，三大股指集合竞价集体高开，上证指数高开0.46%，深证成指高开0.8%，创业板指高开0.84%。截至发稿时，上证指数上涨 0.66%，深证成指上涨1.32%，创业板指上涨1.49%。 | NYMEX WTI原油 | ICE布油 | ICE轻质低硫原油 | | --- | --- | --- | | 57.48 | 60.98 | 57.00 | | +0.16 +0.28% | +0.23 +0.38% | -0.01 -0.02% | | INE原油 | INE低硫燃料油 | NYMEX天然气 | | 429.4 | 2932 | 3.459 | | -7.1 -1.63% | -24 -0.81% | -0.159 -4.39% | 三是科技股走强，半导体产业链和消费电子概念领涨，AI应用主线表现活跃。具体来看，半导体产业链中，存储芯片板块大涨，香农芯创（300475）、 江波龙（301308）等个股大涨。 盘面上，市场主要有以下几条主线走强： 一是新兴产业类主题赛道。脑机接口板块早盘大涨，倍益康、三博脑科（301293）等个股大涨。商业航天、可控核聚变等板块上涨。 消息面上，埃 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown a strong recovery trend since mid-December, with the Shanghai Composite Index recording 11 consecutive gains before the New Year, indicating a certain trend of recovery [1][5][28] - The "spring market rush" suggests that the starting point of the market has been advanced to November or December of the previous year, driven by optimistic policy expectations and clear economic trends [1][36][51] - The market is currently experiencing a structural rally, with significant participation from institutional and leveraged funds, and the inflow of incremental capital is evident [1][11][40] Group 2 - Historical analysis shows that since 2011, there have been 9 instances of spring market rallies starting in Q1, with 4 instances starting early in November or December, primarily driven by policy expectations and liquidity easing [2][29][42] - The core sectors benefiting from the current spring market include technology growth, with a notable absence of financial sector leadership, which has historically been significant in previous rallies [3][30][53] - The market structure is expected to evolve with a focus on technology growth, particularly in AI and semiconductor sectors, while resource price increases and external demand may also play important roles [4][24][51] Group 3 - The current market sentiment remains strong, with trading volumes stabilizing above 2 trillion yuan in recent days, reflecting a preference for high-elasticity stocks [10][34][40] - The upcoming Central Economic Work Conference is anticipated to provide clear policy guidance, which is crucial for sustaining the current market momentum [7][36][45] - The market is likely to continue a slow bull trend, with potential adjustments depending on the inflow of incremental funds, suggesting a need for attention to low-position themes and sectors [3][30][51]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a market strategy focused on maintaining stability during fluctuations, with a particular emphasis on mid-cap blue-chip stocks for timing and selection [4] - The steel industry is highlighted for its transformation towards high-end, green, and digital advancements, which is expected to enhance competitiveness in the special steel sector [4] - The report suggests that the controlled nuclear fusion sector may experience ongoing catalysts, indicating potential for sustained thematic investment opportunities [5] Market Strategy - The index has shown a rebound, recently surpassing 3900 points, with a clear oscillation pattern observed since late August [4] - A mid-term perspective is recommended, focusing on sectors with moderate valuations, low institutional allocation, and improving marginal conditions, particularly in advanced manufacturing and electronics [4] - Specific ETFs are mentioned for investment, including the CSI 500 ETF and cash flow ETFs, which align with the suggested sectors [4] Industry Strategy - The steel industry is undergoing significant policy adjustments aimed at reducing crude steel production and eliminating inefficient capacities, promoting a shift towards high-end special steel and high-performance materials [4] - Companies like CITIC Special Steel and Nanjing Steel are recommended for their focus on high-end special steel products and their potential for growth in exports [4] - The report indicates that the controlled nuclear fusion sector is transitioning from theoretical research to practical engineering, which is expected to drive substantial investment demand in the future [5]

Group 1 - The controlled nuclear fusion industry has gained significant market attention, with the Wande controllable nuclear fusion concept index showing a cumulative increase of 83.19% in 2025 [1] - The implementation of the "Atomic Energy Law of the People's Republic of China" in 2026 will encourage and support controlled nuclear fusion research, providing institutional guarantees for innovation in fusion energy [1] - The controlled nuclear fusion sector is highlighted as a key forward-looking industry in China's 14th Five-Year Plan, with regions like Anhui, Sichuan, and Shanghai focusing on its development [1] Group 2 - The recent Jinjiang Forum indicated that global fusion energy research has entered a new engineering phase, with major fusion devices' progress becoming a direct window into the field's development [2] - The ITER project, the world's largest nuclear fusion experiment, aims to simulate the sun's fusion process and is expected to achieve full power operation by 2035, with significant advancements in construction since 2025 [2] - Chinese institutions have made substantial progress in the ITER project, including the completion of key components and contracts for essential systems [2][3] Group 3 - Major domestic fusion devices like EAST, BEST, and the Chinese Circulation III and IV are making notable advancements, with EAST achieving a high plasma temperature of 100 million degrees Celsius and stable operation for 1066 seconds in 2025 [3] - The BEST project in Anhui is set to be completed by 2027, with a bidding budget of 2.043 billion yuan in 2025, while the Chinese Circulation IV aims to validate the reliability of large high-temperature superconducting magnets [4][5] Group 4 - The fusion energy industry is seeing a surge in investment, with over 150 billion yuan planned for ongoing or upcoming projects, and expected investments of 14.9 billion yuan, 24.5 billion yuan, and 17.4 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [11] - The industry is anticipated to enter a peak bidding period, benefiting upstream raw material suppliers, midstream equipment manufacturers, and downstream operational sectors as fusion technology progresses [10][11] Group 5 - Regions like Anhui, Sichuan, and Shanghai are intensifying their focus on nuclear fusion, with Anhui emerging as a significant hub for fusion research and industry, housing nearly 60 related enterprises [7] - Shanghai is accelerating the development of cutting-edge technologies in fusion energy, with initiatives to enhance collaboration and innovation in the sector [8] - Sichuan's historical connection to controlled nuclear fusion is being revitalized, with plans to develop new industries and technologies related to fusion energy [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that if the Shanghai Composite Index can close above 4000 points by the end of 2025, it will instill strong confidence in the market, encouraging more incremental capital to enter in the future. The market is expected to continue a slow bull trend in 2026, with a focus on technology growth, cyclical stocks, and resource stocks [2][3]. Economic Dimension - The economic landscape is characterized by accelerated structural transformation and the rise of new productive forces. Manufacturing PMI is stabilizing, and retail consumption is recovering. High-end manufacturing sectors like smart devices and new energy vehicles are growing significantly faster than the overall economy, becoming key drivers of new productive forces [5]. Financial Dimension - Valuations are aligning with performance, showing significant horizontal space. Non-financial sectors' net profit grew by 1.04% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with technology sectors like AI (up 19.24%) and semiconductors (up 32.41%) showing remarkable profitability. A-shares are undervalued compared to U.S. stocks, with financial and infrastructure sectors still having safety margins [5]. Policy Dimension - The policy environment is focused on stabilizing expectations and increasing incremental capital. Reforms in the capital market, such as raising the equity investment cap for insurance funds to 50%, and optimizing delisting and dividend mechanisms, are enhancing investment functionality. The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes support for new industries like AI and commercial aerospace [5]. Capital Dimension - Continuous inflow of capital is observed, with insurance funds increasing their equity investments to over 4.7 trillion yuan, adding more than 600 billion yuan in 2025. There is ample room for growth, as evidenced by a reduction of 1.11 trillion yuan in household deposits and a 2.14 trillion yuan increase in non-bank deposits, with funds entering the market through ETFs and mutual funds [6]. Industry Dimension - The dual focus on technology and cyclical sectors is evident. In technology growth, there is a surge in demand for AI computing power, storage, and commercial aerospace driven by policy support. In cyclical sectors, the supply-demand gap for industrial metals like copper and aluminum is widening, with expectations of a 150,000-ton shortfall in refined copper in 2026 [6]. Company Dimension - Overall profitability is improving, showcasing resilience. Leading companies in innovation-driven sectors, such as CATL, are achieving high capacity utilization rates close to 90%, with technological breakthroughs driving down costs [7]. Outlook for 2026 - Multiple brokerages express optimism for the A-share market in 2026, predicting a continuation of the slow bull market. The core driving logic is expected to shift from valuation recovery to profit support, with anticipated earnings growth of 5% to 12% [9][10]. The recovery of PPI is seen as a key factor that will drive nominal GDP growth and improve overall profitability in the market [11]. Key Investment Themes - Key investment themes include technology growth led by AI and hard technology, with a focus on areas like optical modules and computing chips. The cyclical and resource sectors are also expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics, with industrial metals and energy sectors showing potential for cash flow improvement and high dividend yields [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the power equipment industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [2]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the acceleration of the commercialization process of controllable nuclear fusion, highlighting the diverse technological routes and the increasing industrial catalysis [5]. - It identifies Tokamak and Field-Reversed Configuration (FRC) as reliable paths for achieving nuclear fusion, with Tokamak being the mainstream route and FRC gaining attention for its potential faster commercialization [13][40]. Summary by Sections 1. Controllable Nuclear Fusion - Nuclear fusion is defined as the process where lighter atomic nuclei combine under extreme temperature and pressure to form heavier nuclei, releasing significant energy, similar to the energy generation mechanism of the sun [13][14]. - Compared to nuclear fission, nuclear fusion offers advantages such as high energy density, safety, cleanliness, and abundant raw materials [18][19]. 2. Tokamak: A Mainstream Route - The Tokamak, developed in the 1950s, utilizes a toroidal vacuum chamber and magnetic fields to confine high-temperature plasma necessary for fusion reactions [49]. - The report outlines the complexity of Tokamak components, emphasizing that the magnet system is crucial for maintaining plasma stability and achieving fusion conditions [52][59]. 3. FRC: A Simpler and Cost-Effective Approach - FRC is noted for its simpler structure and lower investment costs compared to Tokamak, with a potentially faster commercialization timeline [5][18]. 4. Global Fusion Projects - As of December 2025, there are 179 controllable nuclear fusion devices globally, with 82 being Tokamak devices, indicating a robust international effort towards fusion energy [40]. - The report highlights various national projects, including China's BEST and CFEDR, which aim to achieve significant milestones in fusion energy by 2027 and 2030, respectively [43][50]. 5. Key Companies in the Industry - The report suggests focusing on companies with capabilities in critical components for nuclear fusion, such as 合锻智能 (Hefei Intelligent), 联创光电 (Lianchuang Optoelectronics), and 国光电气 (Guoguang Electric), among others [5][44].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant developments in the controlled nuclear fusion sector, including increased procurement and bidding activities, the upcoming EU fusion strategy, and advancements in fusion laser technology [1][3][4] Group 2 - The procurement demand in the controlled nuclear fusion industry is on the rise, with recent bids primarily focused on essential components such as power supplies and converters, indicating a notable acceleration in industry contracts [2] - The EU's first fusion strategy is set to be released, with a high-level hearing scheduled for January 27, 2026, aimed at discussing the transition from political support to the industrialization of fusion energy [3] - The company "Zero Point Energy," associated with Peking University alumni, has successfully completed an angel round financing exceeding 50 million yuan, which will support the experimental validation of its new fusion technology route [3] - A strategic collaboration named "ICONIC-FL" has been initiated between the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and the Fraunhofer Institute for Laser Technology to advance inertial confinement fusion laser technology from the laboratory to industrial application [4] - The JT-60SA device has made progress with the successful manufacturing of fast plasma position control coils, which are crucial for upcoming plasma heating experiments and provide important technical validation for the ITER project [4]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown strong performance recently, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising for nine consecutive trading days and surpassing 3900 points, indicating a robust influx of capital into the market [2]. Group 1: Reasons for Strength - The first reason for the recent strength in the A-share market is macro liquidity and policy expectations, with a supportive fiscal and monetary policy anticipated for 2026, which is expected to enhance market risk appetite [4]. - The second reason is the expectation of new economic drivers for the upcoming year, particularly in high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing, which align with the "14th Five-Year Plan" and provide a fundamental anchor for market growth [5][6]. - The third reason is the healthy rotation within the market, with a broad-based structural rotation rather than reliance on a single sector, indicating a sustainable upward momentum [7][8]. Group 2: Market Rotation Dynamics - The market has experienced a clear cyclical rotation between high-growth sectors led by AI and value sectors represented by large-cap blue chips, creating a repetitive market pattern [9]. - This rotation is driven by multiple factors, including valuation constraints, policy rhythms, capital behavior, and macro expectations, reflecting a rational choice in response to different macro environments [10]. - Quantitatively, the market has completed at least two full cycles of growth and value style switching since September 2024, with clear trajectories observed [11]. Group 3: A500 Index Insights - The CSI A500 index has emerged as a significant player in the market, with a net inflow of 960.65 billion yuan since December, indicating a shift towards more balanced and stable investment styles [14]. - The A500 index is strategically positioned to adapt to market conditions, combining defensive and offensive characteristics, and covers a broad range of industries, making it a core asset for investors [18][24]. - The index has shown resilience during market fluctuations, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index during growth phases and experiencing less volatility during value recovery phases [19][21]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The A500 index offers a balanced investment option that includes both emerging sectors and established companies with stable cash flows, appealing to long-term investors seeking to capitalize on China's economic growth [22][24]. - The A500 ETF has become a mainstream tool for market participants, providing diverse options for long-term capital allocation in the A-share market [25].